Australian Broadband Services Pty Ltd Overview The Telco / ISP market will be redefined by the rollout of the NBN Opportunities for smaller.
Download ReportTranscript Australian Broadband Services Pty Ltd Overview The Telco / ISP market will be redefined by the rollout of the NBN Opportunities for smaller.
Australian Broadband Services Pty Ltd
Overview
The Telco / ISP market will be redefined by the rollout of the NBN Opportunities for smaller players to take substantial share in a shifting market Technology has evolved allowing a high level of outsourcing by well managed RSPs Partnered with the world’s largest direct sales company, Cobra Group to implement a proven subscriber growth strategy Management bring over a 100 years in Telco, ISP and online media success to ensure the best in execution Targeting 300K+ subscribers, AUD250M in revenues and top 10 ISP position within 5 years Raising AUD2M in the lead up to an ASX listing in 2012
R2 – Sophisticated Investors
New Funds Equity Share Share Price Cobra Post Cash Value
R3 – ASX Listing (6 -12 mths)
New Funds Equity Share / Dilution Share Price Value Post Listing IRR over 5 years ROI year 5
Deal Structure
$2M 30% $0.25
$500K $6.7M
$6M 31% $0.50
$19M 30% 180%
The NBN For the first time smaller Telco’s and Aggregators will have access to non discriminatory wholesale pricing
Optical fibre to the home will shape the future of content delivery and consumer behaviour Opportunity to target millions of subscribers shifting to optical fibre or engaging for the first time Change of Government may lead to changes in implementation but too expensive to scrap the NBN
Other Networks Telstra and Optus wholesale DSL will continue to service the majority of fixed line broadband customers for some years
The ability to access wholesale supply through Aggregators and out sourced ISP solution providers creates a low variable cost model suited to ABS ABS will target areas due for connection to the NBN within 5 years and ensure a low cost NBN transition without costs associated with incumbent legacy systems
Platform ABS platform to manage product access, payment processing, billing and CRM.
Preferred solution provider Utilibill is proven in Telco sector.
Market Size and Trends Telco market has seen 20 years of strong growth no signs of slowing down
Market Size (Internet Subs)
16 000k 14 000k 12 000k 10 000k 8 000k 6 000k 4 000k 2 000k 0k NBN Other Broadband CY2012 CY2013 CY2014 CY2015 CY2016 *Market size forecast chart for internet subscribers in Australia (excluding internet connections through mobile handsets) based on Australian Bureau of statistics growth trends and premises connection forecasts provided by NBNCo.
Platform
Utilibill HarbourMSP MCR
Wholesale Data
Nextgen Vocus NBN, Telstra, Optus
Phone
Engin (VoIP) Telcoinabox (Mobile) Optus
Key Suppliers
VAS
Aus Power and Gas Get Covered / AVIVA FetchTV Key wholesale rates negotiated and ready for integration
The Cobra Group Partnered with Cobra - the World’s largest direct sales company
Extensive telecommunications sales experience 2M+ Telco accounts signed in Australia 7M+ Telco accounts signed in Europe Success only fee structure ensuring cost base tied to sales Proven partnership with Australian Power and Gas (ASX: APG) Seed round investor
