Transcript osd.state.tx.us

Texas and Lubbock:
Demographic Characteristics
and Trends
Lubbock Chamber of
Commerce
December 13, 2011
Lubbock, TX
Growing States, 2000-2010
2000
Population*
United States
2010
Population*
Numerical
Change
2000-2010
Percent
Change
2000-2010
281,421,906
308,745,538
27,323,632
9.7%
Texas
20,851,820
25,145,561
4,293,741
20.6%
California
33,871,648
37,253,956
3,382,308
10.0%
Florida
15,982,378
18,801,310
2,818,932
17.6%
Georgia
8,186,453
9,687,653
1,501,200
18.3%
North Carolina
8,049,313
9,535,483
1,486,170
18.5%
Arizona
5,130,632
6,392,017
1,261,385
24.6%
15.7% of numerical
change in U.S.
Note: Population values are decennial census counts for April 1, 2000 and April 1, 2010.
Source: U.S. Census Bureau. 2000 and 2010 Census Counts.
Total Population and Components of Population
Change in Texas, 1950-2009
Percent Change
Due to
Year*
Population
Numerical
Change
Natural
Increase
Net
Migration
Percent
Change
Natural
Increase
Net
Migration
1950
7,711,194
--
--
--
--
--
--
1960
9,579,677
1,868,483
1,754,652
113,831
24.2
93.91
6.09
1970
11,196,730
1,617,053
1,402,683
214,370
16.9
86.74
13.26
1980
14,229,191
3,032,461
1,260,794 1,771,667
27.1
41.58
58.42
1990
16,986,510
2,757,319
1,815,670
941,649
19.9
65.85
34.15
2000
20,851,820
3,865,310
1,919,281 1,946,029
22.8
49.65
50.35
2009
24,782,302
3,930,484
2,124,124 1,781,785
18.8
54.04
45.33
*All values for the decennial dates are for the indicated census year. Values for 2009 are for July 1 as estimated by the
U.S. Census Bureau.
Note: Residual values are not presented in this table.
Source: Derived from U.S. Census Bureau Estimates for dates indicated by the Texas State Data Center.
U.S. Gross Domestic Product, 1970-2010
4
Population Change in Lubbock MSA,
1980-2010
County
Crosby
1980
1990
2000
2010
8,859
7,304
7,072
6,059
Lubbock
211,651
222,636
242,628
278,831
Total
220,510
229,940
249,700
284,890
Source: U.S. Census Bureau. 1980 - 2010 Census Counts.
Components of Change for Lubbock MSA,
2000 to 2009
County
Crosby
Population
2000
2009
Change
BirthsDeaths
Migration
Foreign
Domestic
7,072
6,109
-963
336
24
-1,308
Lubbock
242,628
270,550
27,922
18,852
2,636
6,674
Total
249,700
276,659
26,959
19,188
2,660
5,366
Source: U.S. Census Bureau. 2000 Census Count; 2009 Estimate
Texas Total Nonfarm Employment
Quarterly Growth
7
Texas and U.S. Unemployment Rate
8
Texas Residential Permits
and Mortgage Rate, 1990-2010
9
Estimated Annual Net Migration to Texas,
2000-2009
250,000
International
State-to-State
200,000
150,000
100,000
50,000
0
2000 to 2001 to 2002 to 2003 to 2004 to 2005 to 2006 to 2007 to 2008 to
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
Source: U.S. Census Bureau. 2009 Population Estimates.
Percent of Migrants to Texas by
Race and Ethnicity, 2000-2009
52% of all migrants were international
100%
5%
90%
80%
23%
18%
12%
8%
15%
70%
60%
67% of all
migrants
28%
50%
50%
40%
40%
Other
30%
Black
20%
44%
24%
10%
33%
Hispanic
White
0%
Net domestic
migration
(848,702 migrants )
International
migration
(933,083 migrants)
Total
Sources: Percentages of domestic and international migrants by race and ethnicity derived from the 2006-2008 American Community Survey. Total numbers of domestic and
international migrants between 2000-2009 are from Table 4. Cumulative Estimates of the Components of Resident Population Change for the United States, Regions, States,
and Puerto Rico: April 1, 2000 to July 1, 2009, U.S. Census Bureau.
