Prepared for With the Support of: Dr. Michael Hargis Dean of the College of Business.
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Prepared for With the Support of: Dr. Michael Hargis Dean of the College of Business 2014 Economic Report Prepared by: Roger Lewis, PhD Report Author Pat Cantrell, PhD Report Coordinator Stacey Spinks, MBA Graduate Assistant National Economic Gross Domestic Product 3.6% 3.1% 3.0% 2.7% 2.8% 2.4% 1.9% 1.9% 1.8% 0.0% 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 -2.6% 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 DOW Jones Industrial Average Year-End Closings 20,000 17,823 18,000 16,577 16,000 14,000 13,265 12,000 13,104 12,463 10,783 10,000 11,578 10,718 12,218 10,285 8,776 8,000 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 National Unemployment Rate 9.3% 9.7% 9.0% 8.1% 7.4% 5.5% 2004 6.2% 5.8% 5.1% 2005 4.6% 4.6% 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 Average Annual Unemployment Rate 9.5 8.5 7.5 6.4 6.2 5.8 5.9 6.5 5.5 4.5 3.5 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 National Arkansas Faulkner Co. Conway 2014 Monthly Unemployment 8.50 8.00 7.50 7.00 6.50 6.00 5.6 5.4 5.1 4.9 5.50 5.00 4.50 4.00 U.S. Arkansas Faulkner County Conway National Consumer Price Index 3.8% 3.4% 2.7% 3.2% 3.2% 2.8% 2.1% 1.6% 1.2% 0.8% -0.4% Consumer Price Index Percentage Change Per Select Category, Seasonally Adjusted Category 2013 2014 Apparel 0.6 -2.0 Education & Communications 1.6 0.4 Energy 0.5 -10.6 Food & Beverage 1.1 2.0 Housing Medical Care 2.2 2.0 2.5 3.0 Other Goods & Services 1.8 1.6 Recreation 0.4 0.0 Transportation 0.5 -6.2 All Items 1.2 0.8 Cost of Living Comparison Cities Composite Equivalent to $50,000 Salary in Conway Conway Fayetteville, AR Hot Springs, AR Jonesboro, AR LR-NLR, AR Memphis, TN New York (Manhattan), NY San Jose, CA Seattle, WA 91.9 90.3 93.2 87.2 98.4 85.8 $50,000 49,129 50,707 47,334 53,536 46,404 218.2 119,368 148.5 80,794 124.0 67,465 St. Louis, MO 94.1 51,305 Washington-Arlington, VA 139.3 79,060 100 $54,407 National Average Family Units Constructed Single Family Duplex Multi-Family 1010 846 668 689 24 488 168 27 407 2005 44 90 314 2006 28 52 192 2007 58 259 2008 2009 223 12 2 153 2010 112 16 186 2011 92 12 147 2012 2013 78 16 119 2014 Value of All Building Permits In Million Dollars Residential $141 $146 Commercial $151 $140 $130 $115 65.4 58.9 $110 75.7 94.1 59.5 76.6 80.7 82.1 74.9 36.2 2008 2009 2010 2011 51.1 38.6 2012 105.1 35.2 2013 2014 Population of Conway and Faulkner County Conway Faulkner County 140,000 122,426 120,000 100,000 80,000 63,016 60,000 40,000 20,000 0 1950 1960 1970 1980 1990 2000 2005 2010 2014 Faulkner County Births and Deaths Year Births Deaths Net Gain 2013 1536 887 649 2012 1544 800 744 2011 1444 800 644 2010 1532 811 734 2009 1538 756 782 2008 1511 746 765 2007 1481 737 744 2006 1,530 726 804 2005 1,398 717 681 2004 1365 684 681 Violent Crime Per 1,000 in cities whose population is 50,000+ Murder, Rape, Robbery, & Assault 2010 2013 14.1 9.4 7.7 4.2 3.7 Conway 4.1 4.4 9.4 9.4 6.9 4.4 4.4 Fayetteville Fort Smith Jonesboro Little Rock 3.5 3.5 N. Little Rock Rogers Property Crime Per 1,000 in cities whose population is 50,000+ Burglary, Larceny, Vehicle Theft 2010 2013 76.7 59.3 42.4 43.3 78.7 84.6 59.7 55.9 52.6 43.1 42.1 34.7 27.2 28.6 Conway Fayetteville Fort Smith Jonesboro Little Rock N. Little Rock Rogers Conway Corporation (In Millions of Dollars) Residential Electric Meters % Increase Population Estimate Year Revenue Capital Expenditures 2015* 111.9 21.0 26,892 0.7 63,465 2014 111.0 19.6 26,701 1.0 63,014 2013 107.1 12.6 26426 1.2 62,365 2010 95.1 10.3 25,237 3.0 58,908 *2015 Figures Estimated Sales Tax Receipts Faulkner County ½% Sales Tax Receipts Year Amount Change Over Previous Year 2014 $8,272,423 $178,154 2013 $8,094,270 -$371,317 2012 $8,465,586 $654,215 Conway 1% Sales Tax Year Amount Change Over Previous Year 2014 $12,915,263 $104,018 2013 $12,811,245 $890 2012 $12,810,355 $501,714 Faulkner County Estimated Retail Sales for 2014 City Amount % of Total Conway $1,408,497,323 