Transcript Click to edit Master title style NCAR Scientist Assembly • Click to edit Master text styles – Second level List of Nominations • Third level Tim.

Click to edit Master title style
NCAR Scientist Assembly
• Click to edit Master text styles
– Second level
List of Nominations
• Third level
Tim Killeen
– Fourth levelApril
» Fifth level
25, 2005
1
Click to edit
Master title style
Outline
• NCAR’s
Plan
update
Click to Strategic
edit Master
text
styles
• Federal
– Secondoutlook
level
• Thirdbudget,
level
• NCAR’s
organization and leadership
List of Nominations
– Fourth level
• Science,
facilities and education
» Fifth level
• NSA’s role in defining NCAR’s future
• Discussion
2
NCAR’s Strategic Plan Update
Click to edit Master title style
Beginning update process
NCAR Executive Committee leadership-represents all NCAR
• Click to edit Master text styles
– Second level
List of Nominations
• Third level
NSA - critical inputs and reviews
Community input solicited (e.g., URC)
– Fourth level
Targeted to support NSF’s Review of
» Fifth level
NCAR’s Management, March 2006
October 2001
Will protect NCAR’s science and facilities
programs through competition process
3
Current Strategic Plan
Click to edit Master title style
• Click to edit Master text styles
– Second level
List of Nominations
• Third level
– Fourth level
» Fifth level
4
2006 Strategic Plan
Goals:
Click
to
edit
Master
title
style
• Update science and facilities plan
•
••
•
•
Reconfirm our priorities and commitment to science
Articulate
strengths
Click to our
editunique
Master
text styles
Demonstrate our role as a community facilitator
– Second
To
use as: level
• Third
level of NCAR Management- March ‘06
– Basis
for review
List of Nominations
–
–
–
–
–
Basis–for
Laboratory
Fourth
level implementation plans
Roadmap»for
NCAR
Fifth
leveldecisions
Marketing tool
Guidance for community collaborators
Document for competition of management of NCAR
5
Approach
• Guiding principle: This is an opportunity
• Build on existing plan
• Base plan on set of goals and focus areas
Click to edit Master title style
– 10 year planning horizon
•• Click
to edit Master text styles
Staff inputs
–
–
–
–
List of Nominations
–
NCAR
Division
Second
levelDirectors
NSA
-- SEA
• Third--level
ECSA
UOP Directors
Iterative
process
– Fourth
level
• Community» input
Fifth level
– URC
– NCAR Advisory Council
– BOT
– Divisional Advisory Panels
– Invited University Participants
6
Click to
edit Master
title style
Approach,
cont.
•• Forming
a writing
team
Click to edit
Master
text styles
–
– Some
SecondNSA
level Members
– Detailed
annotated outline (May 05)
•
Third
level
List of Nominations
– Co-locate
Executive Committee in July 05
– Fourth level
» Fifthwelcome
level
• Gather input:
your ideas, July critical
• Reviews by NSA, UCAR BOT, NCAR
Advisory Committee, URC, NSF
• Form a “Red Team”
– Some NSA Members
7
Click to edit Master title style
• Click to edit Master text styles
– Second
level
Federal
List of Nominations
• Third level
Budget Outlook
– Fourth level
» Fifth level
8
Federal Outlook
Click
toa edit
Master
style
US
budget had
record deficit
last year oftitle
$412 billion
•
• Congress supports the need for a strong research base, but
face significant budget pressures
•• Click
to edit Master text styles
NSF looking at inflationary or sub-inflationary growth over next
2-3
years. level
– Second
• According to AAAS report of 4/12/05, for FY06:
List of Nominations–
• Third level
Total federal research investment would fall 1.4% to $55.2 billion.
