Program Andrew Lindberg Paul Ingleby Mark Allison Marcus Kennedy MORNING TEA Sarah Scales Peter Geary Jill Gillingham “Corporate Strategy – Diversification & Growth” Andrew Lindberg, Managing Director.

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Transcript Program Andrew Lindberg Paul Ingleby Mark Allison Marcus Kennedy MORNING TEA Sarah Scales Peter Geary Jill Gillingham “Corporate Strategy – Diversification & Growth” Andrew Lindberg, Managing Director.

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Slide 2

Program
Andrew Lindberg

Paul Ingleby
Mark Allison
Marcus Kennedy
MORNING TEA

Sarah Scales
Peter Geary
Jill Gillingham

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Slide 3

“Corporate Strategy –
Diversification & Growth”
Andrew Lindberg, Managing Director

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Slide 4

AWB’s financial objectives
Return on equity
- 15% return on equity in the medium term

Solid EPS growth (including Landmark)
- EPS accretive (pre-goodwill, post synergies, post one-off costs) in 2003-04
- More than 35% EPS accretive by 2005-06

Stable dividend payment
- 11 cents per share for the 2003 final dividend
- Expect to maintain dividend payment at current levels for 2003-04

Efficient capital management
- Surplus capital utilised to part fund the acquisition of Landmark
- Appropriate credit rating

Improve quality of earnings
- Reduced exposure to crop size
- Reduced proportion of earnings subject to principal risk
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Slide 5

The acquisition of Landmark is consistent
with our corporate strategy
Milling &
Processing
Shipping
Finance & Risk
Mgmt.

International other grains
& commodities

International wheat

Pool Mgmt.
Acquisition &
Trading

Australian other
commodities

Supply
Chain

Australian other grains
Rural
Services
Agricultural
inputs and
technology

Value adding products and services

Vision: “Australia’s leading global manager of
agricultural commodity assets, services and flows”

End-users
Relationships

Producers
Relationships

Australian wheat

Agricultural Commodities

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Slide 6

Landmark strengthens AWB’s core wheat
business & achieves substantial
diversification in rural & financial services
• Integration, extraction of synergies and building of growth platforms
will be a major focus in 2003-04
• Landmark distribution network and Rabobank relationship will be
growth enablers in Financial Services
• AWB will continue to strengthen its grain business by seeking
arrangements with bulk handlers allowing competitive access to
ports and by securing end user demand

• Strong focus on cost and capital management will help prioritise
business opportunities, whether in existing business streams or
beyond

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Slide 7

The acquisition of Landmark creates a
unique ‘one stop shop’ for the farmer
Enhanced access to global markets for Australian agriculture
• Access to over 40 countries around the world

Cross-selling
• Cross-selling of products and services to farmers and international
customers

Overhead cost savings
• Consolidation of AWB and Landmark corporate, head office and network
functions, where appropriate

Supply chain cost savings
• Consolidation of procurement functions
• Leveraged logistical capability

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Slide 8

Outlook – AWB is well positioned as
Australia’s leading agribusiness
Agricultural outlook is improving
- AWB forecast 22 to 24m tonnes of wheat for 2003-04
- Outlook solid for finance, insurance, fertiliser and real estate

2002-03 Group NPAT forecast in the range of $40-45m

2003-04 Group NPAT forecast in the range of $100-110m
- Pre goodwill amortisation, including all one-off costs

Ring fencing of National Pool
- Targeted credit ratings achieved and protected

Integration of Landmark
- Total EBIT enhancement opportunities, derived primarily from finance growth
opportunities, assessed at $5-$10m in 2003-04 increasing to $30-$40m by
2005-06
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Slide 9

“Capital & Risk Management”

