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Richard Wilkinson Emeritus Professor of Social Epidemiology University of Nottingham & Kate Pickett Professor of Epidemiology University of York http://www.equalitytrust.org.uk 1 Income per head and life-expectancy: rich & poor countries 2 Source: Wilkinson & Pickett, The Spirit Level (2009) www.equalitytrust.org.uk Among the rich countries life expectancy is not related to national differences in average income 3 Source: Wilkinson & Pickett, The Spirit Level (2009) www.equalitytrust.org.uk …but life expectancy is related to income within rich societies 80 Life expectancy (years) 79 78 77 76 75 74 73 72 71 d de p Mo st Le as riv e Electoral wards in England & Wales by deprivation score td ep riv ed 70 4 Source: Wilkinson & Pickett, The Spirit Level (2009) www.equalitytrust.org.uk How much richer are the richest 20% than the poorest 20%? 5 Source: Wilkinson & Pickett, The Spirit Level (2009) www.equalitytrust.org.uk 6 Health and Social Problems are Worse in More Unequal Countries Index of: • Life expectancy • Math & Literacy • Infant mortality • Homicides • Imprisonment • Teenage births • Trust • Obesity • Mental illness – incl. drug & alcohol addiction • Social mobility 7 Source: Wilkinson & Pickett, The Spirit Level (2009) www.equalitytrust.org.uk Health and Social Problems are not Related to Average Income in Rich Countries Index of: • Life expectancy • Math & Literacy • Infant mortality • Homicides • Imprisonment • Teenage births • Trust • Obesity • Mental illness – incl. drug & alcohol addiction • Social mobility 8 Source: Wilkinson & Pickett, The Spirit Level (2009) www.equalitytrust.org.uk Child Well-being is Better in More Equal Rich Countries 9 Source: Wilkinson & Pickett, The Spirit Level (2009) www.equalitytrust.org.uk Child-Wellbeing is Unrelated to Average Incomes in Rich Countries 10 Source: Wilkinson & Pickett, The Spirit Level (2009) www.equalitytrust.org.uk Levels of Trust are Higher in More Equal Rich Countries 11 Source: Wilkinson & Pickett, The Spirit Level (2009) Levels of Trust are Higher in More Equal US States 12 Source: Wilkinson & Pickett, The Spirit Level (2009) www.equalitytrust.org.uk The Prevalence of Mental Illness is Higher in More Unequal Rich Countries 13 Source: Wilkinson & Pickett, The Spirit Level (2009) www.equalitytrust.org.uk Drug Use is More Common in More Unequal Countries Index of use of: opiates, cocaine, cannabis, ecstasy, amphetamines Source: Wilkinson & Pickett, The Spirit Level (2009) www.equalitytrust.org.uk 14 Infant Mortality Rates are Higher in More Unequal Countries 15 Source: Wilkinson & Pickett, The Spirit Level (2009) www.equalitytrust.org.uk More Adults are Obese in More Unequal Rich Countries 16 Source: Wilkinson & Pickett, The Spirit Level (2009) www.equalitytrust.org.uk Teenage Birth Rates are Higher in More Unequal Rich Countries 17 Source: Wilkinson & Pickett, The Spirit Level (2009) www.equalitytrust.org.uk Homicide and income inequality: US States and Canadian Provinces 180 Homicides per million people 150 120 90 60 30 0 0.35 More equal 0.38 0.41 Income Inequality (Gini) 0.44 0.47 More unequal Source: Daly M, Wilson M, Vasdev S. Income inequality and homicide rates in Canada and the United States. Canadian Journal of Criminology 2001; 43: 219-36. 18 Rates of Imprisonment are Higher in More Unequal Countries 19 Source: Wilkinson & Pickett, The Spirit Level (2009) www.equalitytrust.org.uk Social mobility is higher in more equal countries Intergenerational income mobility data from: Blanden J. (2009) Centre for Economic Performance, LSE. Paper No' CEEDP0111. www.equalitytrust.org.uk 20 Almost everyone benefits from greater equality. Usually the benefits are greatest among the poor but extend to the majority of the population 21 Infant Mortality by Social Class: Sweden and England & Wales 18 E& W Infant Mortality rate 16 Sweden 14 12 10 8 6 4 2 0 I II IIIN IIIM IV V Single Unclass. Prnt 22 Source: Leon DA, Vagero D, Olausson PO. BMJ 1992; 305; 687-91 Literacy Scores of 16-25 