Transcript House Committee on Redistricting and the House Committee

Texas
Demographic Characteristics and Trends
among Young Texans
Texas Juvenile Probation
Commission Chief's
Conference
February 3, 2011
Austin, TX
25 Million Reasons to be Proud of Texas
(among a few more)
Demographic Highlights
TEXAS is:
big. The population of Texas is the second largest in the United States, approaching 25 million
people (estimated population of 24.8 million people in 2009).7
young. Approximately 28% of Texas’ population is under 18 and only 10% of the population is
older than 65 years.1 Webb County in Texas, has the youngest population in the U.S. with
children younger than 5 comprising 12.8% of the population.7
embracing of culture and diversity. Approximately 9 million or 38% of Texans are of Hispanic
descent, 2.8 million or 12% are African Americans, and 1 million or 4% are other (non-Anglo
mainly of Asian descent).1 In about a decade, it is expected that Texas’ population will have
more persons of Hispanic descent than any other racial or ethnic group.4
a desired place to live and work. Net in-migration to Texas accounts for almost half of the
population growth in recent years.1 More than 171,900 college graduates moved into Texas
each year between 2006 and 2008, placing Texas as 2nd in the Nation by this measure.
Data sources: 1. Texas State Data Center, Population Estimates; 2. U.S. Census Bureau, American Community Survey; 3. U.S. Census Bureau, 2000 Census; 4. Texas State Data Center, Population
Projections; 5. U.S. Census Bureau, Metropolitan Statistical Area Estimates; 6. U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics; 7. U.S. Census Bureau, Population Estimates
2
25 Million Reasons to be Proud of Texas
(among a few more)
TEXAS is:
urban. Texas has three of the top 10 largest cities in the Nation.3 Several of the metropolitan
areas in Texas are among the most rapidly growing in the Nation.5
rural. Texas is the second largest state in the Nation in terms of square miles (268,601) and
approximately 17% of the population lives in rural areas.1
a working state. Texas has a civilian labor force of more than twelve million workers and an
unemployment rate lower than in most States.6
family oriented and multigenerational. Texas ranks 3rd among states for the percent of
households which are married-couple families with children (24.4%).2 Texas ranks 3rd among
states for percent of households which are multigenerational (4.5%).2
growing – fast. Texas gained more population than any other state in the last estimate year
(between July 1, 2008 and July 1, 2009), adding 478,000 people.7 Among cities over 100,000
population in the U.S., 4 of the 10 fastest growing areas are in Texas (2007-2008 change).7
Data sources: 1. Texas State Data Center, Population Estimates; 2. U.S. Census Bureau, American Community Survey; 3. U.S. Census Bureau, 2000 Census; 4. Texas State Data Center, Population
Projections; 5. U.S. Census Bureau, Metropolitan Statistical Area Estimates; 6. U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics; 7. U.S. Census Bureau, Population Estimates
3
Fastest Growing States, 2000-2010
2000
Population*
United States
Percent
Change
2000-2010
9.7
308,745,538
27,323,632
20,851,820
25,145,561
4,293,741
20.6%
California
33,871,648
37,253,956
3,382,308
10.0%
Florida
15,982,378
18,801,310
2,818,932
17.6%
Georgia
8,186,453
9,687,653
1,501,200
18.3%
Arizona
5,130,632
9,535,483
1,486,170
18.5%
Virginia
7,078,515
8,001,024
1,261,385
24.6%
Texas
281,424,602
2010
Population*
Numerical
Change
2000-2010
15.7% of numerical
change in U.S.
Population values are decennial census counts for April 1 for 2000 and 2010.
