Transcript NCEA Welcome at Clinton Library

Building the Future of
Arkansas
Jim Purcell
Thomas Jefferson:
“I was a revolutionary
so that my children
could farm and so their
children could do art.”
We are all on a journey
"If I could rest anywhere, it would be in
Arkansas, where the men are of the real
half-horse, half-alligator breed such as
grows nowhere else on the face of the
universal earth."
Davey Crockett
State Per Capita Personal Income v. Share of Adult
Population with Bachelor's Degree or Higher (2008)
2002= 19.7%
No state with a low
proportion of
Bachelor’s degrees
has a high per capita
income.
$38,000
$36,000
$34,000
CT
NJ
Per Capita Income
$32,000
$30,000
MD
2008= 18.8%
DE
AK
NV
CA
IL
RI
MN
WA VT
CO
No state with a high
proportion of
Bachelor’s degrees
has a low per capita
income.
WI FL
MI
PA
HI
ME GA
IA
OR KS
MO
AZ
OH
NC
NE
ND
TX
MT
SD
SC
UT
NM
WY
$24,000
IN
TN
AL
$22,000
KY
$20,000
WV
AR
MA
VA
NY NH
$28,000
$26,000
DC
LA
OK
ID
$18,000
MS
$16,000
15%
2008
2007
20% 2005
2006
2002
25%
30%
35%
40%
45%
50%
Percentage of Adult Population with a Bachelor's Degree or Higher
Source: U.S. Census Bureau, ACS 2006
5
Percent of County Population
that hold Bachelors & Higher 2000
Benton
Benton
20.3%
20.3%
Carroll
13.8%
Washington
Washington
24.5%
24.5%
Crawford
9.7%
Sebastian
8.4%
Polk
10.9%
Newton
11.8%
Johnson
13.1%
Stone
9.8%
Van Buren
11.5%
Pope
Conway
11.5%
Yell
10.9%
Montgomery
8.8%
Pike
Howard 10.1%
Sevier 11.6%
16.6%
Little River
9.9%
Searcy
8.4%
Pope
19.0%
19.0%
Logan
9.4%
Scott
16.4%
Fulton
10.5%
Baxter
12.8%
Marion
10.4%
Sharp
9.2%
White
15.5%
Grant
11.0%
Hot Spring
11.2%
Clark
Clark
19.8%
19.8%
Dallas
9.6%
Ouachita
12.7%
Columbia
16.8%
Pulaski
Pulaski
28.1%
28.1%
Saline
9.6%
Garland
18.0%
Calhoun
7.3%
Union
14.9%
Craighead
Craighead
20.9%
20.9%
Jackson
10.3%
Woodruff
8.0%
Mississippi
11.3%
Poinsett
6.3%
Cross
9.9%
Crittenden
12.8%
St. Francis
10.3%
Perry
11.1%
Hempstead
Nevada
11.0%
10.7%
Miller
12.5% Lafayette
9.5%
Cleburne
13.9%
Greene
10.9%
Lawrence
8.5%
Independence
13.7%
Faulkner
Faulkner
25.2%
25.2%
Clay
7.4%
Randolph
10.6%
Izard
11.7%
Madison
10.1%
Franklin
11.0%
Boone
12.7%
Lonoke
14.6%
Prairie
9.0%
Monroe
8.4%
Lee
7.3%
Phillips
12.4%
Jefferson
15.7%
Cleveland
10.0%
Lincoln
7.6%
Arkansas
12.2%
Desha
11.1%
Drew
17.3%
18.1% - 28.1%
Bradley
11.9%
Ashley
10.1%
Arkansas ranked 51st
(16.7%) Nation-wide in 2000
for Bachelors & Higher
Chicot
11.7%
U.S. Census Bureau
Data Set: Census 2000 Summary File 3 (SF 3)
12.0% - 18.0%
6.3% - 11.9%
Percent of County Population
(Associate Degree Holder) 2000
Benton
4.60%
Carroll
3.82%
Crawford
5.40%
Franklin
4.55%
Sebastian
3.69%
Polk
3.95%
Newton
3.35%
Stone
2.50%
Van Buren
3.15%
Conway
2.92%
Sharp
3.75%
Yell
1.80%
Montgomery
4.04%
Grant
2.95%
Hot Spring
4.00%
Clark
3.23%