SIO Forecast
KPIs
New Subs per mth Churn per year NBN Subs DSL Subs Total Closing Subscribers NBN Market Share Total Market Share 350K 300K 250K 200K 150K 100K 50K 0K CY2012
Year 1
3.5k
0k 4k 21k 26k 1.22% 0.22%
Year 2
5.5k
(3k) 21k 68k 89k 1.85% 0.72%
Closing Broadband Subscribers '000's Year 3
7.5k
(20k) 47k 111k 158k 2.09% 1.22%
Year 4
10.0k
(44k) 87k 147k 234k 2.63% 1.72%
Year 5
12.5k
(70k) 139k 174k 313k 3.18% 2.20% CY2013 CY2014 CY2015 CY2016 PAYG DSL PAYG Optical DSL Optical
Business Strategy Variable cost model directly linked to sales;
Success only fees for new accounts to Cobra Transaction based fees for billing, provisioning and customer service platform Wholesale supply deals linked directly to consumption
Competitive pricing with an unprecedented level of flexibility;
‘pay as you go’ data plans increasing customer control over the billing simple tiered data plans with unlimited switching bundled VoIP, mobile, wireless broadband and energy Partnerships with entertainment and media providers to cross promote and bundle media products as the optical fibre subscriber base expands
At launch the ABS product offering;
Optical Fibre Cap and Pay As You Go Plans ADSL2+ Cap and Pay As you Go Plans VoIP phone plans (over the Internet or by dedicated fibre for NBN connected households) Mobile Broadband Cap Plans Mobile Phone Cap Plans In home technology and data insurance
Year 2 product offering for expanded NBN market
; IPTV and VOD Online Backup Virtual Desktop Power and Gas
Product Offering
Management 100+ years of combined experience in senior roles with Telco and online media companies
CEO - Rob Appel
B. A., LLB. (CEO: Chaos Group, Microview, Production Manager: OzEmail)
Chairman - Ian McGregor
B. BS, CA, FICS. (Chairman: APG , CFO: OzEmail, Unwired)
CTO Services - Andrew Kent
B. Sc, Elec Engineering (CTO: OzEmail, Webcentral, MD: Uunet A Pac Operations)
CFO - Andrew Cowling
CA., B. Econ, Accounting (CFO: OzEmail Interline, iSOFT, Group Manager: Bigpond)
Dir Marketing & Sales - Geoff Isaac
B. A. (Dir of Marketing: OzEmail, Unwired, Engin)
KPIs
New Subs per mth Churn per year NBN Subs DSL Subs Total Closing Subscribers NBN Market Share Total Market Share NBN Market Size (premises connected/covered) Total Market Size ARPU (Service Revenue) ARPU Incr EPS Shares on Issue Share Capital Net Cash (excl Share Capital) IRR ROI Headcount
Year 1
3.5k
0k 4k 21k 26k 1.22% 0.22%
Year 2
5.5k
(3k) 21k 68k 89k 1.85% 0.72%
Year 3
7.5k
(20k) 47k 111k 158k 2.09% 1.22%
Year 4
10.0k
(44k) 87k 147k 234k 2.63% 1.72%
Year 5
12.5k
(70k) 139k 174k 313k 3.18% 2.20% 358k 11,731k 1,129k 12,318k $ 76.52 $ 81.00 6% -$ 0.12 $38,667k $7,541k ($5,876k) 30% -68% 13 -$ 0.03 $40,987k $7,541k ($287k) -71% 18 2,229k 12,934k $ 83.28 3% $ 0.19 $44,467k $7,541k $12,544k 39% 23 3,306k 13,580k 4,369k 14,259k $ 86.44 4% $ 89.77 4% $ 0.30 $49,107k $7,541k $15,112k 153% 28 $ 0.44 $52,973k $7,541k $4,089k 180% 33
KPI’s
EBITDA + NPAT
Total Revenue (EBITDA + NPAT Contribution) $m
CY2016 CY2015 CY2014 CY2013 CY2012 -$50,0 $0,0
Revenues EBITDA NPAT
$50,0 $100,0 $150,0 $200,0 $250,0 $300,0 $350,0
CY2012
$13.1M
-$4.8M
-$4.8M
CY2013
$70.8M
-$1.1M
-$1.2M
CY2014
