Transcript Hydrometeorological Service of Macedonia Integrated in Crisis Menagement and Protection and Rescue System Second Steering Committee Meeting / Design a Regional MHEWS / Skopje, Macedonia 29-31

Hydrometeorological
Service of Macedonia
Integrated in
Crisis Menagement and
Protection and Rescue
System
Second Steering Committee Meeting / Design a Regional MHEWS / Skopje, Macedonia 29-31 of May 2013
NMHS - STRUCTURE
METEOROLOGY
CLIMATOLOGY
WEATHER
FORECAST
HYDROLOGY
ENVIRONMENT
MEASUREMENTS
DIRECTOR
PUBLIC &
INTERNATIONAL
RELATIONS
WEATHER
MODIFICATION
NOWCASTING
INFORMATIC
TELECOM
ADMINISTRATION
FINANCE
Second Steering Committee Meeting / Design a Regional MHEWS / Skopje, Macedonia 29-31 of May 2013
METEOROLOGICAL STATION NETWORK IN MACEDONIA
(MAIN, CLIMATOLOGICAL, AND AUTHOMATIC OBSERVING STATIONS)
Second Steering Committee Meeting / Design a Regional MHEWS / Skopje, Macedonia 29-31 of May 2013
HYDROLOGICAL STATION NETWORK IN MACEDONIA
(HYDROLOGICAL AND GROUND WATER STATIONS)
Second Steering Committee Meeting / Design a Regional MHEWS / Skopje, Macedonia 29-31 of
May 2013
RAIN GAUGE NETWORK IN MACEDONIA
Second Steering Committee Meeting
/ Design a Regional MHEWS /
METEOROLOGICAL DPT./SECTION
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Meteorological division
Climatological division
Data Base Management Division
Meteorological network is consisted of:
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16 main;
19 climatological;
26 phonological;
1 aerological (not in use);
100 precipitation stations;
14 automated weather stations in network;
6 AWOS by project
Second Steering Committee Meeting / Design a Regional MHEWS / Skopje, Macedonia 29-31 of May 2013
Makedonija - Radar points
Second Steering Committee Meeting / Design a Regional MHEWS / Skopje, Macedonia 29-31 of May 2013
WEATHER RADAR CENTRE
Second Steering Committee Meeting / Design a Regional MHEWS / Skopje, Macedonia 29-31 of May 2013
OBSERVING NETWORK
•
65 surface watercourses (reduced to 65 active )
•
88 groundwater observations (38 active+50 in
process of construction)
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18 automatic stations (river water level and
temperature) SEBA-manufactures
Second Steering Committee Meeting / Design a Regional MHEWS / Skopje, Macedonia 29-31 of May 2013
MAIN CONSTRAINTS AND GAPS
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FINANCIAL CONSTRAINTS
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PRESENT STATUS OF SERVICE
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INADEQUATE INSTRUMENT MAINTENANCE AND
CALLIBRATION;
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TELECOMMUNICATIONS AND INFORMATION;
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NEED FOR EMPLOYEMENT OF YOUNG STAFF ESPECIALLY
TECHNICAL ENGINEER PERSONEL
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LACK OF EQUIPMENTS, HARDWARE AND AND SOFTWARE
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SPECIALIZING STAFF
Second Steering Committee Meeting / Design a Regional MHEWS / Skopje, Macedonia 29-31 of May 2013
LEGAL FRAMEWORK AND STATUS
a) The Law on Hydrometeorological Matters;
b) Law on waters;
c) Law on protection of air pollution;
d) Law on environment;
e) Conventions, agreements, memorandums, protocols, etc
signed or ratified directly by Republic of Macedonia
“HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL SERVICE” -HMS
is self-contained department at the Ministry of Agriculture,
Forestry and Water Economy
Second Steering Committee Meeting / Design a Regional MHEWS / Skopje, Macedonia 29-31 of May 2013
Regulative
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Regulation for information and data types
and procedure for proceeding to Crisis
Menagement and Protection and Rescue
Directorate.
Instruction for including the HMS in Crisis
Menagement and Protection / Rescue
System of Macedonia.
