Transcript Community Research European Commission EU RESEARCH ON CLIMATE CHANGE: Present and Future Anver Ghazi Head, Global Change Unit European Commission Brussels UNFCCC Workshop Bonn, 21 June 2004 Global Change and Ecosystems.

Community Research
European Commission
EU RESEARCH ON
CLIMATE CHANGE:
Present and Future
Anver Ghazi
Head, Global Change Unit
European Commission
Brussels
UNFCCC Workshop
Bonn, 21 June 2004
Global Change and Ecosystems
Community Research
European Commission
THE HISTORICAL PERSPECTIVE
From research on environmental protection
to integration of sustainability into research
FP3 & 4:
Research on ecosystem functioning and
climate; environment protection
technologies (e.g. ozone research)
FP5:
Integration of the environmental dimension
in research; more attention to climate,
water, coastal integration and urban
dynamics
FP6:
Sustainability to be integrated in all areas of
research, especially Energy, Transport and
Agriculture
Global Change and Ecosystems
Community Research
European Commission
FP5 (1999-2002)
CLIMATE RESEARCH
Over 180 research projects funded in areas (budget: 250 Mill ECU):
-
Climate change prediction
Climate dynamics and abrupt changes
Interactions between ecosystems and carbon/nitrogen cycle
Atmospheric composition Change
Stratospheric ozone depletion
Mitigation and adaptation
European contribution to global observation systems
Natural hazards research
Contribution to IGBP, WCRP, IHDP and IPCC
Global Change and Ecosystems
Community Research
European Commission
Some pertinent results of
on-going FP5 projects
 EPICA (European Project on Ice Coring in Antarctica): Ice
coring reached a depth of 3100 m. Climate history record of
past 900000 years
 DEMETER (Development of a European Multi-Model
Ensemble System for Seasonal to Interannual Prediction):
Capability demonstrated to predict seasonal/interannual
climate variations - implications for energy, agriculture,
tourism and health
 CARBOEUROPE (Carbon Cycle in Europe): Carbon
Absorption Capacity of Europe’s terrestrial biosphere
reported to be about 7-12% of the annual anthropogenic CO2
emissions
Global Change and Ecosystems
Community Research
European Commission
Some pertinent results of
on-going FP5 projects
 TRADEOFF (Aircraft Emissions: Contribution of Different
Climate Components to Changes in Radiative Forcing):
Aviation emission impacts on cirrus clouds three times larger
than that from CO2 emissions alone on climate
 AICSEX (Arctic Ice Cover Simulation Experiment): The
Arctic warming in 1920-1930 and the subsequent cooling in
1950-1970 are due to natural fluctuations in the climate
system.
 PRUDENCE (Prediction of Regional Scenarios and
Uncertainties for Defining EuropeaN Climate change Risks
and Effects)
Global Change and Ecosystems
Community Research
European Commission
Global Emissions Control Strategies
Project
Objective
Develop global (world) scenarios in order to analyse
the impacts of Post-Kyoto policies under flexibility
mechanisms for emission reduction, including
options to reduce emissions resulting from land use
change and for strengthening carbon sinks.
Global Change and Ecosystems
Community Research
PRUDENCE
 observations
Global Change and Ecosystems
European Commission
Community Research
PRUDENCE
 Regional Modelling
Global Change and Ecosystems
European Commission
Community Research
European Commission
ECMWF operational Multi-Model
Global Change and Ecosystems
Community Research
European Commission
ECMWF operational Multi-Model
Global Change and Ecosystems
Community Research
European Commission
The 3 interrelated pillars of Priority 6
Sustainable Development, Global Change and
Ecosystems

Sustainable energy systems (810MEuro): clean energy, energy
savings, alternative motor fuels, fuel cells, energy
carriers/transport/storage

Sustainable surface transport (610MEuro): environmentally
friendly transport, interoperability, safety

