CGE TRAINING MATERIALS MITIGATION ASSESSMENT MODULE D Mitigation Options, Issues and Barriers by Sector D.1 3.1
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CGE TRAINING MATERIALS MITIGATION ASSESSMENT MODULE D Mitigation Options, Issues and Barriers by Sector D.1 3.1 Module Objectives and Expectations 1. Objective: Provide participants with a review of the key sectors related to Greenhouse Gas (GHG) mitigation as well as crosssectoral opportunities for GHG mitigation, including: – – – – Emissions sources, trends, and drivers by sector and region Mitigation technologies and strategies Policies and measures for their adoption and implementation Common barriers and potential solutions. The module also offers background, examples and resources for identifying, analyzing and elaborating mitigation actions in national communications. 2. Expectations: Participants will have a broad but sound understanding of the key sectors and cross-cutting opportunities for GHG mitigation actions. 2 D.2 3.2 Module Outline 1. General Considerations 2. Sectoral Review and Discussion a) b) c) d) e) f) g) Energy Supply (Electricity Generation) Transport Buildings Industry Agriculture Forestry Waste Management 3. Mitigation from a Cross-Sectoral Perspective 3 D.3 3.3 MODULE D1 General Considerations 4 D.4 3.4 Fundamental Distinctions in Mitigation Actions • Technologies and practices that reduce GHG emissions: – – – – Efficiency (demand, supply) Substitution (fuels, feedstock, products) End-of-pipe (carbon capture and storage-CCS) Practices (farming, land clearing, etc.). • Policies and instruments that lead to the use of these technologies and practices: – Economic and financial instruments (e.g. taxes and incentives, markets, trade policy) – Regulatory approaches (e.g. standards, required practices) – Information (e.g. labelling, campaigns) – Capacity building (e.g. institutions, skilled workforce). 5 D.5 3.5 Mitigation Potential and Barriers • Many barriers may need to be overcome on the path from theoretical to actual use of loweremission technologies and practices • Many policy tools are available to help overcome these barriers, and must be tailored to national and local circumstances. Source: IPCC (2001) TAR WGIII 6 D.6 3.6 Facilitating Energy Efficiency • New investments in power, industry, transport and building infrastructure can be substantially more efficient than existing stock • Economic growth is powering a rapid increase in these sectors, and associated emissions • Almost all countries exhibit declining energy intensity trends • Most countries have initiatives to promote energy efficiency in these sectors • Technology integration, support, and financing risks are high • Adoption is driven by quality and productivity increases. Photo source: Courtesy of Emerson Process Management 7 D.7 3.7 Ethiopia’s Green Growth Plan • • Global Green Growth Institute (GGGI) supports developing countries in building green economic development strategies. Focus on South-South experience and knowledge exchange by experts and policymakers worldwide. Green growth plan in Ethiopia: • Assess country’s emissions, identify GHG mitigation opportunities, assess GHG abatement potential and cost, develop green growth road map. • Developed Climate Resilient Green Economy (CRGE) plan reviewing opportunities in seven sectors: electric power, green cities and buildings, forestry, livestock, soil, industry and transport. • Green economy plan based on four pillars: – – – – Improving crop and livestock production practices to increase food security and farmer income, while reducing emissions Protecting and re-establishing forests for economic and ecosystem services Expanding electricity generation from renewable energy Leapfrogging to modern, energy-efficient technologies in transport, industrial, and buildings sectors. Source: GGGI, “Green Growth Planning GGGI Country Programs ” 14 D.14 3.14 MODULE D2 Sectoral Review and Discussion 15 D.15 3.15 MODULE D2A Energy Supply (Electricity Generation) 17 D.17 3.17 Energy Supply • Key mitigation challenges: – Meet increasing demand for energy services while minimizing environmental impacts – Dominance of fossil fuels in electricity generation – High costs of low-carbon technologies – Long lifetime of capital stock. New supercritical coal plant 18 D.18 3.18 Global Energy Supply: Past Trends World primary energy consumption • Fossil fuel energy supply and use account for ~70% of total GHG emissions • Coal and oil have been the key primary energy sources for the past 3-4 decades • Rapid growth in coal use since 2000. Source: IPCC (2007) AR4 WGIII 20 D.20 3.20 Addressing Energy Supply in a Mitigation Assessment Mitigation assessments tend to focus on energy supply and choice of fuels and carriers from a sectoral perspective: • In most countries, electricity generation is the principal source of