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The Knowledge Economy “Colleges and universities have never been as important as they are today. Economic competitiveness depends upon a state’s ability to educate and train its citizens and attract and retain talent.” National Governors Association Center For Best Practices Education Earnings 95,700 Prof. Deg. 70,400 Doctorate 59,500 Master's 49,900 Bachelor's 37,600 Associate's 35,700 Some College 30,800 HS Diploma 21,600 Less than HS $0 $1 $1 $2 $3 $4 $5 $6 $7 $8 $9 00 0,0 0,0 0,0 0,0 0,0 0,0 0,0 0,0 0,0 ,00 00 00 00 00 00 00 00 00 00 0 Source: Education Pays 2004, College Board Average Annual Income for Families by Educational Attainment of Householder - 1967 to 2004 2004 Source: Postsecondary Education Opportunity Projected Increases in Job Openings by Education or Training Required - United States, 2002 -2012 Professional degree 18 Doctorate 36 Master's degree 22 Bachelor's degree plus work experience 20 Bachelor's degree 21 Postsecondary vocational certificate 18 Work Experience/OJT 12 Total 15 0 10 20 30 % Source: Louisiana: Featured Facts, 2005, SREB 40 50 The Array of Benefits of Higher Education Public Economic Social Private Increased tax revenues Greater productivity Increased consumption Increased workforce flexibility Decreased reliance on government financial support Higher salaries and benefits Employment Higher savings levels Improved working conditions Reduced tax revenues Increased charitable giving/community service Increased quality of civic life Improved ability to adapt to and use technology Improved health/life expectancy Improved quality of life for offspring Better consumer decisionmaking Per Capita Income vs. Share of Adult Population with a Bachelor’s Degree or Higher (2003) 32,000 - Per Capita Income 30,000 - 28,000 - CT ◆ No state with a low proportion of Bachelor’s degrees has a high per capita income. NJ ◆ 26,000 - AK ◆ 24,000 - NV ◆ 22,000 - TN 20,000 - KY 18,000 - WI WY OH IN IA ◆ ◆ ◆ WV ◆ AR ◆◆ ◆ ◆ NH VA ◆ ◆ NY DE ◆ MN ◆ ◆ IL RI ◆ WA MI FL ◆ PA ◆ ◆ ◆◆ ◆ GA ◆ ◆OR MO ◆ME ◆ ◆ ◆AZ NE SC ◆◆ ◆ ◆ ◆ ◆ ◆ ◆ CO ◆ CA ◆ HI VT ◆ ◆ KS TX ND SD NC MT AL ◆ ◆ ◆ ◆UT ◆ ID ◆ OK LA MD MA ◆ ◆ NM No state with a high proportion of Bachelor’s degrees has a low per capita income. MS 16,000 15% 20% 25% 30% 35% Population with a Bachelor’s Degree or Higher Source: U.S. Census Bureau, ACS 2003 40% Highest Educational Attainment of Population 25 Years and Older in 2005 50 40 35.0 29.0 30.0 30 % 20 18.0 20.0 20.0 20.0 19.5 17.2 15.7 16.1 13.4 10 7.0 10.0 9.0 7.0 7.1 5.0 0 Less Than High High School/No Some College School College US South Associate's Bachelor's Graduate or Professional Louisiana Source: US Census data: American Community Survey, 2005 Per Capita Personal Income as a Percent of U.S. Average— Louisiana, 1960-2004 120% 100% 86.7% 82.2% 80% 74.3% 77.7% 75.8% 82.6% 60% 1960 1970 1980 Source: U.S. Census Bureau; Statistical Abstract of the United States, 2003 1990 2000 2004 Louisiana Expenditures Per Capita (2002) National Rank Health and Hospitals Prisons Higher Education 4th 14th 39th Elementary/Secondary Education Highways 43rd 41st “To close the economic gap, Louisiana must close the education gap.” Source: Miles to Go, Southern Education Foundation (2006) Main Points: • The economy is rapidly changing. • Economic prosperity (employment opportunity, competitive salaries, progressive public investments) is dependent on knowledge-based jobs. The Issue: Louisiana’s ability to compete in this economic environment demands ever larger numbers of highly-trained and educated workers. Recent Progress Public High School Graduation Rates* 100.0 70.0 68.8 