Transcript Document

Ozark Regional Economic Partnership Presentation
“Continuing Change in
Southwest Missouri:
The Creation of New Opportunities”
by
Dr. Daryl J. Hobbs
Springfield, Missouri
April 28, 2004
http://www.oseda.missouri.edu
New Economic Development
Considerations
1. Globalization
2. Revolution in Telecommunications
3. Cost of Living
4. Quality of Life
Change in Population 1980-2000




Missouri’s population increased from 4,917,000 in 1980
to 5,117,000 in 1990 – an increase of 4.1 percent
Population increased from 5,117,000 in 1990 to
5,595,000 in 2000 – an increase of 9.3 percent – more
than double the increase during the 1980s
However, national population which increased by 9.8
percent during the 1980s increased by 13.1 percent in
2000. There were 29 states whose population
increased by a larger percentage than Missouri during
the 1990s.
Therefore, even though Missouri population increased
by more than twice the rate in the 1990s than during
the 1980s, it dropped from being the 15th most
populated state in 1990 to 17th in 2000
Total Population and Components of Change,
1990-2000
Components of Change, 1990-2000
Total
Change, 1990-2000
Population
2000
Number Percent
Births
Natural Increase
Net Migration
Number
Number Rate
Deaths
Rate
Christian
Dallas
Greene
Polk
Webster
Total
54,285
15,661
240,391
26,992
31,045
368,374
21,641
3,015
32,442
5,166
7,292
69,556
66.3
23.8
15.6
23.7
30.7
23.3
6,071
1,979
30,066
3,188
4,130
45,434
3,097
1,607
20,930
2,748
2,443
30,825
2,974
372
9,136
440
1,687
14,609
9.1
2.9
4.4
2.0
7.1
4.9
Southwest Region (UOE)
728,089
136,812
23.1
90,784
67,943
22,841
4.0 113,971 20.9
Source: 1990 and 2000 Decenial Census / Federal State Coop for Population Estimates - Prepared by the Office of Social & Economic Data Analysis
18,667
2,643
23,306
4,726
5,605
54,947
57.2
20.9
11.2
21.7
23.6
18.4
Ozark Regional Partnership Counties
Population Change
2000-2003
Total Population Estimates by Year, 1990-2003
Missouri
5,800,000
8
5,
59
5,
21
3
5,
52
1,
76
3
5,
48
1,
19
7
5,
37
8,
24
1
5,
27
1,
17
7
5,
70
4,
48
4
5,000,000
1
5,
12
8,
88
0
5,
17
0,
80
5,100,000
0
5,
21
7,
10
5,200,000
5
5,
32
4,
49
5,300,000
7
5,
43
1,
55
5,400,000
5
5,
56
1,
94
5,500,000
1
5,
62
9,
70
5,600,000
5,
11
6,
90
Net Population Change
5,700,000
4,900,000
SOURCE: Federal-State Cooperative Program for Population Estimates
Produced by: University Outreach and Extension – Office of Social and Economic Data Analysis
20
03
20
02
20
01
20
00
19
99
19
98
19
97
19
96
19
95
19
94
19
93
19
92
19
91
19
90
4,800,000
Change in Total Population Estimates by Year
1990-2003
Missouri
0
31
, 90
5
34
, 49
3
33
, 26
6
3
40
, 18
40
, 57
2
42
, 87
2
49
, 64
53
, 30
6
0
53
, 75
53
, 32
4
46
, 30
1
54
, 07
30,000
41
, 92
0
40,000
20,000
10,000
SOURCE: Federal-State Cooperative Program for Population Estimates
Produced by: University Outreach and Extension – Office of Social and Economic Data Analysis
20
03
20
02
20
01
20
00
19
99
19
98
19
97
19
96
19
95
19
94
19
93
19
92
0
19
91
Net Population Change
50,000
2
60,000
Change in Total Population Estimates by Year, 1990-2002
Southwest Missouri Extension Region
20,000
,6
7
18
9
,6
9
9
18,000
16
,5
9
9
17
16,000
6
9,
18
1
,1
7
11
11
,0
6
10,000
4
12
4
,4
2
7
,0
9
13
13
12,000
14
,5
7
,0
9
6
4
14,000
7,
40
6,000
8
8,
40
7
8,000
4,000
2,000
-J
l'
01
Ju
00
pr
'
A
ul
ul
'
-J
pr
-A
SOURCE: Federal-State Cooperative Program for Population Estimates
Produced by: University Outreach and Extension – Office of Social and Economic Data Analysis (6/12/03)
'0
2
01
0
'0
'9
9
l'
99
Ju
l'
98
-J
ul
'9
8
Ju
l'
97