States with Largest Estimated
Unauthorized Immigrant Populations, 2010
State
Estimate
(thousands)
Range
California
2,550
(2,350 - 2,750)
Texas
1,650
(1,450 - 1,850)
Florida
825
(725 - 950)
New York
625
(525 - 725)
New Jersey
550
(425 - 650)
Illinois
525
(425 - 625)
Georgia
425
(300 - 550)
Arizona
400
(275 - 500)
Source: Pew Hispanic Center estimates based on residual methodology applied to March Supplements to the
Current Population Survey (February 1, 2011).
12
Estimated Domestic Migration (2000-2008)
as a Percentage of 2000 Population by County
Legend
-20 to -45%
-19 to -10%
-9 to -5%
-4 to 0%
1 to 5 %
6 to 20%
21 to 30%
31 to 65%
Source: Population Division, U.S. Census Bureau, March 19, 2009.
Map produced by the Texas State Data Center.
13
Estimated International Migration (2000-2008) as a
Percentage of 2000 Population by County
Legend
0-1%
1-2.5%
2.5-3.5%
3.5-5%
5-10%
Source: Population Division, U.S. Census Bureau, March 19, 2009.
Map produced by the Texas State Data Center.
14
Texas Racial and Ethnic Composition,
2000 and 2010
2010
2000
Hispanic
or Latino
32%
NH
Other
4%
Hispanic
or Latino
38%
NH
White
53%
NH Black
11%
Source: U.S. Census Bureau. 2000 and 2010 Census Counts.
NH White
45%
NH Other
6%
NH Black
11%
Texas Population Pyramid
by Race/Ethnicity, 2010
Male White, Non-Hispanic
Male Hispanic
Male Black, Non-Hispanic
Male Asian, Non-Hispanic
Male Other, Non Hispanic
Female White, Non-Hispanic
Female Hispanic
Female Black, Non-Hispanic
Female Asian, Non-Hispanic
Female Other, Non Hispanic
100 to 104 years
95 years
90 years
85 years
80 years
75 years
70 years
65 years
60 years
55 years
50 years
45 years
40 years
35 years
30 years
25 years
20 years
15 years
10 years
5 years
Under 1 year
200,000
150,000
Source: U.S. Census Bureau. 2010 Census Summary File 1.
100,000
50,000
0
50,000
100,000
150,000
200,000
16
Texas Population Pyramid
by Race/Ethnicity, 2010
Male White, Non-Hispanic
Female White, Non-Hispanic
100 to 104 years
95 years
90 years
85 years
80 years
75 years
70 years
65 years
60 years
55 years
50 years
45 years
40 years
35 years
30 years
25 years
20 years
15 years
10 years
5 years
Under 1 year
200,000
150,000
Source: U.S. Census Bureau. 2010 Census Summary File 1.
100,000
50,000
0
50,000
100,000
150,000
200,000
17
Texas Population Pyramid
by Race/Ethnicity, 2010
Male Hispanic
Male Black, Non-Hispanic
Male Asian, Non-Hispanic
Male Other, Non Hispanic
Female Hispanic
Female Black, Non-Hispanic
Female Asian, Non-Hispanic
Female Other, Non Hispanic
100 to 104 years
95 years
90 years
85 years
80 years
75 years
70 years
65 years
60 years
55 years
50 years
45 years
40 years
35 years
30 years
25 years
20 years
15 years
10 years
5 years
Under 1 year
200,000
150,000
Source: U.S. Census Bureau. 2010 Census Summary File 1.
