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Inequality in the UK Ruth Lupton Presentation at New Economy: 19th June 2014 Outline • Trends in inequality, what’s causing them and why we should be worried • Inequality and local governance: some ideas What is and what is not covered • IN: • Economic inequality (income and wealth) • The overall shape of the distribution, gaps between top, middle and bottom • OUT: • Economic inequalities between groups – e.g. men and women, old and young, Indian and Pakistani heritage • Non-economic inequalities – health, education, recognition, treatment etc Norway Denmark Finland Belgium Austria Sweden Luxembourg Germany Netherlands France Italy 1 0.9 0.8 0.7 0.6 0.5 0.4 0.3 0.2 0.1 0 Canada Australia Greece Spain United Kingdom Portugal United States Gini Coefficient 2010 (After Taxes and Transfers) The UK is a high inequality country (compared with EU 15 and other major Anglophone comparators) UK Gini 0.341 Source: OECD Gini coefficient (after taxes, transfers, before housing costs) The major increase came in the 1980s Not a lot has happened since 0.50 0.45 0.40 0.35 0.30 0.25 0.20 0.15 0.10 0.05 0.00 Source: Institute for Fiscal Studies What’s explaining the trend? ESSENTIALLY: Inequality is a feature of global late capitalism not the product of any particular government • The emergence of the super-rich • The growing professional/middle class in knowledge jobs • The decline in ‘middle’ jobs – craft, trade ,clerical, supervisory • The increase in ‘bottom’ jobs – service sector. Stagnating or falling wages at the bottom BUT: Government can affect these trends (pre-distribution) As well as maintaining levels of benefits and taxing middle and top incomes Norway Netherlands Denmark Sweden Canada Luxembourg Australia Belgium Finland Austria Germany United States Italy France 0.8 Spain Greece Portugal United Kingdom Gini Coefficient (Before Taxes and Transfers) The UK has high pre-tax and pre-transfer inequality 1 0.9 UK Gini 0.523 0.7 0.6 0.5 0.4 0.3 0.2 0.1 0 Source: OECD 1961 1963 1965 1967 1969 1971 1973 1975 1977 1979 1981 1983 1985 1987 1989 1991 1993-94 1995-96 1997-98 1999-00 2001-02 2003-04 2005-06 2007-08 2009-10 2011-12 Ratio Before Housing Costs It’s not all about the super-rich 2.4 2.2 2.0 1.8 1.6 1.4 1.2 1.0 50/10 ratio 90/50 ratio Source: IFS Wealth Inequality is much greater than income inequality (although less targeted by policies) • 90:10 ratio for wealth around 100:1 (compared with 4:1 for incomes) • The wealth to income ratio has grown rapidly since the 1970s. • So/but wealth inequality is much more stable than income inequality (in fact falling on some measures) • BUT, absolute gaps are huge, and widening Source: IFS Why should we be worried about inequality? The main arguments: • • • • Bad for health and social outcomes (Wilkinson and Pickett) Bad for the soul and for social cohesion (Dorling) Bad for social mobility (and therefore for all the above) Bad for the economy, in certain forms (Picketty) But we aren’t clear about mechanisms …. • Status anxiety (depends on reference points)? • Material advantage/disadvantage ? • Separation/separated lives/lack of common identity Or about which inequalities matter… • The very top compared with everyone else (symbolically and through their effects on housing markets)? • The rich compared with the rest ? • The middle compared with the ‘left behind’ poor and the new poor ‘precariat’ • Wealth rather than income, because it • Generates income inequality • Enables investments that embed spatial divisions (eg houses) and block social mobility (eg private education) Or how much spatial inequalities matter … • Is rising inequality within cities a problem, or are the mechanisms national ones? • Is it worse if poverty/wealth are cheek by jowl or if they are separated? Why is the inequality debate in a muddle? • Partly because we don’t have enough evidence of cause and effect • Mainly because widening inequality cannot be considered only as economics: • It shapes the way we relate to one another, think about one another, and organise our activities and spaces. These effects are complex and multi-scalar • These modes of thinking and doing enable/justify/normalise continued inequality. Addressing widening inequality at a local level • If we accept that widening inequality is a product of the kind of growth we have encouraged, but may also be bad for us in numerous ways, what is to be done? • I will: • Focus on the local • Try to think about the non-economics as well as the economics An economic role for local governance in addressing widening inequality • Building pre-distributive economies • Promoting sectors with middle jobs and making sure local people are trained up to get them • Promoting living wages AND reduced wage-gaps, including through procurement • Encouraging ‘good jobs’ with good conditions, training and progression and work-life balance A broader agenda: The Good City (Amin 2006) “An urban ethic imagined as an ever-widening habit of solidarity built around different dimensions of the urban common weal” “nudging the urban public culture towards outcomes than benefit the more rather than the few” ….“the result is the city that learns to live with, perhaps even value, difference, publicise the commons, and crowd out the violence of an urbanism of exclusionary and privatised interest” Source: Amin, A. (2006) The Good City. Urban Studies 43 5/6 pp 1009-1023 Could we, with a stronger imaginary of what a city is, create one less likely to produce economic inequality and more likely to mitigate its effects? Elements of The Good City Four registers of urban solidarity: • Repair and maintenance of “the silent republic of things that make cities work” • universal access to shelter, sustenance, mobility etc • technology – digital access and inclusive/exclusive practices • Relatedness – equal duty of care to insider/outsider, mainstream/margins. Ending the “nasty politics of hate”. Extending the shared commons. • Rights – to shape, experience and benefit from urban public life (including being able to live in the city) • Re-enchantment – civic sociability in public spaces, public art etc. An non-economic role for local governance in addressing widening inequality? • Re-distribution through ‘the social wage’ • Subsidised housing, childcare, health, education, transport • A different language of governance • An emphasis through design, subsidy and partnership, on shared spaces, shared endeavours • Educating for different economic decisions in the future • An economic citizenship curriculum? • A high quality vocational education • Common schools. Tensions: between growth and equality, between targeting and universalism Is the time ripe for a new local politics of greater equality? "We understand that allowing the income gap to stretch further isn't simply a threat to those at the bottom but to every New Yorker.“ What would it look like here?