emissions and the main focus of mitigation assessment for energy supply. • Emissions from fossil fuel production (e.g., coal-bed methane), processing (refinery technologies), and transport and distribution (T&D ) (pipeline management) are often addressed as part of industrial sector analysis. • Biomass energy – both traditional and modern – is typically addressed in the relevant consuming sectors: biofuels for transportation, biomass fuels for electricity generation, traditional biomass in residential and agriculture, etc. • Fuel switching and development of new energy carriers (e.g. hydrogen for vehicles) are typically examined in consuming sectors (e.g. transport). • However, there is no standard and countries should feel free to take approaches that are appropriate to national institutions and circumstances. 22 D.22 3.22 Energy Supply Mitigation Technologies • Renewable energy: – – – – – – – – • Hydropower Wind energy Biomass and bioenergy Geothermal Photovoltaics (PV) Solar thermal electric Solar heating and cooling Ocean energy Advanced conversion technologies (improved efficiencies) and carriers: – – – – – Supercritical and integrated gasification combined cycle (IGCC) coal technologies Combined cycle gas turbine plants Combined heat and power (CHP) systems Hydrogen fuel cells Synthetic fuels from carbon sequestration • • • • • Carbon dioxide capture and storage (CCS) Efficiency improvements at existing power stations Loss reduction in transmission and distribution of electricity and natural gas Electricity storage (to enable greater penetration of intermittent renewables) Improved fuel production and transport: – – – • • Recovery of coalmine methane Coal beneficiation and refining Improved gas and oil flaring Decentralized energy systems Nuclear power. 23 D.23 3.23 Policy Instruments • Market-based instruments: – Tariff structures (e.g. feed-in tariffs) – Taxes and subsidies – Social cost pricing of energy services • Strict command-and-control regulation: – Specifying the use of specific fuels or technologies – Performance and emission standards • Hybrid measures: – Emission trading systems – Renewable portfolio standards • Voluntary agreements and actions by industry • Research, development and demonstration activities • Removal of institutional barriers. 25 D.25 3.25 Energy Supply: Key Barriers Key barriers: Overcoming barriers: • • • • • • • • • • • Energy prices Inconsistency in evaluation of energy costs Lack of adequate financial support Institutional transformation and reforms Legal and regulatory frameworks Lack of information Decision-making process and behaviour Social and cultural constraints Capital availability Lack of internalization of environmental externalities. • • • • • Multilateral cooperation for regional interconnections, hydropower and other renewable energy development Smaller unit sizes can help overcome the capital availability barriers (e.g. nuclear) Improved technology transfer through regional co-operation in research and development and commercial contracting Harmonizing diffusion strategies with local physical, human, and institutional resources Building local technical and institutional capabilities. Better grid access for industrial CHP and other distributed electricity sources. 27 D.27 3.27 Energy Supply Policies in Place Source: IEA Policies and Measures Databases 29 D.29 3.29 African Renewable Energy Alliance (AREA) • Global platform for information exchange and consultation on policies, technologies and financial mechanisms to accelerate use of renewable energy in Africa. • AREA objectives: – – – – – – – – Energy access Electricity production Energy efficiency Energy policy Governance Finance Energy education Employment. 31 D.31 3.31 Examples of African Development Bank (AfDB) mitigation activities • AfDB Clean Energy Investment Framework elaborates on many broad clean energy development objectives, including: – Hastening reduction of energy poverty and vulnerability – Facilitating sustained high rates of economic growth – Contributing to global energy security, while increasing collective self-sufficiency and regional cooperation in African countries – Promoting clean development and contributing to global emissions reduction (e.g. energy efficiency, culture of demand-side energy savings, increasing renewables). ClimDev-Africa Programme’s 2012-2014 Work Plan 32 D.32 3.32 Key Resources for Energy Supply Assessment Links: Key expertise: • • • • Open Energy Info (OpenEI): http://en.openei.org/ IEA Policies and Measures Databases: http://www.iea.org/textbase/pm/index.html WEC Energy Efficiency Policies and Measures: http://www.wecpolicies.enerdata.eu/ • • • • • Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC): http://www.ipcc.ch/ International Energy Agency (IEA): http://iea.org/ World Energy Council: http://www.worldenergy.org/ International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis (IIASA), Energy & Climate Change: http://www.iiasa.ac.at/Research/ECC/index. html National Renewable Energy Laboratory (NREL), International Activities: http://www.nrel.gov/international/ Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory (LBNL), International Energy Studies: http://ies.lbl.gov/ 33 D.33 3.33 Questions for Discussion • What policy instruments have had the most significant impact in promoting renewable energy? Improving power plant efficiencies? • What are some good examples of successes and failures in energy supply policies and technologies? • How is energy sector planning approached in your country? • How are GHG mitigation opportunities integrated into this process? 34 D.34 3.34 MODULE D2B Transport 35 D.35 3.35 Transport • One the most challenging sectors for GHG mitigation: – GHG emissions growing more rapidly than any other sector, fastest in developing countries – Freight transport emissions is growing even more rapidly than passenger – Much of world’s population without personal vehicles, a situation that is rapidly changing – Dependence on single resource (95% petroleum) – Technical and fuel switching solutions for GHG mitigation can face significant barriers. Source: Guangzhou BRT, www.gzbrt.org 36 D.36 3.36 Projected Transport Energy Use by Mode and Region • As long as transportation remains oil-dependent, GHG emissions will be roughly proportional to energy use. Source: IPCC (2007) AR4 WGIII 38 D.38 3.38 Transport: Trends and Drivers • Transport demand expected to grow with rapid industrialization and higher incomes in developing countries. • Current trends toward private cars, though alternatives to increase mobility exist (e.g. bus rapid transit). Source: IPCC (2007) AR4 WGIII 39 D.39 3.39 Transport: Mitigation Technologies and Strategies • Fuel efficiency improvements: – Changes in vehicle and engine design (e.g. hybrid engines, reduced weight and air resistance) • Less carbon-intensive fuels and technologies: – – – – • Electric vehicles (with low-carbon electricity) Hydrogen / fuel cell technology (and low-carbon hydrogen sources) Biofuels Natural gas, coal-to-liquids Mode shifts and land use: – Public/mass transportation systems (e.g. bus rapid transit) – Non-motorized transport (walking and cycling) – Land-use planning (transit-oriented development) • Transport demand management: – Reducing travel demand (e.g. through land use planning, telecommunications, etc.) • Operating efficiency improvements: – e.g., eco-driving, increased load factors, improved maintenance, reduced idling, etc. 42 D.42 3.42 Transport: Key Barriers Key barriers: Overcoming barriers: • • • • • • • • • • • Fuel taxes or charges on road users, including parking fees, road taxes, license fees, insurance premiums • Shifting government spending towards public transport and away from private transport. • Fiscal and regulatory measures and public purchasing aimed at developing larger markets for low- GHG-vehicles • Encouraging more sustainable transport patterns, avoiding pollution, congestion, higher accident rates, and GHGs associated with cars. Toll rings around big or medium sized cities • Moving from zoning/car-based transport to multifunction, high-density pedestrian zones • Combining measures to overcome inertia and lock-in. Infrastructure Lifestyles Economic development Patterns of industrial production Consumer behavior Status value Lock-in of technology and infrastructure Subsidies Distorted perceptions Building codes. 44 D.44 3.44 Transport: Key Policies and Mitigation Measures • Market-based instruments: – – – – – – – Increase in fuel tax Implement road pricing (vehicle miles travelled (VMT) fee) Increase parking fees Pay-as-you-drive insurance Incentives for mass transport systems Fiscal incentives and subsidies for alternative fuels and vehicles Incentives through vehicle taxes and license fees for more efficient vehicles • Regulatory instruments: – Fuel economy standards – Vehicle design or alternative fuel mandates • Direct investment by governments: – Infrastructure (e.g. bicycle and pedestrian, electric charging stations, transit-oriented development). 