Southern Alberta Opium Production Feasibility Study
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Transcript Southern Alberta Opium Production Feasibility Study
Suits Associates International
A study to determine the feasibility of opium
production in Southern Alberta, for
pharmaceutical use.
Agenda
Literature Review
Research Question
Hypothesis
Research Objectives
Research Methods
Strategy and Philosophy
Setting and Sample
Data Collection
Research Ethics
Issues
Incentives
Time Scale and Resources
What Lies Ahead…?
Background: Literature Sources
Deductive Approach to Research
Secondary Literature Sources:
Magazines and News Reports
Business Week
Alberta Venture
CBC
Market for Medicinal Poppies
$7.4 of poppy-related
pharmaceutical products
imported last year
Canada imports $100
Million in opium annually
For use in pharmaceutical
drugs,
ex. morphine and codeine
Canada is the largest per
capita consumer of codeine
in the world
Dollars and Sense
Poppies will pay more than
any other crop
Up to $6000/hectare
Compared to $2000/hectare for
Wheat
API Labs Inc.
$40 million pharmaceutical
plant near Lethbridge
150 new jobs
$300 million injected annually
into the local economy
Political Issues: International
International Law:
Twenty countries allowed to grow opium poppies
Canada:
All parts of the poppy are illegal, except for the
seeds
Only G8 country that can claim this
Political Issues: Infrastructure
Bob Tarlick:
“We don’t want bikers running this”
Afghanistan:
92% of world opium supply
Warlords, corruption and illegal drugs
Canada:
Has the infrastructure
Steven Harper’s $64 million stance
Biggest hurdle: Health Canada
Political Issues…?
Largely disappear if there
are no illegal uses for
these poppies
Peter Facchini
Scientist and acclaimed
U of C professor
Working on genetically
modified poppies
No illegal implications
Still useful for
medicinal purposes
Research Question:
Will public opinion and legalities permanently hinder
bringing poppies to Southern Alberta?
Hypothesis:
Huge financial gains, a strong infrastructure and
genetically modified plants will make poppy-growing
a reality.
Research Objectives
1.
2.
3.
Determine support or opposition at various
political levels
Determine public opinion
Determine the progress of scientific advances
relating to this topic
Research Strategy
Compile Primary Data for
Canada
Mixed-Method Approach
Quantitative
Telephone Survey
Qualitative
Personal Interviews
Research Philosophy
Functional Positivism
Independent third-party research firm
Problem-orientated approach
Seeking rational solutions through
operational recommendations
5P’s Principle
Proper Planning Prevents
Poor Performance!
Methodology
Quantitative:
Telephone Survey
Random and
Representative
Knowledge Gaps
Objective
CATI Software
Variable Testing
Methodology
Data Collection
Test, Re-Test, Re-view
Survey execution
Demographics
Researcher Experience
Cross-sectional
Sample Size
95% Confidence Level, 4.0% Sampling Error
Contact 1,250 phone numbers
Regional Considerations
How far-reaching are the
impacts?
Greatest impact closest to
production region
Influential power of this
region
Methodology
Qualitative: Personal
Interviews
Stakeholder Analysis - SWOT
Avoid duplication
Exploratory Research
Officials & Influential Persons
Provincial Legislators,
Local Government,
University Professors,
Law Enforcement Agencies,
Other Stakeholder Groups
Data Collection
Effectiveness depends on QUALITY of
questions asked!
Utilize public opinion survey data to
formulate more questions
Full disclosure
Convenience of interviewee
Digital recording
Transcribing service
Sample
Provincial Legislators
Ed Stelmach
Dave Hancock
Rick Casson
Local Legislators
Bob Tarlek
Alderpersons
Municipal Authorities
Sample
University Professors
Dr. Peter Fachinni
Dr. Danny Le Roy
Law Enforcement
RCMP
D.A.R.E.
Other Stakeholders
Glen Metzler
Carol Harrington
Ethical Issues
Leading questions,
Attempts made to
persuade
participants,
Misreporting of
information,
Not disclosing your
identity,
Manipulation during
interviews
Ethical Practices
Research-Board
Approval
Will never be deceived
Confidentiality is
assured
Data used properly
Interviews and survey
questions are not
stressful
Ethical Practices
Personal Interviews
The interviewees
In the public eye
Consent form
Participant Rights
Financial Inducements
5 Calgary Flames
ticket packages
2 tickets,
Accommodation,
$100 certificate
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Activity
Week number
1 Holiday
2 Read additional literature
3 Stakeholder analisis
4 Finalise objectives
5 Draft literature review
6 Confirm research methods
7 Draft research methods
8 Review telephone survey
9 Run piolet test for survey
10 Revise survey if needed
11 Administer telephone survey
12 Enter data into computer
13 Analise the data
14 Contact interview participants
15 Review intervew questions
16 Pilot test and revise questions
17 Conduct intervies
18 Enter data into computer
19 Analise data
20 Draft findings chapter
21 Read new opium developments
22 Complete remaining chapters
23 Make last minute changes
24 Print and bind report
25 Submit feasibility report
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Time Scale and Resources
Total ranging from $65,000 to $100,000
Preparation, Testing, Analysis
Telephone Interviews
Personal Interviews
Possibilities for joint investment:
Corporate farms,
Investors,
and Pharmaceuticals
Discussion