– Fourth
levelan average 1 percent boost for research
– NSF would
receive
programs.» Fifth level
– DOE Office of Science R&D -4.5%
– NASA +1.6%
• R&D +4.6%
• Earth Sciences - 4%
• Biological and physical research -22%
10
President’s 2006 Budget
Request
for
NCAR
Click to edit Master title style
Implementation
Operations and
maintenance**
FY 2001 to edit Master
7.53*
70.50
• Click
text styles
FY 2002
Total NSF
$78.03
3.75
73.84
$77.50
4.50
76.30
$80.80
4.61
78.31
$82.92
– Fourth
FY 2005 Current
Plan level
4.73
76.49
$81.22
FY 2006 Request»
4.85
77.42
$82.27
FY 2007 Estimate
4.97
78.56
$83.53
FY 2008 Estimate
4.30
81.73
$86.03
FY 2009 Estimate
4.44
81.73
$86.17
FY 2010 Estimate
4.58
81.73
$86.31
–
Second level
FY 2003
• Third level
FY 2004
List of Nominations
Fifth level
* Includes Mesa Lab refurbishment
** Includes aircraft maintenance
Drop
11
Click
edit Master title
style
NSFto Emphasis
Areas
• Click
to edit Master
text
styles
• Biocomplexity
in the
Environment
• Information
– Second
level Technology Research
List of Nominations
•• Collaborations
in Mathematical
Third level
Geosciences
– Fourth level
» Fifth level
• Nanoscale
Science and Engineering
• Human and Social Dynamics
13
Advocacy
Click to edit Master title style
• Testimony to House Science Committee on “Earth
Science at NASA”, this Thursday
•• Click
edit
Master
styles Science
Visits toto
Hill,
OMB,
OSTP,text
President’s
Advisor,
NSF
Director, GEO Director, etc.
– Second
level
• Killeen, co-chair of NASA Sun-Solar Connections
• Third
level
List of Nominations
Strategic
Plan
– Fourth level
• Anthes, co-chair of NRC Earth Science Decadal
» Fifth level
Review
• Testimony on FY06 budget for
– NSF & NASA
– FAA & FHWA
– NOAA
• NCAR/ATM Retreat, February 28, 2005
14
Click to edit Master title style
• Click to edit Master text styles
– Second NCAR’s
level
List of Nominations
• Third level
Budget
– Fourth level
» Fifth level
15
NCAR NSF Regular Funds Summary
Click to edit Master title style
90,000
80,000
70,000
• Click to edit Master text styles
$ x 1,000
60,000
50,000
– Second
level
40,000
List of Nominations
•30,000
Third level
20,000
– Fourth level
» Fifth level
0
10,000
FY01
FY02
FY03
FY04
FY05
TOTAL
63,847
72,327
76,146
77,441
78,295
OTHER
81
760
326
2,359
4,574
USWRP
1,197
1,470
1,524
1,305
1,263
OPP FUNDS
0
859
933
1,022
596
INITIATIVES
485
2,920
4,537
4,677
4,551
62,084
66,318
68,826
68,078
67,311
NSF BASE (Target)
-FY05 does not include transfers which are pending.
-Excludes Directorate funding, only science and facilities shown.
17
FY 2005 Annual Budget Review
Click to Assumptions
edit Master title style
• Maintain progress towards implementing NCAR’s
Strategic Plan.
• Click to edit Master text styles
• Honor several leveraged commitments to funding
– Second level
agencies.
• Third
level
List of Nominations
• Support
priorities
consistent with NSF Review
Criteria.– Fourth level
» Fifth level
• Maintain Early Career Scientist Program.
• Support actions responsive to NSF review.
• Create budgetary and programmatic flexibility
where feasible.
18
How were decisions made?
