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Workforce Development Region 2: Report III Nisa Miranda, Director University Center for Economic Development Huntsville/Madison County Chamber of Commerce Huntsville, Alabama CBER & UCED, THE UNIVERSITY OF ALABAMA April 6, 2009 1 Region 2 Workforce Report III: Supply Unemployment of 8.0% in February 2009 with 32,625 out of work means that the region has a roughly 125,000-strong available labor pool, that includes 92,067 underemployed workers who are looking for better jobs. The underemployed are willing to commute farther and longer, some for 20 or more minutes longer (42%) and 20 or more extra miles (29%). Labor Force 406,882 Employed 374,257 Underemployment rate 24.6% Number of underemployed workers 92,067 Unemployed 32,625 Available labor pool 124,692 Note: Based on February 2009 labor force data and 2008 underemployment rate. Source: Center for Business and Economic Research, The University of Alabama; and Labor Market Information Division, Alabama Department of Industrial Relations. CBER & UCED, THE UNIVERSITY OF ALABAMA 2 Region 2 Workforce Report III: Supply About 4,530 more people commuted to the region for work, than commuted out in 2000. 25,574 21,240 There is also very significant commuting within the region. This suggests that roads, highways, and transportation systems must be maintained properly to ensure uninterrupted movement of workers. CBER & UCED, THE UNIVERSITY OF ALABAMA 3 Region 2 Workforce Report III: Supply Congestion is rising in the region as more people are traveling to work and even though average commute time and distance inched down in 2008. Congestion can slow down economic development. Hence the need to maintain transportation infrastructure and systems. Percent of workers Average commute time (one-way) Less than 20 minutes 20 to 40 minutes 40 minutes to an hour More than an hour 2004 59.0 28.0 8.6 1.3 2005/2006 55.0 28.7 9.6 2.0 2008 55.8 31.4 8.2 1.0 Average commute distance (one-way) Less than 10 miles 10 to 25 miles 25 to 45 miles More than 45 miles 2004 46.2 31.6 13.1 4.7 2005/2006 45.7 31.2 13.0 4.9 2008 44.9 37.6 11.2 3.6 CBER & UCED, THE UNIVERSITY OF ALABAMA 4 Region 2 Workforce Report III: Supply The region has better educational attainment and faster population growth than the state. Population growth (2000-2007) Alabama: 4.1% Region 2: 7.7% Projected population growth (2000-2010) Alabama: 8.8% Region 2: 12.2% Educational Attainment (Age 25 and over population, 2000) high school graduates bachelor’s or higher degree Alabama 75.3% 19.0% Region 2 75.8% 20.9% Madison 85.4% 34.3% CBER & UCED, THE UNIVERSITY OF ALABAMA 5 Region 2 Workforce Report III: Supply Prime working age group (20-64) will grow slower than general population. Older worker participation will become important and necessary. Alabama Population by Age Group, Census 2000 and Projections Age Group 0-19 20-24 25-29 30-34 35-39 40-44 45-49 50-54 55-59 60-64 65+ 2000 213,316 47,346 51,060 55,058 64,096 61,995 54,050 50,071 40,575 34,428 94,340 2006 223,443 54,504 48,390 53,394 57,722 64,914 64,768 57,497 51,338 41,293 106,076 2016 231,054 62,633 58,971 57,167 53,907 58,100 61,298 68,164 66,170 55,715 137,109 2025 242,640 62,062 61,152 65,416 63,176 60,399 55,697 61,579 62,384 66,773 176,175 20-64 Total 458,679 493,820 542,125 558,638 Total Population 766,335 823,339 910,288 977,453 3.4% 9.8% 10.6% 8.6% 13.1% 18.7% Change from 2006 0-19 20-64 Total Population CBER & UCED, THE UNIVERSITY OF ALABAMA 6 Region 2 Workforce Report III: Supply Job satisfaction: CS 45.4%; S 32.0%; N 14.9%; D 4.9%; CD 2.4%. Underemployed: CS 29.6%; S 29.6%; N 24.0%; D 10.7%; CD 6.1%. Job aspects: earnings, retention, work, hours, shift, conditions, commute. Workers are most satisfied with the work that they do and least satisfied with the earnings they receive. Underemployed workers are less satisfied with their jobs and they are much more dissatisfied with their earnings. Willingness to train: CW 50.4%; W 12.8%; N 13.3%; U 4.6%; CU 17.5%. Underemployed: CW 62.4%; W 12.0%; N 10.5%; U 3.5%; CU 10.2%. The underemployed are more willing to train: CW + W: 90.7% vs. 80.8% if paid by government CW + W: 55.4% vs. 45.1% if paid by both CW + W: 15.7% vs. 15.1% if paid by trainee CBER & UCED, THE UNIVERSITY OF ALABAMA 7 Region 2 Workforce Report III: Demand The five largest employment sectors provided 222,904 jobs, 63 percent of the regional total, in the second quarter of 2007. Manufacturing * Retail trade Health care and social assistance Professional, scientific, and technical services * Accommodation and food services * Paid more than the $3,123 regional average monthly wage. Highest and Lowest Average Monthly Wages by Industry in 2007, Quarter 2 Professional, scientific, and technical services $5,491 Wholesale trade $4,174 Mining $4,154 Utilities $3,868 Manufacturing $3,786 Accommodation and food services $1,218 CBER & UCED, THE UNIVERSITY OF ALABAMA 8 Region 2 Workforce Report III: Demand Of a total 843 occupations and over the 2006-2016 period, 40 are highdemand (minimum 10 annual job openings, growth- and wagesweighted), 40 are fast-growing (2.81 percent minimum annual growth rate, at least 5 job openings), and 50 are high-earning occupations (least salary is $71,645). The 50 highest earning occupations are mainly in health, management, legal, engineering, computer, postsecondary education, and science fields. Five of the top 10 are in health. Seven occupations are high-earning, fast-growing, and in high demand. 