-J
ul
'9
7
Ju
Ju
l'
96
-J
ul
'9
6
-J
ul
'9
5
Ju
l'
95
-J
ul
'9
4
Ju
l'
94
-J
ul
'9
3
l'
93
Ju
Ju
l'
92
-J
ul
'9
2
ul
-J
l'
91
Ju
Ju
l'
90
-J
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'9
1
0
Ozark Regional Partnership Counties
Total Population and Components of Change 2000-2003
Components of Change, 2000-2003
Total
Change, 2000-2003
Population
2003
Number Percent
Births
Natural Increase
Net Migration
Number
Number Rate
Deaths
Rate
Barry
34,629
619
1.8
1,463
1,140
323
0.9
296
0.9
Christian
61,571
7,286
13.4
2,664
1,321
1,343
2.5
5,943 10.9
Dade
Dallas
Greene
Lawrence
Polk
Stone
Taney
Webster
7,845
16,113
245,765
36,426
28,081
29,941
41,403
33,124
-78
452
5,374
1,222
1,089
1,283
1,700
2,079
-1.0
2.9
2.2
3.5
4.0
4.5
4.3
6.7
254
692
9,742
1,557
1,100
911
1,795
1,516
418
580
7,899
1,391
892
1,062
1,466
871
-164
112
1,843
166
208
-151
329
645
-2.1
0.7
0.8
0.5
0.8
-0.5
0.8
2.1
86
340
3,531
1,056
881
1,434
1,371
1,434
1.1
2.2
1.5
3.0
3.3
5.0
3.5
4.6
Total
534,898
21,026
4.1
21,694
17,040
4,654
0.9
16,372
3.2
Total area population in 2000 was 513,872
Source: 1990 and 2000 Decenial Census / Federal State Coop for Population Estimates - Prepared by the Office of Social
& Economic Data Analysis
Population Change 1990-2003
Barry County
1,400
1,178
Net Population Change
1,200
1,050
984
1,000
800
709
600
698
480
342
400
504
404
241
102
200
90
175
Source: USDC, Bureau of the Census, Population Div
Prepared by: Univ of Mo Office of Social and Economic Data Analysis (OSEDA)
20
03
20
02
20
01
20
00
19
99
19
98
19
97
19
96
19
95
19
94
19
93
19
92
19
91
0
Population Change 1990-2003
Christian County
3,500
2,985
Net Population Change
3,000
2,454
2,439
2,394
2,500
2,242
2,278
2,000
2,279
2,277
1,727
2,115
1,500
1,930
1,847
1,575
1,000
500
Source: USDC, Bureau of the Census, Population Div
Prepared by: Univ of Mo Office of Social and Economic Data Analysis (OSEDA)
20
03
20
02
20
01
20
00
19
99
19
98
19
97
19
96
19
95
19
94
19
93
19
92
19
91
0
Population Change 1990-2003
Dade County
250
197
Net Population Change
200
150
116
111
100
77
50
60
24
9
15
7
0
-32
-55
-50
-60
-60
Source: USDC, Bureau of the Census, Population Div
Prepared by: Univ of Mo Office of Social and Economic Data Analysis (OSEDA)
20
03
20
02
20
01
20
00
19
99
19
98
19
97
19
96
19
95
19
94
19
93
19
92
19
91
-100
Population Change 1990-2003
Dallas County
600
Net Population Change
532
500
479
397
400
300
300
287
258
239
200
238
179
123
157
100
106
90
Source: USDC, Bureau of the Census, Population Div
Prepared by: Univ of Mo Office of Social and Economic Data Analysis (OSEDA)
20
03
20
02
20
01
20
00
19
99
19
98
19
97
19
96
19
95
19
94
19
93
19
92
19
91
0
Population Change 1990-2003
Greene County
6,000
Net Population Change
4,970
4,877
5,000
4,000
4,734
3,904
3,532
3,000
2,705
2,410
2,352
2,000
1,597
1,279
1,589
1,535
1,000
1,429
Source: USDC, Bureau of the Census, Population Div
Prepared by: Univ of Mo Office of Social and Economic Data Analysis (OSEDA)
20
03
20
02
20
01
20
00
19
99
19
98
19
97
19
96
19
95
19
94
19
93
19
92
19
91
0
Population Change 1990-2003
Lawrence County
700
654
594
Net Population Change
600
552
509
500
575
481
431
466
368
400
344
447
329
396
300
200
100
Source: USDC, Bureau of the Census, Population Div
Prepared by: Univ of Mo Office of Social and Economic Data Analysis (OSEDA)
20
03
20
02
20
01
20
00
19
99
19
98
19
97
19
96
19
95
19
94
19
93
19
92
19
91
0
Population Change 1990-2003
Polk County
1000
937
900
Net Population Change
771
800
779
700
600
476
500
466
536
371
400
319
300
298
330
285
310
200
252
100
Source: USDC, Bureau of the Census, Population Div