76.3% Greenbrier 93,714,421 5.1% Mayflower 46,322,263 2.5% Vilonia 52,641,305 2.8% Guy 3,395,211 0.2% Damascus 12,515,895 0.7% Non-Tax Areas* 230,094,424 12.5% Total $1,847,180,842 100.0% Conway Hotel Sales Sales in Millions of Dollars 19.3 19.5 19 18.6 18.7 18.6 2011 2012 2013 18.5 18 17.5 17.4 17 16.5 16 2010 2014 Top 5 Conway Hotels by 2014 Annual Sales Hotel Total Sales Hilton Garden Inn $2,581,390 Holiday Inn Express 1,884,761 Fairfield Inn 1,741,328 Hampton Inn 1,497,548 LaQuinta Inn 1,267,347 Total $8,972,374 * Based on Advertising and Promotion Tax Conway Restaurant Sales Sales in Millions of Dollars 200 180 160 140 120 100 80 60 40 20 0 176.3 131.4 2010 144.7 2011 153.4 156.7 2012 2013 2014 Top 10 Restaurants by 2014 Annual Sales Restaurant Chick-Fil-A Chili’s Bar & Grill #1067 Cracker Barrel Golden Corral TGI Friday’s McDonald’s #29917 Salem Rd. McDonald’s #32901 Dave Ward Dr. McDonald’s #2872 Oak St. McDonald’s #10667 Hwy 65 N Marketplace Grill Total Total Sales $4,419,805 4,043,730 3,865,830 3,714,666 3,408,720 3,270,456 3,141,075 2,789,307 2,789,307 2,604,547 $34,056,245 19.3% of Total Sales Bank Deposits (Billions of Dollars) Billions Total Deposits $1.74 $1.64 $1.65 2011 2012 $1.60 $1.58 $1.46 $1.37 2008 2009 2010 2013 2014 There are fifteen banking institutions in Faulkner County with 58 offices. Bank Market Share Faulkner County Bank Deposits Centennial Bank 31.5% First Security Bank 29.80% The top three banking institutions hold 71% of the market share. Regions Bank 8.90% All Others 29.80% Bank Return on Assets and Equity Bank Return on ssets Return on Equity Fort Sill NB 2.12 19.74 First Security Bank 2.22 16.96 Bank of the Ozarks 2.05 14.70 U S Bank 1.46 13.67 Centennial Bank 1.70 12.71 First Arkansas Bank 2.06 11.02 Delta Trust 1.02 10.53 First Service Bank 1.04 8.33 Regions Bank 1.13 8.23 Eagle Bank & Trust 0.86 8.22 Simmons First NB 0.79 7.74 Arvest Bank 0.83 7.53 Bank of America .085 6.85 Home Bank of Ark 0.24 2.58 River Town Bank -0.03 1.77 Faulkner County Motorized Vehicle Registrations 109 (in thousands of vehicles) 89 91 93 2010 2011 2012 97 76 65 51 39 1990 1995 2000 2005 2013 2014 Arkansas Severance Tax Revenue In Millions of Dollars 100 $89 90 80 70 $54 60 50 $41 40 $27 30 20 10 0 $63 $59 $1 Municipal Highway Severance Tax Distribution Faulkner County 2014: $296,411 2013: $224,455 32.1% Increase The City of Conway 2014: $363,837 2013: $276,523 31.6% Increase Fayetteville Shale 2014 Well Production County Number of Wells 577Vantotal have Buren wells 1586 produced a total of White 1281 Conway 1141 5,538,172,105 Cleburne 993 Feet Thousand Cubic Faulkner 399 of Natural Gas Arkansas Scholarship Lottery Sales Sales in Millions of Dollars 500 480 460 474.9 459.9 452.2 440 432.9 420 401.3 400 380 360 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 Total since 2010: $2,221,225,338 2014 Lottery Sales for Faulkner County Municipalities City Total Average Monthly Conway $9,771,692 $814,308 Greenbrier 1,924,937 160,411 Mayflower 1,791,933 149,333 Vilonia 567,029 47,252 Wooster 137,620 11,468 Total $14,193,211 $236,554 Employment & Earnings Faulkner County 2014 Type Total # of Employers Total # of Employees Average Annual Wages Government 56 6,841 $36,487 Private 2,753 33,366 $37,159 Total 2,809 40,207 $37,044 Agricultural Production Crop Income from Production Sold % Change 2013-2014 Beef Greenhouses Rice Soybeans Wheat Dairy Hay Corn Forestry Fruits & Vegetables Hogs Silage $10,000,000 5,000,000 2,325,757 2,300,550 1,235,000 960,000 800,000 478,000 600,000 500,000 72,000 0 77.78% 0.0 14.4 55.4 -29.3 0.0 -4.8 -39.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 Total $24,271,307 23.6% The Effects of Tourism on Faulkner County Category 2013 Statistics % Change Visitors Trips 347,876 -0.65 Total Travel Expenditures $82,144,009 0.88 Expenditure per Visitor $236.13 1.54 State Tax receipts $5,031,742 0.74 Local Tax Receipts $1,378,042 0.7 Number employed 936 -1.58 Payroll $15,307,529 0.8 Average Annual Pay $16,354 2.42 Questions? 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