46 D.46 3.46 Examples of Proposed Transport Initiatives Summary of NAMA proposals in land transport sector Planned and existing NAMA actions Source: Binsted (2011). “NAMA submissions to the UNFCCC: An overview from a transport perspective” 47 D.47 3.47 Transport: Key Resources Links: Key expertise: • Transport Measures and Policies to Promote Emission Reductions (T-MAPPER): http://www.sutp.org/TMAPPER/ • OpenEI: http://en.openei.org/wiki/Trans portation_Assessment_Toolkit • Institute for Transportation & Development Policy (ITDP): http://www.itdp.org/ • International Council on Clean Transportation (ICCT): http://www.theicct.org/ 48 D.48 3.48 Transport: Questions for Discussion • What are the major drivers of growth in travel and transportation energy use in your country? • What are the principal barriers to improving vehicle efficiencies (or expanding public transit) and how are they being addressed? • Are GHG mitigation opportunities integrated into transportation and land-use planning in your country, and if so, how? 49 D.49 3.49 MODULE D2C Buildings 50 D.50 3.50 Buildings • Key challenges: – Overcoming market barriers (e.g., proper incentives, financing, fragmentation of building industry) – Long lifetimes of infrastructure (over half of current global building stock will still be standing in 2050) – Reduction potentials and policy leverage on behavior, culture and consumer choice poorly understood. Source: PassivHaus Institut Darmstadt, “Passivhaus Primer” 51 D.51 3.51 Buildings: Emissions Sources, Trends and Drivers • Population, household amenities and commercial activity will grow most rapidly in developing countries. • IEA projects, by 2050… Global CO2 from building energy use (2004): Two common perspectives. – 67% increase in number of households – Tripling of service building area – Greater penetration rate of existing energy-consuming devices, and increasing demand for new types of energy services. Source: IPCC (2007) AR4 WGIII 52 D.52 3.52 Buildings: Trends Residential Commercial Growth in global CO2 emissions (including electricity use) 1.7% per year (1971-2004) 2.5% per year (1971-2004) Largest regional increases in CO2 from buildings (including electricity) Developing Asia (42%), Middle East/North Africa (19%) Developing Asia (30%), North America (29%), OECD Pacific (18%) • Average number of people per household declining, while average dwelling size generally increasing. 53 D.53 3.53 Buildings: Evaluating Mitigation Technologies Source: IPCC (2007) AR4 WGIII 56 D.56 3.56 Buildings: Key Barriers Key barriers: Overcoming barriers: • • • • • • • • • High initial costs Lack of consumer awareness of technologies and their potential Traditional customs and social barriers Misplaced incentives Lack of finance Low priority on energy efficiency Consumers don’t usually pay true costs Public perception of product reliability and country of production. Comprehensive, sequenced policy package could include: – – – • Information campaigns Fiscal and financial incentives Minimum energy performance standards Address financial constraints, develop industry capacity and boost investment in R&D. 57 D.57 3.57 Buildings Policies: Typology and Examples (1) Developing Country Examples Effectiveness / Cost-effectiveness Appliance standards Brazil, China High / High Building codes Singapore, Philippines, Algeria, Egypt, China High / Medium Procurement regulations China, Mexico, South Korea High / Medium Mandatory labelling and certification programmes Mexico, China, Costa Rica High / High Policy Instrument CONTROL AND REGULATORY MECHANISMS Energy efficiency obligations and quotas High / High Utility demand-side management programmes High / High ECONOMIC AND MARKET-BASED INSTRUMENTS Energy performance contracting High / Medium Co-operative procurement High / High Energy efficiency certificate schemes Medium / Medium Kyoto Protocol flexible mechanisms China, Thailand Low / Low Source: IPCC (2007) AR4 WGIII 58 D.58 3.58 Buildings Policies: Typology and Examples (2) Policy Instrument Developing Country Examples Effectiveness / Cost-effectiveness FINANCIAL INSTRUMENTS AND INCENTIVES Taxation (on CO2 or household fuels) Low / Low Tax exemptions / reductions High / High Public benefit charges Medium-low / High in reported cases Capital subsidies, grants, subsidized loans Hong Kong High / Low Thailand Medium-high / High SUPPORT, INFORMATION, AND VOLUNTARY ACTION Voluntary certification and labelling Voluntary and negotiated agreements Medium-high / Medium Public leadership programmes Mexico, Philippines, Argentina, Brazil, Ecuador High / High Awareness raising, education / information campaigns Brazil Low-medium / High Mandatory audit and energy management requirement Egypt High, but variable / Medium Detailed billing and disclosure programmes Medium / Medium Source: IPCC (2007) AR4 WGIII 59 D.59 3.59 Buildings: Key Resources Links: Key expertise: • • • OpenEI: http://en.openei.org/wiki/Gateway: Buildings WEC/ENERDATA Energy Efficiency Policies and Measures Database: http://www.wecpolicies.enerdata.eu/ • Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory, Environmental Energy Technologies Division: http://eetd.lbl.gov/eetd.html Collaborative Labeling and Appliance Standards program http://www.clasponline.org/index. php 61 D.61 3.61 Buildings: Questions for Discussion • Globally, the IPCC suggests that buildings are the sector with the greatest mitigation potential. Is that likely to be the situation in your country, and if not, why not? • What are the principal barriers to energy efficiency in households and commercial buildings in your country? • Are there examples of notably effective actions? Building or equipment standards? Information campaigns? Efficiency incentives? Others? 