Dallas
2.99%
Ouachita
4.91%
Columbia
2.86%
Pulaski
4.69%
Saline
4.56%
Garland
4.45%
Calhoun
3.48%
Union
4.18%
Craighead
3.53%
Jackson
3.07%
Woodruff
2.01%
Mississippi
4.00%
Poinsett
2.20%
Cross
3.17%
Crittenden
3.20%
St. Francis
3.76%
Perry
2.71%
Hempstead
Nevada
3.24%
2.42%
Miller
3.99% Lafayette
3.23%
White
3.97%
Greene
2.86%
Lawrence
2.66%
Independence
2.90%
Faulkner
4.15%
Clay
2.55%
Randolph
3.20%
Cleburne
3.97%
Pope
3.45%
Pike
Howard 2.42%
Sevier 3.35%
6.37%
Little River
3.63%
Searcy
3.58%
Johnson
1.97%
Logan
4.02%
Scott
5.07%
Fulton
2.77%
Baxter
4.69%
Marion
4.69%
Izard
4.29%
Madison
2.49%
Washington
3.51%
Boone
5.18%
Lonoke
5.30%
Prairie
3.16%
Monroe
3.23%
Lee
4.30%
Phillips
4.90%
Jefferson
3.27%
Cleveland
3.43%
Lincoln
3.34%
Arkansas
3.16%
Desha
2.13%
Drew
2.84%
4.19% - 6.37%
Bradley
2.32%
Ashley
2.83%
Arkansas ranked 50th (4%)
Nation-wide in 2000 for
Associate Degree Holders
Chicot
2.47%
U.S. Census Bureau
Data Set: Census 2000 Summary File 3 (SF 3)
3.00% - 4.18%
1.80% - 2.99%
Where Arkansas Bachelors Degree
(and higher) Holders live
(2000)
Benton
7.0%
Carroll
0.8%
Crawford
1.1%
Franklin
0.4%
Sebastian
4.3%
Polk
0.5%
Sevier
0.3%
Little River
0.3%
Newton
0.2%
Searcy
0.2%
Conway
0.5%
Sharp
0.4%
Yell
0.5%
Montgomery
0.2%
Pike
0.3%
Grant
0.4%
Hot Spring
0.8%
Clark
0.9%
Dallas
0.2%
Ouachita
0.8%
Columbia
0.9%
Pulaski
Pulaski
23.0%
23.%
Saline
3.2%
Garland
3.9%
Calhoun
0.1%
Union
1.5%
Craighead
3.7%
Jackson
0.4%
Woodruff
0.2%
Mississippi
1.2%
Poinsett
0.4%
Cross
0.4%
Crittenden
1.3%
St. Francis
0.6%
Perry
0.3%
Hempstead
Nevada
0.6%
0.2%
Miller
1.1% Lafayette
0.2%
White
2.3%
Greene
0.9%
Lawrence
0.3%
Independence
1.1%
Faulkner
4.4%
Clay
0.3%
Randolph
0.4%
Cleburne
0.8%
Pope
2.3%
Logan
0.5%
Howard
0.4%
Stone
0.3%
Van Buren
0.5%
Johnson
0.7%
Scott
0.2%
Fulton
0.3%
Baxter
1.3%
Marion
0.4%
Izard
0.4%
Madison
0.3%
Washington
8.0%
Boone
1.0%
Lonoke
1.7%
Prairie
0.2%
Monroe
0.2%
Lee
0.2%
Phillips
0.7%
Arkansas
0.6%
Jefferson
2.9%
Cleveland
0.2%
Lincoln
0.3%
Desha
0.4%
Drew
0.7%
Bradley
0.3%
Arkansas ranked 51st
(16.7%) Nation-wide in 2000
for Bachelors & Higher
60% of all college
AR graduates reside
in 9 counties
23.00%
2.31% - 8.00%
Ashley
0.5%
Chicot
0.4%
U.S. Census Bureau
Data Set: Census 2000 Summary File 3 (SF 3)
0.10% - 2.30%
Where Arkansas Associate Degree
Holders live
(2000)
Benton
6.58%
Carroll
0.95%
Crawford
2.62%
Franklin
0.76%
Sebastian
0.31%
Polk
0.77%
Newton
0.28%
Stone
0.29%
Van Buren
0.53%
Conway
0.56%
Sharp
0.53%
Yell
0.35%
Montgomery
0.38%
Grant
0.46%
Hot Spring
1.17%
Clark
0.64%
Dallas
0.26%
Ouachita
1.34%
Columbia
0.66%
Pulaski
15.90%
Saline
1.19%
Garland
4.01%
Calhoun
0.20%
Union
1.80%
Craighead
2.58%
Jackson
0.54%
Woodruff
0.17%
Mississippi
1.82%
Poinsett
0.53%
Cross
0.56%
Crittenden
1.39%
St. Francis
0.66%