58.5 75.0 % 68.0 50.0 25.0 LA US (49th) LA US (33rd) 0.0 1994 2004 *Total Regular Diploma Recipients / 9th Grade Enrollment = H.S. Graduation Rate Source: Postsecondary Education Opportunity, July 2006 Chance for College by Age 19* 75.0 50.0 40.0 31.2 38.1 37.1 % 25.0 US LA (45th) US LA (32nd) 0.0 1994 2004 *Public High School Graduation Rate x College Going Rate Source: Postsecondary Education Opportunity, July 2006 Degrees Awarded 1994-95 2004-05 Change 3,211 20%* 4,459 63% 14,880 17,537 18% Certificate/Diploma Associate: Baccalaureate: Master’s 2,730 3,933 5,034 28% Doctorate 373 425 14% Professional 711 792 11% *LTC data were incorporated in 2003. The increase in certificates/diplomas awarded is for the two-year period 2003-2005. Source: Board of Regents data Educational Attainment Population 25 and Older 2000 2005 Associate’s Degree: 3.1% 5.0% Bachelor’s Degree: 12.4% 13.4% 6.8% 7.1% Graduate/Professional Source: U.S Census data Public Postsecondary Enrollment Growth Pre-Katrina/Rita 214,744* 210,484* 210,000 17,563 17,786 185,976 190,000 175,292 178,990 192,921 170,000 196,958 150,000 2000-01 2001-02 2002-03 2003-04* 2004-05* *Includes LA Technical College, SOWELA and Fletcher Postsecondary Enrollment Growth Post Katrina/Rita 214,744 210,484 210,000 17,563 17,786 192,845 185,976 190,000 175,292 178,990 170,000 192,921 196,958 2003-04 2004-05 150,000 2000-01 2001-02 2002-03 2006-07 Note: 2003-04 through 2006-07 totals include LA Technical College, SOWELA and Fletcher Source: Board of Regents data 38,600 39,700 40,800 41,000 41,000 41,500 41,800 } 41,220 45,589 46,334 46,473 46,776 47,548 46,419 44,915 Katrina/Rita Impact 43,000 44,373 45,000 44,023 47,000 43,770 49,000 46,488 Louisiana High School Graduates and Post-Katrina Projections 39,000 2011 2007 2005 Projected 2003 1999 1997 1995 35,000 2001 Actual 2009 37,000 Source: Projection of Total Number of Louisiana High School Graduates for School Years 2006-2007 TO 20112012; Education Estimating Conference, January 2007 Hurricane Impact on Enrollment Displaced Public School Students 65,397 Returned to original schools after having enrolled elsewhere in Louisiana 52,978 11,863 41,870 Returned to original schools without enrolling elsewhere in Louisiana Did not return to original schools but enrolled in other Louisiana schools Did not enroll in any Louisiana public school Source: Student Displacement in Louisiana After the Hurricanes of 2005: Experiences of Public Schools and Their Students, 2006, Rand. To recover and improve economically, Louisiana must expand the participation of our remaining population in higher education: • Traditional Pathway • Non-traditional Pathway “The data make it very clear that the largest pool of potential college students is the population of lowand moderate-income youth who do not complete high school college-qualified.” Postsecondary Education Opportunity, March 2007 “The federal Advisory Committee on Student Financial Assistance estimates that cost factors prevent 22 percent of college-qualified high school graduates from attending college.” Empty Promises: The Myth of College Access in America, Advisory Committee on Student Financial Assistance, 2002 Family Income Affects Chance for College Income categories are broken down as follows: low-income—under $25,000; middle-income—$25,000 to $74,999; and high-income—$75,000 and above. Source: The Pell Institute, Indicators of Opportunity in Higher Education College Participation Rates by State for Students from Low-Income Families – FY2005 Source: Postsecondary Education Opportunity, February 2007 Bachelor’s Degree Attainment of 8th Graders by Family Income - 2000 75 50 % 43 46 