Inventory - 國立臺灣海洋大學網路發展協會
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Transcript Inventory - 國立臺灣海洋大學網路發展協會
Design for Supply
Chain Management
Phil Simchi-Levi
Kaminsky
David
[email protected]
Philip Kaminsky
Edith Simchi-Levi
The Manufacturing
Environment
Rapid Changes
– New products rapidly introduced
– Short, unknown product life cycles
High Variety of Products
Long Production Lead Times
Increasing storage and transportation costs
Difficult to forecast demand
McGraw-Hill/Irwin
© 2003 Simchi-Levi, Kaminsky, Simchi-Levi
The Goals of the
Manufacturing Organization
Responsiveness
Competitive pricing
Efficiency
Customer service
McGraw-Hill/Irwin
© 2003 Simchi-Levi, Kaminsky, Simchi-Levi
Why Do These Goals
Conflict?
Forces for keeping low inventory
– inventory expensive
– low salvage values
Forces for keeping high inventory
– long lead times
– customer service is important
– demand is hard to predict
– reduction in transportation quantity
McGraw-Hill/Irwin
© 2003 Simchi-Levi, Kaminsky, Simchi-Levi
Design For Logistics
Product and process design key cost drivers
of product cost
Design for Manufacturing used design to
decrease manufacturing costs
Major supply chain costs include
transportation costs, inventory costs,
distribution costs
McGraw-Hill/Irwin
© 2003 Simchi-Levi, Kaminsky, Simchi-Levi
Design For Logistics
Design for Logistics uses product design to
address logistics costs
Key Concepts of Design for Logistics
– Economic packaging and transportation
– Concurrent/Parallel Processing
– Standardization
McGraw-Hill/Irwin
© 2003 Simchi-Levi, Kaminsky, Simchi-Levi
Economic Transportation
and Storage
Design products so that they can be
efficiently packed and stored
Design packaging so that products can be
consolidated at cross docking points
Design products to efficiently utilize retail
space
McGraw-Hill/Irwin
© 2003 Simchi-Levi, Kaminsky, Simchi-Levi
Examples
Ikea
– World’s largest furniture retailer
– 131 stores in 21 countries
– Large stores, centralized manufacturing,
compactly and efficiently packed products
Rubbermaid
– Clear Classic food containers - designed to fit
14x14” Wal-Mart shelves
McGraw-Hill/Irwin
© 2003 Simchi-Levi, Kaminsky, Simchi-Levi
Concurrent/ Parallel
Processing
Objective is to minimize lead times
Achieved by redesigning products so that
several manufacturing steps can take place
in parallel
Modularity/Decoupling is key to
implementation
Enables different inventory levels for
different parts
McGraw-Hill/Irwin
© 2003 Simchi-Levi, Kaminsky, Simchi-Levi
The Network Printer
Example
Board
Stage 1
(Europe)
Stage 1
(Europe)
Printer
Customer
(Europe)
Stage 2 +
Integration (Far East)
Board
Printer
Stage 2
(Far East)
Customer
(Europe)
Integration (Europe)
Plastics,
motors, etc.
McGraw-Hill/Irwin
© 2003 Simchi-Levi, Kaminsky, Simchi-Levi
Standardization
Shortening lead times is not always possible
How else can inventory levels be reduced
and forecast accuracy improved?
Standardization of products and processes
– Product commonality
– Process commonality
McGraw-Hill/Irwin
© 2003 Simchi-Levi, Kaminsky, Simchi-Levi
Modularity in Product and
Process
Modular Product:
– Can be made by appropriately combining the different
modules
– It entails providing customers a number of options for
each module
Modular Process:
– Each product undergo a discrete set of operations
making it possible to store inventory in semi-finished
form
– Products differ from each other in terms of the subset of
operations that are performed on them
McGraw-Hill/Irwin
© 2003 Simchi-Levi, Kaminsky, Simchi-Levi
Modularity in Product and
Process
Semiconductor wafer fabrication is modular
since the type of chip produced depends on
the unique set of operations performed
Oil refining is not modular since it is
continuous and inventory storage of semifinished product is difficult
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© 2003 Simchi-Levi, Kaminsky, Simchi-Levi
Modularity in Product and
Process
Are modular products always made from
modular processes?
