MARCH MEETING OUTCOMES 1.0 Implied probability FOMC minutes CPI/Resignation of Governor Ferguson/Moskow’s remarks 0.9 0.8 0.7 4.75% 0.6 0.5 Initial claims 0.4 4.50% 0.3 Durable orders 0.2 5.00% 4.25% 0.1 0.0 Nov-28 Dec-10 Dec-22 Jan-03 Jan-15 Jan-27 Feb-08 Feb-20 MAY MEETING 0.9 OUTCOMES Implied probability FOMC minutes 0.8 CPI/Resignation of Governor Ferguson/ Moskow’s remarks 0.7 Initial claims 0.6 0.5 4.75% 0.4 5.00% 0.3 Durable orders 0.2 0.1 0.0 Jan-09 4.50% 4.25% Jan-15 Jan-21 Jan-27 Feb-02 Feb-08 Feb-14 Feb-20
Download ReportTranscript MARCH MEETING OUTCOMES 1.0 Implied probability FOMC minutes CPI/Resignation of Governor Ferguson/Moskow’s remarks 0.9 0.8 0.7 4.75% 0.6 0.5 Initial claims 0.4 4.50% 0.3 Durable orders 0.2 5.00% 4.25% 0.1 0.0 Nov-28 Dec-10 Dec-22 Jan-03 Jan-15 Jan-27 Feb-08 Feb-20 MAY MEETING 0.9 OUTCOMES Implied probability FOMC minutes 0.8 CPI/Resignation of Governor Ferguson/ Moskow’s remarks 0.7 Initial claims 0.6 0.5 4.75% 0.4 5.00% 0.3 Durable orders 0.2 0.1 0.0 Jan-09 4.50% 4.25% Jan-15 Jan-21 Jan-27 Feb-02 Feb-08 Feb-14 Feb-20
MARCH MEETING OUTCOMES 1.0
Implied probability 0.9
0.8
FOMC minutes CPI/Resignation of Governor Ferguson/Moskow’s remarks 4.75% 0.7
0.6
0.5
0.4
4.50% 0.3
0.2
0.1
0.0
Nov-28 4.25% Dec-10 Dec-22 5.00% Jan-03 Initial claims Durable orders Jan-15 2005 Jan-27 Feb-08 Feb-20
MAY MEETING OUTCOMES 0.9
Implied probability 0.8
0.7
FOMC minutes CPI/Resignation of Governor Ferguson/ Moskow’s remarks Initial claims 0.6
0.5
4.75% 0.4
5.00% 0.3
Durable orders 0.2
0.1
4.25% 4.50% 0.0
Jan-09 Jan-15 Jan-21 Jan-27 Feb-02 2005 Feb-08 Feb-14 Feb-20