Renewable Resources Reading Perman et al (2nd ed.) Chapters 9 and 10 Perman et al (3rd ed.) Chapters 17 and 18
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Renewable Resources Reading Perman et al (2nd ed.) Chapters 9 and 10 Perman et al (3rd ed.) Chapters 17 and 18 Renewable flow resources • Such as solar, wave, wind and geothermal energy. • These energy flow resources are non-depletable. • But entail costs in harnessing them as usable energy resources Renewable stock resources living organisms: fish, cattle and forests, with a natural capacity for growth inanimate systems (such as water and atmospheric systems): reproduced through time by physical or chemical processes arable and grazing lands as renewable resources: reproduction by biological processes (such as the recycling of organic nutrients) and physical processes (irrigation, exposure to wind etc.). Are capable of being fully exhausted. Biological growth processes G = G(S) An example: (simple) logistic growth: S G (S) gS1 SMAX Where g is the intrinsic growth rate (birth rate minus mortality rate) of the population. Figure 17.2 Steady-state harvests. GMSY = HMSY G1 = H1 0 S1L SMSY S1U SMAX Commercial fisheries Open access vs Restricted access fisheries What is an open access fishery? Consequences of open access: entry continues until all rents are dissipated (profit per boat = zero). Stock sizes will tend to be lower, and harvest rates will tend to be higher (but may not always be) compared with a restricted access (“private property” or “common property”) fishery. Exhaustion or even extinction is more likely, but will not necessarily happen. Switch now to “Model Equations” document Figure 17.3 Steady state equilibrium fish harvests and stocks at various effort levels. HMSY = eEMSYS H1 = eE1S H2 = eE2S H2 H1 G(S) S1 SMSY =SMAX/2 S2 S Figure 17.4 Steady state equilibrium yield-effort relationship. HPP H=(w/P)E HOA e H e ES MAX 1 - E g EPP EOA g/e E Figure 17.5 Stock and effort dynamic paths for the illustrative model. 60.000 1.200 50.000 1.000 Effo rt Sto ck 40.000 0.800 30.000 0.600 20.000 0.400 10.000 0.200 0.000 0.000 0 20 40 60 80 100 120 140 160 180 200 220 240 260 280 300 Figure 17.6 Phase-plane analysis of stock and effort dynamic paths for the illustrative model. 17.6.3 The present value maximising fishery model Max P Ht - C(H t , St )e-it dt 0 subject to dS = G( St ) - H t dt and initial stock level S(0) = S0. The necessary conditions for maximum wealth include pt P C( H , S) H t dp t dG (S) C( H, S) ip t p t dt dS t S t (17.29) (17.30) P is the market, or landed, price of fish (treated here as an exogenously given fixed number) pt is a shadow price, the net price of fish. 17.6.3.1 Steady state equilibrium in the present value maximising fishery We have G(S) = H and the optimizing conditions 17.29 and 17.30 collapse to the simpler forms pP ip p C(H, S) H (17.31) dG (S) C(H, S) dS S (17.32) Divide both sides of Equation 17.32 by the net price p to give C dG S i= dS p (17.33) Equation 17.33 is one (steady-state) version of what is sometimes called the ‘Fundamental Equation’ of renewable resources. Figure 17.7 Present value maximising fish stocks with and without dependence of costs on stock size, and for zero and positive interest rates. G(S) Slope = i Slope = i - [-(C/S)/P] SPV SPV* S OPEN ACCESS AND SPECIES EXTINCTION The extinction of renewable resource stocks is a possibility in conditions of open access, but open access does not necessarily result in extinction of species. Open access enhances the likelihood of catastrophic outcomes because: Incentives to conserve stocks for the future are very weak. Free riding once a bargain has been struck Crowding diseconomy effects EXCESSIVE HARVESTING AND SPECIES EXTINCTION There are many reasons why human behaviour may cause population levels to fall dramatically or, in extreme cases, cause species extinction. These include: Even under restricted private ownership, it may be ‘optimal’ to the owner to harvest a resource to extinction. Clark (1990) demonstrates, however, that this is highly improbable. Ignorance of or uncertainty about current and/or future conditions results in unintended collapse or extinction of the population. Shocks or disturbances to the system push populations below minimum threshold population survival levels. WHATEVER THE REGIME, SPECIES EXTINCTION IS MORE LIKELY: the higher is the market (gross) resource price of the resource the lower is the cost of harvesting a given quantity of the resource the more that market price rises as the catch costs rise or as harvest quantities fall the lower the natural growth rate of the stock, and the lower the extent to which marginal extraction costs rise as the stock size diminishes the higher is the discount rate the larger is the critical minimum threshold population size relative to the maximum population size. Renewable resources policy Command-and-control: • Quantity restrictions on catches (EU Total Allowable Catches) • Fishing season regulations • Technical restrictions on the equipment used - for example, restrictions on fishing gear, mesh or net size, or boat size. Incentive-based policies: • Restrictions on open access/property rights • Fiscal incentives • Establishment of forward or futures markets • Marketable permits (‘individual transferable quotas’, ITQ) Forestry As far as forests as sources of timber are concerned, much of the previous analysis applies. But a new issue arises: the average length of a “rotation”. What is also important here is the multiple service functions of much forestry. This can often extend optimal rotation lengths.