Paul Ingleby, Chief Financial Officer

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Slide 10

Ring fenced operation overview
Commercial businesses

Wheat export related businesses
WEA

AWB
Limited

Growers

AWB
International

AWB
Commercial
Subsidiaries

AWB
Services

$

Security
Trustee

AWB
Harvest
Finance
AWB
Commercial
Funding

Bank Facility

Euro CP Program

A$ EPN/MTN Program

US CP Program

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Slide 11

Ring fencing will achieve:
• Highest possible rating given AWB’s business mix and overall capitalisation
• A cost effective sustainable base for the continued operations of the Group
• Separation of the wheat export related and commercial operations of the
Group for ratings purposes while retaining operating synergies
• A platform for growth and diversification
• A commercial self regulating structure for the Group’s wheat pooling
operation

• Capital allocation within the Group
• Enhanced market transparency of Group operations
• Improved financial flexibility for the Group

Note: ‘Group’ refers to AWB group of entities including Landmark
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Slide 12

Ring fence of National Pool operations
• Ring fence structure to be effective from 1 October 2003
• Ratings expected post 1 October 2003
- AWB Harvest Finance


S&P:

A1+ (s/t) AA- (l/t) stable



Moodys: P-1

- AWB Commercial Subsidiaries


S&P:

BBB stable outlook

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Slide 13

Capital requirements going forward
• Level of capital required to support future growth plans
• No major capital expenditure for 2003-04
• Expected maintenance capital expenditure of
approximately $20-$30m per annum (to 2005-06)

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Slide 14

Risk Management
• Capital allocated to each business stream
• Business measured on RoRAC
• Risk reviewed on a regular basis

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Slide 15

Landmark – the acquisition
• $718m paid. Purchase price represents good value for AWB
given the cross sell opportunities between AWB and
Landmark

• No other company positioned to benefit from the synergies as
AWB – Landmark was worth a lot more to AWB than other
companies
• Funded via cash, debt and new equity:
- Debt facility arranged before announcement
- Institutional placement $152m, Share Purchase Plan (offer closes
10 Oct) and Dividend Reinvestment Plan (up to three fully underwritten)

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Slide 16

Landmark – integration
• Integration of the two businesses is governed by:
- Desire to minimise disruption to AWB and Landmark businesses during
the coming grain harvest (October – February); and
- Need to achieve the synergies as outlined

• Pre completion, synergistic benefits were identified in the
areas of cross selling, procurement and overhead cost
savings

• Joint AWB/Landmark project team established to progress
integration process. The project team reports to a Steering
Committee (Landmark Board)

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Slide 17

Landmark – integration (cont’d)
• Project team has:
– Launched broad communications plan to all staff across 430 locations
throughout Australia
– Identified and retained key staff – assuring business continuity during
integration

– Conducted meetings between AWB and Landmark counterparts across
the businesses to:


Prepare plans for the next 12 months



Validate synergies previously identified

• Project Team will:
– Focus on realising procurement benefits and setting in place a cross sell
strategy
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Slide 18

“Landmark”
Mark Allison
Managing Director, Landmark

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Slide 19

Overview of Landmark
Landmark is Australia’s leading rural distribution network
with national coverage and significant growth opportunities
• Largest merchandise and fertiliser distribution business in Australia

• Well diversified earnings base across regions, agricultural commodities
and business activities
• High growth finance business that can be further leveraged by AWB
• Strong insurance agency business
• Extensive branch network throughout regional Australia with 430 outlets
and over 100,000 customers
• Lower risk agency model relative to peers
• Experienced management team which has presided over previous
successful acquisitions and significant earnings growth

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Slide 20

Landmark: a snapshot
100,000 customers
Merchandise

Fertiliser

Livestock

Wool

Real
Estate

Finance

Insurance

$815m
book

$119m
premium

1.9m
Cattle
$1.1b
Sales

1.2m
tonnes

11m
Sheep

500k
bales

$730m
sales

1,890 employees
430 outlets

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Slide 21

Strategic direction
Three phases for developing Landmark:

Phase 1:
Integration and
creation of
common
systems

Phase 2:
Consolidating
the merger
and fine-tuning
the organisation

Phase 3:
Generating
sustainable
growth

• Phase 1 was completed in 2001
• Phase 2 was the focus in 2002
• Phase 3 will focus on new business growth in 2003 and beyond