Source: U.S. Bureau of the Census
4
Total Population and Components of
Population Change in Texas, 1950-2009
Percent Change
Due to
Year*
Population
Numerical
Change
1950
7,711,194
--
1960
9,579,677
1,868,483
1,754,652
113,831
24.2
93.91
6.09
1970
11,196,730
1,617,053
1,402,683
214,370
16.9
86.74
13.26
1980
14,229,191
3,032,461
1,260,794 1,771,667
27.1
41.58
58.42
1990
16,986,510
2,757,319
1,815,670
941,649
19.9
65.85
34.15
2000
20,851,820
3,865,310
1,919,281 1,946,029
22.8
49.65
50.35
2009
24,782,302
3,930,484
2,124,124 1,781,785
18.8
54.04
45.33
*
Natural
Increase
Net
Migration
--
--
Percent
Change
--
Natural
Increase
--
Net
Migration
--
All values for the decennial dates are for the indicated census year. Values for 2009 is for July 1 as estimated by the U.S. Bureau of the
Census.
Source: Derived from U.S. Bureau of the Census Estimates for dates indicated by the Texas State Data Center, University of Texas at San Antonio.
Note: Residual values are not presented in this table.
5
Estimated Annual Net Migration to Texas, 2000 to 2009
250,000
International
State-to-State
200,000
150,000
100,000
50,000
0
2000 to 2001 to 2002 to 2003 to 2004 to 2005 to 2006 to 2007 to 2008 to
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
Source:
U.S. Bureau of the Census 2009 Estimates
6
Estimated Number and Percent of Migrants to Texas
between 2000 and 2009 by Race and Ethnicity
White
Hispanic
Black
Other
Total
Net domestic migration
Number of migrants
Percent of Row Total
371,150
44%
238,866
28%
195,024
23%
43,663
5%
848,702
224,820
24%
469,591
50%
73,140
8%
165,532
18%
933,083
595,970
33%
708,457
40%
268,163
15%
209,195
12%
1,781,785
International migration
Number of migrants
Percent of Row Total
Total
Number of migrants
Percent of Row Total
67% of all migrants
Sources: Percentages of domestic and international migrants by race and ethnicity derived from the 2006-2008 American Community Survey. Total numbers of domestic and international migrants between 2000-2009 are
from Table 4. Cumulative Estimates of the Components of Resident Population Change for the United States, Regions, States, and Puerto Rico: April 1, 2000 to July 1, 2009, U.S. Census Bureau
52% of all
migrants were
international
7
Estimated domestic migration (2000-2008) by
county as a percentage of 2000 population
Legend
-20 to -45%
-19 to -10%
-9 to -5%
-4 to 0%
1 to 5 %
6 to 20%
21 to 30%
31 to 65%
Source: Population Division, U.S. Census Bureau, March 19, 2009. Map produced
by the Texas State Data Center
8
Estimated international migration (2000-2008) by county
as a percentage of 2000 population
Legend
0-1%
1-2.5%
2.5-3.5%
3.5-5%
5-10%
Source: Population Division, U.S. Census Bureau, March 19, 2009. Map produced
by the Texas State Data Center
9
Estimated Unauthorized Immigrant Population by
State of Residence: January 2009 and 2000
12,000,000
10,000,000
8,000,000
6,000,000
4,000,000
2000
2009
2,000,000
0
Source: U.S. Department of Homeland Security.