Global change and ecosystems (700MEuro): greenhouse gas
emissions, water cycle, biodiversity and ecosystems, natural
disasters, land management, climate observation,
complementary research
Global Change and Ecosystems
Community Research
European Commission
Global Change and Ecosystems
I.
Impact and mechanisms of greenhouse gas emissions and
atmospheric pollutants on climate, ozone depletion and carbon
sinks
II.
Water cycle, including soil-related aspects
III.
Biodiversity and ecosystems
IV. Mechanisms of desertification and natural disasters
V.
Strategies for sustainable land management, including coastal
zones, agricultural land and forests
VI.
Operational forecasting and modelling including global climatic
change observation systems
VII.
Complementary research
VIII.
Cross-cutting issue: Sustainable Development concepts and tools
Global Change and Ecosystems
Community Research
European Commission
Work Programme on Area I
Impact and mechanisms of greenhouse gas emissions
and atmospheric pollutants on climate, ozone depletion
and carbon sinks
Research priorities
I.1
I.2
I.3
I.4
I.5
I.6
Carbon and nitrogen cycles: sources and sinks
Atmospheric pollutants and their regional impacts
Climate dynamics and variability
Prediction of climate change and its impacts
Stratospheric ozone and climate interactions
Adaptation and mitigation strategies
Global Change and Ecosystems
Community Research
European Commission
1st Call - New Instruments
(NoE and IP) in Area I
I.1
I.2
I.4
I.5
I.6
Carbon and nitrogen cycles: sources and sinks;
Assessment of the European carbon balance
Atmospheric pollutants and their regional impacts;
Integration of European atmospheric composition research
Prediction of climatic change and its impacts;
Integrated climate change scenarios
Stratospheric ozone and climate interactions;
Ozone-climate links
Adaptation and mitigation strategies
Adaptation and mitigation strategies
Global Change and Ecosystems
Community Research
European Commission
New FP6 Climate Research Projects
Ensemble-based Predictions of Climate Changes
and their impacts (ENSEMBLES) - IP
Stratosphere-Climate Links with emphasis on
UTLS (SCOUT) - IP
Atmospheric Composition Change: A European
Network (ACCENT) - NOE
Assessment of European Terrestrial Carbon
Balance (CARBOEUROPE) - IP
Global Change and Ecosystems
Community Research
European Commission
2nd Call - New Instruments
(NoE and IP) in Indent I
I.1
I.2
I.3
I.5
Carbon and nitrogen cycles: sources and sinks;
Assessment of marine carbon sources and sinks
Atmospheric pollutants and their regional impacts;
Atmospheric pollutants and climate forcing
Climate dynamics and variability;
Hot spots in the earth system
Coupled climate system (STREPS)
Novel palaeoreconstruction methods (STREPS)
Stratospheric ozone and climate interactions;
Aviation and surface transport impacts
Global Change and Ecosystems
Community Research
European Commission
Work Programme on Area VI
(2nd Call)
Operational forecasting and modelling including
global climatic change observation systems
VI.1 Development of observing and forecasting
systems
Earth system observations (Network of Excellence)
Co-operative projects on climate observations
(STREPs)
Global Change and Ecosystems
Community Research
European Commission
2nd Call for Proposals – Selected IP
CARBOOCEAN: Marine Carbon Sources
and Sinks Assessment
AMMA: African Monsoon Multidisciplinary
Analysis
QUANTIFY: Quantifying the Climate
Impact of Global and European Transport
Systems
Global Change and Ecosystems
Community Research
European Commission
International Cooperation
US-EU Joint meeting on Climate Change Science
and Technology Research, Washington D.C.,
February 5-6, 2003
EU-Russia Workshop on Polar Research, Brussels,
26-27 June 2003
EU- Japan Symposium on Climate Research
- Tokyo, 3-5 March 1999
- Brussels, 13-14 March 2003
EC Global Change Research: International
Partnership (ESSP), Brussels, 6-7 May 2004
Global Change and Ecosystems
Community Research
European Commission
Earth Observation Summit: EU Contribution
July 31, 2003, Washington D.C.
Summit declaration:
 Coordinated Earth-Observation system or systems
 EO-Summit III, 4th Quarter 2004 in Europe to discuss
10-year
Implementation Plan
 Reference to Jo’burg and Evian Summits
 Earth Observation Summit III, February 17, 2005,
Brussels
Global Change and Ecosystems
Community Research
European Commission
Earth Observation Summit: EU Contribution
July 31, 2003, Washington D.C.
Ad hoc Group on Earth-Observation (GEO):
 Co-chair: Dr. A. Mitsos, Director-General, Research
DG, EC
 GEO II meeting, 28-29 November 2003, Baveno, Italy
 Participation in GEO- Sub groups and the GEO
Secretariat
 Earth Observation Partnership Conference, 16 July,
Brussels
 GEO V meeting, November 2004, Canada
Global Change and Ecosystems
Community Research
European Commission
Global Monitoring of
Environment and Security
Climate Change
Floods
Noise
Health
Water
Industrial Risks
Forests
Urban
Air
Fires
Soils
Agro-environment
Coastal Zones
Nature &Biodiversity
GMES
Monitoring
Air Soil Water Habitats Socio-Economic Land-Use Hazards/Risks
Meteo and climate data
Global Change and Ecosystems
Topography
Community Research
European Commission
GLOBAL CHANGE
AND ECOSYSTEMS
• Specific Support Actions
SECOND CALL
 Actions such as the European Network for Research and
Global Change (ENRICH)
 Actions for associated candidate countries
 European contribution to climate related polar research (IPY)
 Consolidation and impact assessment of results achieved in
EU research projects relating to regional and urban
sustainability aspects
Global Change and Ecosystems
Community Research
European Commission
3rd Call for Proposals
(16 June 2004)
Climate research topics:
1. Nitrogen cycle and its interaction with Ccycle (IP)
2. Ocean-atmosphere-chemistry interaction
(STREP)
3. Adaptation and mitigation strategies (IP)
4. The past climate and its dynamics (IP)
5. Climate observations/contribution to GEO
Global Change and Ecosystems
Community Research
European Commission
THIRD CALL FOR PROPOSALS
June 16, 2004
Earth System Observations (Integrated Project)
 Enhance coordinated efforts at data analysis and fill gaps in
regional observing systems
 Interfaces, interoperability, integration and linkages between
observing systems
 Improvement of monitoring technologies and standards
 Identification of a set of geo-observational products
 Observations for detection and documentation of climate
change, including extreme events (e.g. ENSO)
 Provide contribution to the Group on Earth Observation
(GEO) and Global Climate Observing System (GCOS)
(Deadline October 26, 2004)
Global Change and Ecosystems
Community Research
European Commission
THIRD CALL FOR PROPOSALS
June 16, 2004
Specific Support Actions
Enhancing co-operation between Europe and the
developing countries within the context of global
earth observation systems (GEO)
(Deadline October 26, 2004)
Global Change and Ecosystems
Community Research
European Commission
3rd call deadline:
26 October 2004 (1st stage)
Instrument
IP and NoE
Budget €
150
STREP and CA
SSA
Global Change and Ecosystems
50
(millions)
Community Research
European Commission
Earth System Science
Global Change and Ecosystems
Community Research
European Commission
Information
To build on current EU Research: www.cordis.lu
Information on FP6: europa.eu.int/comm/research/nfp.html
FP6 Instruments:
europa.eu.int/comm/research/nfp/networks-ip.html
Global Change and Ecosystems