WMO Architecture for Climate Monitoring from Space in the context of WIGOS and GFCS Jérôme Lafeuille & Stephan Bojinski WMO Space Programme WIGOS-ICG 18/03/2013
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WMO Architecture for Climate Monitoring from Space in the context of WIGOS and GFCS Jérôme Lafeuille & Stephan Bojinski WMO Space Programme WIGOS-ICG 18/03/2013 1 Resolution 19 (Cg-XVI) on the development of an architecture for climate monitoring from space • Decides that an architecture be developed (… ) to provide a framework for the sustained and coordinated monitoring of the Earth’s climate from space • Decides further that the development be undertaken as a major initiative of the WMO Space Programme, as an important component of WIGOS, with the support of relevant technical commissions, and in coordination with satellite operators, CEOS, CGMS, GCOS, GEO and WCRP. 2 WIGOS-ICG 18/03/2013 Architecture for Climate Monitoring from Space in the WIGOS Implementation Plan (1/2) • As a collaboration framework with CEOS, CGMS, GCOS &WCRP under Key Activity Area # 2 « Collaboration with WMO and other co-sponsored observing systems » – Action 2.1.2 : Collaboration framework to develop the Architecture for Climate Monitoring from Space • To set up a badgeless ad-hoc working team (Done) • To develop a strategy document (Done) • To define governance procedures and an appropriate body to implement these procedures (being discussed with CEOS & CGMS) 3 WIGOS-ICG 18/03/2013 Architecture for Climate Monitoring from Space in the WIGOS Implementation Plan (2/2) • As the design of a space-based observing capability and related ground-segment activities, under Key Activity Area #3 « Design, Planning and Evolution » – Proposed Action 3.1.2: To develop the Architecture for Climate Monitoring from Space focusing on GFCS priorities • To develop a logical model of the architecture (Done) • Perform inventory of ECV related products and climate records (Done) • Evaluate outcome of inventory with reference to logical model • Evaluate potential contributions of CGMS baseline missions and CEOS constellations • Deliver version 0 of physical planning, including capabilities, processes, gaps and deficiencies in the end-to-end chain • Action plan to fill the gaps.. • Submission to EC-66, and subsequent iterations 4 WIGOS-ICG 18/03/2013 Architecture for Climate Monitoring from Space • A joint initiative of CEOS, CGMS and WMO Strategy towards an Architecture for Climate Monitoring from Space • Architecture for climate monitoring from space is a foundation for the GFCS Observation and Monitoring • Strategy document available on line • A printed version is being prepared by NOAA and ESA 5 WIGOS-ICG 18/03/2013 CEOS, CGMS, WMO Architecture Pillars And logical representation of data flows and dependencies Traceable to GCOS Guidelines and GCOS Climate Monitoring Principles 6 WIGOS-ICG 18/03/2013 ECVs The “Logical View” Climate Record Creation Sensing Applications Decision-Making Create and Maintain Short/Medium Term Climate Data Records Observations A2 Operational Climate Monitoring Interim Climate Data Records Earth Environment I1 Sense Earth Environment A1 Create and Maintain Longterm Climate Data Records A4 Instrument level 7 Decision-Making (including adaptation & mitigation policy and planning) A5 Long-term Climate Variability & Climate Change Analysis A7 A8 Reports Climate indices … Climate Information Records Observation level WIGOS-ICG 18/03/2013 Decisions Attribution of events O1 Climate Data Records A3 Create and Maintain Higher-Level Climate Information (e.g. CDR analysis or modelbased reanalysis) Seasonal outlook Product level Service level The “Logical View” (populated with a CDR) h Environment Climate Record Creation Sensing Applications Decision-Making Aerosol: Aerosol: GOES imager SEVIRI Observations Create and Maintain Short/Medium Term Climate Data Records Regular products (no CDRs) A2 MTSAT Interim Climate Data Records Sense Earth Environment MODIS Aerosol: Aerosol: MACC: Air Operational Climate Monitoringpollultion monitoring A4 Reports … A1 Aerosol Climate CDRs: Data MISR Records Create and Maintain Long- NCDC term Climate Data Records ESA CCI Calipso AVHRR A3 VIRR Long-term Climate Aerosol: Variability & Climate Change Global AOD Analysis A7 PARASOL (A)ATSR Create and Maintain Higher-Level Climate Information (e.g. CDR analysis or modelbased reanalysis) A8 Climate Information Records MERIS … 8 O1 A5 GOME AIRS Decision-Making (including adaptation & mitigation policy and planning) Expected number of additional cases with respiratory Decisions problems WIGOS-ICG 18/03/2013 Aerosol: map Estimate of direct/indirect radiative forcing due to aerosols … Lower uncertainty in GCMs used in IPCC End-to-end Architecture Requirements Service requirements related to e.g. Agriculture & Food Security, Water, Health, DRR applications (4 GFCS priority areas) … …need translation into product / observation / instrument requirements: Service level Climate Product Observation (ECV) Instrument data 9 WIGOS-ICG 18/03/2013 CEOS data levels Level 2/3 Level 1/2 Level 0; Instr design Requirement translation process Service level Product level The WIGOS RRR addresses well the « observation requirements » for geophysical variables but… …no systematic process in place for service-level requirements (e.g., “length of dry spell”, “number of days with PM10 exposure above 50 μg/m3”)? Can current geophysical variable-based approach capture socio-economic data (e.g., population density; crop yield; value of infrastructure)? 10 WIGOS-ICG 18/03/2013 Outcome of CGMS-40 WG III on architecture CGMS should evaluate the CGMS baseline in the light of the architecture strategy and its logical view Relevant assets will populate space segment part of the physical architecture as « Potential capabilities to support ECV products” Identify gaps from the space segment end - and scenarios to address them 11 WIGOS-ICG 18/03/2013 Gap analyses from both ends Space Segment Analysis Potential to support ECV production GAPS ? Building on OSCAR/space, CEOS/MIM, GCOS Sat Sup, WMO ECV Gap Analysis, etc 12 WIGOS-ICG 18/03/2013 CEOS-CGMS-WMO ECV Inventory Actual ECV production and Climate Records Example: OSCAR timeline of instruments potentially contributing to CO2 measurements 13 WIGOS-ICG 18/03/2013 Conclusions GFCS partnership should be used to help The Architecture is an end-to-end approach going beyond the observation function Collect climate service requirements and translate these into product/observation requirements Some observation requirements go beyond the GCOS ECVs (e.g., phenology; socio-economic) Currently analyzed from the « product » end Space-based observation capabilities should also be evaluated from the « sensor » end Unique role of WMO should be clarified in the future governance scheme 14 WIGOS-ICG 18/03/2013