> 6% of
Texas’
Population
10
Texas Racial and Ethnic Composition,
2000 and 2009
2000
2009
Hispanic
or Latino
32%
Hispanic
or Latino
37%
NH
White
47%
NH
White
53%
NH
Other
4% NH Black
11%
NH
Other
5%
Source: U.S. Census Bureau. 2000 Census count and 2009 Population Estimate
NH Black
11%
11
Estimate percent non-Hispanic Anglo and
Hispanic by County, 2009
non-HispanicEstimated
Anglo Percent Non-HispanicHispanic
Estimated Percent H
Anglo, 2009
LE 10%
LE 10%
GT 10% - LE 25%
GT 10% - LE 25%
GT 25% - LE 50%
GT 25% - LE 50%
GT 50%
GT 50%
12
Source: U.S. Census Bureau Population Estimates
Projected Texas Population Pyramid by
Race/Ethnicity, 2010
Anglo Male
Hispanic Male
Black Male
Other Male
Anlgo Female
Hispanic Female
Black Female
Other Female
85+ yrs
80-84 yrs
75-79 yrs
70-74 yrs
65-69 yrs
60-64 yrs
55-59 yrs
50-54 yrs
45-49 yrs
40-44 yrs
35-39 yrs
30-34 yrs
25-29 yrs
20-24 yrs
15-19 yrs
10-14 yrs
5-9 yrs
0-4 yrs
1200000
800000
400000
0
400000
800000
1200000
13
Projected Texas Population Pyramids by
Race/Ethnicity, 2010
Anglo Male
Anlgo Female
Hispanic Male
Black Male
Other Male
Hispanic Female
Black Female
Other Female
85+ yrs
85+ yrs
80-84 yrs
80-84 yrs
75-79 yrs
75-79 yrs
70-74 yrs
70-74 yrs
65-69 yrs
65-69 yrs
60-64 yrs
60-64 yrs
55-59 yrs
55-59 yrs
50-54 yrs
50-54 yrs
45-49 yrs
45-49 yrs
40-44 yrs
40-44 yrs
35-39 yrs
35-39 yrs
30-34 yrs
30-34 yrs
25-29 yrs
25-29 yrs
20-24 yrs
20-24 yrs
15-19 yrs
15-19 yrs
10-14 yrs
10-14 yrs
5-9 yrs
5-9 yrs
0-4 yrs
0-4 yrs
800000
400000
0
400000
800000
800000
400000
0
400000
14 800000
Total Population, 2009 Estimate
Total Population 2000 Census
Lt 10,000
10,000 - LT 50,000
50,000 - LT 100,000
100,000 - LT 500,000
GE 500,000
Source: U.S. Census Bureau. 2009 Population Estimates
15
Percent Change of Total Population in Texas Counties,
2000-2009
00-09 pop chg
Percent
-35%-0%
0-10%
10-25%
25-50%
50-90%
Population increase for
Texas was almost 19%
during this period
Source: U.S. Census Bureau. 2000 Census Count and 2009 Population Estimates
16
Projected Population Aged Less Than 18 Years by County, 2010
and 2030
2010
Source: Texas State Data Center, Population Projections using 2000-2004 migration scenario
2030
17
Population
of persons lt
18 2010
Projected Non-Hispanic
Black
Population Aged Less
Than 18 by County, Texas, 2010
Sheet1$.total_black10
Dallam Sherman
OchiltreeLipscomb
Hansford
0-1,500
Hartley
Moore
RobertsHemphill
Hutchinson
Oldham Potter Carson Gray Wheeler
1,501-7,500
Deaf SmithRandall
DonleyCollingsworth
Armstrong
ParmerCastro
Briscoe HallChildress
Swisher
Hardeman
Wilbarger
Bailey Lamb Hale Floyd Motley Cottle
Foard
Wichita
7,501-15,000
15,001-50,000
50,000-190,000
ClayMontague Grayson
LamarRed River
Fannin
Cooke
Bowie
DeltaFranklin
Titus
YoakumTerry Lynn Garza Kent
Young Jack Wise Denton Collin HuntHopkins
Haskell
MorrisCass
Camp
Stonewall
Throckmorton
Rockwall Rains
WoodUpshurMarion
ParkerTarrant Dallas
Gaines DawsonBordenScurry Fisher Jones
Stephens