Click
editand
Master
title style
Withto
difficulty
careful deliberation
• Base down -2%: 10 staff actions in areas deemed of
lower priority based on FY05 ABRs
•• Click
to edit Master text styles
6 staff actions occurred earlier in Facilities divisions
– Secondreview
level in:
• Extensive
– Divisions/programs/institutes,
• Third level
List of Nominations
– Laboratories,
– Fourth then
level
– NCAR Executive Committee
» Fifth level
• Director’s Fund reserves and FY05 Opportunity Fund
applied to shortfalls where most needed
• Major fund-raising effort
• Every effort made to preserve priority programs
• NSA Science Advisor involved throughout
19
Significant Adjustments
Click to edit Master title style
• $1M Biocomplexity funding secured for
second year (no new hires)
•• Click
editfunding
Masterfortext
styles
$1.5Mto
new
EOL,
matched by
– Second
level
$100k
from
Directorate (next year additional
$2.5M
new
funding)
• Third
level
List of Nominations
– Fourthreserve
level
• Directorate
and ESSL reserve
» Fifth
combination
tolevel
fund CCSM, UTLS, CSAC,
MIRAGE, Visitor Programs for FY05
• Space Weather $250k new NSF funding, with
$150k match from Directorate
• Inter-Laboratory transfers to relieve
problems
20
NCAR MTDC Expenditures
Actuals 1997- 2004; 2005 - 06 Estimated
90,000,000
MTDC Growth 1997 - 2006:
61.8%
80,000,000
7.2%
3.0%
2.6%
70,000,000
8.0%
10.5%
60,000,000
3.7%
5.6%
MTDC
50,000,000
9.3%
0.1%
40,000,000
30,000,000
20,000,000
10,000,000
0
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
Rev Est
2006
Submis
NCAR Funding History
Click to edit Master title style
45.00
40.00
35.00
• Click to edit Master text styles
– Second level
25.00
NCAR Facilities
• Third level
20.00
List of Nominations
NCAR Science
– Fourth level
» Fifth level
15.00
10.00
5.00
2
0
8
6
4
2
4
FY
0
FY
0
FY
0
FY
9
FY
9
FY
9
8
6
4
2
0
8
6
4
0
FY
9
FY
9
FY
8
FY
8
FY
8
FY
8
FY
8
FY
7
FY
7
FY
7
2
0.00
FY
7
Funding ($M)
30.00
Fiscal Year
22
NCAR Strategic Initiative Funding
FY 2001 through Projected FY 2009
Allocated
Allocated
FY 2001/02 FY 2003
Existing Initiatives
Biogeosciences
Climate Impacts Assessment
Data Assimilation
Water Cycle Across Scales
Wildfire
EO
Cyberinfrastructure
GIS
Coronal Magnetic Fields
Upper Atmosphere
Software Framework
IA Computing Equip
Subtotal Existing Initiatives
Allocated
FY 2004
Allocated
FY 2005
Approved FY 2006
Base
Initiative
750,000
657,770
700,000
650,000
400,000
350,000
300,000
210,000
200,000
50,000
100,000
500,000
4,867,770
720,000
672,000
672,000
624,000
384,000
336,000
288,000
201,600
192,000
48,000
96,000
500,000
4,733,600
705,600
658,560
658,560
611,520
376,320
329,280
282,240
197,568
188,160
47,040
94,080
490,000
4,638,928
700,000
672,000
660,000
640,000
60,000
0
0
80,000
100,000
100,000
280,000
30,000
80,000
40,000
223,342
120,000
77,173
570,515
38,000
38,000
3,795,922
4,905,770
605,000
214,623
346,384
644,000
263,000
350,000
282,400
20,000
0
0
0
500,000
3,225,407
New Initiatives
CSAC
MIRAGE
UT/LS
Subtotal New Initiatives
Initiatives Moved to Base/Discontinued
Global Cities/Global Change
Weather/Climate Res. Prediction
GTP
Planetary Atmospheres
Atmospheric Observing Systems
ASP Grad/Visiting Fellows
Subtotal Discontinued SI
Grand Total
Approved
FY 2007
Approved
FY 2008
Approved
FY 2009
50,000
340,000
288,000
201,600
192,000
340,000
288,000
201,600
192,000
490,000
3,270,000
1,071,600
1,021,600
0
0
80,000
80,000
80,000
240,000
0
328,979
324,132
80,000
733,111
404,364
420,547
435,860
1,260,771
450,286
433,396
491,362
1,375,044
498,113
498,113
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
5,013,600
4,878,928
3,270,000
1,804,711
2,282,371
1,375,044
498,113
FY 2006 Total:
5,074,711
48,000
Strategic Initiative Funding
6,000,000
Transfers to Base
SI Funds Not Allocated
Strategic Initiatives
5,000,000
4,000,000
3,000,000
2,000,000
1,000,000
0
FY 2001/02
FY 2003
FY 2004
FY 2005
Proj. FY 2006
Proj. FY 2007
Proj. FY 2008
Proj. FY 2009
Budgetary Outlook
Click to edit Master title style
• Moving the ABR budget process for FY 2006 earlier
(Spring time) for better planning
• Click to edit Master text styles
• FY 2006-08 core budgets likely to continue to be tight
– Second level
• Negotiated agreement with NSF to ramp up EOL
• Third
level
List of Nominations
funding
for HIAPER,
and science linked to it with new
– Fourth level
funds (total
of $4.5M over two years)
» Fifth level
• Developing a multi-year strategy (similar to that
successfully made for EOL) for funding nextgeneration NCAR Computing Facilities.