Second Steering Committee Meeting / Design a Regional MHEWS / Skopje, Macedonia 29-31 of May 2013
REGIONAL CRISIS MENAGEMENT DIVISIONS
IN MACEDONIA – CMC
Second Steering Committee Meeting / Design a Regional MHEWS / Skopje, Macedonia 29-31 of May 2013
EUROPEAN METEOALARM
Second Steering Committee Meeting / Design a Regional MHEWS / Skopje, Macedonia 29-31 of May 2013
Second Steering Committee Meeting / Design a Regional MHEWS / Skopje, Macedonia 29-31 of May 2013
Second Steering Committee Meeting / Design a Regional MHEWS / Skopje, Macedonia 29-31 of May 2013
SOP FOR WARNINGS AND PREPARADNESS OF WEATHER
AND OTHER NATURAL HAZARDS IN STATE OF EMERGENCY
Natural disasters statistics
Second Steering Committee Meeting / Design a Regional MHEWS / Skopje, Macedonia 29-31 of May 2013
REGULAR DATA AND INFORMATIONS PROCEEDED BY NMHS
TO SRISIS MENAGEMENT CENTRE
No.
Type of information
Responsible Dpt
Term
Way
1.
Regular weather forecast
Forecast division
Daily,
Until 13 h
fax
2.
Regular hydrologic information
Hydrology div.
Daily,
Until 10 h
www.мeteo.gov.mk
3.
Review of hydrologic
information for the last
week
Hydrology div.
EveryTuesday
until 13 h
fax
4.
Quality of air and
surface water
Environment control div
Every month
until day 15
Fax or mail
5.
Agrometeorological
data and reports
Meteorological div.
Every decade
of a month
www.мeteo.gov.mk
6
Monthly
meteorological
information
Meteorological div.
Every month
Fax or mail
7.
Radar image
Radar and modification div.
regular
www.meteo.gov.mk
METEOROLOGICAL OBSERVATION DATA AND INFORMATION – SOURCE HMS - MAKEDONIJA
Data type
Parameters and phenomena
1
2
METEO DATA
3
ENVIRONMENT
Competence dpt
4
5
VISUALITY
+
Meteorology Dpt
CLOUDNESS
+
Meteorology Dpt
WIND
+
Meteorology Dpt
AIR PRESSURE
+
Meteorology Dpt
TEMPERATURE
+
Meteorology Dpt
HUMIDITY
+
Meteorology Dpt
SOIL CONDITION
+
Meteorology Dpt
PRECIPITATION
+
Meteorology Dpt
PHENOMENA
+
Meteorology Dpt
+
Meteorology Dpt
EVAPORATION
HYDROLOGY
DATA
Risk menagement
users
WATER LEVEL
AND
FLOW PROFILE
- Water level
- Water level changes
- waterflow profile
- Transfer of deposits
- Subground water level
-flood waves level
-chemistry and biological
status of rivers
Hydrology Dpt
Environment Dpt.
Second Steering Committee Meeting / Design a Regional MHEWS / Skopje, Macedonia 29-31 of May 2013
NUMERIC FORECAST MODEL PRODUCTS
VENTING Index
forecast
METEOGRAM
NMM-FRESH FCST MODULE CALPUF Forecast
PRODUCTS
RADAR IMAGES
Second Steering Committee Meeting / Design a Regional MHEWS / Skopje, Macedonia 29-31 of May 2013
Developing Countries are Hit the Hardest …
Second Steering Committee Meeting / Design a Regional MHEWS / Skopje, Macedonia 29-31 of May 2013
Risk and Uncertainty
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Risk = chance of something happening
that will impact on your objectives
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Chance = uncertainty
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Uncertainty  Risk
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Risk management involves managing
uncertainty
Second Steering Committee Meeting / Design a Regional MHEWS / Skopje, Macedonia 29-31 of May 2013
Risk management strategies.
Targets:
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Avoid dangers
Prevent/reduce the frequency of impacts
Control/reduce consequences (adaptation
measures)
Transfer the risk (e.g. insurance)
Respond appropriately to incidents/accidents
(e.g. disaster management)
Recover or rehabilitate asap (e.g. media
response)
Second Steering Committee Meeting / Design a Regional MHEWS / Skopje, Macedonia 29-31 of May 2013
For decision-making
Hydrometeorological Service of Macedonia tend
to involve in natonal risk assessments related to
impacts of meteo,hydro and environment hazards.
Risk Assessment: Monitoring defines the nature of the risk
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Risk Perception and Choice: Monitoring affects choices
Risk Management: Monitoring leads to alternate
strategies
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Overall: Increased monitoring will reduce the uncertainty
and the ambiguity now embedded in the process
Second Steering Committee Meeting / Design a Regional MHEWS / Skopje, Macedonia 29-31 of May 2013
Approaches to Dealing with Risks
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There is a well established approach to characterizing and
managing risks and this includes risk scoping, risk
characterization and evaluation, risk management and
monitoring and review.
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Preparedness planning, risk assessments, and improved early
warning systems can greatly lessen societal vulnerability to
weather and climate risks.
