Transcript Slide 1 - Oklahoma State Regents for Higher Education

Making Place Matter
October 29, 2009
Patrick Kelly
National Center for Higher Education Management Systems
The National Goal
“By 2020, America will once again have the
highest proportion of college graduates
in the world”
President Obama, February 24, 2009
Percent of Adults with a College Degree by
Age-Group (2006)
60
55
25 to 34
54
35 to 44
45 to 54
55 to 64
53
51
50
46
44
43
40
37
39
42
42
42
41
39
38
37
35
30
33
30
30
27
24
23
36
35
33
28
27
33
31
30
29
25
22
19
19
20
41
39 40
38
41
17
16
11
10
0
Canada
Japan
Korea
New
Zealand
Ireland
Belgium
Norway
France
Denmark
United Oklahoma
States
Educational Attainment and Personal Income
$50,000
1980
$43,000
$36,000
AK
Personal
Income
Per Capita
CT
$29,000
CA
NJ
HI
MD
NY
IL
WA
DE
MA
MN
VA
OR
PAFL WI
MI US KS
OH
NH
RI
TX
IA
AZ
IN
MOOK
NEMT
LA
VT UT
MEGA ID NM
TNNC SD
ND
ALSC
NV
$22,000
WVKY
AR
WY
CO
Correlation = 0.64
MS
$15,000
10
15
20
25
30
35
Percent of Adults 25 to 64 with Bachelors Degrees
40
45
Educational Attainment and Personal Income
$50,000
1990
$43,000
CT
NJ
$36,000
NY
Personal
Income
Per Capita
AK
DE
IL
NV
FL PA
$29,000
OH
IN
$22,000
US
NH
VA
MN
RI
WA
MI
WI
WY
NE
OR KS
MOGA
IA
ME
NC
AZ TX
TN
OK
SD ND
SC
AL ID
MT
LA
NM
KY
WV AR
HI
CA
MA
MD
CO
VT
UT
MS
Correlation = 0.76
$15,000
10
15
20
25
30
35
Percent of Adults 25 to 64 with Bachelors Degrees
40
45
Educational Attainment and Personal Income
$50,000
2000
CT
NJ
$43,000
NY
NH
CA IL
$36,000
DE
NV
Personal
Income
Per Capita
IN
TN
$29,000
KY
WV
MN
WA
AK
PA US
RI
MI
FL
WY
WI
HI
OH
TXGAORNEKS
MO
NC
IA
ME
SDAZ
ND
SC
OKID
AL
LA
CO
VA
VT
UT
NM
AR
MS
MD
MA
MT
$22,000
Correlation = 0.80
$15,000
10
15
20
25
30
35
Percent of Adults 25 to 64 with Bachelors Degrees
40
45
Educational Attainment and Personal Income
$50,000
CT
2005
NJ
$43,000
MA
MD
NY
WY
$36,000
DE CA
NV
Personal
Income
Per Capita
FL
$29,000
KY
WV
AR
MS
AK
PA
USHI
WI
NE
SDMI OR KS
TX
OH IA
ND
MO
IN
NC
GA
ME
TN
AZ
ALOK
MT
SC
ID NM
UT
MNNH VA
CO
IL
WA
RI
VT
LA
$22,000
Correlation = 0.83
$15,000
10
15
20
25
30
35
Percent of Adults 25 to 64 with Bachelors Degrees
40
45
Oklahoma Regions for “Making Place Matter” Data
13
1
1. Northwest/Panhandle
2. Southwest
3. South Central/Lawton
4. El Reno/Chickasha
5. Enid/Ponca City
6. Oklahoma City Metro
7. Guthrie/Shawnee
8. Norman/Moore
9. Southern
10.Osage/Stillwater/Seminole
11. Tulsa County
12. Rogers/Waggoner
13. Northeast
14. Eastern
15. Southeast
5
12
10 11
7
6
2
4
14
8
3
9
U.S. Census Bureau’s Public Use
Microdata Samples
15
Northeastern State University – Counties that Account for 80% of
In-State First-Time Students (Fall 2008)
Cimarron
Texas
Beaver
Woods
Harper
Alfalfa
Grant
Kay
Nowata Craig
Washington
Ottawa
Rogers
Delaware
Osage
Woodward
Garfield
Noble
Pawnee
Major
Ellis
Mayes
Tulsa
Payne
Dewey
Blaine
County
Cherokee
Muskogee
Tulsa
Adair
Wagoner
Delaware
Rogers
Sequoyah
Mayes
First-Time % of All
Students
FT
197
99
92
72
62
55
47
42
39
21.8%
11.0%
10.2%
8.0%
6.9%
6.1%
5.2%
4.7%
4.3%
Roger Mills
Kingfisher
Washita
Oklahoma
Latimer
Le Flore
Pontotoc
Garvin
Comanche
Haskell
Pittsburg
Harmon
Coal
Stephens
Murray
Tillman
Source: Oklahoma State Regents for Higher Education
Sequoyah
Mcintosh
Mcclain
Kiowa
Jackson
Okmulgee Muskogee
Okfuskee
Seminole
Pottawatomie
Hughes
Grady
Greer
Cherokee
Cleveland
Caddo
Adair
Wagoner
Creek
Lincoln
Custer
Canadian
Beckham
Logan
Cotton
Carter
Johnston
Atoka
Pushmataha
