EVALUATING After retrieving the literature, you have to evaluate or critically appraise the evidence for its validity and applicability to your patient and adherence.

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Transcript EVALUATING After retrieving the literature, you have to evaluate or critically appraise the evidence for its validity and applicability to your patient and adherence.

EVALUATING
After retrieving the literature, you have to
evaluate or critically appraise the evidence
for its validity and applicability to your
patient and adherence to truth.
 This often requires knowledge of basic
statistics and a familiarity with the
terminology of EBM …

Example: positive predictive value
likelihood ratio
number needed to treat (NNT)
 Physicians
do critical appraisals for cases
that they see quite often in their practice
 Where as for cases that are less frequently
seen they conserve their time by seeking
out critical appraisals already done by
others such as Cochrane, Best Evidence,
etc.
 For those cases that are very infrequently
seen in their clinics, they seek advice from
a colleague who is an authority
in this specialty.
Levels of Evidence
Depends on the Type of Research Methods Used
– Strong evidence from at least 1 systematic
review of multiple well-designed RCT.
– Strong evidence from at least 1 properlydesigned RCT of appropriate size.
– Evidence from well-designed trials without
randomization, or case-control studies.
– Evidence from well-designed non-experimental
studies from more than 1 center or research
group.
– Opinions of respected authorities, based on
clinical evidence, descriptive studies or
reports of expert committees.
RCT
Cohort Studies
Case Control Studies
Case Series/Case Reports
Expert Opinion
Animal Research/ In Vitro Studies
Evidence Pyramid
– The base has the largest number of literature studies
and provides the least strength of evidence.
– If you do not find an upper level of evidence, go to
the next one.
– Remember that there may be no good evidence to
support clinical judgment.
The “best” evidence for therapy question
 This
is found in double-blind
randomized controlled trials
The “best” evidence for diagnosis question
 This
is found in controlled trials of
prospective studies that compare
tests with a “gold standard” test
condition
present
patients
suspected
of
disease
Diagnostic
Test &
Gold
Standard
condition
absent
The “best” evidence for etiology question
 This
is found in cohort studies.
The “best” evidence for prognosis question
 This
is found in cohort or case
control studies
Suffer
target
outcome
patients
Prognostic
Factors
time
Does not
Suffer
target
outcome
CRITICALLY APPRAISE
the
collected literature according to
category
Therapy
When evaluating the literature to answer
a therapy question ask yourself:
 Was
the study randomized and double blind
to prevent bias?
 Was follow-up > 80%?
 Were the groups similar at the start of the
trial?
 Were all enrolled patients included in the
conclusion of the study?
 Was the study valid? did the authors
answer the question?
Therapy
When evaluating the literature to answer
a therapy question ask yourself:
 Do
the results present an unbiased
estimate of the treatment effect?
 How large is the treatment effect?
 Will the results help my patient?
 Were the study patients similar to your
patient?
 Are the benefits worth the harm and cost?
The features common to evaluation of
therapeutic interventions:
 Random
allocation
 Single, double or triple blind
methods
 Placebo
 RCT
Concepts used in therapy studies:
 Number
Needed to Treat (NNT)
 Relative Risk Reduction (RRR)
 Intention To Treat Analysis
Diagnosis
 Diagnostic
tests are evaluated in a manner
to ascertain which are more accurate,
faster, less expensive, less invasive than
existing diagnostic tests.
 Good diagnostic tests must provide
positive results when the disease is
present, and negative results when the
patient does not have the disease.
 In contrast to therapeutic evaluations, all
persons involved in a new diagnostic test
must receive the test.
 The results are compared with the results
of the standard "gold standard" test.
To evaluate a diagnosis question ask
yourself:
 Did
the authors do a blind comparison
with a gold standard?
 Did patients in the study undergo both the
diagnostic test and the gold standard?
 Did the paper describe the method for
doing the test?
 Were the patients tested similar to your
patient?
 Are the results of the test useful?
 Did the patient sample include an
appropriate spectrum of patients similar to
those found in general practice?
The features used in diagnostic
studies:
 Sensitivity
vs. Specificity
 Positive and Negative Predictive Value
 False positive and false negative reaction
 Likelihood Ratio of a positive and negative
test
 Receiver operator characteristic
curve (ROC curve)
Etiology
 Two
methods predominate to assess
whether something causes disease:
– Cohort study - the one with the
strongest evidence (persons with
exposures are followed in time to
assess outcomes and the results are
compared with a similar group that does
not have the exposure)
– Case-control study - the second method
for testing etiology which is more
common but has less evidence because
of a larger potential for bias
To evaluate a etiology question
ask yourself
 Were
the exposures and outcome
measured similarly in both groups
(exposed and non exposed patients)?
 Was the comparison group similar to the
outcome group in all aspects except for
the variable in question?
 Was follow up sufficiently long and
complete?
To evaluate a etiology question
 Terms
used in search strategy
include
- Cohort studies
- Case control studies
- Follow up studies
- Risk
Prognosis
 Uses
cohort studies to see how the
disease is progressing
To evaluate a prognosis question
ask yourself:
 Was
the patient sample selected to
reflect a well-defined point in the
course of disease?
 Was the follow-up adequate and
complete (>80%)?
 Was there objective and unbiased
outcome criteria used?
To evaluate a prognosis question
Terms used in search strategies:
 Cohort studies
 Incidence (number of new cases in a
given period of time)
 Prevalence (number of current cases
at a specific time)
 Follow-up studies
 Disease progression
Applying the results of a
study to individual patients
Once you determine
that the study
methodology is valid,
you must then
examine the results
and their applicability
to your patient.
Therapy
 Is
my patient so different from those in the
study group that the results cannot be
applied?
 According to the study results how much
could my patient benefit from the
treatment?
 Are the treatment and its consequences
consistent with my patient's values and
beliefs?
Diagnosis
 Is
the test affordable, accurate and
available locally?
 Can it estimate the pretest
probability of the disease in
question?
 Will the posttest probability affect my
management?
Etiology
 Can
the study results be extrapolated
to my patient?
 What is my patient's risk for adverse
effects?
 Can my patient's preferences &
expectations be met by an alternative
therapy?
Prognosis
 Is
my patient similar to the patients
in the study group?
 Will the evidence alter my choice of
treatment?
Final words to remember:
 EBM
builds on and reinforces but
never replaces your clinical
judgment or experience.