Prepared by: Univ of Mo Office of Social and Economic Data Analysis (OSEDA)
19
00
19
00
19
00
19
00
19
00
19
00
19
00
19
00
19
00
19
00
19
00
19
00
19
00
0
Population Change 1990-2003
Stone County
2000
1855
Net Population Change
1800
1600
1454
1400
1350
1200
1075
1000
878
798
800
644
560
600
488
400
463
456
462
200
Prepared by: Univ of Mo Office of Social and Economic Data Analysis (OSEDA)
20
03
20
02
20
00
19
99
19
98
19
97
19
96
19
95
19
94
19
93
19
92
19
91
Source: USDC, Bureau of the Census, Population Div
20
01
261
0
Population Change 1990-2003
Taney County
2500
Net Population Change
2227
2000
1857
1601
1504
1500
1546
1377
802
1000
1082
930
960
846
500
521
377
Source: USDC, Bureau of the Census, Population Div
Prepared by: Univ of Mo Office of Social and Economic Data Analysis (OSEDA)
20
03
20
02
20
01
20
00
19
99
19
98
19
97
19
96
19
95
19
94
19
93
19
92
19
91
0
Population Change 1990-2003
Webster County
1200
Net Population Change
1,138
949
1000
881
916
829
800
822
815
741
600
453
458
582
488
400
200
258
Source: USDC, Bureau of the Census, Population Div
Prepared by: Univ of Mo Office of Social and Economic Data Analysis (OSEDA)
20
03
20
02
20
01
20
00
19
99
19
98
19
97
19
96
19
95
19
94
19
93
19
92
19
91
0
Springfield Metro Growth 1990-2003
1990-2000
2000-2003
County
Change Percent Change Percent
Christian
21,641
66.3
7,286
13.4
Dallas
3,015
23.8
452
2.9
Greene
32,442
15.6
5,374
2.2
Polk
5,166
23.7
1,089
4.0
Webster
7,292
30.7
2,079
6.7
Total
69,556
23.3
16,280
Source: USDC, Bureau of the Census, Population Division
Prepared by: Univ of Mo Office of Social and Economic Data Analysis (OSEDA)
4.4
Springfield Metro Area Migration
1990-00 and 2000-03
County
Christian
Dallas
Greene
Polk
Webster
Total
1990-2000
2000-2003
Number Per Year Number Per Year
18,667
1,867
5,943
1,981
2,643
264
340
113
23,306
2,331
3,531
1,177
4,726
473
881
293
5,605
560
1,434
478
54,947
5,495
12,129
Source: USDC, Bureau of the Census, Population Div
Prepared by: Univ of Mo Office of Social and Economic Data Analysis (OSEDA)
4,042
Springfield Metro Area Natural Increase
1990-00 and 2000-03
1990-2000
2000-2003
County
Change Percent Change Percent
Christian
2,974
9.1
1,343
2.5
Dallas
372
2.9
112
0.7
Greene
9,136
4.4
1,843
0.8
Polk
440
2.0
208
0.8
Webster
1,687
7.1
645
2.1
Total
14,609
4.9
Source: USDC, Bureau of the Census, Population Div
Prepared by: Univ of Mo Office of Social and Economic Data Analysis (OSEDA)
4,151
1.1
Springfield Metro Counties
Comparison of Components of Population Change
1990-2000 and 2000-2003
Natural Increase
21 percent of growth 1990-2000
25 percent of growth 2000-2003
Migration
79 percent of growth 1990-2000
75 percent of growth 2000-2003
Metro growth rate
23.3 percent 1990-2000
14.4 percent (projected) 2000-2010
Prepared by: Univ of Mo Office of Social and Economic Data Analysis (OSEDA)
State of Missouri
Comparison of Components of Population Change
1990-2000 and 2000-2003
Natural Increase
45.9 percent of growth 1990-2000
60.0 percent of growth 2000-2003
Migration
54.1 percent of growth 1990-2000
40.0 percent of growth 2000-2003
Statewide Population growth
9.4 percent 1990-2000
1.9 percent 2000-2003
Prepared by: Univ of Mo Office of Social and Economic Data Analysis (OSEDA)
Springfield Metro Projections 2000-2010*
County
Christian
Dallas
Greene
Polk
Webster
Total
2000 pop
54,285
15,661
240,391
26,992
31,045
368,374
Population
Increase Percent 2010 pop
24,211
44.6
78,496
1,519
9.7
17,180
17,548
7.3
257,939
3,590
13.3
30,582
6,923
22.3
37,968
53,791
14.4
*Based on 2000-2003 growth rate.
