Transcript Ethiopia Weather Based Indices Project

Early Warning component: LEAP
(Livelihoods – Early Assessment – Protection)
LEAP* Workshop
Jan 21, 2008
Ulrich Hess, Chief of Business Risk Planning
AGENDA
• LEAP Index Principles
• LEAP Design
IMPROVED INDEX –
PART OF RISK MANAGEMENT FRAMEWORK
I. IMPROVED INDEX:
LEAP
Early Warning
System
with reliable baseline
and trigger points
Early Protection against Livelihood
stress in context
LEAP Principles
• LEAP is software: free, open source, simple
• LEAP indices
– Project agricultural yields based on weather parameters
– Estimates potential costs of intervening against acute (crop
failure related) livelihood stress
• LEAP indices are
–
–
–
–
Rainfall driven
Objective
Transparent
Real time
• LEAP indices are NOT
–
–
–
–
Food emergency need indicators
About other (Man-made) disasters
Price shock indicators (yet)
Flood risk indicators (yet)
Livelihood protection cost index (LPCI)





provides a good proxy estimate of the costs of
protecting transient food insecure peoples’
livelihoods at the time of shock;
is independent, objective, verifiable and
replicable;
conveys information in near real-time to ensure
timely and effective response to livelihood stress
Provides early warning of livelihood stress levels
Signal amount of financial resources required
for early livelihood protection at regional levels
LEAP also supports
•
•
•
•
Crop and Pasture monitoring
Irrigation needs assessments
Agro-meteorological zoning
Climate change adaptation needs
assessments
Livelihoods + Early Assessment
+ Protection: LEAP INDICES
• Objective: capture livelihood protection funding
needs at regional level
• Target group: vulnerable population
Weather data
Crop + soil coefficients
Water
Requirement
Satisfaction Livelihood Protection
Index
Beneficiaries
(WRSI)
for Crops + Rangelands
Costs
(Livelihood
Protection
Cost Index LPCI)