Perry
0.27%
Hempstead
Nevada
0.69%
0.23%
Miller
1.48% Lafayette
0.26%
White
2.41%
Greene
1.01%
Lawrence
0.45%
Independence
0.95%
Faulkner
3.03%
Clay
0.45%
Randolph
0.56%
Cleburne
0.99%
Pope
1.70%
Pike
Howard 0.27%
Sevier 0.45%
6.83%
Little River
0.47%
Searcy
0.37%
Johnson
0.42%
Logan
0.87%
Scott
4.07%
Fulton
0.33%
Baxter
1.95%
Marion
0.78%
Izard
0.59%
Madison
0.33%
Washington
4.74%
Boone
1.72%
Lonoke
2.55%
Prairie
0.30%
Monroe
0.31%
Lee
0.49%
Phillips
1.09%
Jefferson
2.49%
Cleveland
0.28%
Lincoln
0.46%
Arkansas
0.63%
Desha
0.29%
Drew
0.47%
15.90%
Bradley
0.28%
Ashley
0.64%
58% of all
associates
degree
Arkansas ranked 50th (4%)
recipients
reside
Nation-wide
in 2000
for
Associate
Degree Holders
in 12 counties
Chicot
0.32%
U.S. Census Bureau
Data Set: Census 2000 Summary File 3 (SF 3)
1.96% - 6.83%
0.17% - 1.95%
• Strengthening the
Arkansas Education
Pipeline
Percent 96-97 Arkansas 9th Grader’s Progression
into High School and College (percent)
100
74
Fall 2000 College Freshmen
46
41
100%
29
71%
12
16
4
28%
9th Grade
Enrollm ent
High School
Grads
Enrolled
Directly into
College
First-tim e
Full-tim e
Degree
Seeking
Cohort
Retained
After 1 Year
Graduated
Within 6
Years
With
Associate
Degree
With
Bachelor
Degree
96-97 Arkansas 9th Grader’s Progression into
High School and College (number)
37,160
Fall 2000 College Freshmen
27,335
17,116
15,172
100%
9th Grade
Enrollm ent
High School
Grads
Enrolled
Directly into
College
First-tim e
Full-tim e
Degree
Seeking
Cohort
10,701
71%
5,817
1,493
Retained
After 1 Year
Graduated
Within 6
Years
With
Associate
Degree
4,324
28%
With
Bachelor
Degree
Reading Remediation Rates by County
Fall 2007
%Arkansas_cnty.shp
Needing Remediation
12 - 25
26 - 49
50 - 74
First-time entering (full- and part-time) students seeking
an associate or baccalaureate degree.
English Remediation Rates by County
Fall 2007
%
Needing Remediation
Arkansas_cnty.shp
16 - 25
26 - 49
50 - 69
First-time entering (full- and part-time) students seeking
an associate or baccalaureate degree.
Math Remediation Rates by County
Fall 2007
%
Needing Remediation
Arkansas_cnty.shp
23 - 25
26 - 49
50 - 81
First-time entering (full- and part-time) students seeking
an associate or baccalaureate degree.
Unduplicated Remediation Rates by County
Fall 2007
%Arkansas_cnty.shp
Needing Remediation
First-time entering (full- and part-time) students seeking
an associate or baccalaureate degree.
33 - 49
50 - 74
75 - 93
Arkansas Public Universities Six-Year Graduation
Rates (2001 Cohort)
45.9%
Fall Cohort
58.9%
Not Remediated
Any Remediation
Math, Reading and English
Math *
English *
Reading*
0.0%
29.5%
19.2%
28.8%
22.3%
A student who has
to take remediation
graduates at less
than half the rate of
students who come
to college with the
requisite skills.