12 are both high-earning and in high demand. 27 are both fast-growing and high-demand. CBER & UCED, THE UNIVERSITY OF ALABAMA 9 Region 2 Workforce Report III: Demand Fast growing jobs (2.81% annual growth minimum in decreasing rank by annual openings 5505; high-demand, growth- and wages-weighted with minimum 10 annual openings; $40K+) Combined Food Preparation and Serving Workers Registered Nurses Computer Systems Analysts Management Analysts Computer Software Engineers, Applications Home Health Aides Network and Computer Systems Administrators Medical Assistants Network Systems and Data Communications Analysts Clergy Logisticians Bill and Account Collectors Dental Assistants Industrial Engineers Dental Hygienists Fitness Trainers and Aerobics Instructors Training and Development Specialists Emergency Medical Technicians and Paramedics Tire Repairers and Changers Physical Therapists Technical Writers Telecommunications Line Installers and Repairers Personal Financial Advisors Veterinarians Database Administrators Medical and Public Health Social Workers Paralegals and Legal Assistants Directors, Religious Activities and Education Occupational Therapists Social and Community Service Managers Mental Health Counselors Veterinary Technologists and Technicians Electro-Mechanical Technicians Physical Therapist Assistants Substance Abuse and Behavioral Disorder Counselors Cardiovascular Technologists and Technicians Pourers and Casters, Metal Helpers, Construction Trades, All Other Physical Therapist Aides Manicurists and Pedicurists Source: Labor Market Information Division, Alabama Department of Industrial Relations CBER & UCED, THE UNIVERSITY OF ALABAMA 10 Region 2 Workforce Report III: Implications and Recommendations Job growth will exceed population and labor force growth through 2025. Strategies to increase the labor force participation rate and population will be needed to address potential shortfalls of about 13,600 to 27,700 workers by 2016 and nearly 54,000 by 2025. CBER & UCED, THE UNIVERSITY OF ALABAMA 11 Region 2 Workforce Report III: Implications and Recommendations Efforts to address the need for higher labor force participation or faster labor force growth or both to meet workforce demand must include: Improving education and its funding Focusing on hard-to-serve populations (e.g. out-of-school youth) Lowering the high school drop-out rate Programs to assess, retrain, and place dislocated workers— especially those affected by outsourcing and economic restructuring—should be continued and enhanced because they can improve the labor force participation rate Using economic opportunities to attract new residents Facilitating in-commuting Encouraging older worker participation CBER & UCED, THE UNIVERSITY OF ALABAMA 12 Region 2 Workforce Report III: Implications and Recommendations The regional economy needs to be diversified and strengthened by retaining, expanding, and attracting more high-wage providing industries because some high-demand and fast-growing occupations are common to lower wage large employment sectors. Investment in education/training and skills development is crucial. Postsecondary education/training with demonstrable skills will be the future minimum requirement for most jobs. The pace of training needs to increase for technical, systems, and complex problem solving skills. The scale of training must be raised for basic and social skills. Workforce development must view both P-20 and other programs (e.g. adult education, worker retraining) as ONE system. Flexibility is key as workforce needs change over time and demand different priorities. Employers should be an integral part of workforce planning. CBER & UCED, THE UNIVERSITY OF ALABAMA 13 Region 2 Workforce Report III: For Your Information Workforce reports and brochures for Region 2 as well as for other regions and the State of Alabama are available at http://www.owd.alabama.gov/downloads.htm Together, workforce development and economic development can build a strong and well-diversified regional economy. Indeed, one cannot achieve success without the other. CBER & UCED, THE UNIVERSITY OF ALABAMA 14