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Land-use, Sediment and Flood Risk delivered by: Colin Thorne, Nottingham University on behalf of: FRMRC Sediment Research Team www.floodrisk.org.uk EPSRC Grant: EP/FP202511/1 UPLAND CATCHMENTS Catchment Sediment Yields: natural vs intensive pasture Coarse sediment yield 12x greater Melin-y-grug Fine sediment yield 5x greater Pen-y-cwm Pontbren Experimental Catchments Most excess sediment generated from within channel network Henshaw, A.J. (2009) Impacts of land use changes and land management practices on upland catchment sediment dynamics: Pontbren, midWales. Unpublished PhD thesis. University of Nottingham. Available online at http://riverscience.wikidot.com/alex-henshaw UPLAND CATCHMENTS Increased Sedimentation in Engineered vs Natural Channels River Wharfe: sedimentation in engineered channels can lead to significant increases in flood risk. Review of Foresight on Future Flooding commissioned by Sir Michael Pitt (Evans et al., 2008) stated that: “approximately a year and a half of aggradation produced an increase in the flooded area equivalent to nearly half a century of the impact of climate change on catchment runoff.” E.K Raven et al. 2010. Understanding sediment transfer and morphological change for managing upland gravelbed rivers. Progress in Physical Geography 34(1) 23-45. TRAGIC EVIDENCE Cumbrian floods - 2009 • Sediment and vegetation reduced conveyance capacity of engineered channels; • Bank scour damaged properties; • Bed scour led to the collapse of bridges and loss of life; • Extensive overbank deposition of coarse sediments damaged farmland. LOWLAND CATCHMENTS Land use and Sediment Dynamics in the River Tone Sediment Yield (Best Fit with limits) Upstream of Taunton Taunton Downstream of Taunton Halse Water 114 T/km2/yr 10,000 T/yr 6,000 - 16,000 64 T/km2/yr 13,000 T/yr 10,000 - 15,500 Halse Water GS River Tone 83 T/km2/yr 25,000 T/yr 22,500 - 29,000 Bishops Hull GS French Weir River Tone 80 T/km2/yr 23,900 T/yr 21,000 - 29,000 Firepool Weir Knapp Bridge Ham Weir New Bridge River Tone River Tone River Tone 70 T/km2/yr 20,900 T/yr 19,000 - 25,500 60 T/km2/yr 18,000 T/yr 12,000 - 27,000 57 T/km2/yr 17,000 T/yr 12,000 - 27,000 Upper River Tone Elevated sediment yields Localised coarse sedimentation Complex fines deposition – especially at structures SEDIMENT FUTURES Modelling future erosion, sediment and morphological responses to changes in climate and land use Strategic land use management can 2050s intensive substantially reduce erosion and sediment yields Baseline 2050s current 2050s tree strips Land use changes buffer rivers from the worst impacts of climate change Uncertainties are high and further research is needed SEDIMENT & FLOOD VICTIMS • “Drop & collect” questionnaires & interviews: – Carlisle (2005) – Cockermouth (2009) – Boscastle (2004), Lostwithiel, St Blazey (2010) • Cockermouth: initial results – 55 respondents stated damage costs • mean damage/household = £83,000 • 52% of damage attributed to water • 30% of damages attributed to sediment • 18% of damage attrributed to debris – 85 respondents rated life satisfaction • (0 = extremely dissatisfied; 1 = extremely satisfied) • Interviews & thematic analyses : – High anxiety concerning future flooding – Stakeholders believe that sediment management for Conservation pre-empts sediment management for Flood Control TAKE HOME MESSAGES 1. Sediment-related flood risks and damages are significant and flood victims recognise this. 2. Land use management can substantially increase or decrease sediment-related flood risks. 3. Unless we act, future sediment impacts are likely to increase due to climate change. 4. Sediment management for flood risk reduction must be aligned with environmental legislation. ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS FRMRC Sediment Researchers and Advisors Alex Henshaw – Queen Mary, London Nick Wallerstein – Heriot-Watt University Emma Raven – Durham University Ian Dennis – Royal Haskoning Gemma Harvey – Queen Mary, London Jorge Rameirez - - Hull University Phil Soar – Portsmouth University Jenny Mant – River Restoration Centre Clifford Williams – Environment-Agency Chris Parker - University West of England Steve Dangerfield – Nttm University Tim Meadows – Nottingham University Andy Wallis - Black and Veatch Paul Bates - Bristol University Paul Brewer – Aberystwyth University Tom Coulthard - Hull University Simon Gosling – Nottingham University Stuart Lane – Université de Lausanne Mark Macklin - Aberystwyth University Suresh Surendran – Glamorgen University Adrian Collins - ADAS Mervyn Bramley – Independent Jon Rees - NERC Mike Thorn – Independent David Brown - Environment Agency Jim Walker - Environment Agency Sean Longfield - Environment Agency