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Slide 22

Strategic direction - phase 1 & 2
The merger of Dalgety and IAMA was the key issue
facing Landmark in 2001 & 2002
• Achieving synergy cost savings
• Capturing merchandise and logistics opportunities
• Maintaining revenue in the existing business
• Establishing a new brand identity in the marketplace

• Disposal of non-core businesses

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Slide 23

Strategic direction – phase 3
Landmark growth
• Appropriate cost base
• Streamlined structure
• Merchandise recovery
• East coast fertiliser expansion
• Drive livestock & wool growth

• National finance & insurance

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Slide 24

Key strategic issues
• Business sustainability
-

Commodity market cycles
Variable seasonal conditions
New product technologies
Security of member and agency structure

• Productivity and performance culture
- Sales productivity consistency
- Network configuration optimisation
- Evolving performance culture

• Growth
- Internal focus has diluted growth initiatives

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Slide 25

Strategies
1. Sales productivity
• Improve profitability by increasing sales productivity in all
activities

2. Network optimisation
• Improve profitability and return on capital by optimising network
configuration

3. Merchandise supply chain
• Capture cost & purchasing efficiencies

4. Growth
• Generate growth

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Slide 26

Outlook - 2004
• Improving winter crop
• Irrigation concerns for summer crops
• Low sheep and cattle numbers
• Strengthening livestock prices
• Focus on productivity in merchandise, wool, livestock & real estate
• Focus on growth for finance, fertiliser & insurance
• Continue tight management of costs and capital
• Exploit AWB Group growth opportunities

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Slide 27

“Financial services”
Marcus Kennedy, Group GM
Financial & Rural Services

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Slide 28

Harvest finance market
• Environment becoming increasingly competitive
-

Traditional players – NAB, Rabo, BHC’s

-

Others players– WBC, ANZ, Regionals

-

AWB product enhancements for 2003

• Performance & take up rates
-

70% market share

-

Majority Harvest Loan, but other product use increasing

• Cross sell opportunities between AWB & Landmark
-

Product bundling

-

Landmark finance staff to sell AWB Harvest Finance
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Slide 29

The opportunity
$30b of agribusiness lending in three broad segments
‘Farmers’
Product set

‘Corporations


Finance to all
agribusiness

Segment ‘B’
65,000 SME agribusiness
customers
$20b loans

Segment
‘C’
5,000
Corporate
Enterprise
$8b loans

Segment ‘A’
30,000 Grain / Broadacre
$2b loans

Harvest finance
to grain growers

Turnover
Small
<$200k

Medium
$200k-$1m

Large
>$1m

Source: ABARE, ABS, RBA, APRA, Jun 2002. Neil Clark & Assoc.

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Slide 30

New finance earnings
Competitors vary in their primary focus of attention

Large

Rabo
Size of business
and lending needs

Major
Banks

Regionals

Landmark
Small

ERB

Low

Profitability

High

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Slide 31

Competitive opportunities
Competitors vary in their primary focus of attention

Large
Value Proposition #1:
Commodity led
• 300 agronomists
• Broad product range
• Rural distribution
• Product bundling
• Brand appeal to
agribusiness
• Balance sheet
strength, funding,
liquidity capacity

Rabo

Opportunity 1

Opportunity 2

ERB
Low

Profitability

Value Proposition #2:
Finance led
• 60 RFM/RFO’s
• Understanding of
agribusiness risk
• Rural distribution
• Product bundling
• Brand appeal to
agribusiness
• Balance sheet
strength, funding,
liquidity capacity

Regionals

Landmark
Small

Major
Banks

High

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Slide 32

Growth in Agribusiness lending
$Bn’s
50
10% CAGR
40

30

20

10

0
1997

1998

1999

2000

2001

2002 2003(f) 2004(f) 2005(f) 2006(f)

Source: ABARE, ABS, RBA, APRA, Jun 2002. Neil Clark & Assoc., Bank Annual Reports. (f) = forecast

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Slide 33

Strategic investment in Grain Technology
Innovation &
Research
Developing business
through technology
• Major projects:

AWB Seeds
Innovative business
model to deliver
value to farmers at
lowest cost and risk

- Graingene: to
develop traits

• Captured three new
licences in 2002-03

- LongReach: to breed
premium wheats

• Gained 60% of
available wheat variety
licences over the last
five years

- Pipelines: to deliver
niche parcels from
grower to end-user

Agrifood
Delivers test results
to AWB and
leverages expertise
in grains and related
industries with
external customers

• Investment in 2003-04
will be $8m before tax

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Slide 34

“Maximising out-performance”

Sarah Scales, GM National Pools

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Slide 35

Structure

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Slide 36

Demonstrating performance
Base Fee
• 1.5% of GPV
• Subject to a cap of $61.9m and a floor of $46.4m

Out-performance Incentive payment
• 1.5% of GPV
• 20% of revenue generated above the WIB plus hurdle
Note: The total Pool Management Services fees payable by AWBI to AWB
are capped at 3% of GPV (except if the Base Fee floor is triggered).

AWB Wheat Industry Benchmark (WIB)
Pool
Benchmark

1. USD Wheat
Price
Sub- benchmark

2. FX (AUD/USD)
Sub- benchmark

3. Domestic
Supply Chain Subbenchmark
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Slide 37

A constantly changing environment
Impact on Base Fee and OPI
• US$ Wheat Price
• Foreign Exchange
• Crop size
GPV (A$ million)
4500
4000
3500
3000
2500
2000
1500
1000
18
16
14
12 Crop size
(million mt)
10

500
0
0.52

0.55

0.58
US$

0.61

0.64

0.67

0.7

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Slide 38

A constantly changing environment (cont’d)
Wheat Prices and Currency
$/mt

US$

210.00

0.7

190.00

0.65

170.00
0.6
150.00
0.55
130.00
0.5

110.00
90.00

0.45

Ju

3
-0

02

2

03
n-

ar
M

ec

-0
ep

02
n-

2
-0

01

1

French

D

S

Ju

ar
M

ec

-0
ep

D

S

US HRW

Currency

38


Slide 39

A constantly changing environment (cont’d)
2001/02
Australia
17%

Argentina
11%

2002/03
Canada
17%
EU
7%

EU
12%

USA
24%

Canada
9%

Australia
11%

NTE
20%

USA
28%

Argentina
6%

NTE
38%

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Slide 40

Strategies
• Vision - Increase exports to Asia to 60% by 2007-08
• Achieving the vision
-

Crop shaping
Price discrimination
Blending and site selection
Golden Rewards – product and payment integrity
Supply Chain optimisation

• International sales & marketing strategies
- Iraq
- Premium customers & why targeted
- New markets
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Slide 41

Global market outlook
• Near record low global wheat stocks to use ratio
• Short term - How do EU, EEU and FSU solve their internal deficits
• Medium / Long term – Planting and development of northern
hemisphere crops
mt
250

%
40
35

200

30

150

100

25

Global Stocks

20

Global STU

15
10

50

5

(e
)
/0
4

(e
)
20

03

/0
3

/0
2
20

02

01

/0
1
20

00

/0
0
20

19

99

/9
9
98

/9
8
19

19

97

/9
7
96

/9
6
19

95
19

94
19

93
19

/9
5

0

/9
4

0

Source: USDA
(e) = Estimate
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Slide 42

Regulatory environment - WEA Review
2004
• Wheat Marketing Amendments 2003
• 2004 Independent Panel
• Impact on growers

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Slide 43

“Trading & Chartering”
Peter Geary, Group GM - Trading

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Slide 44

Trading functions
• Provides international marketing service to AWBI for Australian export wheat
• Develop and offer innovative marketing products to domestic growers and
international customers

• Trades wheat and other grains as principal in the domestic market. Exports
canola, feed & malt barley and sorghum to international markets
• Global Trading business in Geneva trades non-Australian wheat and other
grains/commodities

• Chartering business participates in global freight market
• Riskassist provides tailored grower & consumer risk management products

