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The ‘wicked’ problem of alcohol - insights from the data Newcastle upon Tyne North Tyneside Northumberland Lynda Seery Public Health Specialist Starting point – what do we know? (Nationally) Needs Assessment • National Indicator set – NWPHO • Hospital admissions for Alcohol-related harm: Understanding the dataset Service Review • Models of Care for Alcohol Misusers (MoCAM) • Effectiveness review • QuADS, DANOS • HubCAPP, www.alcohollearningcentre.org.uk • National Alcohol Treatment Monitoring System • The Alcohol Needs Assessment Research Project (ANARP) Top priority – do we know what is happening locally? a) Local Needs Assessment? b) Multiple strategies across the patch (all at various stages) - Prevention - Early intervention and treatment - Enforcement and control - Partnership c) Local Service Review? How are we measuring progress? - Are we using effective measures? - Short, medium and long term impact – where does the evidence lie? - Alcohol-related hospital admissions Analysis of hospital admissions • complex indicator • requested dataset 1/7/08 – 31/3/09 • all admissions with any of the 3 codes identified within the spell of care (not necessarily primary diagnosis) – F10 mental & behavioural disorders due to alcohol – K70 alcoholic liver disease – T51 intoxication Individual patient record • postcode level • up to 7 identified codes accepted (but some patients have up to 14 attached codes) • • • • • • • • • 1.00 - wholly attributable to alcohol (main focus) 1411 admissions (707) patients between 141 – 202 admissions each qtr Costs = £2.5m 943/1411 readmissions (66.8%) 239/707 patients readmitted (33.8%) 153 males & 86 females 468/707 patients admitted once (66.2%) age breakdown Newcastle Proportion of population in each age group. Newcastle population as a whole and Newcastle admissions 1/4/07 - 31/3/09 100.0% 85+ 75-84 90.0% 65-74 85+ 75-84 65-74 55-64 80.0% 55-64 70.0% 45-54 45-54 60.0% 35-44 50.0% 25-34 35-44 40.0% 30.0% 15-24 20.0% 25-34 10.0% <15 0.0% Newcastle population 15-24 <15 Newcastle admissions North Tyneside Proportion of population in each age group. North Tyneside population as a whole and North Tyneside admissions 100.0% 85+ 75-84 85+ 75-84 65-74 90.0% 65-74 55-64 80.0% 55-64 70.0% 45-54 45-54 60.0% 50.0% 35-44 40.0% 35-44 25-34 30.0% 15-24 20.0% 10.0% <15 0.0% North Tyneside population 25-34 15-24 <15 North Tyneside admissions Northumberland Proportion of population in each age group. Northumberland population as a whole and Newcastle admission 1/4/07 - 31/3/09 100.0% 85+ 85+ 75-84 75-84 65-74 90.0% 65-74 80.0% 55-64 55-64 70.0% 60.0% 45-54 45-54 50.0% 35-44 40.0% 25-34 30.0% 20.0% 35-44 15-24 25-34 10.0% <15 15-24 0.0% Northumberland population <15 Northumberland admissions Segmentation - understanding the patient layers The ‘patient layers’ fall into the following categories: • Patients admitted to hospital for 1 day or less (no overnight stay) • Patients admitted only once • Patients admitted once for intoxication / patients readmitted for intoxication • Patients with multiple re-admissions for alcoholrelated harm (harmful and dependent drinkers) • Patients with chaotic lifestyles accessing hospital services across the 3 PCT/Local Authority areas • Patients with severe ongoing/end stage illness Patients admitted once only for 1 day or 8 hours or less Admissions by top 10 alcohol related conditions - North of Tyne 1/4/07 - 31/3/09 (patient admitted once for 1 day or less) Stomach or Duodenum Disorders Ingestion Poisoning or Allergies 100% 90% Epilepsy 80% Syncope or Collapse 70% Gastrointestinal Bleed 60% Sprains, Strains, or Minor Open Wounds 50% 40% Chronic Pancreatic Disease 30% Chest Pain 20% General Abdominal Disorders 10% Poisoning, Toxic, Environmental 0% New castle PCT North Tyneside PCT Northum berland CT Example of intoxication record Codes listed T40 (primary diagnosis) poisoning by drugs, medicaments and biological substances X620 intentional self harm T51 S099 intoxication/toxic effects of substances non medicinal as to source injuries to head W19 fall F101 harmful use ‘Frequent users’ or re-admissions to hospital Re-admissions by top 10 alcohol related conditions - North of Tyne 1/4/07 - 31/3/09 (239 frequent users accounting for 943 admissions ) Stomach or Duodenum Disorders Gastrointestinal Bleed 100% 90% Chronic Obstructive Pulmonary Disease or Bronchitis 80% General Abdominal - Diagnostic Procedures 70% Pancreatic Disorders 60% Drainage of Ascites 50% Poisoning, Toxic, Environmental 40% General Abdominal Disorders 30% Chronic Liver Disorders 20% Chronic Pancreatic Disease 10% 0% Newcastle PCT North Tyneside PCT Northumberland CT Example of re-admission record Codes listed K703 (primary diagnosis) Diseases of the liver F102 Dependence syndrome I10X Hypertensive diseases J459 Chronic lower respiratory diseases R18X Symptoms and signs involving the digestive system and abdomen Z720 Persons encountering health services in other circumstances Z867 Persons with potential health hazards related to family and personal history and certain conditions influencing health status Phase 1 • Initial target groups – patients re-admitted for intoxication Male Female Newcastle 44 49 North Tyneside 22 22 Northumberland 17 25 - Patients with multiple re-admissions for alcohol-related harm (harmful and dependent drinkers) Significant 20 – Patients with chaotic lifestyles accessing hospital services across the 3 PCT/Local Authority areas North of Tyne 12 Mapping the services and initiatives • Tier system – MoCAM (Models of Care for Alcohol Misusers) – Prevention/Early Intervention – implementing IBAs (across primary care & multi agency) – Treatment – Community services & emerging alcohol workforce • Virtual team working across primary care, mental health, acute services, social care, voluntary sector, – Enforcement – management of environment & night time economy • requires more cohesiveness and connectivity with community services – Rehabilitation – very small numbers – Care Pathway Improvement methodology • Multi agency care plans – (individuals may have a single dominant condition i.e. alcohol but may be known to different agencies) • Community Open clinics (walk in, self refer, referred into from any other service) – Professionals available at clinics, clinical & mental health staff, social care, housing, benefits • • • • Assertive Outreach STR workers (Support, time and recovery workers) Wider use of IBAs (multi agency) Emerging workforce (i.e. new roles, liaison, co-ordination, systems approach to service delivery) • Flexible approach, learning (i.e. PDSA cycles) Repeated use of the PDSA cycle Changes that result in improvement Spread Hunches Theories Ideas A S P Implementation of Change D Wide scale tests of change Follow up tests Very small scale test Sequential building of knowledge under a wide range of conditions PDSA stage • PDSA cycle 1 – hospital admission analysis – learning has allowed us to ask more questions • PDSA cycle 2 – We have filtered through the records and have taken a layer to examine more closely so we are now beginning the process of assessing the actual records of individuals with multiple admissions to determine those patients who may benefit from more joined up multi agency services Future work – focused/targeted work • development of a whole system approach to alcohol related harm - multi stranded work • establish a North of Tyne Care Pathway • community services established and adapted to meet the need - targeted work (demographics already known) • working up from granular level up into communities has the highest potential for positive impact • multi agency training – raise awareness, develop skills and competencies • systematic, cohesive approach across locality and wider geographic area How hard can it be? •Pace •Purpose •Passion Questions?