$121.9M
$9.8M
$8.6M
CY2015
$185.1M
$21.5M
$15.0M
CY2016
$256.6M
$34.0M
$23.7M
EBITDA NPAT
Underlying EPS
Underlying EPS
CY2016 $0,44 CY2015 $0,30 CY2014 CY2013 $-0,03 $0,19 $-0,20 $-0,12 CY2012 $-0,10 $-
Underlying EPS
$0,10 $0,20 $0,30 $0,40 $0,50
CY2012
$ -0.12
CY2013
$ -0.03
CY2014
$ 0.19
CY2015
$ 0.30
CY2016
$ 0.44
200% 150% 100% 50% 0% -50% -100%
Return On Investment
153% 180% 39% CY2014 CY2015 CY2016
Return On Investment CY2012
-68%
CY2013
-71%
CY2014
39%
CY2015
153%
CY2016
180%
ROI
P&L Total Services Revenue Hardware Revenue Setup Fees
Total Revenue Revenue incr %
Network & Carrier Costs
Gross Margin
Other Income Customer Acquisition & Service Network, Billing & Hosting Employee expenses Marketing expenses Office costs Administrative expenses Finance costs
Total Expenses EBITDA
Depreciation and amortisation expense
Profit before income tax
Income tax expense
Net Profit/Loss after Tax
Year 1 $7,566k $3,357k $2,209k
$13,132k
$0k Year 2 $57,293k $8,383k $5,161k
$70,837k
$0k ($11,228k) ($55,882k)
$1,904k $14,955k
$33k $13k ($4,592k) ($11,473k) ($151k) ($106k) ($1,285k) ($184k) ($131k) ($214k) ($166k)
($6,690k) ($16,072k) ($4,786k) ($1,117k)
($20k) ($325k) ($1,052k) ($40k)
($4,806k)
$0k
($4,806k)
($2,334k) ($600k) ($195k)
($1,157k)
$0k
($1,157k)
Year 3 $125,677k $9,280k $5,328k
$140,286k
$0k ($107,963k )
$32,323k
$96k ($15,643k) ($121k) ($3,349k) ($738k) ($235k) ($371k) ($2,153k)
($22,514k) $9,809k
($57k)
$9,752k
($1,137k)
$8,615k
Year 4 $205,996k $10,311k $5,292k
$221,599k
$0k ($170,328k )
$51,272k
$379k ($20,498k) ($136k) ($4,413k) ($926k) ($315k) ($423k) ($3,439k)
($29,771k) $21,501k
($73k)
$21,428k
($6,428k)
$15,000k
Year 5 $297,933k $11,207k $5,165k
$314,304k
$0k ($243,089k )
$71,215k
$823k ($25,500k) ($151k) ($5,642k) ($987k) ($372k) ($480k) ($4,910k)
($37,219k) $33,996k
($89k)
$33,906k
($10,172k)
$23,734k
P&L
Balance Sheet
Balance Sheet ASSETS
Cash Inventory Accounts Receivable, net Total Current Assets Plant & Equipment, net
Total assets LIABLITIES AND SHAREHOLDERS EQUITY
Accounts Payable Income Taxes payable
Total Current Liabilities Total Liabilities COMMITMENTS AND CONTINGENCIES Shareholders Equity
Additional paid up capital Accumulated profit/(deficit)
Total Shareholders equity Total Liabilities & Shareholders Equity Year 1 Year 2 Year 3 Year 4 Year 5
$1,665k $1,312k $2,785k $5,762k $133k
$5,894k
$1,378k $1,522k $6,085k $8,986k $173k
$9,158k
$13,922k $1,671k $8,137k $23,730k $197k
$23,927k
$36,574k $1,790k $8,835k $47,200k $204k
$47,404k
$48,204k $1,833k $29,496k $79,533k $195k
$79,729k
$3,261k $0k $3,261k
$3,261k
$7,682k $0k $7,682k
$7,682k
$12,698k $1,137k $13,835k
$13,835k
$18,642k $3,672k $22,313k
$22,313k
$25,331k $5,572k $30,904k
$30,904k
$7,541k ($4,907k)
$2,634k
$7,541k ($6,065k)
$1,476k
$7,541k $2,551k
$10,091k $5,894k $9,158k $23,927k
$7,541k $17,550k
$25,091k
$7,541k $41,285k
$48,825k $47,404k $79,729k
Cash Flow Cash flows from Operating Activities Adjustments to reconcile net profit/(loss) to net cash used in operating activities
Depreciation Hardware COS Allowance for Bad & Doubtful Debts Loss/(Gain) on disposal of Plant & Equipment
Changes in assets and liabilities