KaufmanVan Zandt GreggHarrison
Palo Pinto
Shackelford
Smith
HoodJohnson
Ellis
Andrews Martin
Eastland
Rusk
Mitchell Nolan Taylor
Henderson
ErathSomervell
Panola
Callahan
Howard
Navarro
Hill
Glasscock
Comanche
Cherokee
Bosque
LovingWinkler Ector Midland
Anderson
Shelby
Sterling Coke
Freestone
RunnelsColemanBrown
Nacogdoches
Hamilton
McLennanLimestone
San AugustineSabine
Ward
Culberson
Mills
Crane Upton
Coryell
Reagan IrionTom GreenConcho
Leon Houston Angelina
Reeves
Falls
Trinity
McCullochSan SabaLampasas
RobertsonMadison
Bell
Schleicher Menard
Polk TylerJasperNewton
Milam
Walker
Pecos
Burnet
Jeff Davis
Brazos
Crockett
Mason Llano
Williamson
San
Jacinto
Burleson Grimes
Sutton Kimble
Hardin
Montgomery
Lee
GillespieBlanco Travis
Orange
Terrell
Waller
Bastrop
Liberty
Presidio
Jefferson
Kerr Kendall Hays
Edwards
Austin
Harris
Fayette
Val Verde
Chambers
Comal Caldwell
Brewster
Real Bandera
Colorado Fort Bend
Guadalupe
Galveston
GonzalesLavaca
Bexar
Galveston
Kinney Uvalde Medina
Wharton Brazoria
Wilson
DeWitt
JacksonMatagorda
Frio Atascosa Karnes
Zavala
Victoria
Maverick
Calhoun
Goliad
Calhoun
McMullen
Bee
Dimmit
Live Oak
RefugioCalhoun
La Salle
Aransas
San PatricioAransas
Jim Wells
Webb
NuecesNueces
Duval
KlebergKleberg
CochranHockley
Crosby
King Knox Baylor Archer
Lubbock
Dickens
Population of persons lt 18 2010
El Paso
Hudspeth
Sheet1$.total_hispanic10
2.000000 - 10000.000000
10000.000001 - 50000.000000
50000.000001 - 100000.000000
100000.000001 - 200000.000000
200000.000001 - 600000.000000
Jim HoggBrooks
Zapata
Kenedy
Kenedy
Starr
Source: Texas State Data Center, Population Projections using 2000-2004 migration scenario
Willacy
Willacy
Hidalgo
Cameron
Cameron
18
Projected
Anglo
Population Aged Less
Population
of Non-Hispanic
persons lt 18
2010
Than 18 by County, Texas, 2010
Sheet1$.totalanglo10
Dallam Sherman
OchiltreeLipscomb
Hansford
0-10,000
Hartley
Moore
RobertsHemphill
Hutchinson
Oldham Potter Carson Gray Wheeler
10,001-50,000
Deaf SmithRandall
DonleyCollingsworth
Armstrong
ParmerCastro
Briscoe HallChildress
Swisher
Hardeman
Wilbarger
Bailey Lamb Hale Floyd Motley Cottle
Foard
Wichita
50,001-100,000
ClayMontague Grayson
LamarRed River
Fannin
Cooke
Bowie
DeltaFranklin
Titus
Jack
Wise
Denton
Collin HuntHopkins
YoakumTerry Lynn Garza Kent
Young
Haskell
MorrisCass
Camp
Stonewall
Throckmorton
Rockwall Rains
Marion
Wood
Upshur
ParkerTarrant Dallas
Gaines DawsonBordenScurry Fisher Jones
Stephens
KaufmanVan Zandt GreggHarrison
Palo Pinto
Shackelford
Smith
HoodJohnson
Ellis
Andrews Martin
Eastland
Rusk
Mitchell Nolan Taylor
Henderson
ErathSomervell
Panola
Callahan
Howard
Navarro
Hill
Glasscock
Comanche
Cherokee Shelby
Bosque
LovingWinkler Ector Midland
Coke
Anderson
Sterling
Freestone
RunnelsColemanBrown
Nacogdoches
Hamilton
McLennanLimestone
San AugustineSabine
Ward
Culberson
Mills
Crane Upton
Coryell
Tom
Green
Houston
Reagan
Angelina
Leon
Reeves
Concho
Irion
Falls
Trinity
McCullochSan SabaLampasas
RobertsonMadison
Bell