25.2%
70.0%
Arkansas Public Community Colleges Three-Year
Graduation Rates (2004 Cohort)
Fall Cohort
Not Remediated
Any Remediation
Math, Reading and English
Math *
English *
Reading*
0.0%
21.2%
36.7%
14.6% A student who has
to take remediation
8.9%
graduates at less
14.1% than half the rate of
students who come
11.5% to college with the
requisite skills.
10.8%
50.0%
Cost of Remediation
$53,800,000
Equivalent to the combined budget of seven of
Arkansas’s community colleges.
2007-08 - $65.7 million with $24 million (36%) of
those expenditures subsidized by state general
revenues.
It is our hope that the Arkansas Academic
Challenge Lottery Scholarship will:
Increase college going rates
Increase student success
Prepare more students for high wage high demand jobs
Benefit Arkansas’s economy
The Lottery Act requires students to complete remediation within
the first 30 hours of coursework.
Outreach to High School students:
SayGoCollege
Career Coaches
Education Renewal Zones
Next Magazine
Concurrent Enrollment
1. Strengthening the Arkansas
Education Pipeline
2. Improving Preparation
3. Decreasing Remediation
4. Accessing Financial Aid
5. Increasing Retention and
Graduation
6. Enhancing Funding and
Governance
7. Addressing Data Needs
8. Supporting Economic
Development
9. Issues for Further Study
Legislation
• Developed a Universal scholarship web application. (L)
• Limit tuition-based scholarships cap lowered to 20% with
repercussions. (L)
• The seamless transfer of credits earned in completing an
AA/AS degrees to the universities. (L)
• Established a remediation course exit standard. (L)
• Greater openness of college activities --Developed a
Comprehensive Accountability Report . (L)
• Lottery scholarship greatly expand scholarship offering for
Arkansans (L)
– Traditional and nontraditional students included
– Encourages fulltime enrollment and speed to graduation.
• Expanded Go Grant to adults. (L)
Higher Education Coordinating Board Action
• 10 percent of current formula based upon course
completion. (Policy)
• Doubled degrees needed to be produced to meet
academic productivity threshold. (Policy)
• Altered the academic program review process. (Policy)
• Develop a financial condition report that shows how
higher education spends money. (Policy)
• Changed the metric to determine if an institution was
financially viable to borrow funds. (Policy)
• Extensive professional development on student success
strategies/enrollment management. (Action)
• SayGoCollege initiative. (Grants)
• Career Coaches initiative. (Grants)
• Adult- friendly campuses. (Grants)
What can schools and districts do to
enhance student success?
• Support accelerated college classroom
experiences such as AP and Concurrent
Enrollment.
• Review school and district college going rates and
remediation rates and develop a plan.
• Look at individual test scores of students.
• Seek support from local colleges and universities.
Arkansas Higher Education is Changing
Annual Unduplicated Enrollment, Public Institutions Only
180,000
41 percent increase in enrollment
170,000
Enrollment
160,000
150,000
138,809
140,000
130,000
120,000
110,000
100,000
123,139
173,974
Credit Hours Taken Are Increasing
SSCH of Public Institutions
3,331,478
3,400,000
47 percent increase in credit hours
3,200,000
3,000,000
SSCH
2,800,000
2,647,718
2,600,000
2,400,000
2,266,770
2,200,000
2,000,000
AY1997 AY1998 AY1999 AY2000 AY2001 AY2002 AY2003 AY2004 AY2005 AY2006 AY2007 AY2008 AY2009
Academic Year
Credentials Awarded are Increasing
Credentials Awarded, Public Institutions Only
29,000
79 % increase in credentials
27,833
234 % Certificate of Proficiency
27,000
192 % Technical Certificates
120 % Associates Degrees
Credentials
25,000
23,000
25,019
31 % BA/BS
degrees
49 % Masters
degrees
93 % Doctoral degrees
23,543
22,475
21,608
21,000
19,840
19,000
20,162
18,132
16,674
17,000
15,531 15,498
16,942
15,857
15,000
AY1997 AY1998 AY1999 AY2000 AY2001 AY2002 AY2003 AY2004 AY2005 AY2006 AY2007 AY2008 AY2009
Academic Year
2009 Degrees at Public Institutions
FIRSTPROF,
506 , 2%
OTHER, 201 ,
1%
DOCTOR,
288 , 1%
MASTERS,
3,150 , 11%
CP, 4,026 ,
14%
TC, 3,716 ,
13%
BACH., 9,682
, 35%
ASSOC.,
6,264 , 23%
• Arkansas is currently producing 11,910
bachelor's degrees per year, and at this rate of
production Arkansas will have 337,256 citizens
with bachelor’s degrees, or 22.3%, by 2015 . . .