Inventory Accounts Receivable Accounts Payable Accrued Expense incr/(decr) in income taxes payable/receivable, net increase in deferred income taxes
Net cash used in operating activities Cash flows from Investing Activities
Miscellaneous Income Sale of Plant & Equipment Purchase of Plant & Equipment Interest Income Net cash used in investing activities
Cash flows from financing Activities
Payments under finance lease obligations Payments of dividends Interest Expense Proceeds from Bank Overdraft Fund Raising Expense Proceeds from Common Stock issued
Net cash provided by/(used in) financing activities Incr/(decrease) in cash
opening cash
Closing Cash
Cash Flow
Year 1 ($4,839k)
$20k $3,498k $153k $0k ($4,810k) ($2,938k) $3,261k $0k $0k $0k
($5,655k)
$0k $0k ($153k) $33k
($120k)
$0k $0k $0k $0k ($560k) $8,000k
$7,440k $1,665k
$0k
$1,665k Year 2 ($1,170k)
$41k $8,595k $981k $0k ($8,805k) ($4,281k) $4,422k $0k $0k $0k
($219k)
$0k $0k ($81k) $13k
($67k)
$0k $0k $0k $0k $0k $0k
$0k ($287k)
$1,665k
$1,378k Year 3 $9,656k
$57k $9,471k $2,013k $0k ($9,620k) ($4,065k) $5,016k $0k $0k $0k
$12,528k
$0k $0k ($81k) $96k
$16k
$0k $0k $0k $0k $0k $0k
$0k $12,544k
$1,378k
$13,922k Year 4 $21,049k
$73k $10,301k $3,217k $0k ($10,421k) ($3,915k) $5,943k $0k ($3,894k) $0k
$22,354k
$0k $0k ($81k) $379k
$299k
$0k $0k $0k $0k $0k $0k
$0k $22,652k
$13,922k
$36,574k Year 5 $33,083k
$89k $10,847k $4,596k $0k ($10,890k) ($25,256k) $6,690k $0k ($8,271k) $0k
$10,888k
$0k $0k ($81k) $823k
$742k
$0k $0k $0k $0k $0k $0k
$0k $11,630k
$36,574k
$48,204k
Valuation Models
IRR
30% NPV of cashflows
Cost of capital
Discounted Cashflow ROI
EPS
Net Profit after tax Shares On Issue EPS
Valuation Guide Per SIO
Ausbbs Market Cap Value Per Share
Market Guide Per SIO
Iinet TPG Average * As at Sep 2011 YR 0 ($7,541k) $13,595k 15% $7,541k YR 0 YR 1 ($5,876k) YR 1 ($5,110k) -68% YR 1 ($4,806k) $39,827k $ -0.12 YR 2 ($287k) YR 3 $12,544k YR 4 $15,112k YR 5 $4,089k YR 2 ($217k) -71% YR 2 ($1,157k) $42,147k $ -0.03 YR 3 $8,248k 39% YR 3 $8,615k $45,627k $ 0.19 YR 4 $8,640k 153% YR 4 $15,000k $50,267k $ 0.30 YR 5 $2,033k 180% YR 5 $23,734k $54,133k $ 0.44 YR 0 YR 1 $41,793k $ 1.05 Subs at Dec 2010 $650k $516k Market Cap $425,000k $1,344,000k YR 2 $144,482k $ 3.43 Value per Sub $654 $2,605 $1,629 YR 3 $257,640k $ 5.65 YR 4 $380,718k $ 7.57 YR 5 $510,318k $ 9.43
Application of Funds - Cash Flow to Listing R2 Funding Cash flows from Operating Activities
Inventory Accounts Receivable Accounts Payable incr/(decr) in income taxes payable/receivable, net increase in deferred income taxes Net cash used in operating activities
Cash flows from Investing Activities
Purchase of Plant & Equipment Interest Income Net cash used in investing activities
Cash flows from financing Activities
Interest Expense Net cash provided by/(used in) financing activities Incr/(decrease) in cash
Closing Cash
Application of Funds
6 months to 30 June 12
$2,000k ($1,084k) ($918k) ($864k) $1,290k $0k $0k ($1,575k) ($136k) $9k ($127k) $0k $0k ($1,702k)
$298k
R2 – Sophisticated Investors
New Funds Equity Share Share Price Cobra Post Cash Value
R3 – ASX Listing (6 -12 mths)
New Funds Equity Share / Dilution Share Price Value Post Listing IRR over 5 years ROI year 5
Deal Structure
$2M 30% $0.25
$500K $6.7M
$6M 31% $0.50
$19M 30% 180%