Middle Income High Income 27 25 16 0 Low Income Moderate Income Source: Analysis of National Education Longitudinal Study of 1998/2000 Children in Louisiana, by Family Income Level 24% Above low income 52% >200% FPL 24% Low income 48% (National: 39%) 100-200% FPL <100% FPL 52% Source: National Center for Children in Poverty, 2006 LA Approval Rates for Free and ReducedPriced School Lunches – FY1993 - FY2005 70.0 60.0 % .4 8 5 .5 3 6 50.0 40.0 30.0 1993 2005 Source: Postsecondary Education Opportunity, February 2007 Louisiana Children in Low-Income Families, by Residence 100 75 % 50 55 46 44 Urban Suburban 25 0 (129,891) (146,688) Rural (69,575) Source: National Center for Children in Poverty, 2006 Primary obstacles to access and success for low- and moderateincome students: – Inadequate academic preparation – Insufficient information, guidance and encouragement – Unmet financial need Overall Affordability Rankings: 1. New Hampshire 2. Oklahoma 3. Louisiana 4. Mississippi 5. Georgia 6. North Dakota 7. Kentucky 8. Idaho 9. Utah 10. Wisconsin Educational Policy Institute (2006) Affordability 2006 Source: Measuring Up 2006 Affordability 2006 Source: Measuring Up 2006 Adults Louisiana Adult Participation in Postsecondary Education – 2.3% of working population (47th) Source: National Center for Public Policy and Higher Education Storm Impact on Enrollment of Students Aged 25 and Over 80,000 72,200 72,790 70,000 60,000 56,529 57,779 61,174 53,116 50,000 40,000 30,000 2000-01 2001-02 2002-03 2003-04* 2004-05* 2005-06* *Includes LA Technical College, SOWELA and Fletcher Loan Debt Student Loan Debt “At public universities, debt levels for graduating seniors with student loans has more than doubled in the past decade.” Project on Student Debt, National Center for Education Statistics (NCES), 2006 Percentage of Bachelor’s Degree Recipients Who Borrowed for Their Undergraduate Education, 1999-2000 100 72 75 % 68 62 46 50 25 0 Low-income Lower middleincome Upper middleincome Highest income Source: Choy and Li, 2005 Student Loan Debt At public universities, debt levels for graduating seniors with student loans more than doubled, from $8,000 to $17,251, over the past decade (108% increase). Louisiana’s average student loan debt: $18,751 (12th in nation) Student Loan Debt Selected debt examples: Avg. Graduate Debt (2004-05) Grambling LSU-BR La. Tech Nicholls Northwestern Southeastern Southern-BR UNO $30,000 19,258 15,861 12,738 17,442 12,527 23,000 22,272 % of Graduates with Debt (2004-05) 85 49 82 48 68 58 90 36 “The most efficient way for a state to expand access to postsecondary education is to increase its investment in need-based grant aid.” Expanding College Access: The Impact of State Finance Strategies, Lumina (2004) “Need-based grants have a positive association with high school graduation rates and a substantial positive influence on college enrollment rates.” Perne and Titus (2002) “Lack of financial aid is one of the major barriers preventing low-wage workers from enrolling in and successfully completing postsecondary education.” Lumina Foundation for Education “Low-income adults receive less overall financial assistance and fewer grants than tradition-age students…Yet the majority of state financial aid policies are also not well suited for adult workers. Workforce Strategy Center, December 2006 Distribution of State Grant Aid, 2003-04 26% 74% U.S. Average Total need-based state undergraduate aid Total non-need-based state undergraduate aid Source: National Association of State Student Grant Aid Programs 2004 Distribution of State Grant Aid, 2003-04 1.3% 24% 26% 98.7% 74% U.S. Average Louisiana Total need-based state