Schleicher Menard
Polk TylerJasperNewton
Milam Brazos
Walker
Pecos
Burnet
Jeff Davis
Crockett
Mason Llano
Williamson
San Jacinto
Grimes
Burleson
Sutton Kimble
Hardin
Montgomery
Lee
GillespieBlanco Travis
Orange
Terrell
Waller
Bastrop
Liberty
Presidio
Jefferson
Kerr Kendall Hays
Edwards
Austin
Harris
Fayette
Val Verde
Chambers
Comal Caldwell
Brewster
Real Bandera
Colorado Fort Bend
Guadalupe
Galveston
GonzalesLavaca
Bexar
Galveston
Kinney Uvalde Medina
Wharton Brazoria
Wilson
DeWitt
JacksonMatagorda
Frio Atascosa Karnes
Zavala
Victoria
Maverick
Calhoun
Goliad
Calhoun
McMullen
Bee
Dimmit
Live
Oak
RefugioCalhoun
La Salle
Aransas
San PatricioAransas
Jim Wells
Webb
NuecesNueces
Duval
CochranHockley
Crosby
King Knox Baylor Archer
Lubbock
Dickens
100,000-200,000
200,001-300,000
El Paso
Hudspeth
KlebergKleberg
Jim HoggBrooks
Zapata
Kenedy
Kenedy
Starr
Willacy
Willacy
Hidalgo
Cameron
Cameron
Source: Texas State Data Center, Population Projections using 2000-2004 migration scenario
19
Projectedof
Hispanic
Population
Aged Less Than 18 by
Population
persons
lt 18 2010
County, Texas, 2010
Sheet1$.total_hispanic10
Dallam Sherman
OchiltreeLipscomb
Hansford
0-10,000
Hartley
10,001-50,000
50,001-100,000
100,001-200,000
200,001-600,000
El Paso
Hudspeth
Moore
RobertsHemphill
Hutchinson
Oldham Potter Carson Gray Wheeler
Deaf SmithRandall
DonleyCollingsworth
Armstrong
ParmerCastro
Briscoe HallChildress
Swisher
Hardeman
Wilbarger
Bailey Lamb Hale Floyd Motley Cottle
Foard
Wichita
ClayMontague Grayson
LamarRed River
Fannin
Cooke
Bowie
DeltaFranklin
Titus
Jack
Wise
Denton
Collin HuntHopkins
YoakumTerry Lynn Garza Kent
Young
Haskell
MorrisCass
Camp
Stonewall
Throckmorton
Rockwall Rains
Marion
Wood
Upshur
ParkerTarrant Dallas
Gaines DawsonBordenScurry Fisher Jones
Stephens
KaufmanVan Zandt GreggHarrison
Palo Pinto
Shackelford
Smith
HoodJohnson
Ellis
Andrews Martin
Eastland
Rusk
Mitchell Nolan Taylor
Henderson
ErathSomervell
Panola
Callahan
Howard
Navarro
Hill
Glasscock
Comanche
Cherokee Shelby
Bosque
LovingWinkler Ector Midland
Coke
Anderson
Sterling
Freestone
RunnelsColemanBrown
Nacogdoches
Hamilton
McLennanLimestone
San AugustineSabine
Ward
Culberson
Mills
Crane Upton
Coryell
Tom
Green
Houston
Reagan
Angelina
Leon
Reeves
Concho
Irion
Falls
Trinity
McCullochSan SabaLampasas
RobertsonMadison
Bell
Schleicher Menard
Polk TylerJasperNewton
Milam Brazos
Walker
Pecos
Burnet
Jeff Davis
Crockett
Mason Llano
Williamson
San Jacinto
Grimes
Burleson
Sutton Kimble
Hardin
Montgomery
Lee
GillespieBlanco Travis
Orange
Terrell
Waller
Bastrop
Liberty
Presidio
Jefferson
Kerr Kendall Hays
Edwards
Austin
Harris
Fayette
Val Verde
Chambers
Comal Caldwell
Brewster
Real Bandera
Colorado Fort Bend
Guadalupe
Galveston
GonzalesLavaca
Bexar
Galveston
Kinney Uvalde Medina
Wharton Brazoria
Wilson
DeWitt
JacksonMatagorda
Frio Atascosa Karnes
Zavala
Victoria
Maverick
Calhoun
Goliad
Calhoun
McMullen
Bee
Dimmit
Live
Oak
RefugioCalhoun
La Salle
Aransas
San PatricioAransas
