Transcript Document

NRSFIA RMT
FIA Budget Situation
FY14 FY14 FY14 FY14
Funding FY10 FY11 FY12 FY13
P.P. Senate House
CR
FIA
Source (mm $) (mm $) (mm $) (mm $) (mm $) (mm $) (mm $) (mm $)
National R&D
66.9
66.8
64.2 60.9
66.8
66.8
66.8
60.9
S&PF
4.9
4.6
4.3
3.7
0.0
0.0
5.0
3.7
Total
71.8
71.5
68.6 64.6
66.8
66.8
71.8
64.6
NRS
R&D
S&PF
Total
16.6
0.6
17.3
15.9
1.2
17.1
15.5
1.1
16.7
14.6
1.0
15.6
~16.0
~0.0
~16.0
~16.0
~0.0
~16.0
~16.0
~1.3
~17.3
Lot’s of scenarios for final FY14 – better, better, best, okay, worse, bad
Funding targets under new Strategic Plan--$80+ base; $90+ Farm Bill pushes
FY14
CR – (3%-8%)
(mm $)
59.1/56.0
3.6/3.4
62.7/59.4
14.6 ~14.2/13.4
1.0
~1.0/0.9
15.6 ~15.2/14.3
FIA Strategic Plan
Initial thoughts--focus on 11 FIA Farm Bill points:
1.
2.
3.
4.
5.
6.
7.
8.
9.
10.
11.
Fully Annual (AK)
Urban
Carbon/Biomass
Reevaluate the Core
TPO
Cooperation/Support
Partnering (analysis and IM)
Remote Sensing
Land-use Change
NWOS
Better estimates for smaller areas
But the Farm Bill hasn’t passed, so….
FIA Strategic Plan
• 4 Main Themes
– Solidify the Base Program
– Enhance Delivery of the Base Program
– Expand the Program
– Flexibility
Solidify the Base Program
• Inventory Interior Alaska
– The final frontier where no annual FIA crew has gone before
• Fully Develop the Non-Plot Mission Areas of FIA
– Timber Product Output (TPO)
• Nationalize and create center of excellence thru a university partner
– National Woodland Owners Survey (NWOS)
• Bolster Family Forest Research Center at U of MA
– Forest Carbon Accounting
• Institutionalize within FIA (Carbon is Us)
• Continually improve National Greenhouse Gas Inventory
Enhance Delivery of the Base Program
• Partnerships
– Got us here; critical to getting us there
• New Technology
– Gizmos, Gadgets, and Glitz
• More Techniques Research
– Faster, Better, Cheaper
• Increased Analytical Capability
– Making Hay.
• Education
– Training, Tools, and Touting
Expand the Program
• The FIA Grid—A Marginal Cost Opportunity
– Treed Land Inventory
• Urban forests
• Riparian forests
• Working trees in agricultural landscapes
– Windrows
– Shelterbelts
– Etc.
– Vegetative Inventory
• Rangelands
• Etc.
• Extend the FIA Grid across all land uses and covers
Expand the Program
• Focus on Urban First
– Urban first
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•
•
•
•
The forests amongst which most of our populace live (and vote)
The only forests that many of our populace ever know
The forests often first impacted by invasive species
The forests on the frontline of service to people and communities
The forests not yet covered by a continuous monitoring system
– Fill the information gap
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•
•
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•
Foster urban forest stewardship
Provide an urban to rural gradient
Cover the wildland-urban interface
Support “vibrant city” initiatives
Feed the link to human health and safety, and community stability
Care for the land and serve the people where they live
Flexibility
FIA budgets are trending down
Past protocols and procedures too rigid
Bumping up against budgetary realities
Reaching logistical limits
No desire to return a timber inventory
Need sampling and protocol flexibilities
Provide a robust inventory of forest ecosystems
Accommodate regional needs and diversity
Remain nationally consistent
Balance delivery with resources
Flexibilities
• Sub-paneling for optimal cycle lengths
• Sub-sampling plots in a sub-panel
– Summer-window or other optimal sub-sample
• Sub-sampling sub/micro/macro-plots on plots
– Better logistical balance
• Accommodating levels of indicator attribution
– “Lite” to “Heavy”
– Better balance info needs with workload constraints
• Temporal flexibility in re-measurement cycles
– If it doesn’t change often then measure it less frequently
Sliding Scale Conceptual Model
Unit A
Unit B
Survey
Design
Component
Sliding Elements
Sliding Range
Min……………………………………..Max
Spatial
Sample Intensity (ac/plt)
Subpopulations
Timberland
96000…..……………………...................…6000
Temporal
Cycle Length (yrs)
Level
Attribute Detail
5……………………7…………………………….10
NA
Light………………………………………..Normal
Spatial
Sample Intensity (ac/plt)
Subpopulations
Reserved
96000…..……………………...................…6000
Temporal
Cycle Length (yrs)
Attribute Detail
NA
Light………………………………………..Normal
Spatial
Sample Intensity (ac/plt)
5……………………7…………………………….10
Level
Attribute Detail
All efforts within min/max
bounds nationally consistent
No state, forestland,
ownership, core variable
left behind
Needs a very robust IT
system, currently
underdevelopment
96000…..……………………...................…6000
Temporal
Cycle Length (yrs)
Maximums set the limit of
federal investment; any
more needs cash infusion
5……………………7…………………………….10
Level
Grid Subsample
Veg
Minimums ensure
viable national effort
Lite………………………………………..Heavy
Each region needs similar
proportion of full funding
Nationalize and regionally
optimize
Spatial
Sample Intensity (ac/plt)
Plot Subsample
Height
96000…..……………………...................…6000
Temporal
Cycle Length (yrs)
5……………………7…………………………….10
Level
Attribute Detail
Light………………………………………..Normal
Regionally robust within
national confines
FIA Strategic Plan
Finalize as soon as we know the outcome of
the Farm Bill debate
Future Reporting
Publications -- < $$$
•National templates
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< layout $$$
•Printing costs
•
•
Page limits
Copy limits
•Fewer Pubs
•
Sub-regional reports
•Push to Digital
Future Reporting
Less paper; More technology
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http://www.nrs.fs.fed.us/futures/dashboard/?state=MI&var=NO_TREES
http://www.texasforestinfo.com/
http://www.chicagobusiness.com/article/20101208/PAGES/312089998
http://www.asla.org/sustainablelandscapes/Vid_UrbanForests.html
» Smart websites/tools/apps
Interpretive
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Topical
Spatial
Visual
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Contextual
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