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OpportunityTexas™ nd College Access, Success, & the 82 Legislature RAISE Texas Summit Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas November 2, 2011 Don Baylor, Jr. ([email protected]) Senior Policy Analyst, Economic Opportunity 1 “Balancing” the 2012-13 State Budget Cuts to 2012-13 Budget: $7 billion General Revenue Shortfall of $23 billion (at least $5.3 b to PreK-12) Medicaid “I.O.U”: $5 billion Accounting tricks: $3 billion Federal EduJobs: $831 million (after use of Rainy Day Fund for 2011, plus other 2011 revenue not in January estimate) GR-Dedicated Balances: $4.9 billion Revised 2012-13 estimate: $1.2 billion Nontax revenue: $125 million (net) Cuts to 2011 Budget: $1.4 billion The Texas State Budget for 2012-13 Biennial Total: $175 billion (6% below 2010-11; 15% below current services) Federally funded = shown in white; other areas are General Revenue, GR-Dedicated, & “Other” State Funds. Prisons 3% Highways 8% HHS 13% HHS 18% Higher Education 13% Federal 32% PreK-12 6% PreK-12, 16% Highway 4% Other 7% Property tax cut 8% Other federal 4% Source: Legislative Budget Board, HB 1 and HB 4, May 2011. Includes $2.3 billion delayed Foundation School Program payment. Public School Grants Eliminated from State Budget for 2012-13 Pre-Kindergarten Early Start ● High School Completion/ Success ● Science Lab Funding ● Texas Reading, Math and Science Initiatives ● Tuition Credit Program (Early High School Graduation) ● Extended Year Programs ● Teen Parenting Program ● Middle School Physical Education and Fitness Programs ● LEP Student Success Initiative ● Disciplinary Alternative Education Programs (Safe Schools) ● Rural School Technology ● School-Based Prevention Services ● School Improvement/Parental Involvement AVANCE ● Arts Education ● Science and Math Outreach ● One Community One Child College Access & Completion Areas of Focus Financial Aid Career & Skills Development College Savings & (Grants, Loans, Work-Study) Postsecondary Access Financial Prep Developmental Education Reform K-16 Financial Education & Capability & Success 2011 RAISE Texas Summit 6 College Access & Completion Program and Policy Recommendations Financial Aid Index state funding for need-based grant aid to student population growth Create and fund an early commitment financial aid program for economically disadvantaged elementary and high school students College Savings Improve outreach and marketing of the Texas Save & Match program and 529 plans Connect financial education to a college savings product Support and promote VITA programs that connect low-income families with college savings products Financial Planning & Screening Integrate college financial preparation into the financial aid curriculum in public schools Promote awareness and Access to planning and screening tools such as the FAFSA4Caster and Net Price Calculators Integrate FAFSA preparation activities at public schools, colleges and VITA sites Developmental Education Improve developmental education assessment policies at community colleges Reform the design and delivery of developmental education courses to better target student needs 2011 RAISE Texas Summit 7 Higher Education Partners 2011 RAISE Texas Summit 8 Higher Educational Attainment Drives Better Employment and… Unemployment Rate Lower for Texans with Higher Educational Attainment 2010 13.0% 9.0% 7.5% 4.4% Less than high school High school Some college Bachelor's or higher Source: CPPP Analysis, Economic Policy Institute analysis of Current Population Survey data, 2011 2011 RAISE Texas Summit 9 …More Income Median Hourly Wages Higher for by Texans with Educational Attainment (2010) $23.40 $9.86 Less than high school $12.29 High school $14.05 Some college Bachelor's or higher Source: CPPP Analysis, Economic Policy Institute analysis of Current Population Survey data, 2011 2011 RAISE Texas Summit 10 Children are nearly three times more likely to emerge from poverty as adults if they complete college. A College Degree Helps Poor Children Get Ahead (Children in