Jim Wells
Webb
NuecesNueces
Duval
CochranHockley
Crosby
King Knox Baylor Archer
Lubbock
Dickens
KlebergKleberg
Jim HoggBrooks
Zapata
Kenedy
Kenedy
Starr
Willacy
Willacy
Hidalgo
Cameron
Cameron
Source: Texas State Data Center, Population Projections using 2000-2004 migration scenario
20
Projected Population Growth in Texas, 2000-2040
Year
Source:
Texas State Data Center 2008 Population Projections
21
Projected Racial and Ethnic Percent, Texas, 2000-2040
70%
60%
50%
40%
Anglo
30%
Black
Hispanic
20%
Other
10%
2000
2002
2004
2006
2008
2010
2012
2014
2016
2018
2020
2022
2024
2026
2028
2030
2032
2034
2036
2038
2040
0%
Source: Texas State Data Center 2008 Population Projections , 2000-2007 Migration Scenario
22
Projected Population of Persons Aged Less that 18 years
by Sex, Texas, 2010-2040
10000000
9000000
8000000
7000000
6000000
Total
5000000
Total Male
4000000
Total Female
3000000
2000000
1000000
Source: Texas State Data Center 2008 Population Projections , 2000-2004 Migration Scenario
2040
2038
2036
2034
2032
2030
2028
2026
2024
2022
2020
2018
2016
2014
2012
2010
0
23
Projected Racial and Ethnic Population of Males Aged
Less that 18 years, Texas, 2010-2040
5000000
4500000
4000000
3500000
3000000
Total Male
2500000
Anglo Male
Black Male
2000000
Hispanic Male
1500000
Other Male
1000000
500000
Source: Texas State Data Center 2008 Population Projections , 2000-2004 Migration Scenario
2040
2038
2036
2034
2032
2030
2028
2026
2024
2022
2020
2018
2016
2014
2012
2010
0
24
Percent of the population 5 and over who speak
English less than very well by state, 2009
25
20
15
10
5
0
Source: American Community Survey, 2009
25
Percent of the population 5 and over who speak
Spanish at home, 2009
35
30
25
20
15
10
5
0
Source: American Community Survey, 2009
26
Percent of population that is foreign born, 2005-2009
Percent Foreign Born
0-5%
5-10%
10-15%
15-25%
25-35%
Source: U.S. Census Bureau, American Community Survey, 5-Year Sample 2005-2009
27
Percent of the population 5 and over who speak
at home,
Percent agedSpanish
5 years
plus2005-2009
who speak Spanish at
0-10%
10-25%
25-50%
50-75%
75-96%
Source: U.S. Census Bureau, American Community Survey, 5-Year Sample 2005-2009
28
Percent of Households that are Linguistically Isolated, by
County, 2005-2009
Pct of HH that are LIHH
Dallam Sherman
OchiltreeLipscomb
Hansford
Hutchinson
Hartley
Moore
RobertsHemphill
PHHLI
Oldham
0-5%
Potter Carson Gray Wheeler
Deaf Smith Randall
DonleyCollingsworth
Armstrong
5.1-10%
Parmer Castro SwisherBriscoe Hall Childress
10.1-15%
15.1-25%
Hardeman
Floyd Motley Cottle
Wilbarger
Wichita
Foard
CochranHockley
Crosby Dickens King
Lubbock
Knox Baylor Archer
Bailey Lamb
Hale
Clay
Lamar Red River
MontagueCooke Grayson Fannin
Bowie
Delta
Titus
Wise
Denton
Collin
Yoakum Terry Lynn Garza Kent
Young
Hunt Hopkins
Haskell
Morris Cass
Franklin
Stonewall
Throckmorton
Rockwall Rains
Marion
Wood
Upshur
Parker Tarrant Dallas
Gaines DawsonBorden Scurry Fisher Jones
Stephens
