Transcript Slide 1
Moving Forward
Presentation to the Commission
April 1, 2011
The Challenge Set by President
Obama
“By 2020, America will once again have
the highest proportion of college
graduates in the world.”
February 24, 2009
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What We Know
U.S. Lags Other Countries in Higher Education
Completion
Lifetime Earnings Are Greater for Those with More
Education
Annual Income Increases with Additional Education
Unemployment During Recessions is Worst for Those
with Least Education
By 2018, 54% of Illinois Jobs Will Require Associate’s
Degree or More
Currently, 41% of IL Residents Age 25 – 64 have an
Associate’s or More
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Unemployment is greater for
those with less education
2009 Unemployment Rate
16.0%
14.6%
14.0%
12.0%
9.7%
10.0%
8.0%
6.8%
5.2%
6.0%
4.0%
2.5%
2.0%
0.0%
HS Dropout
Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics, 2009
HS Graduate
Associate's
Bachelor's
Master's +
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Students-in-Need Do Not Complete College
% Of Students Who Complete Within 12 Years Of Graduating 8th
Grade By Income Quintile
60%
52%
50%
39%
40%
30%
20%
10%
24%
11%
0%
Lowest
2nd Lowest
Top 3
Overall Average
Income Quintiles
Source: Goldberger, Susan, “Doing the Math: What It Means to Double the Number of Low-Income College Graduates,” Minding the Gap:
Why Integrating High School with College Makes Sense and How to Do It, 2007.
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Big Goal
Help Illinois Increase to 60% the Proportion of
Adults with a High Quality Post-Secondary
Credential by 2025
Specifically, Help Illinois Increase to At Least 45%
the Post-Secondary Attainment Rate of Low-
Income Students
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Goal is Consistent with Major
Foundation Goals
Lumina’s “Big Goal”: Increase the proportion of
Americans with high-quality degrees and credentials
to 60 percent by the year 2025
Gates Foundation Goal: Double the number of lowincome adults who earn a college degree or credential
with genuine marketplace value by age 26
Complete College America: Only national
organization focused solely on supporting states to
dramatically improve college completion rates.
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ISAC Can Help Illinois Meet College
Attainment Goal
I. Build external support to foster systemic
change
II. Provide high quality, informed research
III. Improve high school to college transition
IV. Support students in college or returning to
college
V. Help families pay for college
VI. Align agency financial strategies and
support services with program goals
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I. Build External Support for Big
Goal
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Build External Support for Big Goal
Many Adopted the 60% by 2025 Goal:
P-20 Council
Higher Education Finance Commission
IBHE Public Agenda
Lieutenant Governor visiting campuses to promote “60 x 25”
Complete College America
Lieutenant Governor, Legislators, IBHE, ICCB, ISAC, University
Chancellors, Business Members--strategies to reach 60 x 25
Senator Maloney’s SB 1773-funding for higher education based on
completion performance
Representative Pritchard’s HB 1710-builds on the College Illinois
Corps to provide outreach activities for students who would be first in
their families to attend college
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II. Provide High Quality,
Informed Research
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Provide High Quality, Informed
Research
Build Database to Measure Progress Toward Goal
Maintain Active Role in Longitudinal Data System
Development As Superior Research Tool
Emphasize Program Evaluation of ISAC Efforts and
Partnerships
Engage Outside Researchers in Higher Education
Policy Questions
Lead Higher Education Research Partnership
Make Research Available and Accessible
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III. Improve High School to
College Transition for Studentsin-Need
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Large Portions of Illinois have Less Than 50%
College Completion
Regional Gaps in College Attainment
Hamper Economic Growth
Percent of population, 25-64, with associate’s degree or higher.
Regional variations in college credentials show large gaps — and
opportunities — in raising the level of educational attainment in
Illinois.
Source: 2006 ACS (PUMS)
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Summary of the Problem
Source: “The Illinois Public Agenda for College and Career Success,” Illinois Board of Higher
Education, 2009, p 4.