62 D.62 3.62 MODULE D2D Industry 63 D.63 3.63 Industry • Key challenges: – Continue to provide goods and services that society depends on in a GHGconstrained world – While regulations are impacting technology use in large enterprises, smalland medium-sized enterprises (SMEs) (important in developing countries) may lack economic or technical capacity to install control equipment or quickly innovate. 64 D.64 3.64 Industry: Drivers and Trends • ~85% of industrial sector energy use in 2004 from energy-intensive industries: – – – – – Iron and steel Non-ferrous metals Chemicals and fertilizers Petroleum refining Minerals (cement, lime, glass, ceramics) – Pulp and paper. • Dramatic growth in production of energyintensive industrial goods; trends expected to continue due to rising population and per-capita income. • Since 1970, global annual production increases of: – – – – – Cement: 271% Aluminium: 223% Steel: 84% Ammonia: 200% Paper: 180%. 66 D.66 3.66 Industry: Mitigation Technologies and Strategies • Sector-wide options: – More efficient motors, high efficiency boilers and process heaters, fuel switching, using waste materials, recycling • Process-specific options: – Using bio-energy in industry wastes, energy recovery from pressurized blast furnace gas, minimizing PFC emissions from aluminum manufacture • Operating procedures: – Control of steam and compressed air leaks, optimum use of insulation and equipment size. 69 D.69 3.69 Industry: Key Barriers Key barriers: • Lack of information • Limited capital availability • Lack of skilled personnel • Decision-making process • Energy prices and subsidies • Access to technology and technology transfer Overcoming barriers: • • • • • • Technology diffusion policies: there is no single instrument to reduce barriers; instead, an integrated policy accounting for the characteristics of technologies, stakeholders, and countries addressed would be helpful Information programmes designed to assist energy consumers in understanding and employing technologies and practices to use energy more efficiently Best Practice’ programmes aimed to improve information on energy efficient technologies, demonstration projects and information dissemination, energy audit programmes, among others Environmental legislation can be a driving force in the adoption of new technologies Direct subsidies and tax credits or other favourable tax treatments Financial incentive programmes leading to large impacts on energy efficiency. 71 D.71 3.71 Industry: Policies and Measures • Voluntary GHG programmes and agreements: – Government-initiated – Company or industry-initiated • Financial instruments (taxes, subsidies, access to capital) • Regional and national GHG emissions trading programmes • Regulation of non-CO2 gases • Policies focusing on: – Energy and technology; sustainable development, air quality, waste management. 72 D.72 3.72 Industry: Possible Questions for Discussion • How might the industrial sector mitigation options interact with trade and competitiveness issues? • How might your country be affected by a global market for low-carbon technologies? • What are the barriers preventing industries in your country from increasing energy efficiency? • What are the technology transfer needs in the industrial sector in your country, and how might these be addressed through mitigation actions? 74 D.74 3.74 MODULE D2E Agriculture 75 D.75 3.75 Agriculture • Key challenges: – Uncertainties in long-term emissions due to dependencies on trends in socio-economic development, population growth, diet, etc. – Balancing trade-offs of mitigation measures in complex systems (e.g. increasing other GHG/pollutants, water impacts, biodiversity, food security, etc.) Source: FAO MICCA Programme pilot projects: http://www.fao.org/climatechange/micca/70795/en/ 76 D.76 3.76 Agriculture: Emissions Sources and Drivers • Sources: – CO2: microbial decay or burning of plant litter and soil organic matter – CH4: decomposition of organic materials in anaerobic conditions – N2O: microbial transformation of nitrogen in soils and manures. • Key drivers: – Population growth (escalating demands for food) – Shifts in diet. 77 D.77 3.77 Agriculture: Trends and GHG implications • • Continued conversion of forest and other land to agriculture (occurring largely in developing countries) Continued growth in land productivity (at a declining rate due to increased use of marginal lands) – Increasing per-capita food availability despite decreasing per-capita agricultural land, due to technological progress • • • • • Increased use of conservation and zero-tillage Growing demand for meat and dairy products in developing countries (driven by economic growth and changing lifestyles) Intensive production of beef, poultry and pork increasingly common Increasing international trade due to changing policies and patterns of production/demand Increasing use of agricultural products as substitutes for fossil fuel-based products (e.g. bio plastics, biofuels). 