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The goal of effective risk management is to impose
management and policy changes between hazard events such
that the risk associated with the next event is reduced through
the implementation of well-formulated policies, plans, and
mitigation actions that have been embraced by stakeholders
Second Steering Committee Meeting / Design a Regional MHEWS / Skopje, Macedonia 29-31 of May 2013
NEEDS FOR DEVELOPING
COUNTRIES OF SEE
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Emergency response system (ERS) based
on advanced Information Technology (IT)
such as information network, simulation
models, tools for GIS and remote sensing
could be developed to address natural
hazards and early warning.
Second Steering Committee Meeting / Design a Regional MHEWS / Skopje, Macedonia 29-31 of May 2013
RECOMMENDATIONS
MAKEDONIJA
1 Legal status and strategic plan
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1.1 FYR Macedonia is undergoing the transition to the market economy and
has a perspective to become a member of the European Union. In view of
these developments, it is important to reconsider the legal background for
operation of the National Hydrometeorological Service (NMHS) and adapt to
the new economic situation where necessary (for instance, to motivate the
further development of services for the end users).
1.2 In case of reopening the question of the position of NMHS among the
governmental offices, it should be taken into account that NMHS has a
potential to serve the needs of several ministries covering agriculture,
environment, transportation, defence, economics etc.
1.3 Strategic Plan for Development of Hydrometeorological Service should
be prepared taking into account the 6th Long-term Plan (LTP) of WMO. It is
recommended to prepare, as the first step, a three to four pages draft for
discussion.
1.4 Quality Management System (QMS) is a business tool used by
organizations to achieve efficiency and effectiveness, and improve
relationship with customers. Only recently QMS came to the attention of
NMHSs. It is recommended that NMHS would gradually start implementing
or seeking to implement ISO 9001 Quality Management Systems (QMS) to
improve its overall visibility and performance.
RECOMMENDATIONS
MAKEDONIJA
2 Operational activities of the Hydrometeorological Service and technical assistance
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2.1 High priority should be given to the maintenance of the observing systems, especially
regarding the stations of the regional basic synoptic network (RBSN) and the regional basic
climatological network (RBCN), adequate to meet the requirements of WWW.
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2.2 Technology for meteorological, hydrological and related real time data exchange in the
country should be modernized in order to better serve the needs of end users.
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2.3 Monitoring of the surface and ground waters has to be improved step by step by
introducing the modern technique of measurements in order to better serve the national
needs.
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2.4 Regular calibration of meteorological and hydrological instruments should be
introduced. Broader international cooperation in this respect is needed, especially with
institutions able to issue internationally valid certificates. When developed, support in view
of calibration could be offered by the Service through co-operation provisions to the
authority responsible for aviation meteorology and other institutions in the country dealing
with meteorological, hydrological or environmental monitoring.
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2.5 Participation of Macedonian experts in the SEERAD Project should be used for the
establishment of the national meteorological radar network and connection to the weather
radar network in the Balkan region. In this regard, the membership of Macedonia in
EUMETNET-OPERA programme is highly recommended.
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2.6 One of the main economic activities in the country is agriculture. Agro-meteorological
services should be improved to better serve the national needs. Renovation and
improvement of the network will contribute to overcome the gaps and improve the quality of
agro-meteorological services.
RECOMMENDATIONS
MAKEDONIJA
3 Training of personnel and international activity of experts.
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3.1 There is no doubt that the most significant single factor in determining the future
efficiency and effectiveness of National Hydrometeorological Service (NMHS) and its value
to its national community is the quality of the initial and continuing education and training
provided for its staff. It is considered essential therefore, that the Hydrometeorological
Service does everything possible, using the possibilities through WMO Secretariat
(Fellowship Nomination Forms), other international organizations and bilateral
arrangements to enhance the education and training opportunities for its staff. In addition,
the Service playing a role of NMHS should take a responsibility of organizing trainings
through the WMO system for other meteorological services in the country, like the
aeronautical meteorological service. Opportunities of international exchange of professors
through EU programmes should be explored.
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3.2 The ways for on-the-job training in more developed NMHSs should be explored to
ensure the knowledge transfer back to the Hydrometeorological Service.
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3.3 Macedonia is represented by one member in one Working Group of RA VI. At the next
session of RA VI in September 2005, it would be an opportunity to ensure a suitable
representation in all Working Groups in order to benefit by active participation in the work of
the Working Groups.
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3.4 Special attention should be given to trainings of observers and technicians in order to
contribute to a higher quality of observations and measurements in the observing systems
of NMHS.
