Transcript Slide 1

A Systems Approach to HSCB
• Geo-Political Environment
– Military
– NGO, DoS, etc.
• Human Environment
• Power Environment
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A Systems Approach
• Deterministic Systems
• Chaotic Systems
• Complex Systems
.
.
.
• System of Systems
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Understanding the Military Environment: Range
of Military Operations (ROMO)
Relevance / Capability
Hybrid / Irregular
Warfare
Phase
Traditional
Warfare
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1
2
3
4
Shape
Deter
Seize Initiative
Dominate
Stabilize
Prevent
prepare
Crisis
defined
Assure friendly
freedom of action /
access theater
infrastructure
Establish dominant
force capabilities /
achieve fullspectrum superiority
Establish security
and restore
services
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Enable Civil
Authority
Transfer to
civil authority
and redeploy
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Understanding the Human Environment
 Economic Stability, Growth,
Prosperity
 Law & Order (Rule of Law?)
 Governance
 Food
 Water
 Shelter
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Environment of Power/Influence
Organizations
Tribes
Religion
Institutions
States
Familial
Relationships
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Three Dimensions of the Environment
Key to Understanding the Environment
• Anthropology
• Criminology
• Communication
Sciences
• Education
• Economics
• Geography
• Political Science
• Psychology
• Religion
• Sociology
• and others . . .
 Economics
 Political Science
 Psychology
 Sociology
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Goals Summary
I
IV
Long List
Short List
II
V
POWER
III
Economics
Political Science
Psychology
Sociology
Long List
Long List
Long List
Long List
Functional
Integration
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Goals Summary II
• Need a new Paradigm for “Systems Engineering”
• Applied to Complex System of Systems
• Rigorous despite difficulty in establishing definitions
& cause ability
• Attributes of re-produce ability & scalability
• Data & hypothesis driven
• Ability to forecast outcomes
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QUESTIONS?
QUESTIONS?
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BACK UP
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Decomposition - Sociology
 Demographics
 Crime, Law, and Deviance
 Sex and Gender
 Mathematical Sociology
 Sociology of Law
 Peace, War and Conflict
 Collective Behavior & Social
Movements
 Racial and Ethnic Minorities
 International Migration
 Population Sociology
 Political Sociology
 Political Economy of the WorldSystem
 Children and Youth
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Adapted from American Sociological Association
Human, Social, Cultural
& Behavioral Sciences
Vision
Mastery of the social, cultural and cognitive factors that optimize the
warfighter’s ability to influence human behavior in the full range of
military operations.
Understanding Behavior
Computational Models
Mission
Integrated portfolio to study influence of cultural, social and
cognitive factors on human behavior, develop data collection
methods, build computational models, and validate operationally
applicable tools.
Social Network Analysis
Cross-Cultural Training
Objective
Key Research and Technology Investment Areas
1. Advance the state of the art in social science theory to apply
to Naval missions and challenges.
2. Develop methods and tools to enable socio-cultural data
collection and generation for a range of mission and
environmental conditions.
3. Provide analysis methods and computational models to
support course of action decisions and operational planning.
4. Produce training and education tools and materials to
support cross cultural interaction in support of Naval
missions.
1. Theory and Understanding
2. Data Generation
a.
b.
Methods to collect socio-cultural data in new and austere environments
Methods and tools to generate data
3. Analytics and Modeling
a.
b.
Analysis techniques and tools to support decision makers
Computational Models that incorporate socio-cultural data and knowledge
4. Socio-Cultural Training & Education
a.
b.
c.
Methods and materials to support cross-cultural T&E
Tools for training generalizable cross-cultural skills
Methods and tools to improve warfighter adaptability in cross cultural
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