79 D.79 3.79 Agriculture: Regional Variation Estimated historical & projected N2O and CH4 emissions in the agricultural sector by region: CH4 from enteric fermentation dominant in areas with large livestock population Emissions from rice production & biomass burning mostly in developing countries Manure management emissions higher in developed regions than developing regions Source: IPCC (2007) AR4 WGIII 80 D.80 3.80 Agriculture: Mitigation Technologies and Strategies • Reducing emissions through improved: – – – – • Enhancing removals/creating sinks (carbon sequestration) through: – – – – • Livestock and manure management Water and rice management Fertilizer application Cultivation methods Agro-forestry Set-asides and land-use change Soil carbon storage Reduced tillage or no till cropping Avoiding (or displacing) emissions – Substituting fossil fuels with energy from agricultural feed stocks (e.g. crop residues, dung, energy crops) • (counted in sectors using the energy). Source: FAO MICCA Programme pilot projects: http://www.fao.org/climatechange/micca/70795/en/ 81 D.81 3.81 Agriculture: Key Barriers Key barriers: Overcoming barriers: • • • • • • • • • • • Farm-level adoption constraints Government subsidies Lack of capacity and skills Lack of information Property rights Transaction costs, measurement and monitoring costs Potential for reversibility or displacement of emissions Measurement uncertainty Consistency with traditional practices Pressure for competing uses of land and water. • • • • Participatory arrangements that fully engage all the involved actors may help to overcome many barriers Expansion of internationally supported credit and savings schemes, and price support, to assist rural people Shifts in the allocation of international agricultural research Improvement of food security and disaster early warning systems Development of institutional linkage between countries with high standards in certain technologies, for example flood control. 83 D.83 3.83 Agriculture: Policies and Measures • NAMAs submitted to UNFCCC related to agriculture • National Communication examples: – Biomass/biogas replacing cooking coal, rice paddy field water drainage, molasses urea block (MUB) cattle feeds – Reduce crop residue burning, increase areas for permanent trees, reduce agricultural land where open burning is done Source: FAO, “From Nationally Appropriate Mitigation Actions (NAMAs) to Low-Carbon Development in Agriculture” 85 D.85 3.85 Agriculture: Examples of GHG Impacts and Mitigation Measures Source: IPCC (2007) AR4 WGIII 86 D.86 3.86 FAO Mitigation of Climate Change in Agriculture (MICCA) Programme • • MICCA’s main objective is to assist developing countries in contributing to climate change mitigation in agriculture. Four pilot projects: Ecuador, Kenya, Tanzania and Viet Nam. • Kenya: – Smallholder dairy producers in the Rift Valley – Using life-cycle analysis and other approaches to evaluate technical alternatives with the goal of raising “carbon-neutral” cattle – Under East Africa Dairy Development Project (EADD) • Tanzania: – Aims to address soil degradation from current farming practices in the Uluguru mountains – Hillside conservation agriculture project (soil conservation, zero tillage practices, agroforestry). 87 D.87 3.87 Agriculture: Key Resources Links: Key expertise: • • Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations (FAO) – – – Mitigation of Climate Change in Agriculture (MICCA) Project: http://www.fao.org/climatechange/70746 @159866/en/ “Food Security and Agricultural Mitigation in Developing Countries: Options for Capturing Synergies”: http://www.fao.org/docrep/012/i1318e/i1 318e00.pdf “Carbon Finance Possibilities for Agriculture, Forestry and Other Land Use Projects in a Smallholder Context”: http://www.fao.org/docrep/012/i1632e/i1 632e.pdf FAO – – • Climate change: http://www.fao.org/climatechange/ en/ Climate-smart agriculture: http://www.fao.org/climatechange/70746 /en/rg/docrep/012/i1318e/i1318e00.pdf Consultative Group on International Agricultural Research (CGIAR): – – Climate Change: Agriculture and Food Security http://ccafs.cgiar.org/ 88 D.88 3.88 Agriculture: Questions for Discussion • What types of agriculture mitigation measures might enhance or decrease food security? 