Bottom Quartile) 100% 80% 60% 5% 9% 18% 23% Percent Adult Children with Income in Top Quintile 22% Percent Adult Children with Income in Fourth Quintile 21% 40% 20% 19% 22% 45% 16% 0% Without a College Degree With a College Degree Percent Adult Children with Income in Middle Quintile Percent Adult Children with Income in Second Quintile Percent Adult Children with Income in Bottom Quintile Source: Brookings Tabulations of PSID Data, Isaacs, Sawhill& Haskings, February 2008, Children in the Bottom Income Quartile 2011 RAISE Texas Summit 11 Financial Barriers to College Access Families overestimate college costs Uncertainty over financing college decreases a student’s likelihood of college enrollment Grant aid funding lagging behind enrollment growth and student need Low- and moderate-income students are less likely to be enrolled in college savings plans FAFSA application is difficult to navigate 1 in 5 Texas students do not complete the FAFSA because they do not know how to apply 1 in 5 Texas students do not apply for financial aid because the process is too time-consuming 58% of Texas students do not complete the FAFSA because they believe they are ineligible for financial aid 2011 RAISE Texas Summit 12 Texas Grant Aid Investments Lag Behind Other States Source: CPPP Analysis, National Center for Public Policy and Higher Education, Measuring Up 2008 2011 RAISE Texas Summit 13 Millions ($) TEXAS Grants Cut by 10% in 201213 (Nominal Dollars) $430 $325 $361 $622 $559 106,000 Students Served 77,000 Students Served $267 2002-03 2004-05 2006-07 2008-09 2010-11 2012-13 Source: CPPP Analysis, Texas Higher Education Coordinating Board & General Appropriations Act 2001-2011 2011 RAISE Texas Summit 14 Student Loans are Primary Source of “Financial Aid” Loans Make Up the Majority of Financial Aid for Texas College Students % of Students Receiving Aid Income <$60,000 Income >= $60,000 % Loans Basic Needy Student 72% 92% 8% 49% $1.979B Needy Student Using Aid to Replace Family Contribution 28% 42% 58% 75% $1.765B Source: CPPP Analysis, Texas Higher Education Coordinating Board, 2009 2011 RAISE Texas Summit 15 Despite Federal & State Grants, Lower-Income Students Face Higher Unmet Need $10,000 $9,000 $8,000 $7,000 $6,000 $5,000 $4,000 $3,000 $2,000 $1,000 $0 4-year Institutions 2-year Institutions $0 0-100% $0 101-200% 201-300% 301-400% Income as Percent of Poverty Line $0 $0 401% + Source: CPPP Analysis of National Postsecondary Student Aid Study of 2008, NCES Powerstats 2011 RAISE Texas Summit . Source: CPPP Analysis, Texas Higher Education Coordinating Board, Report on Student Financial Aid in Texas Higher Education, FY 2009 2011 RAISE Texas Summit 17 Low-income families cover a higher percentage of college costs through financial aid, but… 100% 90% 80% Total Costs = $15,009 Unmet Need, 32% Total Costs = $17,708 Total Family Contribution 70% 60% 50% 40% EFC, 8% Total Family Contribution EFC, 74% Loans, 28% 30% 20% 10% Grants, 32% Loans, 16% Grants, 10% 0% 0-200% 200% + Income as Percent of Poverty Line Source: CPPP Analysis of National Postsecondary Student Aid Study of 2008, NCES Powerstats 2011 RAISE Texas Summit . 18 Total family contributions as a proportion of income are greater for low-income families compared to higher-income families 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% Unmet Need 10% 0% 47% of annual income spent on college costs EFC EFC 17% of annual income spent on college costs 0-200% 201% + Income as Percent of Poverty Line Source: CPPP Analysis of National Postsecondary Student Aid Study of 2008, NCES Powerstats 2011 RAISE Texas Summit . 