Transcript Slide 1
Transportation for Tomorrow Houston Economic Club May 18, 2009 Matthew K. Rose Chairman, President and CEO 1 BNSF in Texas 2 BNSF in Houston 3 Running a railroad through recession to recovery – Volumes Percent change Year over Year 6.0% 3.5% 3.3% 4.0% 2.0% 0.9% 0.9% 0.0% -2.0% -2.9% -4.0% -3.6% -3.3% -2.2% -2.2% -2.4% -2.5% -6.0% -8.0% -8.9% -10.0% -12.0% -14.0% -14.4% -16.0% Q1 Q2 Q3 2006 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 2007 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 2008 Q4 Q1 2009 4 U.S. infrastructure supports millions of supply chains Miles of Supply Chain: 46,837 miles of Interstate Highways 173,000+ miles of railroad tracks Daily Supply Chain Volume: • 43 million tons of goods Class 1 Railroads Interstate Highways • Valued at $29 billion • 12 billion ton-miles Source: U.S. Chamber of Commerce, Let’s Rebuild America And keeps the economy running We know the future will bring more… 2030 Growth Projections U.S. population expected to grow to 364 million VMT to grow by 150 percent Freight rail to increase by 92 percent Source: Global Insights, AASHTO, FHWA Capacity is shrinking US Highway and Rail Networks System Miles and Volumes 210 200 190 180 170 160 150 140 130 120 110 100 90 80 70 60 50 1980 1985 Highway - VMT 1990 Highway - Lane-miles 1995 Rail - RTM 2000 2005 Rail - Track-miles Source: National Rail Freight Infrastructure Capacity and Investment Study September 2007 and AAR We have a national funding gap for all surface transportation Year-of-Expenditure Dollars (in Billions) 600 Cost to Improve 500 Cost to Maintain Revenue 400 300 200 100 2006 2009 2012 2015 2018 Year Source: U.S. Chamber of Commerce 2021 2024 2027 2030 Railroad Spending on Way & Structures vs. State Highway Agency Spending 1. 2. 3. Texas Florida California Union Pacific BNSF Railway 4. New York 5. Pennsylvania 6. Illinois CSX 7. Michigan 8. North Carolina 9. Ohio Norfolk Southern 10. Georgia Total (billions) $7.57 $5.69 $4.19 $4.17 $3.89 $3.59 $3.30 $3.30 $2.62 $2.61 $2.48 $2.14 $2.12 $1.88 10 Railroads: Far More Capital Intensive Than Other Industries Capital Expenditures as % of Revenue: Avg. 1997-2006 18% 16% 14% 12% 10% 8% 6% 4% 2% 0% Class I RRs All Mfrg. Nonmet. Min. Prod. Computers Paper Plastics & Rubber Chemicals Wood Products Motor Vehicles Petr. & Coal Prod. Sources: U.S. Census Bureau, AAR 11 Capital Commitments with ROIC $ Millions Engineering Expansion Mechanical Other ROIC 9.5% 9.7% 9.4% 9.6% 8.8% $2,520 7.6% 7.2% $2,265 $2,258 6.2% 6.2% $1,763 $1,608 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 Locomotive 10.8% 10.7% 10.0% $2,850 $2,670 $2,593 $2,179 $1,988 $1,726 $1,505 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2002-2007: ROIC is restated to reflect the change in methodology for discounting operating leases. 2008 Class I RR Cost of Capital vs. Return on Investment 20% 18% 16% 14% 12% 10% 8% 6% 4% 2% 0% RR Cost of Capital RR Return on Investment '81 '83 '85 '87 '89 '91 '93 '95 '97 '99 '01 '03 '05 '07 Note: In 2006, the Surface Transportation Board significantly changed the method by which it calculates the rail industry cost of capital. Source: STB 13 Rational regulation works 14 Railroads Keep Goods Affordable for America 7¢ 6¢ Inflation-Adjusted RR Rates* Down 54% Since 1981 5¢ 4¢ 3¢ 2¢ '81 '83 '85 '87 '89 '91 '93 '95 '97 '99 '01 '03 '05 '07 *Average revenue per ton-mile, Class I railroads. Source: AAR 15 Freight Rail Works 16 Railroads reduce highway congestion One BNSF intermodal train removes more than 280 longhaul trucks from our nation’s highways 17 Rail is 2-5 times more fuel efficient than trucks Intermodal Indust. Prod. 2.3x 4.3x 5.5x Ag *Based on a 1,500 mile truck haul 18 Rail emits a fraction of total U.S. greenhouse gas emissions Rail = 2.6% of GHG emissions Trucks = 21% of GHG emissions In 2008, BNSF moved 4.7 million containers and trailers, reducing GHG emissions by more than 7 million metric tons The rail industry moved 11.5 million containers and trailers, reducing GHG emissions by more than 17.2 million metric tons 19 Call to action Achieve a state of “good repair” Mode neutral Increase funding from all sources - federal, local, state and private - to meet $225-$349 billion a year in needs Shippers, states, federal government, all transportation sources must work together to sustain our leadership in surface transportation 20