Source: USDC, Bureau of the Census, Population Div
Prepared by: Univ of Mo Office of Social and Economic Data Analysis (OSEDA)
422,165
Characteristics of
Ozark Regional Partnership Counties
Population, 2000
Characteristics of
Ozark Regional Partnership Counties
Educational Attainment, 2000
Educational Attainment, 1990-2000
Less Than High School
Change
County
Christian
Dallas
Greene
Polk
Webster
2000
4,913
2,788
23,503
3,749
4,916
1990 Number
4,795
118
3,079
-291
27,433 -3,930
4,420
-671
4,911
5
Percent of
Population Age 25+
Percent 2000
1990
2.5
14.1
23.4
-9.5
27.2
37.0
-14.3
15.3
21.1
-15.2
22.5
33.0
0.1
25.2
33.2
Source: 1990 and 2000 Decennial Census, Summary File 3 - Prepared by: Univ of Mo Office of Social and Economic Data Analysis (OSEDA)
Educational Attainment, 1990-2000
Some Post-Secondary - No Degree
Change
County
Christian
Dallas
Greene
Polk
Webster
2000
10,724
2,229
45,695
3,861
4,683
1990 Number
4,907
5,817
1,405
824
34,261 11,434
2,422
1,439
2,718
1,965
Percent of
Population Age 25+
Percent 2000
1990
118.5
30.8
23.9
58.6
21.7
16.9
33.4
29.7
26.4
59.4
23.2
18.1
72.3
24.0
18.4
Source: 1990 and 2000 Decennial Census, Summary File 3 - Prepared by: Univ of Mo Office of Social and Economic Data Analysis (OSEDA)
Educational Attainment, 1990-2000
County
Christian
Dallas
Greene
Polk
Webster
College Graduate and Graduate or Professional
Percent of
Change
Population Age 25+
2000
1990 Number Percent 2000
1990
7,277
2,556
4,721
184.7
20.9
12.5
976
538
438
81.4
9.5
6.5
37,232 26,902 10,330
38.4
24.2
20.7
2,435
1,603
832
51.9
14.6
12.0
2,154
1,265
889
70.3
11.0
8.5
Source: 1990 and 2000 Decennial Census, Summary File 3 - Prepared by: Univ of Mo Office of Social and Economic Data Analysis (OSEDA)
Characteristics of
Ozark Regional Partnership Counties
Age, 2000
Percent Change in Missouri Population by
Age Cohorts, 1990-2000
29.6
30
25
21.4
20
15
11.9
10.9
10
5
3.6
3.2
0.2
0
-5
-10
-13.3
-15
Un
de
r5
5t
o1
18
7
to
25
24
to
35
34
to
55
54
to
65
64
to
85
84
or
Ol
de
r
SOURCE: USDC, Bureau of the Census, Census of Population and Housing, Summary File 1 (2000); Summary Tape File 1 (1990)
Produced by: The Office of Social and Economic Data Analysis, UOE [E.J. Cleveland, Nov. 2001]
Change in Age of Population – 1990 to 2000
Christian County
Age
Under 5
5 to 17
18 to 24
25 to 34
35 to 54
55 to 64
65 to 84
85 and over
Total
Christian County
2000
1990
Number Percent Number Percent
4,169
10,945
4,392
8,088
16,270
4,670
5,129
622
54,285
7.7
20.2
8.1
14.9
30.0
8.6
9.4
1.1
2,430
6,899
2,851
5,567
8,652
2,602
3,277
366
32,644
7.4
21.1
8.7
17.1
26.5
8.0
10.0
1.1
Change
Number Percent
1,739
4,046
1,541
2,521
7,618
2,068
1,852
256
21,641
SOURCE: U.S. Bureau of the Census, Summary File 1, 1990 and 2000 Decennial Censuses
Prepared by: Univ of Mo Office of Social and Economic Data Analysis (OSEDA)
71.6
58.6
54.1
45.3
88.0
79.5
56.5
69.9
66.3
Percent Change in Missouri Population
by Selected Age Cohorts, 1990-2000
Christian County
10 0
88.0
90
80
79.5
7 1. 6
69.9
70
58.6
54.1
60
56.5
45.3
50
40
30
20
10
0