Arkansas must increase the current production
of bachelor’s degrees by 40% (5,298 more
graduates per year) each of the next six years to
reach the SREB average -- 27%."
civic involvement
volunteer activity by
education levels
50%
45.6% (60 hours)
Percentage Volunteering
B.A. or Higher
40%
34.1%
(52 hours)
Some College
30%
21.7%
(48 hours)
20%
10%
High School
Diploma
9.9%
(48 hours)
Less Than
High School
Diploma
0%
Bureau of Labor Statistics. (2003). Volunteering in the United States, 2003. USDL03-888. U.S. Department of Labor.
civic involvement
blood donation by
education level, 1994:
percentage who donate regularly
Percentage Donating Blood
20%
17%
13%
15%
11%
B.A. or Higher
Some College
High School
Diploma
10%
6%
5%
Less Than
High School
Diploma
0%
Source: DBD Worldwide. (2000). DBD Lifestyle Survey. Chicago. Available at www.bowlingalone.com.
government
participation assistance
programs
education level
24.3%
Less Than
High School
Diploma
10.2%
High School
Diploma
4.6%
Some College
& Bachelor’s
Degree or More
Ever Participated in Assistance Programs
Source: Postsecondary Education Opportunity, May 28, 1997, pg 47.
government
incarceration rates by
education levels
Percentage Incarcerated
2.5%
2.0%
1.5%
1.9%
Less Than
High School
Diploma
1.2%
1.0%
0.5%
High School
Diploma
0.3%
Some College
0.0%
0.1%
B.A. or Higher
Source: Harlow, C.W. (2003). Education and Correctional Populations. Bureau of Justice Statistics,
Department of Justice. NCJ195670.
economic
Percent Below Poverty
Threshold, 2004
Percentage Home Ownership
40%
32%
30%
Less Than
High School
Diploma
20%
15%
10%
High School
Diploma
10%
Some College
0%
Census Bureau
4%
B.A. or Higher
economic
unemployment rates and
education level, 2004
9.7%
10
8
Less Than
High School
Diploma
7.5%
High School
Diploma
6
5.1%
Some College
4
2
0
Source: Employment Policy Institute
4.6%
B.A. or Higher
Quality of Life
Home Ownership
80%
Percentage Home Ownership
75%
B.A. or Higher
69%
70%
60%
High School
Diploma
66%
Some College
58%
Less Than
High School
Diploma
50%
Census Bureau, American Housing Survey for the United States:2005
Safety
Seatbelt Use
while intoxicated, 1990
percentage who use seatbelt
78%
Percentage Donating Blood
80%
66%
B.A. or Higher
60%
52%
40%
39%
Less Than
High School
Diploma
20%
Some College
41%
High School
Diploma
31%
20%
15%
0%
Source: American Journal of Public Health
175
125
Income ($000)
Average
family income
by educational
attainment,
2003
150
100
75
50
25
Source: Postsecondary
Education Opportunity, 2005
0
LT-9 9-12 HSG Some AA BA
College
MA
PhD Prof
The Impact of Education on Individuals:
Lifetime Earnings
Estimated
Lifetime
Earnings
Difference
Compared to
High School Graduate
Less than 9th grade
$976,350
-$478,903
High school dropout
1,150,698
-304,555
High school graduate
1,455,253
0
Some college, no degree
1,725,822
270,569
Associate degree
1,801,373
346,120
Bachelor's degree
$2,567,174
$1,111,921
Master's degree
2,963,076
1,507,823
Doctorate
3,982,577
2,527,324
Professional degree
5,254,193
3,798,940
Education Level
Source: Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas, 2005
Time and Place
Nearly all economic growth and prosperity for
individuals, families, cities, states, and the country
is now driven by college educated workers.
Those individuals, families, cities, states and –
increasingly—countries with the most education
are prospering, while those with the least higher
education are experiencing relative and often
absolute economic decline.
--Postsecondary Education OPPORTUNITY, June 2005.
Jim Purcell
[email protected]
501-371-2030