year olds by Parents' Education 1 0.5 Literacy score Sweden 0 Canada -0.5 -1 United States -1.5 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 Parents' Education (years) 23 Source: Willms JD. 1997. Data from OECD Programme for International Student Assessment. Health and Social Problems are Worse in More Unequal Countries Index of: • Life expectancy • Math & Literacy • Infant mortality • Homicides • Imprisonment • Teenage births • Trust • Obesity • Mental illness – incl. drug & alcohol addiction • Social mobility 24 Source: Wilkinson & Pickett, The Spirit Level (2009) www.equalitytrust.org.uk Why are we so sensitive to inequality? 25 Psychosocial risk factors for ill health Low social status Weak social affiliations Stress in early life (pre- and postnatally) 26 What kind of stress most reliably raises cortisol levels? ACTH Effect size Cortisol Tasks with both social-evaluative threat and uncontrollability Other tasks 27 Source: Dickerson SS & Kemeny ME. Psychological Bulletin 2004; 130(3): 355-91 Stereotype Threat The effect of caste identity on children's performance 6 Number of mazes solved High Caste 5 Low Caste 4 3 2 1 0 Caste Unannounced Caste Announced 28 Source: Hoff K, Pandey P, World Bank Policy Research Working Paper 3351, June 2004 Gilligan J. Violence: Our Deadly Epidemic and its Causes. (G .P. Putnam 1996) " ...the prison inmates I work with have told me repeatedly, when I asked them why they had assaulted someone, that it was because 'he disrespected me', or 'he disrespected my visit' (meaning 'visitor'). The word 'disrespect' is central in the vocabulary, moral value system, and psychodynamics of these chronically violent men that they have abbreviated it into the slang term, 'he dis'ed me." p.106 A few pages further on Gilligan continues:"I have yet to see a serious act of violence that was not provoked by the experience of feeling shamed and humiliated, disrespected and ridiculed, and that did not represent the attempt to prevent or undo this "loss of face " - no matter how severe the punishment, even if it includes death." p.110 29 Working hours are longer in more unequal countries 30 Source: Bowles S, Park Y. Economic Journal 2005; 115 (507): F397–F412. 2005. More equal countries are more generous foreign aid donors 31 More equal countries recycle more waste Best Japan Sweden Germany Switzerland France Australia Italy Portugal Spain USA UK Worst Low High Income Inequality 32 Source: Wilkinson & Pickett, The Spirit Level (2009) In more equal countries business leaders give a higher priority to complying with international environmental agreements With permission from R De Vogli & D Gimeno 33 34 Five fallacies which support injustice and inequality Elitism is efficient Prejudice is natural Exclusion is necessary Greed is good Despair is inevitable D. Dorling, Injustice: why social inequality persists (Policy Press 2010) 35 For more information: … a book and a website… http://www.equalitytrust.org.uk 36 Single parents and child wellbeing Sweden Better Netherlands Finland Norway Denmark Spain Italy Greece Belgium Ireland Portugal Canada Germany Austria France Japan Australia USA Israel New Zealand UK Worse 0 10 20 Lone parents as % of all households with dependent children 30 37 The effects of inequality - a two stage process 1. adult experience of inequality 2. passed on to children – epigenetics? 38 Relation between infant mortality and GNP p.c. at high, medium and low income inequality Source: Hales S, Howden-Chapman P, Salmond C, Woodward A, Mackenbach J.. Lancet 1999; 354: 2047 39 Source: Bagehot, On equality. The Economist, 19th August 2010 40 Causality? • • Not a big causal leap: - problems related to social status get worse when status differences increase • Reverse causality? • Many of the causal pathways are known Problems move together - a common cause 41 Trends in income inequality 1979-2005/6 (Gini coefficient, Great Britain.) Brewer M, Goodman A, Muriel A, Sibieta L. Poverty and Inequality in the UK: 2007. Institute of Fiscal Studies, London. 42