Second Steering Committee Meeting / Design a Regional MHEWS / Skopje, Macedonia 29-31 of May 2013
RECOMMENDATIONS
MAKEDONIJA
4 Enhancement of services and research
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4.1 The weather forecasting as well as flood forecasting services should
be enhanced and further developed. Introduction of nowcasting is
needed, especially for the purpose of early warning in case of natural
disaster related to weather and waters.
4.2 The services for the end users should be gradually enhanced,
especially for agriculture, water management and in vieaw of public
weather services (PWS).
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4.3 The cost recovery mechanisms should be implemented using the
price list approved by the Government. A model to set up a price list
could be taken from the ECOMET rules.
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4.4 The research activities in NMHS should be further developed. FYR of
Macedonia is recommended to take the advantage of COST actions in
meteorology as well.
Second Steering Committee Meeting / Design a Regional MHEWS / Skopje, Macedonia 29-31 of May 2013
RECOMMENDATIONS
MAKEDONIJA
5 Co-operation at the national level
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5.1 An agreement between the Hydrometeorological Service and the authority responsible
for aviation meteorology should be developed and implemented, first of all to enhance cooperation and introduce cost recovery mechanism in accordance with ICAO/WMO
guidelines (Guide on aeronautical meteorological services cost recovery – principles and
guidance, WMO-No.904). The agreement between corresponding organizations in Romania
could be a model for Macedonia including cost-recovery of meteorological products.
5.2 The Fourteenth WMO Congress (2003) recognized the significant role that NMHSs play
in international disaster reduction activities that concern mitigation of, and preparedness for,
natural disasters of meteorological or hydrological origin. It means an increasing demand
also for NIMH to play a key role for natural disaster reduction at the local, national and
international levels. This new role of NMHS should lead to an enhanced support of the
government that has been already demonstrated in several countries in the region, like in
Poland, Slovakia, Romania, etc.
5.3 It is recommended that cooperation of NMHS with the Ministry of Environment and
Physical Planning would be further developed through an agreement in order to avoid
duplication of monitoring activities and make better use of the monitoring capacities of both
sides.
5.4 Good relation with the University of Skopje should be maintained in order to ensure the
continuity of the programme of meteorology in the Institute of Physics within the Faculty of
Natural Sciences and Mathematics. The continuity of the programme is crucial just in the
coming years because of the prevailing ageing problems of the experts in NMHS.
Second Steering Committee Meeting / Design a Regional MHEWS / Skopje, Macedonia 29-31 of May 2013
RECOMMENDATIONS
MAKEDONIJA
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6 International co-operation
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6.1 The preparation for the cooperation agreement of Macedonia (on the governmental
level) with EUMETSAT on the one hand and Macedonia with ECMWF on the other hand
should start in order to insure very valuable services of both organizations to Macedonia in
future (MSG information and medium-range weather forecasts).
6.2 Bilateral cooperation of NMHS with NMHSs in the neighbouring countries (Albania,
Bulgaria and Serbia and Montenegro) should be further developed (cooperation in NWP,
radar meteorology, exchange of additional data, Hydrology, environmental monitoring,
exchange of expert visits, exchange of literature, etc.). Other countries
6.3 Bilateral cooperation with Switzerland in operational hydrology, which has been already
established, should be continued, if possible.
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Second Steering Committee Meeting / Design a Regional MHEWS / Skopje, Macedonia 29-31 of May 2013
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6.4 The Framework Water Directive of EU (FWD) includes the EU approach that the
river basin is the basic unit for addressing hydrological activities. Beside for the river
Sava that a WMO Project Brief has been already prepared, cooperation on other
transboundary river, like Crni Drim (Drini), would enable FYR Macedonia to
participate jointly with other countries of the Western Balkans in the sub-regional
cooperation with an aim to developing a basin-wide approach to management issues
that might eventually end in the preparation of a single international river
management plan (for the river Sava or Crni Drim). Through improved data collection
and management, and updated forecasting models, such project supported by EU
could make available to the participating countries the necessary knowledge basis
required for a) promoting sustainable water use based on a long-term protection of
the available water resources, and b) mitigating the effects of floods and droughts.
6.5 Twinning projects, especially in connection with the environmental monitoring are
possible in future. It is recommended that Hydrometeorological Service initiate a
proposal for twinning through the Ministry of Environment and Physical Planning.
Second Steering Committee Meeting / Design a Regional MHEWS / Skopje, Macedonia 29-31 of May 2013
THANK YOU
FOR YOUR ATTENTION
Zoran Dimitrovski
Hydrometeorological Service of Macedonia
E-mail: [email protected]
Second Steering Committee Meeting / Design a Regional MHEWS / Skopje, Macedonia 29-31 of May 2013