Transcript LEGISLATIVE SESSION & BEYOND David winton PENMAN & WINTON CONSULTING 2011 LEGISLATIVE SESSION & BEYOND • Impact of the 2010 Election • Summary of the 2011

2011
LEGISLATIVE SESSION &
BEYOND
David winton
PENMAN & WINTON CONSULTING
2011 LEGISLATIVE SESSION
& BEYOND
• Impact of the 2010 Election
• Summary of the 2011 Legislative
Session
• Issues of Interest to Missouri Council on
Activity and Nutrition
IMPACT OF 2010 ELECTION
• A large number of incumbent legislators
were ineligible to run in 2010 due to
term limits.
• 90 new legislators were elected to the
General Assembly.
• 78 new Representatives
• 12 new Senators
• Republicans strengthened their majority
in both chambers.
A MASSIVE FRESHMAN CLASS
Challenges and Opportunities
• As in all things political there are always
two sides to every coin.
• Some of the weaknesses of term limits
create incredible opportunities for
advocacy.
THE CHALLENGES
(And There Are Many)
• Massive loss of historical knowledge
• New legislators were faced with a
significant learning curve
• Freshmen legislators served as Vice
Chairs of some House Committees
THE OPPORTUNITIES
(And There Are Many)
• Knowledge vacuums will be filled
• New people = new relationships
2011 LEGISLATIVE SESSION
• By the numbers;
• The big ideas that didn’t make it;
• The big ideas that made it; and
• Issues close to MOCAN.
2011 LEGISLATIVE SESSION
By The Numbers
•
Of the over 1,600 bills filed, only 153 were passed.
•
Even with super majorities in the House and Senate consensus could not
be reached on the most significant issues (based on priorities set by
Legislative Leaders).
•
Revenues saw a rebound during the year which ended with growth well
above projections leaving a fund balance on July 1, 2011 of $159M.
•
Few substantive changes were made to reduce spending trends in the
future on major cost drivers like corrections, education and health care.
•
With substantial population loss, mostly in urban areas, Missouri lost one of
its nine Congressional seats.
•
Legislators passed and over-road the Governor’s Veto to establish a new
Congressional map for Missouri virtually locking down 6 of 8
Congressional seats for Republicans.
2011 LEGISLATIVE SESSION
The Big Issues That Failed To Get To The
Governor
• Tax credit reform;
• Education reform;
• Local control;
• CWIP-Lite;
• Aerotropolis; and
• Right-to-work.
2011 LEGISLATIVE SESSIONThe Big Issues
That Made It To
The Governor
• Federal Unemployment Benefit
Extension (26 weeks to 20 weeks);
• Corporate Income Tax Phase-out
(over five years);
• FRA Extension/MO RX
Reauthorization;
• Drug testing for TANF recipients;
• Abortion restrictions; and
• Gun expansion.
2011 LEGISLATIVE SESSION
MOCAN Related Items That Made It To The
Governor
• Farm-to-Table (HB 344)
• Representative Casey Guernsey &
Senator Brian Munzlinger
• Designations of recognized state days
(SB 180)
• Senator Will Kraus and
Representative Noel Torpey
2011 LEGISLATIVE SESSION
MOCAN Related Items That Failed To Get To
The Governor
• Legislation requiring a board to develop
prevention programs for student
obesity, cardiovascular disease and
Type II Diabetes;
• Legislation related to physical activity in
classrooms/designations - ballroom
dancing and jumping jacks;
• Legislation related to education on
eating disorder and prevention; and
• Legislation on greenways.
2011 LEGISLATIVE SESSION
The 2012 Budget
(July 1, 2011 - June 30, 2012)
• Total for SFY 2012 Budget is $23.2B
($7.4B GR)
• Governor Nixon announced in early
June expenditure restrictions of over
$120M
• Natural disaster relief efforts have put
an additional strain on the state’s
budget and will continue to do so.
2011 LEGISLATIVE SESSION
Interesting Side Note
• An increasing trend at the Capitol is
overturning voter-approved ballot
initiatives.
• 2008 Prop C (Energy)
• 2010 Prop B (Puppy Mill)
• Campaign finance limits
• Gambling restrictions
• Minimum Wage
2011 LEGISLATIVE SESSION
Redistricting (Every 10 Years
Whether We Need It or Not)
• Redistricting
• General Assembly overturned
Governor Nixon’s veto and
approved map for 8 Congressional
Districts.
• Separate commissions are
determining the new House and
Senate Districts.
• (
MOVING FORWARD
•
Special Session
•
SFY 2013 Budget
•
Anticipating a $200-400M shortfall
•
2012 General Assembly - Election Year
•
Legislation relating to:
•
Eating Disorders;
•
Implementation of Health Care Reform;
•
Physical Education in Schools;
•
Establishment of Greenways; and
•
Official State Exercise.
MOVING FORWARD
Ideas And Themes
• Think big and small;
• Build consensus around a handful of
ideas;
• Choose themes that can unite not
divide;
• Develop a case for support in the
context of the Big Picture; and
• Create a diverse farm team of policy
makers that will fight for your issues.
MOVING FORWARD
Your Supporters
•
Commitment is Critical (Ex: Senator Brian Munzlinger Clearly a key mover in this discussion who is very focused).
•
Members focused on Health Care who are frustrated
because major health care bills can’t pass. This is a great
opportunity to provide them with a substitute issue on which
they can make progress.
•
Urban legislators whose constituents don’t have access to
supermarkets - this is a visible and major issue to many in
the urban core.
•
Fiscal Hawks from rural areas could see certain initiatives as
a way to foster economic development while reducing
pressure on the state budget.
FILL THE VOID
• Be Strategic
• Be Thoughtful
• Be Organized
• Be Clear
Q AND A
David Winton
[email protected]
Anne Clouse
[email protected]
Penman & Winton Consulting
124 East High Street
Jefferson City, MO 65102
T: 573.635.6044
www.penman-winton.com