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Improve High School to College
Transition for Students-in-Need
Expand ISAC Role in College and Career Planning,
including Outreach, Match to the Right School,
Financial Aid Awareness, Support, Good DecisionMaking, and Program Quality
Expand College Illinois Corps
Develop Formalized Certification for Counselors and
College Access Professionals
Take FAFSA Completion Initiative Statewide
Provide Tools for Schools and Students, including
What’s Next Illinois and transcript service
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IV. Support Students in College
or Returning to College
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Current educational levels are not
sufficient for the jobs of 2018
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Support Students in College or
Returning to College
Develop Strategies for:
Students who were in College Illinois Corps programs
and are now in college
Recipients of ISAC-administered Programs- MAP,
including 2+2 Pilot
Adults Returning to School
Veterans
Postsecondary Institutions – ISAC’s interaction and
support
Evaluate How Call Center Can Advance Completion
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V. Help Families Pay for College
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Help Families Pay for College
Reduce Financial Barriers through:
College Illinois! Prepaid Tuition Program
17 ISAC-administered Gift Assistance Programs
Monetary Award Program (MAP)
Recognize role of loans in reaching completion
goal
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VI. Align Agency Financial and
Support Services with Program
Goals
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Align Agency Financial Strategies and
Support Services with Program Goals
Recognize Role of Debt Management, IDAPP and
Other Areas in Generating and Managing Revenue to
Support Agency
Redesign Internal Budget Development Process to
Focus on Goals
Review and Realign Regulations with Completion
Goal
Evaluate Ways Agency Support Units Can Align with
Strategic Direction
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Summary of Strategic Direction
I. Build external support to foster systemic
change
II. Provide high quality, informed research
III. Improve high school to college transition
IV. Support students in college or returning to
college
V. Help families pay for college
VI. Align agency financial strategies and
support services with program goals
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U.S. Lags Other Countries in Higher
Education Completion
Percent of Adults with Associates Degrees or Higher by Age-Group
Leading OECD Countries and the U.S. (2006)
Source: OECD, Education at a Glance (2008)
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Individual Return to Education: Lifetime Earnings
Are Greater for Those with More Education
Source: Georgetown University Center on Education and the Workforce, Help Wanted: Projections of Jobs and Education
Requirements through 2018, June 2010, Figure 5.6
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Annual Income Increases with
Additional Education
Source: US Census, Current Population Survey
140,000
120,000
100,000
professional
phd
master’s
80,000
60,000
bachelor’s
associate
some college
high school
40,000
20,000
-
From presentation by Dewayne Matthews, Lumina Foundation, to
IBHE, June, 2010
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Unemployment During Recessions is Worst for those with the
Least Education
Source: US Census, Current Population Survey
Recession of
November 73
to March 75
Recession of
January 80 to
July 80
Recession of
July 81 to
November 82
Recession of
July 90 to
March 91
16%
Recession of
March 01 to
November 01
Recession of
December 07
to present
High school
dropout
14%
12%
High school
graduate
10%
Some college
8%
6%
Bachelor’s
4%
2%
0%
From presentation by Dewayne Matthews, Lumina Foundation, to IBHE, June, 2010
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By 2018, 54% of Illinois Jobs Will
Require Associate’s Degree or More
Education Level
TOTAL
Projected Jobs in 2018
% of Jobs
6,901,000
100%
HS Dropout
699,000
10%
HS Graduate
1,820,000
26%
621,000
9%
3,761,000
54%
Associate’s
1,510,000
22%
Bachelor’s
1,468,000
21%
783,000
11%
Some College, No Degree
SUBTOTAL: Jobs Requiring
Associate’s or Higher
Graduate
Source: Help Wanted report
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Currently, 41% of IL Residents Age 25 – 64
Have Associate’s Degree or More
341,962
465,668
816,132
Less than 9th Grade
No Diploma
HS Graduate
1,407,451
1,715,637
Some College
Associate's
Bachelor's
559,536
1,514,533
Source: Lumina Foundation from U.S. Census Bureau, 2008,American Community
Survey, www.luminafoundation.org/state_data/illinois.html
Graduate or Professional
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