19 Enrollment at Texas Two-Year Public Institutions Grows at Twice the Rate of Four-Year Institutions (2005-2010) Two-Year Institutions Four-Year Institutions Independent 1600 1.5 M 1400 184K 12% Thousands 1200 1.2 M 153K 13% 578K 38% 1000 800 501K 41% 600 400 200 743K 49% 566K 46% 0 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 Source: CPPP Analysis, Texas Higher Education Coordinating Board, 2011 2011 RAISE Texas Summit 20 Doing More With Less - 2012-13 Budget Texas Community Colleges Instructional Formula Funds 2010-11 & 2012-13 Number of Contact Hours 2010-11 & 2012-13 312M $1.84M Annual Appropriations per Contact Hour 2010-11 & 2012-13 $3.56 -5.8% -5.8% +20.4% $1.74M 259M Source: CPPP Analysis, Texas Association of Community Colleges 2011 RAISE Texas Summit -21.8% $2.78 82nd Legislature Session Summary, July 2011 21 2012-13 Budget Financial Aid & Post-Secondary Training State Financial Aid Programs Skills Development Fund $1B Jobs and Education for Texans Grant Program $81M $15M -40.1% -100% -5.8% -15% $879M $48.5M Source: CPPP Analysis, Texas Association of Community Colleges 2011 RAISE Texas Summit $0 82nd Legislature Session Summary, July 2011 22 New Laws Strengthen Higher Education SB 851 – Uniform deadline for financial aid applications HB 2910 – Establishes grant program for higher education institutions to partner with non-profit institutions to improve degree completion rates HB9 - Outcomes-Based Funding bases a portion of higher education funding on specific student success measures, including graduation/completion rates HB 1244/SB1564 – Developmental Education Assessment and Curriculum Reforms SB 162 – Developmental Education Plan for Underprepared Students 2011 RAISE Texas Summit 23 2011 Policy Accomplishments New Laws Improve Texas’ financial capability and college savings SB 290 (Watson)—expands mandatory financial literacy into statewide K-8 curricula and assessment platforms HB 34 (Branch)—builds on current financial literacy requirement (12th grade economics) to include: Instruction on paying for postsecondary education and training Instruction on completing the FAFSA Curricula to be finalized for 2013-2014 academic year 2011 RAISE Texas Summit 24 Policy Accomplishments (continued) HB 2594 (Truitt)—Payday and Auto Title Lending Reform Licensing Bill creates Texas Financial Education Endowment to fund initiatives such as: “school and youth-based financial literacy and capability”; “advertising, marketing, and public awareness campaigns to improve the credit profiles and credit scores of consumers in this state”; HB 399 (Castro)—requires universities to make available training on personal financial literacy (e.g. credit cards, loan repayment, retirement planning, budgeting, saving) HB 3708 (Hochberg)—improves Save & Match program by eliminating college savings penalties (financial aid, public benefits) 2011 RAISE Texas Summit 25 Upcoming Work Engage New Stakeholders Monitor rulemaking for HB 3708 (Texas Save & Match) @ Texas Prepaid Higher Education Tuition Board Participate in rulemaking for HB 2594 (Texas Financial Education Endowment) @ Texas Finance Commission Pursue K-12 Financial Education Implementation @ Texas Education Agency (HB 34/SB 290) CPPP to release review of Texas Financial Aid programs and policies Perform Analysis of Local-Level Student Loan Data Acquire and analyze local-level FAFSA completion figures Develop College Readiness “Scorecard” 2011 RAISE Texas Summit 26 Ways to Get Involved, Be Informed Payday and Auto Title Lending: Stop the Cycle of Debt (www.stoppaydayabuse.org) State Revenue: Balanced Budget=Balanced Approach (www.texasforward.org) Savings, Asset Building, & Financial Success (www.raisetexas.org) Issues Affecting Low- and ModerateIncome Texans (www.cppp.org) Creating Good Jobs, Increasing Income, & Promoting Savings (www.opportunitytexas.org) 2011 RAISE Texas Summit 27 Laura Rosen OpportunityTexas Coordinator [email protected] Don Baylor Senior Policy Analyst, CPPP [email protected] Use of This Presentation The Center for Public Policy Priorities encourages you to reproduce and distribute these slides, which were developed for use in making public presentations. If you reproduce these slides, please give appropriate credit to CPPP. The data presented here may become outdated. For the most recent information or to sign up for our free E-Mail Updates, visit www.cppp.org. © CPPP Center for Public Policy Priorities 900 Lydia Street Austin, TX 78702 P 512/320-0222 F 512/320-0227 2011 RAISE Texas Summit 29