Interest Rates - AWARDSPACE.COM
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Transcript Interest Rates - AWARDSPACE.COM
Interest Rates
Finance (Derivative Securities) 312
Tuesday, 8 August 2006
Readings: Chapter 4
Types of Rates
Treasury Rates
• Short-term government securities
LIBOR
• London Interbank Offer Rate
• Rate applicable to wholesale deposits
between banks
Repo Rates
• Repurchase agreements
Measuring Rates
Compounding frequency is unit of
measurement
Increased frequency leads to continuous
compounding
• $100 grows to $100eRT when invested at a
continuously compounded rate R for time T
• $100 received at time T discounts to $100e–RT
at time zero when continuously compounded
discount rate is R
Conversion Formula
Rc : continuously compounded rate
Rm: same rate with compounding m times
per year
Rm
Rc m ln1
m
Rm m e
Rc / m
1
Bond Pricing
Relies on interest
rates on zero-coupon
bonds (zero rates)
• Interest is realised
only at maturity date
Maturity
Zero Rate
(years) (% cont comp)
0.5
5.0
1.0
5.8
1.5
6.4
2.0
6.8
To calculate the price of a two year coupon bond
paying 6% semi-annually:
3e
0.05 0.5
3e
103e
0.0581.0
0.068 2.0
3e
98.39
0.064 1.5
Bond Yield
Single interest rate that discounts
remaining CFs to equal the price
Using the previous example, solve the
following equation for y:
3e
y 0.5
3e
y 1.0
3e
y 1.5
y = 0.0676 or 6.76%
103e
y 2.0
98.39
Par Yield
Coupon rate that equates a bond’s price to its
face value
Using previous example:
c 0.050.5 c 0.0581.0 c 0.0641.5
e
e
e
2
2
2
c 0.0682.0
100 e
100
2
to get c=6.87 (w iths.a. compoundin g)
Par Yield
If: m = no. of coupon payments per year
P = present value of $1 received at
maturity
A = present value of an annuity of $1
on each coupon date
then:
(100 100 P )m
c
A
Calculating Zero Rates
Bond
Time to
Annual
Bond
Principal
Maturity
Coupon
Price
(dollars)
(years)
(dollars)
(dollars)
100
0.25
0
97.5
100
0.50
0
94.9
100
1.00
0
90.0
100
1.50
8
96.0
100
2.00
12
101.6
Bootstrap Method
2.5 can be earned on 97.5 after three
months
3-month rate is 4 times 2.5/97.5 or
10.256% with quarterly compounding, and
10.127% with continuous compounding
Similarly the 6-month and 1-year rates are
10.469% and 10.536% with continuous
compounding
Bootstrap Method
To calculate 1.5-year rate, solve:
4e
0.104690.5
4e
0.105361.0
104e
R1.5
96
to get R = 0.10681 or 10.681%
Similarly the two-year rate is 10.808%
Zero Curve
12
Zero
Rate (%)
11
10.681
10.469
10
10.808
10.536
10.127
Maturity (yrs)
9
0
0.5
1
1.5
2
2.5
Forward Rates
Future zero rates implied by the current
term structure
Zero Rate for
Forward Rate
an n -year Investment for n th Year
Year (n )
(% per annum)
(% per annum)
1
2
3
4
5
10.0
10.5
10.8
11.0
11.1
11.0
11.4
11.6
11.5
Calculating Forward Rates
Suppose that the zero rates for time
periods T1 and T2 are R1 and R2 with both
rates continuously compounded
The forward rate for the period between
times T1 and T2 is:
R2 T2 R1 T1
T2 T1
Slope of Yield Curve
For an upward sloping yield curve:
Fwd Rate > Zero Rate > Par Yield
For a downward sloping yield curve:
Par Yield > Zero Rate > Fwd Rate
Forward Rate Agreements
Agreement that a fixed rate will apply to a
certain principal during a specified future
time period
Equivalent to agreement where interest at
a predetermined rate, RK , is exchanged for
interest at the market rate
Can be valued by assuming that the
forward interest rate will be realised
Forward Rate Agreements
Let:
• RK = interest rate agreed to in FRA
• RF = forward LIBOR rate for period T1 to T2
calculated today
• RM = actual LIBOR rate for period T1 to T2
observed at T1
• L = principal underlying the contract
Forward Rate Agreements
If X lends to Y under the FRA, then:
• Cashflow to X at T2 = L(RK – RM)(T2 – T1)
• Cashflow to Y at T2 = L(RM – RK)(T2 – T1)
Since FRAs are settled at T1, payoffs must
be discounted at [1 + RM (T2 – T1)]
Value of FRA is the payoff, based on
forward rates, discounted at R2T2
–R T
• ValueX = L(RK – RF)(T2 – T1)e 2 2
–R T
• ValueY = L(RF – RK)(T2 – T1)e 2 2
Theories of Term Structure
Expectations Theory: forward rates equal
expected future zero rates
Market Segmentation: short, medium and
long rates determined independently of
each other
Liquidity Preference Theory: forward rates
higher than expected future zero rates