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© 2003 Simchi-Levi, Kaminsky, Simchi-Levi
Modularity in Product and
Process
Modular products are not always made from
modular processes
– Bio-tech and pharmaceutical industries make
modular products but use non-modular
processes; many products are made by varying
the mix of a small number of ingredients
McGraw-Hill/Irwin
© 2003 Simchi-Levi, Kaminsky, Simchi-Levi
Types of Standardization
Part Standardization
– Common parts are used across many processes
– Product redesign might be necessary
Process Standardization
– Standardizing as much of the process as possible,
making a generic or family product
– Delaying differentiation
– Called “Delayed differentiation”, “Postponement”
McGraw-Hill/Irwin
© 2003 Simchi-Levi, Kaminsky, Simchi-Levi
Postponement: Example
Demand for black t-shirts
– 50% probability 100
– 50% probability 200
Same for white t-shirts
Production alternatives
Produce 150 of each color ahead of time
Produce 300 which can be dyed after demand
is observed
McGraw-Hill/Irwin
© 2003 Simchi-Levi, Kaminsky, Simchi-Levi
Postponement: Example
First Alternative
– 25% probability -- short 50 of each
– 25% probability -- extra 50 of each
– 50% probability -- short 50 of one, extra 50 of the other
Second Alternative
– 25% probability -- short 50 of each
– 25% probability -- extra 50 of each
– 50% probability -- no shortage or extra
McGraw-Hill/Irwin
© 2003 Simchi-Levi, Kaminsky, Simchi-Levi
Postponement: Key
Concepts
Delay differentiation of products in the same
family as late as possible
Enables the use of aggregate forecasts
Enables the delay of detailed forecasts
Reduces scrapped or obsolete inventory,
increases customer service
May require new processes or product
design with associated costs
McGraw-Hill/Irwin
© 2003 Simchi-Levi, Kaminsky, Simchi-Levi
Postponement
Considerations
Tradeoff increased product cost with
decreased inventory
Need to decide where to postpone - the
push-pull boundary
Position in product lifecycle is factor in
postponement strategies
Inventory value may increase
Consider tariffs and duties
McGraw-Hill/Irwin
© 2003 Simchi-Levi, Kaminsky, Simchi-Levi
Hewlett-Packard:
LaserJets
LaserJets are manufactured in Japan
Previously, the printers had two different
power supplies (110, 220 volts)
Differentiation had to happen immediately
An improved design enables a single power
supply to work for both voltages.
5% Cost Savings
McGraw-Hill/Irwin
© 2003 Simchi-Levi, Kaminsky, Simchi-Levi
Hewlett-Packard Disk Drives
Manufacturing Process Redesign
HP’s disk drive division supplied several
customers
PCB
Insertion
tests
Customer 1
Customer 2
Customer 3
Coupon
Insertion
PCB insertion postponed
PCB
Insertion
common tests
McGraw-Hill/Irwin
tests
Customer 1
Customer 2
Customer 3
© 2003 Simchi-Levi, Kaminsky, Simchi-Levi
Benetton Background
A world leader in knitwear
Massive volume, many stores
Logistics
– Large, flexible production network
– Many independent subcontractors
– Subcontractors responsible for product
movement
Retailers
– Many, small stores with limited storage
McGraw-Hill/Irwin
© 2003 Simchi-Levi, Kaminsky, Simchi-Levi
Benetton Supply Cycle
Primary collection in stores in January
–
–
–
–
–
Final designs in March of previous year
Store owners place firm orders through July
Production starts in July based on first 10% of orders
August - December stores adjust orders (colors)
80%-90% of items in store for January sales
Mini collection based on customer requests
designed in January for Spring sales
To refill hot selling items
– Late orders as items sell out
– Delivery promised in less than five weeks
McGraw-Hill/Irwin
© 2003 Simchi-Levi, Kaminsky, Simchi-Levi
Benetton Flexibility
Business goals
– Increase sales of fashion items
– Continue to expand sales network
– Minimize costs
Flexibility important in achieving these goals
– Hard to predict what items, colors, etc. will sell
– Customers make requests once items are in
stores
– Small stores may need frequent replenishments
McGraw-Hill/Irwin
© 2003 Simchi-Levi, Kaminsky, Simchi-Levi
It is hard to be flexible when...