Jefferson
Love
Marshall
Bryan
Choctaw
Mccurtain
Educational Attainment of 18 to 24 Year Olds, 2005-07
Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2005-07 American Community Survey (ACS) Three-Year Public Use Microdata Sample (PUMS) File.
Educational Attainment of 25 to 64 Year Olds, 2005-07
Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2005-07 American Community Survey (ACS) Three-Year Public Use Microdata Sample (PUMS) File.
Educational Attainment (%) of 25 to 64 Year Olds by
Race/Ethnicity, 2005-07 (Eastern Region)
Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2005-07 American Community Survey (ACS) Three-Year Public Use Microdata
Sample (PUMS) File.
University in Missouri – Racial/Ethnic Representation of a Public Four-Year
University’s Target Population: Participation, Completion, and Graduation Rates
White
African-American
Target Populations
Hispanic
Participation and Completion
100
80
94.0
92.2
91.7
Cohort
Graduation Rate
73.0
65.7
60
53.4
40
34.5
28.6
26.6
23.0
20
3.8
0
High School
Graduates, 20012002 (Service
Area)
1.7
% 18-24 Year
Olds with Just a
High School
Diploma or
Equivalent, 2000
(Service Area)
3.6
1.8
First-Time
Freshman, Fall
2005 (Institution)
2.5
1.1
2.0
0.8
All Other
Bachelors Degrees
Undergraduates, Awarded 2004-05
Fall 2005
(Institution)
(Institution)
Sources: NCES: Common Core Data; IPEDS Enrollment, Completions, and Graduation Rate Surveys, U.S. Census Bureau
Graduation Rates
(Completers within
150% of Program
Time), 2005
(Institution)
The Circular Argument
Degree Production
A more educated citizenry leads to
more entrepreneurship, small
business development, and ability
to attract outside business.
Economic Strength
The current industry base has
shortages that need to be filled in
certain areas. But overall workforce
demand may not call for that many
more college graduates.
Workforce Demand
A stronger economy creates more
demand for educated workers.
Note: The above ignores all of the other benefits associated with an educated population – larger tax base,
better health, greater civic engagement, fewer incarcerations, etc.
Percentage Employment by Industry, 2005-07
Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2005-07 American Community Survey (ACS) Three-Year File.
Percentage Employment by Occupation, 2005-07
Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2005-07 American Community Survey (ACS) Three-Year File.
Median Earnings by Degree-Level, 2005-07
Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2005-07 American Community Survey (ACS) Three-Year Public Use Microdata Sample (PUMS) File.
Increase in Earnings from a High School Diploma to a College
Degree, 2005-07
Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2005-07 American Community Survey (ACS) Three-Year Public Use Microdata Sample (PUMS) File.
Average Annual Net Migration by Degree-Level (20052007) 22-64 Year Olds (Eastern Region)
Bachelors Degree or Higher
Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2005-07 American Community Survey (ACS) Three-Year Public Use Microdata Sample (PUMS) File.
Age 16+ Average Annual Migration by Occupation Group,
2005-07(Eastern Region)
Management & Professional
Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2005-07 American Community Survey (ACS) Three-Year Public Use Microdata Sample (PUMS) File.
Patrick Kelly
NCHEMS
[email protected]
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