Manifesting the Upside of Down

Noetic Approaches for Citizen Activists to help transform the

Perfect Storm

of disruptive surprises heading our way Houston Community of the Institute of Noetic Sciences October 3, 2010 Oliver Markley, Ph D www.OWMarkley.org

www.ImaginalVisioning.com

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About “The Upside of Down”

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Visioning the Upside of Down Source: O. Markley, “A New Intelligence Methodology for Anticipating Disruptive Surprises” (2010) 3

About “Manifesting”

• • • • Bringing about Mobilizing Attracting Co-Creating 4

Integrative (“Integral”) Activism

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(2001) 5 (2007)

• • • • • • • •

Presentation Outline

Main concepts (above) Historical context of research about the future Type II Wild Cards and Mild Cards Current context: Tipping points toward collapse and reformation Promising noetic and other approaches Cornucopia causality, imaginal visioning / manifestation, and integrative (“integral”) activism Experiential demonstrations Q&A 6

Historical Context

Looking at the Future From the Past 7

Early SRI Futures Research 8 Source: Harman, Markley & Rhyne, SRI (1973)

Year 2000 Projections 9 Source: Harman, Markley & Rhyne, SRI (1973)

Wild Card

A possible event that has a low probability but would have a huge impact if it occurred 10

Type II

Wild Card

A wild card that has a high probability (to a “knowledgeable”) but low credibility (to most others) 11

Disruptive Overshooting of Carrying Capacity?

Source: O. Markley, “The Fourth Wave: The Future of SpaceShip Earth” (1995) 12

The Ecological Challenge of Humankind

“When one species attains a position of dominance over all the other species in the ecology of its planet, if it is both egocentrically greedy, and has a powerful set of technologies through which to amplify the expression of that greed, then unless that dominant species can find a way to limit or to transform itself and its greed based systems into something more wholesome, it will foul its planetary nest as surely as the night follows the day ... perhaps even to its own extinction.

” Source: “The Fourth Wave: A Normative Forecast for the Future of Spaceship Earth,” by O.W. Markley, posted online at www.inwardboundvisioning.com/Docs/SpaceShipEarth.htm

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Research on Type II Wild Cards

First major conclusion: If present trends continue...

A Tipping Point Toward Civilizational Collapse

(2008) 14

Five “Tectonic” Stressors Toward Catastrophe

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Population

stress: overall increase and the difference in rate of increase between rich and poor countries •

Energy

stress: increasing scarcity and cost of conventional oil •

Environmental

stress from mounting damage to land, sea and air •

Climate

stress as the atmosphere responds to global heating •

Economic

stress from the widening gap between rich and poor people within countries and between countries (2006) 15

Envisioning the First to Hit: Financial After the banking crisis in 2008, a BBC documentary lays it bare: (2006) 16

Showing of a four minute set of video clips from

The Love of Money,

a three-hour BBC documentary series about the sub-prime meltdown goes here 17

Current Context

Looking at the Future From the Present 18

More “Bubbles” Currently Threatening Global Financial Meltdown ~ 1-3 Years (2010) 19 Virtuous upward cycle of past few decades replaced by vicious downward spiral resulting from co-lined bubbles: • Real estate bubble • • Stock market bubble Discretionary spending bubble • • • Dollar bubble Government debt bubble

Why would there be a dollar bubble

before a gov’t debt bubble? Multi bubble economy cannot be easily reflated.

The “Issues Behind the Issues”

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The old American cultural dynamic:

ambition, thrift, self-sacrifice, communitarian problem solving •

The new one

: more interest in entertainment and credit-based consumption than in realistically addressing emerging problems that obviously threaten the sustainability of our way of life

(“Bread and Circuses”)

• Corporate and financial systems driven to maximize short-term profit for investors • • Government systems increasingly driven by special interest lobbying, especially by “The Street Mass media that filters and shapes the news to suit corporate owners • Critical mass of systemic problems not being addressed.

An audio recording and text transcript of an interview are posted at http://will.illinois.edu/mediamatters/show/sunday-august-30-2009/ (2009) 20

The Upside of Down “Prophecy” Source: O. Markley, “A New Intelligence Methodology for Anticipating Disruptive Surprises” (2010) 21

An

Ü ber

Upside of Down Prophecy

(2008) 22

Type II

Mild Card

A Type II wild card that would be less disruptive and more benign, at least in the long run 23

A Critical Mass of “Mild Cards”

(2007) 24

Showing of all or part of Paul Hawkens’ six min. 2006

Blessed Unrest

Bioneers speech onYouTube goes here http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=N1fiubmOqH4 25

Riane Eisler’s Caring Economics Campaign (2007) Free one hour Webinar training October 5, 2010 www.partnershipway.org

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Pachamama Alliance Awaken the Dreamer / Change the Dream Symposia Houston contact: Donna Mosher 281-681-8166 [email protected]

27 (2010)

Illustrative Writings re:

Integral Resilience

(2009) 28 (2010)

Research to Identify Integral Mild Cards

• • • • Integrate “Higher Self” and “shadow side” realities Transcend focus on well-being of individual persons or reference-groups Develop creative resiliance Be “appropriate” (non-sectarian, affordable, scalable, attractive, demonstrable) 29

•

Some Promising Noetic “Best Practices”

Riane Eisler’s Partnership Education and Caring Economics initiatives • • IONS Worldview Literacy Program Awaken the Dreamer/Change the Dream Symposia of the Pachamama Alliance • Hopefully, my own audible software programs for imaginal visioning, manifestation and integral activism 30

Integrative (“Integral”) Activism

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(2001) 31 (2007)

Integrative (“Integral”) Activism Billiard Ball ~ Cornucopia Causality

(~)

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Alternative Names for the Source of Cornucopic Inspiration • • Schechinah (Jewish) Alayavijnana (Nondual Buddhism) • Sub-quantum Akashic / Imaginal Field (esoteric arts & integral science) 33

Imaginal Visioning and Manifestation

Billiard Ball Causality Imagination / Imaginary Cornucopia Causality Intuition /

Imaginal Visioning

Visualizing Expressive Receptive Active Volition / Willful / Yang Passive Volition / Willing / Yin 34

A Cornucopic Meditation Experience

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Experiencing Imaginal Time Travel

Preprint posted online: http://www.inwardboundvisioning.com/Docs/MentalTimeTravel.ht

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What are the future implications of ...

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Pachamama Alliance Awaken the Dreamer / Change the Dream Symposia Houston contact: Donna Mosher 281-681-8166 [email protected]

38 (2010)

Riane Eisler’s Caring Economics Campaign (2007) Free one hour Webinar training October 5, 2010 www.partnershipway.org

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Thank you for your kind attention...

Q&A

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Extras

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Other Key Sources

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