U n de r 5
5 t o 17
18 t o 2 4
25 to 34
35 to 54
55 to 64
SOURCE: U.S. Bureau of the Census, Summary File 1, 1990 and 2000 Decennial Censuses
Prepared by: Univ of Mo Office of Social and Economic Data Analysis (OSEDA)
65 to 84
8 5 a n d ov e r
Change in Age of Population – 1990 to 2000
Dallas County
Age
Under 5
5 to 17
18 to 24
25 to 34
35 to 54
55 to 64
65 to 84
85 and over
Total
Dallas County
2000
1990
Change
Number Percent Number
Percent Number
Percent
1,050
6.7
901
7.1
149
16.5
3,252
20.8
2,496
19.7
756
30.3
1,159
7.4
921
7.3
238
25.8
1,700
10.9
1,745
13.8
-45
-2.6
4,448
28.4
2,921
23.1
1,527
52.3
1,676
10.7
1,355
10.7
321
23.7
2,089
13.3
2,067
16.3
22
1.1
287
1.8
240
1.9
47
19.6
15,661
12,646
3,015
23.8
SOURCE: U.S. Bureau of the Census, Summary File 1, 1990 and 2000 Decennial Censuses
Prepared by: Univ of Mo Office of Social and Economic Data Analysis (OSEDA)
Percent Change in Missouri Population
by Selected Age Cohorts, 1990-2000
Dallas County
60
52.3
50
40
30.3
25.8
30
23.7
19 . 6
16 . 5
20
10
1. 1
0
-2.6
- 10
U n de r 5
5 t o 17
18 t o 2 4
25 to 34
35 to 54
55 to 64
SOURCE: U.S. Bureau of the Census, Summary File 1, 1990 and 2000 Decennial Censuses
Prepared by: Univ of Mo Office of Social and Economic Data Analysis (OSEDA)
65 to 84
8 5 a n d ov e r
Change in Age of Population – 1990 to 2000
Greene County
Age
Under 5
5 to 17
18 to 24
25 to 34
35 to 54
55 to 64
65 to 84
85 and over
Total
Greene County
2000
1990
Change
Number Percent Number Percent Number Percent
14,699
6.1
13,282
6.4
1,417
10.7
38,802
16.1
34,358
16.5
4,444
12.9
33,245
13.8
30,719
14.8
2,526
8.2
33,067
13.8
33,828
16.3
-761
-2.2
67,251
28.0
50,764
24.4
16,487
32.5
20,659
8.6
17,258
8.3
3,401
19.7
28,113
11.7
24,548
11.8
3,565
14.5
4,555
1.9
3,192
1.5
1,363
42.7
240,391
207,949
32,442
15.6
SOURCE: U.S. Bureau of the Census, Summary File 1, 1990 and 2000 Decennial Censuses
Prepared by: Univ of Mo Office of Social and Economic Data Analysis (OSEDA)
Percent Change in Missouri Population
by Selected Age Cohorts, 1990-2000
Greene County
42.7
45
40
32.5
35
30
25
19 . 7
20
12 . 9
15
10 . 7
14 . 5
8.2
10
5
0
-5
-2.2
U n de r 5
5 t o 17
18 t o 2 4
25 to 34
35 to 54
55 to 64
SOURCE: U.S. Bureau of the Census, Summary File 1, 1990 and 2000 Decennial Censuses
Prepared by: Univ of Mo Office of Social and Economic Data Analysis (OSEDA)
65 to 84
8 5 a n d ov e r
Change in Age of Population – 1990 to 2000
Polk County
Polk County
Age
Under 5
5 to 17
18 to 24
25 to 34
35 to 54
55 to 64
65 to 84
85 and over
Total
2000
1990
Change
Number Percent Number
Percent Number
Percent
1,825
6.8
1,416
6.5
409
28.9
5,122
19.0
3,943
18.1
1,179
29.9
3,411
12.6
3,086
14.1
325
10.5
3,138
11.6
2,955
13.5
183
6.2
6,886
25.5
4,735
21.7
2,151
45.4
2,485
9.2
2,006
9.2
479
23.9
3,607
13.4
3,210
14.7
397
12.4
518
1.9
475
2.2
43
9.1
26,992
21,826
5,166
23.7
SOURCE: U.S. Bureau of the Census, Summary File 1, 1990 and 2000 Decennial Censuses
Prepared by: Univ of Mo Office of Social and Economic Data Analysis (OSEDA)
Percent Change in Missouri Population