undergraduate aid Total non-need-based state undergraduate aid Source: National Association of State Student Grant Aid Programs 2004 Undergraduate Grant Dollars/FTE State Rankings Louisiana Merit-Based: $640 – 13th Need-Based: $8 – 47th Source: USDOE, National Center for Educational Statistics (NCES) Integrated Postsecondary Data System (IPEDS), 2004 Louisiana Need Based Financial Assistance Program for Lowand Moderate-Income Students Louisiana “GO Grant” Simple plan to improve college access for targeted population and reduce student loan debt Shared responsibility Targeted at low/moderateincome and low-participating adults and high school graduates Eligibility Criteria Enrollment Criteria • Louisiana resident • Admitted and enrolled as a certificate- or degree-seeking undergraduate student • At a Louisiana public or private (LAICU) college or university: – As a first time freshman or – Aged 25 or older and not enrolled in a college or university in credit bearing courses for at least three years Financial Need Criteria • Financial need is based on information reported on the Free Application for Federal Student Aid (FAFSA) • Student must be awarded the federal Pell grant (includes calculation of Expected Family Contribution) • Student must have an Education Cost Gap (ECG) (unmet need) greater than zero ECG for Full-time Students Tuition and mandatory fees + $2,000 for textbooks, supplies, materials and other related education expenses = Louisiana Basic College Cost (LBCC) LBCC - Federal grants (Pell, ACG) = Education Cost Gap (ECG) ECG for Part-time Students Tuition and mandatory fees + $1,000 for textbooks, supplies, materials and other related education expenses = Louisiana Basic College Cost (LBCC) LBCC - Federal grants (Pell, ACG) = Education Cost Gap (ECG) Award Amount • Annual award of – $2,000 for fulltime students – $1,000 for part-time students Renewal Eligibility Criteria • Student eligibility will be reevaluated annually, using the ECG formula, for students with continued Pell eligibility who meet satisfactory academic progress (consistent with federal guidelines) Projections • Approximately 10,000 eligible first-time freshmen – 25% of incoming class • Additional 1,000 students (estimated) aged 25 and older who have been out of school 3 years Louisiana Pell Grant Recipients Four-Year Institutions Percentage of Firsttime, Degree-Seeking with Pell (2004-05) Grambling LSU-BR LSU-Alexandria LSU-Shreveport La. Tech McNeese Nicholls Northwestern Southeastern Southern-BR SUNO UL-Lafayette UL-Monroe UNO 73 16 47 50 39 38 43 49 35 79 85 33 46 60 Number of First-time, Degree-Seeking with Pell (2004-05) 473 733 243 247 645 578 680 893 870 897 323 865 644 1137 Louisiana Pell Grant Recipients Two-Year Institutions BRCC BPCC Delgado La. Delta L.E. Fletcher LSU-Eunice LTC Nunez RPCC SLCC SU-Shreveport Sowela Percentage of Firsttime, Degree-Seeking with Pell (2004-05) Number of First-time, Degree-Seeking with Pell (2004-05) 74 51 55 N/A 60 45 54 75 52 N/A 90 25 1,152 394 1,433 102 404 2,176 311 106 375 332 Pell Grant Participation Rate for Dependent Undergraduates by Parental Income Louisiana Median Household Income $36,729 Source: Postsecondary Education Opportunity, March 2007 “Helping more Americans earn a degree is not only important for our economic standing, it’s essential to reinforcing what our country stands for.” Secretary of Education Margaret Spellings, March 2007 Highest Educational Attainment of Population 25 Years and Older in 2005 20 17.2 16.1 13.4 % 10.0 10 9.0 7.0 7.1 7.0 5.0 0 Associate's Bachelor's US South Graduate or Professional Louisiana Source: US Census data: American Community Survey, 2005