89 D.89 3.89 MODULE D2F Land use, Land use change and Forestry (LULUCF) 90 D.90 3.90 LULUCF • Key challenges: – Addressing underlying drivers for deforestation – Integrating climate mitigation into forestry policies – Adequate design (e.g. leakage, permanence, monitoring, etc.) – Balancing trade-offs (e.g. biodiversity, competing land uses), sustainable development implications. Source: CIFOR (2011) (Photo by Neil Palmer/CIAT) 91 D.91 3.91 LULUCF: Emissions Sources and Trends • Main source of emissions: – Stored CO2 released through deforestation • • Global forest cover = 3952 million hectares (~30% world’s land area) Gross deforestation continued at a rate of 12.9 million hectares per year (2000-2005): – Mainly conversion to agricultural land; also expansion of settlements, infrastructure and unsustainable logging practices • Due to afforestation, landscape restoration and natural forest expansion, most recent estimate ~ 7.3 million hectares per year. Source: Cosmos Magazine (11 May 2007) 92 D.92 3.92 LULUCF: Drivers of Deforestation and Degradation Source: Forest Carbon Partnership Facility (2009). “R-PP Preparation: Drivers of Deforestation and Degradation” presentation. Source: Union of Concerned Scientists (2011). “Drivers of Deforestation: What is Driving Deforestation Today?” Fact Sheet. 93 D.93 3.93 LULUCF: Mitigation Technologies and Strategies Source: UNDP (2008). “Key Issues on Land Use, Land Use Change and Forestry (LULUCF) with an Emphasis on Developing Country Perspectives” 95 D.95 3.95 LULUCF: Options, Impacts and Timing Afforestation: benefits accumulate over years to decades, but more upfront investments Emissions avoidance: largest short-term gains Source: IPCC (2007) AR4 WGIII 96 D.96 3.96 LULUCF: Barriers and Opportunities Key barriers: • • • • • Overcoming barriers: Profitability incentives frequently run • counter to forest conservation and sustainable forest management Direct and indirect drivers of deforestation lie outside the forestry • sector (e.g., agricultural policies/markets) Lack of technical capability, including for • monitoring carbon stocks Limited regulatory and institutional capacity Efficiency of forest policies influenced by land tenure, institutional and regulatory capacity of governments, financial competitiveness, cultural relationship to forests. Forestry sector options are relatively low cost compared with those in the energy sector, which helps to reduce barriers Promotion of mitigation projects also promotes the flow of technology Independent verification of carbon abatement would help to increase the credibility and funding of forestry-sector mitigation projects. 99 D.99 3.99 LULUCF: Policies and Measures (Country Examples) • NAMAs submitted to UNFCCC related to forestry: Source: FAO “From Nationally Appropriate Mitigation Actions (NAMAs) to Low-Carbon Development in Agriculture: NAMAs as a Pathway at Country Level” • Ecuador’s Yasuni-ITT Source: UNDP Multi-Partner Trust Fund Office Gateway, Ecuador Yasuni ITT Trust Fund 102 D.102 3.102 African Wildlife Foundation (AWF) mitigation work • AWF identified priority work areas concerning climate change, including: ― Mitigate terrestrial carbon emissions through landscape conservation, forest management and rangeland rehabilitation through carbon payment mechanisms (e.g. formal global carbon market and voluntary markets) ― Help countries access clean and efficient energy technologies (e.g. efficient stoves, solar power) to reduce carbon intensity of development. (Source: http://www.awf.org/section/land/climatechange ) 103 D.103 3.103 LULUCF: Key Resources Links: Key expertise: • • United Nations Development Programme (UNDP) – “Key Issues on Land Use, Landuse Change and Forestry (LULUCF) with an Emphasis on Developing Country Perspectives”: http://www.undp.org/climatechang e/docs/English/UNDP_LULUCF_fi nal.pdf • UN-REDD programme Center for International Forestry Research (CIFOR) – Mitigating climate change: http://www.cifor.org/onlinelibrary/browse/mitigating-climatechange.html • Climate and Land Use Alliance (CLUA): http://www.climateandlanduseallia nce.org/ – http://www.un-redd.org/ 104 D.104 3.104 LULUCF: Questions for Discussion • What tools are used in your country to measure or monitor forest carbon stocks? To analyze potential mitigation measures? • Are maps, land tenure regulations, monitoring teams, etc. available in your country to help assess Forestry mitigation potential? • How might REDD crediting or incentives interact with domestic forestry and land-use policies? 105 D.105 3.105 MODULE D2G Waste Management 106 D.106 3.106 Waste Management • Key challenges: – Availability and quality of annual data – Decisions often made locally without quantification, leading to underestimation of waste sector mitigation globally – Decoupling generation of waste from economic drivers. 