• NSF-ITR funding proposal presently under study.
25
Click to edit Master title style
NCAR’s
Reorganization
• Click
to edit Master
text styles
– Second level
List of Nominations
• Third level
– Fourth level
» Fifth level
26
Objectives of a realignment
Brant Foote, January 2004
Organize so as:
 To show ourselves off in the best possible light
Highlighting all the bright parts of our program, not just the initiatives
 To refine and to emphasize our mission and goals
Understand our priorities more quantitatively
Make our mission and our structure look more alike
 To make our management team as effective as possible
 To make the dreaded “stovepipe” term obsolete
 To manage effectively cross-divisional programs (the
initiatives as well as others)
Reorganization Goals
Click to edit Master title style
• Develop a structure that maps NCAR’s mission into its
organization more clearly
•• Click
to
edit
Master
text
styles
Facilitate internal and external collaborations, for both
interdisciplinary
and disciplinary research
– Second level
• Third
• Deliver
on thelevel
promise of our strategic plan
– Fourth level
• Reduce the number
of direct reports to NCAR Director’s office to
»
Fifth
level
optimize:
List of Nominations
–
–
–
–
–
Appropriate span of control
Delegation of authority and responsibility
Decisions to include needed perspectives
Communication throughout the organization
Greater external advocacy
28
NCAR Reorganization
• Financial structure implemented in
October, 2004.
• NCAR Executive Committee –
Implemented October, 2004.
• FY 2006/07 Annual Budget Review at
the Laboratory Level.
NCAR
Associate
Directors
Click to edit Master title style
CISL
Click
EOL
Al Kellie
•
to edit
Master
text
styles
Carbone/Cooper and in 7/05
– Second level
Roger Wakimoto (new)
• ThirdAnnick
level Pouquet (acting, search underway)
ESSL
List of Nominations
level
RAL – Fourth
Brant
Foote
»
Fifth level
SERE
Diana
Josephson (new)
Addition of Science Advisor to Executive Committee
Joe Tribbia
30
Projected Net Cost of Reorganization in
2006 Master
($ in thousands)
Click FY
to edit
title style
Rate Impact to NCAR Programs
• Click to edit Master text styles
1,200K
–
Second
level
Savings for Sci. Staff Move to Admin*
- 600K
List of Nominations
• Third level
Net Cost
– Fourth level
» Fifth level
600K
•Savings in direct programs due to scientific staff moving to
management positions – e.g. Pouquet, Nychka, Carbone, Hagan
•Review of overhead functions underway to restrain upward
pressure on rates (~1,5%)
•Net cost further reduced by UCAR, which is paying for roughly
half of SERE AD position for 3 years
31
•
NCAR’s Reorganization
Click
totoedit
Master
Science
is central
the reorganized
NCAR. title style
•
One laboratory – ESSL -- is “all science.”
SERE, CISL,
RAL also text
have significant
• Click
to EOL,
editand
Master
styles science
•
components.
– Second level
•
6 out of 8 NCAR executive committee members are NCAR Senior
List of Nominations
• Third level
Scientists.
•
– Fourth level
NCAR Overhead
rate: level
FY05 51.5%
» Fifth
FY06: 50.6
32
Click to edit Master title style
• Click to edit Master text styles
– Second level
NCAR
Investing for our Future
• Third level
List of Nominations
– Fourth level
» Fifth level
33
Investment in Science
Click
to Laboratory
edit Master title
style
ACD
– FL0
• Click to edit Master text styles
– Second level
List of Nominations
• Third level
– Fourth level
» Fifth level
34
HIAPER
Click to edit Master title style
• Six years in the making (20
in the planning!)