Palo Pinto
KaufmanVan Zandt
GreggHarrison
Shackelford
Smith
HoodJohnson
Ellis
Eastland
Andrews Martin Howard
Panola
Henderson
Mitchell Nolan Taylor Callahan
ErathSomervell
Rusk
Navarro
Hill
Glasscock
Comanche
Shelby
Cherokee
Bosque
Loving Winkler Ector Midland
Coke
Anderson
Sterling
RunnelsColemanBrown
Freestone
Nacogdoches
Hamilton
Limestone
McLennan
Ward
Culberson
Mills
San AugustineSabine
Crane
Coryell
Tom Green
Upton Reagan
Angelina
Leon Houston
Reeves
Irion
Falls
Concho
Lampasas
Trinity
San
Saba
McCulloch
RobertsonMadison
Bell
Schleicher Menard
Polk Tyler JasperNewton
Burnet
Milam
Walker
Pecos
Jeff Davis
Brazos
Crockett
Mason Llano
Williamson
Grimes San Jacinto
Burleson
Kimble
Sutton
Hardin
Montgomery
Travis
Lee
Gillespie Blanco
Washington
Orange
Terrell
Bastrop
Liberty
Waller
Presidio
Hays
Kerr
Jefferson
Edwards
Austin
Harris
Kendall
Fayette
Val Verde
Chambers
Real
Comal Caldwell
Brewster
Bandera
Colorado
Galveston
Guadalupe
Fort Bend
Gonzales Lavaca
Bexar
Galveston
Kinney Uvalde Medina
Wharton
Brazoria
Wilson
DeWitt
JacksonMatagorda
Frio Atascosa Karnes
Zavala
Victoria
Maverick
Calhoun
Goliad
Calhoun
McMullen
Calhoun
Bee
Dimmit
Live Oak
RefugioCalhoun
La Salle
Aransas
San PatricioAransas
Jack
25.1-40%
El Paso
Hudspeth
Webb
Jim Wells
Nueces Nueces
Duval
KlebergKleberg
Zapata
Brooks Kenedy
Jim Hogg
Kenedy
WillacyWillacy
Starr
Hidalgo
Cameron
Cameron
Source: U.S. Census Bureau, American Community Survey, 5-Year Sample 2005-2009
29
Percent of population aged 25 years and older
with high school or equivalent degree or higher
2005-2009
Percent 25+ with High School Degree
45-55%
55-65%
65-75%
75-85%
85-98%
Source: U.S. Census Bureau, American Community Survey, 5-Year Sample 2005-2009
30
Percent of population aged 25 years and older
with Bachelors degree or higher. 2005-2009
Percent 25 + with Bachelors
6-15%
15-20%
20-25%
25-35%
35-50%
Source: U.S. Census Bureau, American Community Survey, 5-Year Sample 2005-2009
31
Educational Attainment in Texas, 2009
Level of
Educational
Attainment
Percent of
persons aged
25 years and
older
State
Ranking
High school
diploma or
equivalency
79.9%
50
Bachelors
25.5%
31
Graduate
8.5%
33
Source: U.S. Census Bureau, American Community Survey, 2009.
32
Educational Attainment in 2000
in Texas for Persons 25+ Years
of Age By Race/Ethnicity
College or More
Some College
High School
100%
< High School
90%
80%
70%
Percent
60%
50%
40%
30%
20%
10%
0%
33
Projected Percent of Labor Force by Educational
Attainment in Texas, 2000 and 2040
Percent
35
30.1
29
28.7
28.7
30
23.9
25
18.8
18.2
20
12.9
15
10
5.3
4.4
5
0
No High
School Diploma
High School
Graduate
Some
College
2000
* Projections are shown for the 1.0 scenario
Bachelor's
Degree
Graduate/Prof.
Degree
2040
34
Texas economy
2nd largest in
the U.S.
15th largest
in the world
based on
GDP
Source: CNBC.com
35
Demographics and Destiny
36
Contact
Lloyd Potter, Ph.D.
Office: (210) 458-6530
Email: [email protected]
Internet: TXSDC.utsa.edu
37