by Selected Age Cohorts, 1990-2000
Polk County
45.4
50
45
40
35
28.9
29.9
23.9
30
25
20
12 . 4
10 . 5
15
9.1
6.2
10
5
0
U n de r 5
5 t o 17
18 t o 2 4
25 to 34
35 to 54
55 to 64
SOURCE: U.S. Bureau of the Census, Summary File 1, 1990 and 2000 Decennial Censuses
Prepared by: Univ of Mo Office of Social and Economic Data Analysis (OSEDA)
65 to 84
8 5 a n d ov e r
Change in Age of Population – 1990 to 2000
Webster County
Age
Under 5
5 to 17
18 to 24
25 to 34
35 to 54
55 to 64
65 to 84
85 and over
Total
Webster County
2000
1990
Change
Number Percent Number Percent Number Percent
2,335
7.5
1,798
7.6
537
29.9
6,622
21.3
5,007
21.1
1,615
32.3
2,578
8.3
2,221
9.3
357
16.1
4,192
13.5
3,698
15.6
494
13.4
8,927
28.8
5,955
25.1
2,972
49.9
2,838
9.1
1,999
8.4
839
42.0
3,077
9.9
2,757
11.6
320
11.6
476
1.5
318
1.3
158
49.7
31,045
23,753
7,292
30.7
SOURCE: U.S. Bureau of the Census, Summary File 1, 1990 and 2000 Decennial Censuses
Prepared by: Univ of Mo Office of Social and Economic Data Analysis (OSEDA)
Percent Change in Missouri Population
by Selected Age Cohorts, 1990-2000
Webster County
60
49.9
49.7
50
42.0
40
32.3
29.9
30
16 . 1
20
13 . 4
11. 6
10
0
U n de r 5
5 t o 17
18 t o 2 4
25 to 34
35 to 54
55 to 64
SOURCE: U.S. Bureau of the Census, Summary File 1, 1990 and 2000 Decennial Censuses
Prepared by: Univ of Mo Office of Social and Economic Data Analysis (OSEDA)
65 to 84
8 5 a n d ov e r
Change in Age of Population – 1990 to 2000
City of Springfield
Springfield
Age
Under 5
5 to 17
18 to 24
25 to 34
35 to 54
55 to 64
65 to 84
85 and over
Total
2000
1990
Change
Number Percent Number Percent Number Percent
8,935
5.9
8,698
6.2
237
2.7
21,234
14.0
20,216
14.4
1,018
5.0
26,411
17.4
25,143
17.9
1,268
5.0
22,032
14.5
23,141
16.5
-1,109
-4.8
38,350
25.3
30,505
21.7
7,845
25.7
12,032
7.9
11,462
8.2
570
5.0
19,117
12.6
18,633
13.3
484
2.6
3,469
2.3
2,696
1.9
773
28.7
151,580
140,494
11,086
7.9
SOURCE: U.S. Bureau of the Census, Summary File 1, 1990 and 2000 Decennial Censuses
Prepared by: Univ of Mo Office of Social and Economic Data Analysis (OSEDA)
Percent Change in Missouri Population
by Selected Age Cohorts, 1990-2000
Springfield
35
28. 7
30
25. 7
25
20
15
10
2. 7
5. 0
5. 0
5. 0
2. 6
5
0
-5
-4. 8
-10
U nder 5
5 to 17
18 to 24
25 to 34
35 to 54
55 to 64
SOURCE: U.S. Bureau of the Census, Summary File 1, 1990 and 2000 Decennial Censuses
Prepared by: Univ of Mo Office of Social and Economic Data Analysis (OSEDA)
65 to 84
85 and
over
To obtain Population Estimates
for your County or City
go to:
http://mcdc.missouri.edu/trends/estimates.html
Springfield Area Full-Time and Part-Time
Employment and Proprietors (BEA), 1988-2000
Webster County
1988 1990 1992 1994 1996 1998 2000
Total full- and part-time employment 8,410 9,063 9,194 10,317 11,132 10,973 11,128
Wage and salary employment
4,678 5,419 5,444 6,214 6,662 6,867 7,041
Proprietors' employment
Farm proprietors' employment
Nonfarm proprietors' employment
3,732 3,644 3,750 4,103 4,470 4,106 4,087
1,765 1,761 1,766 1,874 1,894 1,956 1,933