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Slide 45

Trading business model
The business model supports a ‘solution selling’ approach
Deal Makers
Supplier
“FOB”

Supply
/Demand
Information

Risk
Services

Finance

Chartering

Consumer
“Landed”

Price Makers
Commodity
Commodity
Position
Taking

Volatility
Trading

Structured
Finance

Freight
Position
Taking

Execution

Control
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Slide 46

Planned outcomes for Trading in 2003-04
• Expand and diversify grains under management
• Develop new markets that fit grains under management strategy & add value
to AWBI

• Develop other commodity experience in related agricultural industries
• Secure alliance partner for global origination capability
• Stronger consumer risk management business

• Expanded risk management client base and market share
• Increase pool tonnage sold with freight & grow 3rd party freight business

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Slide 47

Domestic trading in 2003-04
• Strengthen presence in WA & SA
• Bundle product & service offering to strategic customers
(including inputs)
• Expand the range of contract alternatives to growers

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Slide 48

Global Trading in 2003-04
• First full year nearing completion
– On target to meet volume budget of 1.5m tonnes
– Geneva chartering strong contributor to PBT

• Strengthen skill set & capability – expand corn & soybean
business
• Secure regular supply agreements in key markets – Egypt,
East Coast Africa, South Africa, Indonesia
• Develop origination capability via alliance in key markets

48


Slide 49

Riskassist in 2003-04
• Continue to expand the grower product range – fixed basis
partner pool, washouts
• Expand focus of consumer risk management advice

49


Slide 50

Chartering in 2003-04
• Develop vessel pool and generate fee income
• Develop 3rd party freight business
• Develop back freight opportunities

50


Slide 51

Growth in wheat sales sold with freight

% of crop sold CNF

• Chartering is a service
provider for AWBI

50
45
40
35
30
25
20
15
10
5
0

• Active strategy of growing
freight under management
• Focus on freight trading,
combination cargo & 3rd
party business
• Geneva freight book
assists information flow

2000-01

2001-02

2002-03 (e) 2003-04 (f)

• Key freight markets in
2003-04 include Iran
Indonesia, Korea & Japan

(e) = YTD estimate (f) = forecast

51


Slide 52

“Supply Chain”
Jill Gillingham, Chief Operating Officer

52


Slide 53

Supply Chain Management
Obligations of Supply Chain Management:
• To ensure grain is delivered in full, on-time, in-specification to
end customers at the least cost to growers (supply chain
optimisation)
• To meet our obligations under the AWB Constitution: “In relation
to wheat growers who sell pool return wheat to the company or
its subsidiaries, to maximise their net returns from the pools…by
minimising costs as far as practicable”

53


Slide 54

Supply Chain Management
• Strategy:
- Compete on the East Coast


Promote competition on the east coast to the existing storage and
handling monopoly operators (includes AWB GrainFlow)

- Collaborate on the West Coast


Long-term access with realistic cost base

• Results in downward pressure on S&H charges
• Lower costs for pool participants, increased outperformance for AWB Limited
54


Slide 55

National Supply Chain Costs (real dollars)
A$
45.00
44.00
43.00
42.00
41.00
40.00

Cost reduction
1999-00 to 2001-02

39.00
38.00
37.00
1999/00

2000/01

2001/02

2002/03

$3.15 per tonne
2003/04
2004/05
$53.5
million

55


Slide 56

Supply Chain Investments

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Slide 57

Supply Chain Investments
• Storage and Handling (AWB GrainFlow)
- 21 sites strategically positioned on east coast with total capacity of 3.3
million tonnes
- Modern, state-of-the-art facilities

- Enables efficient intake and outturn of grain
- Expect to realise between $2 and $4 per tonne savings for growers
- Commercial investment returns currently on target

• Train
- Investment in 51 rail wagons, leased to operator in NSW

• Port
- 50% investment in Melbourne Port Terminal

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Slide 58

www.awb.com.au
For more information contact:
Delphine Cassidy
Head of Investor Relations
T: +61 3 9209 2404
F: +61 3 9670 1723
E: [email protected]

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