100,000
50,000
0
50,000
100,000
150,000
200,000
18
Population Pyramid , Lubbock County, 2010
Male
Female
1000
0
105 to 109 years
96 years
91 years
86 years
81 years
76 years
71 years
66 years
61 years
56 years
51 years
46 years
41 years
36 years
31 years
26 years
21 years
16 years
11 years
6 years
1 year
5000
4000
3000
Source: U.S. Census Bureau. 2010 Census Summary File 1.
2000
1000
2000
3000
4000 19 5000
Total Population by County, 2010
Legend
co48_d00
'PROJECTIONS X$'.totpop10
82 - 10,000
10,001 - 50,000
50,001 - 100,001
100,001 - 500,001
500,001 - 1,000,000
1,000,001 - 4,100,000
Source: U.S. Census Bureau. 2010 Census Count.
Map produced by the Texas State Data Center.
20
Numeric Change of Total Population by
County, 2000-2010
Legend
co48_d00
'PROJECTIONS X$'.totpopch0010
-3,200 - 0
1 - 10,000
10,001 - 50,000
50,001 - 100,000
100,001 - 700,000
Source: U.S. Census Bureau. 2000 and 2010 Census Counts.
Map produced by the Texas State Data Center.
21
Water
Percent Change of Total Population
by County, 2000-2010
'PROJECTIONS X$'.pctch0010
-20%-0%
1%-10%
10.1-25%
25.1%-50%
50.1%-82%
Physicians per 1,000 Population 2010
'PROJECTIONS X$'.difphys
-3 to -0.5
Population increase for
Texas was 20.6%-0.49 to -.001
during this period.0
.001 to .5
.51-2.1
Source: U.S. Census Bureau. 2000 and 2010 Census Counts.
Map produced by the Texas State Data Center.
22
Numeric Change in Hispanic Population
by County,
Numeric Change Hispanic
2000-20102000-2010
nch_hsp0010
-1,200 - 0
1 - 1,000
1,001 - 5,000
5,001 - 15,000
15,001 - 25,000
25,001 - 56,000
Source: U.S. Census Bureau. 2000 and 2010 Census Counts.
Map produced by the Texas State Data Center.
23
Percent of Population That Is Foreign Born
by County, 2005-2009
Percent Foreign Born
0-5%
5-10%
10-15%
15-25%
25-35%
Source: U.S. Census Bureau. American Community Survey,
5-Year Sample 2005-2009.
Map produced by the Texas State Data Center.
Housing Characteristics,
Texas and Selected Counties, 2010
Percent Vacant
Housing Units
Owner-occupied
Housing Units
Average Household
Size of OwnerOccupied Units
Texas
9.4
63.8
2.87
Brazos
6.5
45.6
2.8
Lubbock
8
59.2
2.67
Midland
11.1
69.6
2.84
Nueces
10.3
61.3
2.91
Randall
4.7
70.3
2.65
Smith
8.4
69.7
2.67
Taylor
9.2
61.6
2.62
Wichita
9.1
62.3
2.56
Source: U.S. Census Bureau. 2010 Census Summary File 1.
25
Percent of the Civilian Labor Force
Employed
Percent of CLF employed
Percent Employed / none
49-55%
55.1-60%
Potter
Randall
60.1-62.5%
62.6-65%
Wichita
Grayson
Lubbock
65.1-70.5%
Denton Collin
Parker Dallas
Tarrant
Ellis
Johnson
Population
Taylor
El Paso
Smith Gregg
Ector Midland
McLennan
Bell
Williamson
Travis
Hays
Guadalupe
Bexar
Webb
Source: U.S. Census Bureau. American Community Survey,
3-Year Sample 2008-2010.
Map produced by the Texas State Data Center.