• Click
to edit Master
• $81.5 million NSF/NCAR
aircraft
largest
community
– Second
level
project in NCAR history
• Third
level
List of Nominations
• Fly up
to 51,000
feet with a
Fourth
level
range of –7,000
miles
• Can carry 5,600
pounds
» Fifth
level of
sensors
• Arrived March 11, 2005 to
new Jeffco hangar
• In testing phase
• Ready for deployment in
2006
text styles
35
IBM Blue Gene
Click to edit Master title style
• Click to edit Master
textocean,
styles
Supercomputer
to simulate
weather,
andlevel
climate phenomena
– Second
List of Nominations
• Third level
– Fourth level
» Fifth level
Peak performance of 5.7 teraflops
In collaboration with the University of
Colorado
36
National Lambda Rail (NLR)
Click to edit Master title style
• Click to edit Master text styles
– Second level
List of Nominations
• Third level
– Fourth level
» Fifth level
NCAR/SCD will serve: Colorado School of Mines, Colorado State University, University of
Colorado at Boulder, University of Colorado at Denver, NOAA Boulder labs, University of Utah,
and the University of Wyoming.
NLR provides 4 separate 10 gigabit-per-second pathways, extensible to ~40 total
37
ClickFaculty
to edit Master
title style
Fellowship
• To provide opportunities and resources for faculty
• Click
to edit
Master text
employed
at universities,
with styles
an emphasis on UCAR
member
universities
and academic affiliates and
– Second
level
early career faculty, to work in residence at NCAR
• Third level
List of Nominations
– Fourth
level
• To enable
NCAR
Scientists (Staff, Project, and
» Fifth level including Senior Research
Associate Scientists
Associates) to spend a period of time in residence at
US universities, with the same emphasis on UCAR
member universities and UCAR academic affiliates.
– URC recommended selection
– ASP announcement forthcoming
38
ClickASP
to editPost
Master
title style
Docs
•
•
•
Click to edit Master text styles
140 applicants—highly qualified
– Second level
Directors
or representative provided top
• Third level
– Fourth level
2-3 candidates
» Fifth level
• 9 hires with 4 positions co-sponsored
• Wait list
• Announcements shortly
List of Nominations
39
Opportunity Fund
Click to edit Master title style
• For highly innovative science, to maintain
scientific vitality
• Click to edit Master text styles
• $1 million available
– Second level
–
List of Nominations
–
–
–
Maximum award $200K
• Third level
Proposals due April 27
– Fourth level
Decisions
August
» Fifth
level 29
Start date FY06
• Review & recommendations by panel of NSA
40
ClickStrategic
to edit Master
title style
Initiatives
• Click to edit
Master text
styles
Executive
Committee
recommended
new
Efforts
FY06 (initial funding in FY05):
– Secondfor
level
List of Nominations
• Third
level
CSAC
– Fourth level
• UTLS
» Fifth level
• MIRAGE
41
Click
to editScientist
Master title
style
FY 04/05
I Hires
• Amik
ClickSt-Cyr
to edit Master CISL,
text styles
SCD
– SecondMarkus
level
Jochum
• ThirdRempel
level
Matthias
List of Nominations
– Fourth level
George Bryan
» Fifth level
Paul Field
Arlene Laing
David Gochis
Josh Hacker
ESSL, CGD
ESSL, HAO
ESSL, MMM
ESSL, MMM
ESSL, MMM
RAL, RAP
RAL, RAP
42
Click to edit Master title style
• Click to edit Master text styles
A Sampling of Projects and
– Second level
Points of Pride
• Third level
List of Nominations
– Fourth level
» Fifth level
43
RICO’s Real-time Display and Coordination Center
NSF C-130
GOES 1Km vis
UK BAE-146
R/V Seward Johnson
NSF KingAir
S-PolKa
…one of the largest RDCC projects to date
Intergovernmental Panel on
Climate Change (IPCC)
Fourth
Assessment
Report
Click
to edit
Master
(FAR)
title style
NCARto
Community
• Click
edit Master text styles
Climate System Model
–(CCSM-3).