Lead times are long
Retailers are committed to purchasing early
orders
Purchasing plans for raw materials are
based upon extrapolating from 10% of the
orders
McGraw-Hill/Irwin
© 2003 Simchi-Levi, Kaminsky, Simchi-Levi
Benetton
Old Manufacturing Process
Spin or Purchase Yarn
Dye Yarn
Finish Yarn
Manufacture Garment Parts
Join Parts
McGraw-Hill/Irwin
© 2003 Simchi-Levi, Kaminsky, Simchi-Levi
Benetton
New Manufacturing Process
Spin or Purchase Yarn
Manufacture Garment Parts
Join Parts
Dye Garment
This step is postponed
Finish Garment
McGraw-Hill/Irwin
© 2003 Simchi-Levi, Kaminsky, Simchi-Levi
Benetton Postponement
Why the change?
– The change enables Benetton to start manufacturing
before color choices are made
What does the change result in?
– Delayed forecasts of specific colors
– Still use aggregate forecasts to start manufacturing
early
– React to customer demand and suggestions
Issues with postponement
– Costs are 10% higher for manufacturing
– New processes had to be developed
– New equipment had to be purchased
McGraw-Hill/Irwin
© 2003 Simchi-Levi, Kaminsky, Simchi-Levi
Procurement
Standardization
Consider a large semiconductor manufacturer
– The wafer fabrication facility produces highly
customized integrated circuits
– Processing equipment that manufactures these wafers
are very expensive with long lead time and are made to
order
– Although there is a degree of variety at the final product
level, each wafer has to undergo a common set of
operations
– The firm reduces risk of investing in the wrong
equipment by pooling demand across a variety of
products
McGraw-Hill/Irwin
© 2003 Simchi-Levi, Kaminsky, Simchi-Levi
Product Standardization
Downward Substitution
– Produce only a subset of products (because
producing each one incurs high setup cost)
– Guide customers to existing products
– Substitute products with higher feature set for
those with lower feature set
– Which products to offer, how much to keep, how
to optimally substitute ?
McGraw-Hill/Irwin
© 2003 Simchi-Levi, Kaminsky, Simchi-Levi
A Framework for
Standardization
Modular
Maximize component
commonality across
products
Delay customization as
late as possible
Non-Modular
Carry a limited
number of products in
inventory
Non-Modular
McGraw-Hill/Irwin
Leverage equipment and part
commonality across products
Modular
© 2003 Simchi-Levi, Kaminsky, Simchi-Levi
HP DeskJet Case:
Background
High volume, high speed manufacturing in Vancouver
Many different models, all completed in Vancouver
Three distribution centers
– North American
– Asian
– European
Manufacturing time one week
Transportation lead times:
– Europe: 4-5 weeks
– US
At distribution centers, simple standardized process
McGraw-Hill/Irwin
© 2003 Simchi-Levi, Kaminsky, Simchi-Levi
HP DeskJet Case:
Analysis
Problems
– High inventory levels
– Inventory imbalance in Europe
Causes
–
–
–
–
–
Uncertainty about correct inventory levels
Many geographic options (localization)
Long lead times
Uncertain market
Difficulty at getting divisions to work together
What are HP’s options?
McGraw-Hill/Irwin
© 2003 Simchi-Levi, Kaminsky, Simchi-Levi
HP DeskJet Case:
Options
Short Term
– Rationalize safety stock
Long Term
– Air shipment
– European factory
– More inventory
– Better forecasting
– DC localization
McGraw-Hill/Irwin
© 2003 Simchi-Levi, Kaminsky, Simchi-Levi
Safety Stock Rationalization:
Example Europe AB
Recall: Safety Stock = z STD * LT
McGraw-Hill/Irwin
Mean Weekly Demand
Std. Dev
3656
2703
Monthly / 4.33
Monthly/(4.33).5
Lead Time
5
Std. Dev of Demand
Period
Safety Factor
Safety Stock
6044
2703*(5).5
1.9
11483
98% service
1.9*6044
© 2003 Simchi-Levi, Kaminsky, Simchi-Levi
Evaluating Alternatives
Air Shipment
– Expensive
European Factory
– Not sufficient volume
Better Forecasting
– How?