Brazos
Montgomery
Jefferson
Harris
Fort Bend Galveston
Brazoria Galveston
Nueces
Hidalgo
Cameron
26
Percent of People with Health Insurance
Over the Last 12 Months
Percent with health insurance
With health insurance coverage / none
63-65%
Potter
Randall
65.1-70%
70.1-75%
75.1-80%
Wichita
Grayson
Lubbock
Denton Collin
80.1-85.6%
Population
El Paso
Parker Dallas
Tarrant
Ellis
Johnson
Taylor
Smith Gregg
Ector Midland
McLennan
Bell
Williamson
Travis
Hays
Guadalupe
Bexar
Webb
Source: U.S. Census Bureau. American Community Survey,
3-Year Sample 2008-2010.
Map produced by the Texas State Data Center.
Brazos
Montgomery
Jefferson
Harris
Fort Bend Galveston
Brazoria Galveston
Nueces
Hidalgo
Cameron
27
Median Household Income
by County, 2005-2009
$18,000-30,000
$ 30,000-35,000
$ 35,000-40,000
$40,000-50,000
$ 50,000-76,000
Source: U.S. Census Bureau. American Community Survey,
5-Year Sample 2005-2009.
Map produced by the Texas State Data Center.
Percent of Families Whose Income was Below Poverty in
the Last 12 months
Percent of families below poverty past 12 months
PERCENTAGE OF FAMILIES AND PEOPLE WHOSE INCOME IN THE PAST 12 MO / none
4.6-5%
5.1-10%
Potter
Randall
10.1-15%
15.1.20%
Wichita
Grayson
Lubbock
20.1-30.5%
Denton Collin
Parker Dallas
Tarrant
Ellis
Johnson
Population
Taylor
El Paso
Smith Gregg
Ector Midland
McLennan
Bell
Williamson
Travis
Hays
Guadalupe
Bexar
Webb
Source: U.S. Census Bureau. American Community Survey,
3-Year Sample 2008-2010.
Map produced by the Texas State Data Center.
Brazos
Montgomery
Jefferson
Harris
Fort Bend Galveston
Brazoria Galveston
Nueces
Hidalgo
Cameron
29
Race/Ethnic Composition by Education Level in the Labor
Force (aged 25 years and more), Texas, 2009
3%
9%
19%
15%
6%
8%
67%
71%
Less Than High School
College and Greater
Source: Derived from 2009 American Community Survey 1-Year Estimates by the Office of the State Demographer. 30
Projected Percent of Labor Force by Educational
Attainment in Texas, 2000 and 2040
35.0
30.1
30.0
29.0
28.7
28.7
23.9
Percent
25.0
20.0
18.8
18.2
15.0
12.9
10.0
5.3
5.0
4.4
0.0
No High School Diploma High School Graduate
Some College
2000
Bachelor's Degree
2040
Source: Texas State Data Center. 2008 Population Projections, 1.0 Migration Scenario.
Graduate/Professional
Degree
Projected Racial and Ethnic Population
Percentages for Texas, 2000-2040
70%
60%
50%
40%
Anglo
30%
Black
Hispanic
20%
Other
10%
2000
2002
2004
2006
2008
2010
2012
2014
2016
2018
2020
2022
2024
2026
2028
2030
2032
2034
2036
2038
2040
0%
Source: Texas State Data Center. 2008 Population Projections, 2000-2007 Migration Scenario.
32
Projected Population Growth in Texas,
2000-2040
Year
Source: Texas State Data Center. 2008 Population Projections.
33
Projected Population
by Texas Counties, 2040
2040 Population
P_40
36 - 1000
1001 - 10000
10001 - 50000
50001 - 100000
100001 - 500000
500001 - 1000000
1000001 - 8000000
Source: Texas State Data Center. Vintage 2008 Population Projections,
2000-2007 Migration Scenario.
Map produced by the Texas State Data Center.
Percent Projected Change of Total Population in
Texas Counties, 2008-2040
35
Demographics & Destiny
36
Contact
Lloyd Potter, Ph.D.
Office: (512) 463-8390 or (210) 458-6530
Email: [email protected]
Internet: http://osd.state.tx.us