1,967 1,883 1,984 2,229 2,576 2,150 2,154
SOURCE: USDC, Bureau of Economic Analysis, Economic and Statistics Administration, Regional Economic Information System, 1988-2001 Prepared by: Univ of Mo Office of Social and Economic Data Analysis (OSEDA)
Regions –
New Core Based Statistical Areas
The Missouri Census Data Center has created a report
that shows the just released definitions of Core Based
Statistical Areas for Missouri. The CBSA's are a
replacement for the metropolitan areas. We still have
entities called MSA's (Metropolitan Statistical Areas) but
the criteria for defining them has changed. It changed
just enough to allow Jefferson City to now be classified
as an MSA even though it does not have a central city of
50,000. Instead it has a "core area" with 50,000 people
and it doesn't matter whether this population cluster
happens to all fall within an incorporated place. Entirely
new micropolitan areas have also been created based on
the same concept as MSA’s except the core area does
not have to be as large. Missouri has lots of these.
REGIONALIZATION




WORK
RETAIL TRADE
HEALTH CARE
IMPLICATIONS
 Community
 Public Finance
To obtain 2000 County to County Work Flow Reports go to:
http://mcdc2.missouri.edu/data/workflow/reports/
CONSIDERATIONS REGARDING REGIONS
›
›
›
›
All Economies are Regional
Regional Centers are vital to regional viability:
 They are essential to growth but not necessarily the location of growth.
 The population of a place is not necessarily the determining factor in
whether it is a regional center or not.
Missouri is one of the most economically, geographically and culturally
diverse states in the U.S
 It would facilitate planning and delivery of services if regional boundaries
were drawn so that counties within a region were relatively homogeneous
while the differences between regions would be relatively great. That
would facilitate more effective targeting of training and educational
services.
 Ironically regional centers are more alike than the regions they serve.
Transportation routes are a consideration in establishing regional
boundaries. A concern is accessibility and it is easier to get to some
regional centers from one direction than another.
Change in School Enrollment,
1991-2003
Percent Change in School Enrollment
Missouri
6%
5.630%
5%
4%
2.540%
3%
2%
1%
0.098%
0%
'91 - '95
96 - '00
'01 - '03
SOURCE: Missouri Department of Elementary and Secondary Education
Produced by: University Outreach and Extension – Office of Social and Economic Data Analysis (6/26/03)
Annual Numerical Change in Total School Enrollment
by Year, 1991-2003 (in thousands)
Missouri
14.0
13
.4
16.0
10
.9
10
.8
9.
3
10.0
10
.2
11
.0
11
.3
12.0
8.0
6.0
3.
6
4.0
2.
5
2.0
-0
.5
0.0
SOURCE: Missouri Department of Elementary and Secondary Education
Produced by: University Outreach and Extension – Office of Social and Economic Data Analysis (6/26/03)
03
'0
2
-'
02
'0
1
-'
01
'0
0
-'
00
'9
9
-'
99
'9
8
-'
98
'9
7
-'
97
'9
6
-'
96
'9
5
-'
95
'9
4
-'
94
'9
3
-'
93
-'
2
'9
'9
1
-'
92
-4.0
-2
.8
-2
.6
-2.0