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Predicting the Unpredictable - The FCC and
the Future of
Telecommunications and the Internet
David J. Farber
Alfred Fitler Moore Professor of Telecommunication
University of Pennsylvania
And
Co-Director of the Penn Initiative for
Markets, Technology and Policy
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The FCC
What is
structure
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of
the FCCLevel
– Second
– The
Former
Chairman
• Third
Level
– Fourth Level
» Fifth Level
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The Staff
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– Second Level
• Third Level
– Fourth Level
» Fifth Level
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How are decisions made
The FCC
is directed
fivestyles
Commissioners
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Masterbytext
appointed
by the President and confirmed by the
– Second Level
Senate
for 5-year terms, except when filling an
• Third Level
unexpired
term.
– Fourth
LevelThe President designates one of
the Commissioners
» Fifth Level to serve as Chairperson. Only
three Commissioners may be members of the
same political party. None of them can have a
financial interest in any Commission-related
business.
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The new
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the
Commission
– Second
Level
– Mike
Powell
• Third
Level
• What are
the critical
– Fourth
Level
Fifth Level
issues they» face
– Spectrum , spectrum,
spectrum
– Unbundling
– Economic relationships
– The internet!!
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Will the
internet escape regulation
–– Second
Level
• Third
Level of inside the beltway
– The
reality
– Fourth Level
– Security
and
privacy
may
be
the
wedge
» Fifth Level
– The legacy businesses -- will they “give
up”
We
Are
at the
Beginning
of
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a Great Change
The next
yearstext
willstyles
be as wild as
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the
lastLevel
25
– Second
• Third Level will change dramatically
• Technology
– Fourth Level
optical
» Fifth nets
Level
– All
– Wireless of many varieties
– Communicating computers everywhere
The Real
Next
Generation
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Optical Networks
Implications
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– Protocols IP?
–– Second
ProcessorLevel
architecture
• Third Level
– Software
systems
Leveldistributed system -- back to the
• Will it –beFourth
a fully
» Fifth Level
past
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Likely Future (2)
Megabits
to the
home and
the home
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–
––
–
–
XDSL,
Second
Cable, Level
• Third Level
Wireless
– Fourth Level
Fastweb
» Fifth
Levelestablishment -- the carriers
• A challenge
to the
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Broadband Access
Will it to
beedit
open?
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• What does that really mean
– Second Level
• Why worry
• Third Level
– Fourth Level
» Fifth Level
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Mobility
Next generation
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– 3g
– Second
• ClaimsLevel
lots of new services
•• Third
Levelrates but at what cost
Good data
– Fourth Level
• Spectrum!!
And costs
» Fifth
Level
– Bluetooth,
802.11
and the like
• How long can it exist in the chaos of unlicensed space
• Should the FCC establish room for semi-licensed
– The Electronic Bill of Rights for Radios
Security
Be
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Master titleWill
style
the Drivers
The current
vulnerable
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styles
• Points of potential vulnerability
– Second Level
–
–
–
–
Service protocols
• Third Level
Commercial
arrangements
– Fourth Level
Old software
» Fifth Level
Hard to design
security in after the fact
Technology Is Easy -Click to edit Master title style
Society Is Rough
Showtostoppers
ortext
at least
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styles slowers
– Second Level
• Third Level
– Fourth Level
» Fifth Level
The
Next*
Generation
Internet
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style-Citizens
We aretoatedit
a cross
roadtext styles
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• It could evolve to a TV structure for the citizens
– Second Level
– Limited program availability -- just more TV and shopping
• Third
Level
– It
could be
Snowcrash
– Fourth Level
» Fifth Level
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Digital Divide
Will we
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to be
edittwo
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nations?
– Second Level
• Will• Third
we be
two
Level
worlds?
– Fourth Level
Fifth Level
• How and »why
must
we bridge the gap
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Nation States
Taxes
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– Second Level
• Culture
• Third Level
• Rights
– Fourth Level
» Fifth Level
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Individuals
Privacy
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• 1984
fears
– Second
Level
–
–
–
Big
government
• Third
Level
Big brother
– Fourth Level
» Fifth Level
Big business