Transcript Chapter 6

Chapter 7 homework
• Number 2: Scott Anderson
• Number 4: Eikeem Barron
• Number 10: Kelly Beck
• Number 14: Meghan Bouvier
• Number 16: Thomas Caruso
• Alternate: Matt Herr
Chapter 8
Inflation
and Prices
Calculating the CPI (cont’d)
• The CPI is computed as:
 Cost of Market Basket in Current Year 

 100
 Cost of Market Basket in Base Year 
• Example: Suppose the market basket
cost $400 per month in 2003 (the base
year) and $412 in 2004. Then the CPI in
2004 is:
$412 $400100 103
Table 8.1
The Consumer Price Index: 1990–2004
Interpreting the CPI
• The inflation rate is measured as the
percent change in prices from one
period to another:
 CPI Currently  CPI Previously 

Inflation Rate  
CPI Previously

 100
Evaluating the CPI in Practice
• CPI is not perfect
• Three major sources of error in the CPI
that can cause the CPI to overstate
inflation:

Individual price movements
• Some goods have larger price changes, some
smaller, some don’t change

Changes in the market basket
• Do you buy everything in the market basket?

Household adjustment to price changes
• What if you get a “good deal” on a good?
• Substitution bias…
Is the market basket different?
People make different decisions today than they
did a generation or two ago:




More women work outside the home.
People eat outside the home more often.
A greater proportion of the of the population lives
in suburbs.
Technological innovations have improved the
quality of goods such as cars.
Figure 8.2 Sample Entries in the U.S.
Market Basket in 1951 and 2001
Substitution Bias and the CPI
• Consumers substitute relatively cheaper
goods for relatively more expensive
goods.
• To reduce this problem the BLS has
changed its approach to the market
basket.

Rather than keeping the purchases of each
item constant, the BLS holds constant the
proportion that the consumer spends on
broad categories of goods and services.
The U.S. Experience with Inflation
• The U.S. experienced deflation during
the Great Depression of the 1930s.

General decrease in prices.
• Inflation reappeared as the U.S. began
military build-up for World War II.
• Starting in the mid-1960s, inflation
became an increasingly serious
problem.
Chapter 8 homework
• Numbers 4, 6, 8, 16 and 18
Chapter 9
GDP and the
Business Cycle
Defining GDP
• Gross domestic product (GDP) is the
total market value of all new, final goods
and services produced in a given
country over a given period of time.
Calculating GDP
• To determine how much output society
produces, we must somehow add many
different items.