More Inventory
– More problems
DC Localization
– What will savings be?
McGraw-Hill/Irwin
© 2003 Simchi-Levi, Kaminsky, Simchi-Levi
Evaluating DC
Localization
In DC localization, risk pooling can be used
to reduce total inventory while maintaining
service levels
To evaluate inventory, compare total safety
stock held if individual localized units are
held in inventory or if generic units are held
Other costs must also be evaluated
McGraw-Hill/Irwin
© 2003 Simchi-Levi, Kaminsky, Simchi-Levi
Evaluating DC
Localization
A
AA
AB
AQ
AU
AY
AVG
STD
42
420
15830
2301
4208
307
Total
23109
Generic 23109
McGraw-Hill/Irwin
32
204
5625
1169
2205
103
Safety
Stock
66
416
11,484
2395
4517
211
Weeks
of SS
6.75
4.25
3.11
4.48
4.62
2.96
6244
19089
12792
3.55
2.38
© 2003 Simchi-Levi, Kaminsky, Simchi-Levi
DC Localization
Safety Stock Reduction
– Current 19,089 units (3.55 weeks)
– With localization 12,792 units (2.4 weeks)
Other benefits
–
–
–
–
–
Lower value of transit inventory
Freight reductions
Local presence of “manufacturing”
Customs implications
Local procurement of localization materials
But there are costs
– Product redesign
– DC modifications
McGraw-Hill/Irwin
© 2003 Simchi-Levi, Kaminsky, Simchi-Levi
Implementation
R&D Support
– “The product is working, so why bother?”
DC Support
– “Not our core competency”
New packaging
Capital investment
McGraw-Hill/Irwin
© 2003 Simchi-Levi, Kaminsky, Simchi-Levi
Results
Successful implementation
Millions saved
Service levels increased
Packaging won awards
Best practice spread to other HP divisions
McGraw-Hill/Irwin
© 2003 Simchi-Levi, Kaminsky, Simchi-Levi
Supplier Integration
Competitive forces are driving firms to
integrate suppliers into product development
Spectrum of Supplier Integration
– None
– White Box – Informal integration
– Grey Box – Formal integration, with
collaborative teams
– Black Box – Interface requirements are given,
product is returned
McGraw-Hill/Irwin
© 2003 Simchi-Levi, Kaminsky, Simchi-Levi
Supplier Integration
What approach is appropriate?
– Determine internal competencies
– Determine product development needs
– Identify external development and manufacturing needs
If future products have components that require external
expertise and can be separated from other components, a
black box approach makes sense.
If components cannot be separated, a grey box approach
makes sense.
If some expertise can be found in house, a white box
approach might make sense.
McGraw-Hill/Irwin
© 2003 Simchi-Levi, Kaminsky, Simchi-Levi
The “Bookshelf” Approach
Monitor the development of new technologies
Follow suppliers that have developed expertise
When appropriate, integrate these new
technologies
This balances the advantages and disadvantages
of being on the cutting edge:
– No need to gain experience with the technology,
because suppliers are doing this for you.
– Can introduce the technologies when needed.
McGraw-Hill/Irwin
© 2003 Simchi-Levi, Kaminsky, Simchi-Levi
Mass Customization
The delivery of a wide variety of customized
goods at low cost
The key is modular products and processes,
so that customer requests can be met
According to Pine, companies need to
evolve towards “modular companies”, with
managers ensuring that modules are
compatible.
Consider National Bicycle
McGraw-Hill/Irwin
© 2003 Simchi-Levi, Kaminsky, Simchi-Levi
Mass Customization and
Supply Chain Management
An advanced supply chain is essential
This is particularly true when “modules”
extend beyond a single company.
Consider
– Postponement for regional customization
– The value of strategic partnerships and supplier
integration
– Dell
McGraw-Hill/Irwin
© 2003 Simchi-Levi, Kaminsky, Simchi-Levi