Second level
• Third level
List of Nominations
– Fourth level
 Open Source
» Fifth level
 8-member ensembles
 11,000 model years
simulated
 T85, 100 Terabytes
45
Institution Rankings in the Geosciences
Sorted by Citations – June 2004
NSF Review
of UCAR and NCAR Proposal,
December 2002
Click to edit Master title style
RANKING
INSTITUTION
CITATIONS
1
NASA
80,662
2
NOAA
65,343
• “Previous reviews, including the most
recent NSF and SPEC reviews, have
noted the excellence of NCAR research.
The panel concurs in that assessment
and is impressed with the quality and
appropriateness of the proposed
research agenda.”
3
NCAR
• Click
to edit48,951
Master text styles
US Geological
Survey
– Second level43,276
4
5
List of Nominations
6
7
University of
Colorado
• Third level42,895
University of
Washington
41,847
– Fourth level
CALTECH » Fifth
36,944
level
8
Columbia
University
36,824
9
University of
California,
San Diego
30,579
10
Woods Hole
Institute of
Oceanography
30,215
• “NCAR research and facilities have
contributed in a highly effective way to
the nation’s atmospheric science
research and education needs.”
• Every recent review has asked NCAR
to do more
Data courtesy of ISI Essential Science Indicators™ – Powered by ISI Web of Knowledge™
46
NCAR Peer-Reviewed Publications
800
Click to edit Master title style
700
600
500
• Click to edit Master text styles
– Second level
• Third level
List of 400
Nominations
300
597
209
474
– Fourth
level
285
» Fifth level
330
358
200
100
172
170
178
137
174
151
0
1999
2000
2001
NCAR Authors
2002
2003
Joint with Outside Authors
2004
47
Click to editNSA
Master title style
•• Click
NCAR’stonew
participate in shaping
editStrategic
MasterPlan
text– styles
our future
– Second level
• Third
leveltimes—help us make the hard
• Difficult
budget
– Fourth level
decisions
List of Nominations
» Fifth level
(Rhoten study – participation voluntary, data needed)
Q&A
48
Discussion
2001 Strategic Plan
“NCAR as an Integrator”
• The integration of disciplinary knowledge to
create interdisciplinary synthesis and develop
new knowledge;
• The integration of research and education;
• The integration of different tools and methods
to attack new problems;
• The integration of different points of view and
personal experiences to create teams
Looking Ahead: NCAR in the Next Decade
Traditional and New Modalities
Enhance science/facility integrative activities, for example:
•Community Climate System Model evolution into “Earth System Model”:
carbon, nitrogen cycles, chemistry, human processes
•Airborne, satellite, and ground observing systems: instrument development,
miniaturization, tele-science, data systems, field campaigns, etc.
Define and implement new large scale integrative science
activities in close cooperation with the community, for example:
•Climate/clouds/water cycle/ecosystems
•Impacts/adaptation/vulnerability/sustainability
NCAR in the next Decade (continued)
Accelerate Scientific Progress with new cyberinfrastructure:
• Tools: Data Assimilation, Grids, Earth System Modeling Framework, GIS
• Services: Capacity and capability computing, Community Data Portal
Build Deeper Connections - for example:
• With the Universities and other partners
• With the operational forecasting community
• With minority-serving universities & colleges by exchanging visitors, hosting
students, and providing technical assistance
• With business and government decision-makers through sustained dialogue,
answering questions, and creating new information products
• With the international science community
Challenges and Opportunities:
NCAR as an Integrator
The Overarching Challenge:
Service and leadership for the community
•Need to address complex, large-scale, important science problems. NCAR
will play a leading role.
•Need to build and deploy enabling cyberinfrastructure and observing facilities.
NCAR will play a leading role.
•Need to further define community model concept and process science.
NCAR will play a leading role.
•Need community and capacity-building: public, K-12, postdocs, grad students,
faculty, teams, etc. NCAR will play a leading role.