107 D.107 3.107 Waste Management: Emissions Sources and Drivers • Major sources of GHG: – Landfill CH4 – Wastewater CH4 and N2O • Other sources: – Minor CO2 emissions from waste incineration – Fluorinated gases (CFCs and HCFCs) • • Can persist for decades in postconsumer waste and occur as trace components in landfill gas; not currently quantified Key drivers: – Waste generation, which is linked to population, urbanization, and affluence – Extent of landfill gas capture. Source: IPCC (2007) AR4 WGIII 108 D.108 3.108 Waste Management: Mitigation Technologies and Strategies • Wide range of mature technologies available for waste management: – Landfill gas recovery (reduces CH4) – Post-consumer recycling (avoids waste generation) – Composting (avoids GHG generation) – Processes reducing GHG generation compared to landfilling • Thermal processes, e.g. incineration and industrial combustion, MBT with landfilling of residuals, anaerobic digestion • Advanced thermal processes, e.g. pyrolysis and gasification. Source: IPCC (2007) AR4 WGIII 110 D.110 3.110 Waste Example from Ethiopia’s 1st National Communication Mitigation analysis of methane emissions from solid waste in the city of Addis Ababa • Selection of measures depends on costs and socio-cultural attitudes. Preliminary analysis suggests composting is the cheapest option, followed by landfill methane recovery. • Composting is promising because 68% by weight of solid waste in Addis Ababa city is organic. 112 D.112 3.112 Waste Management: Key Barriers Key barriers: Overcoming barriers • Lack of enabling policies initiatives, institutional mechanism, information and opportunities • Organizational problems in collection and transport • Lack of coordination among different groups. • A multi-pronged approach is needed which should include the following components: – – – Building up of databases on availability of wastes, their characteristics, distribution, accessibility, current practices of utilization and/or disposal technologies and their economic viability An institutional mechanism for technology transfer though a coordinated programme involving the R&D institutions, financing agencies, and industry (Schwarz, 1997) Defining the role of stakeholders including local authorities, individual house holders, NGOs, industries, R&D institutions, and the government. 113 D.113 3.113 Waste Management: Questions for Discussion • To what extent is landfill gas recovery common practice in your country? Is this likely to change in the future? • The emissions benefits of reuse strategies, both in the formal and informal sectors, as well as waste minimization and recycling activities, may result largely from avoided manufacturing and material extraction emissions. How can these benefits be reflected in mitigation assessments and in future emissions inventories? 115 D.115 3.115 MODULE D3 Mitigation from a Cross-Sectoral Perspective 116 D.116 3.116 Types of Cross-Sectoral Mitigation Technologies • There are various mitigation technologies that affect multiple sectors, or that cannot be attributed to any particular sector. • Implementation of cross-sectoral mitigation technologies can: – Occur in parallel in more than one sector • Improvement in one sector will benefit the others – Involve interaction between sectors • Mitigation potential increased when applied as a group – Create competition among sectors • May compete for resources. • Other techniques: – Ocean fertilization and geo-engineering • Speculative; environmental side-effects and costs still being assessed. 117 D.117 3.117 Examples of Cross-Sectoral Mitigation Technologies • Parallel: – Solar PV: • Centralized energy generation in energy sector; distributed energy generation in buildings sector – Information technology (IT): • Implemented in parallel across sectors as component of various end-use technologies (e.g., advanced vehicle technologies, smart household appliances. • Interaction: – Use of fossil fuel gasification with carbon dioxide capture and storage (CCS) technology to produce hydrogen for transportation and industrial applications. • Competition: – Use of biomass for transportation fuels, and competition for land and resources with other sectors. 118 D.118 3.118 Cross-Sectoral Mitigation: Linkages, Synergies and Trade-offs • Synergies and trade-offs between measures with non-climate objectives and GHG mitigation: – Generally, climate mitigation is not the goal; rather, outgrowth of efforts driven by economic, security, of local environmental concerns – Promising approaches take advantage of natural synergies between climate protection and development priorities, in order to advance both simultaneously. 119 D.119 3.119 Cross-Sectoral Mitigation: Questions for Discussion • What are some key challenges associated with crosssectoral mitigation approaches (both technologies and policies), both in assessment and in implementation? • How can an assessment team ensure analytical consistency across many different sectors? • How can the concepts of mitigation potential (market, economic, social, technological) and barriers best be incorporated into a mitigation assessment? 120 D.120 3.120