Transcript The necessary next steps in Europe's education policy

The necessary next steps
in Europe's education
policy
Univ.-Prof. Dr. Hardy Hanappi
Ad personam Jean Monnet Chair
for Political Economy of European Inegration
University of Technology of Vienna
www.econ.tuwien.ac.at/hanappi/
[email protected]
Overview
Recent crisis dynamics
Implications for Europe‘s
Education Structure
Necessary Education Policy
Central Europe:
Austria and Hungary
year
2010
2000
1990
1980
1970
1960
1950
1940
1930
1920
1910
1900
1890
1880
1870
1860
1850
1840
1830
1820
1810
1990 International Geary-Khamis dollars
Welfare in the Long-run
GDP per Capita
Twelve Western European Countries
25,000
20,000
15,000
10,000
5,000
0
3 Jän 2005
31 Mär 2005
24 Jun 2005
20 Sep 2005
14 Dez 2005
14 Mär 2006
8 Jun 2006
1 Sep 2006
28 Nov 2006
27 Feb 2007
23 Mai 2007
20 Aug 2007
13 Nov 2007
11 Feb 2008
7 Mai 2008
1 Aug 2008
27 Okt 2008
23 Jän 2009
21.Apr2009
Jul 15, 2009
Oct 8, 2009
Dec 31, 2009
Mar 25, 2010
Jun 17, 2010
Sep 9, 2010
Dec 3, 2010
Mar 2, 2011
May 26, 2011
August 22, 2011
November 15, 2011
February 13, 2012
May 9, 2012
August 3, 2012
October 31, 2012
Recent global capital accumulation
Dow Jones Industrial (daily)
15000
14000
13000
12000
11000
10000
9000
high
8000
low
7000
6000
Motor of welfare increases
Growth of Labour Productivity
10
8
6
Italy
4
Spain
United Kingdom
2
France
Log. (Germany)
0
Log. (Spain)
-2
-4
1971
1973
1975
1977
1979
1981
1983
1985
1987
1989
1991
1993
1995
1997
1999
2001
2003
2005
2007
2009
2011
percent
Germany
Divergence in Europe 1
Growth of Industrial Production
20.0%
15.0%
10.0%
France
Germany
0.0%
Greece
Italy
-5.0%
Portugal
-10.0%
Spain
United Kingdom
-15.0%
-20.0%
2010
2008
2006
2004
2002
2000
1998
1996
1994
1992
1990
1988
1986
1984
1982
1980
1978
1976
1974
-25.0%
1972
percent
5.0%
Jan-2007
Apr-2007
Jul-2007
Oct-2007
Jan-2008
Apr-2008
Jul-2008
Oct-2008
Jan-2009
Apr-2009
Jul-2009
Oct-2009
Jan-2010
Apr-2010
Jul-2010
Oct-2010
Jan-2011
Apr-2011
Jul-2011
Oct-2011
Jan-2012
Apr-2012
Jul-2012
percent
Divergence in Europe 2
Monthly Unemployment Rates
30
25
20
France
Germany
15
Greece
Italy
10
Portugal
Spain
5
United Kingdom
0
Divergence in Europe 3
Current Acoount
10
5
% of GDP
0
-5
Germany
Greece
Italy
Portugal
-10
-15
-20
Spain
United Kingdom
France
Stagnating Wage Growth – Exploding Credit
European Education Structure
Formal Education Levels in EU 27
100.000,0
level 6
80.000,0
level 5
level 4
60.000,0
level 3
40.000,0
level 2
20.000,0
level 1
level 0
2010
2009
2008
2007
2006
2005
2004
2003
2002
2001
2000
1999
0,0
1998
1000 persons
120.000,0
A rather stable structure –
challenges from enlargement
Impact on education levels
Source: OECD
Some Key Findings 1
In 2010, the average employment rate for individuals
with a lower secondary qualification was 65.3% for
men and 46.9% for women across EU21 countries,
while the average employment rate for individuals
with a tertiary-type A (largely theory-based)
qualification was 88.0% for men and 81.1% for
women.
In faster changing economic environments education
has to provide more general capabilities.
Some Key Findings 2
Europe is the preferred destination for students
studying outside their country, with EU21 countries
in Europe hosting 41% of all international students.
Within the share of foreign students enrolled in
EU21 countries, 76% of students come from
another EU21 country.
Eliminating language barriers and legal difficulties is an
important next step for European education policy.
Some Key Findings 3
Redesign of European labour organization structure
(labour time and life time schedules including public
child care etc.) is an integral part of education
design.
A central fiscal authority of the EU is necessary to
enable these deep structural changes.
Europe’s special capability as knowledge producer can
secure its position in the global division of labor in
the long-run!
Austria and Hungary 1
Can build on a great historical
tradition – but recently experience
a sharp economic divergence.
Austria faces a lack of tertiary
education: need for finance. And
more and better young teachers.
Austria and Hungary 2
Hungary is in a desolate economic
situation and needs to overcome
isolation – by opening to EU
support.
Both should join a common EU vision
of guaranteeing the reproduction of
a sustainable welfare level –
supported by a common education
system
Hungary and Austria
• Longer education, later retirement
• Substantial shift in government
expenditure components:
Less business and agriculture
subsidies, more education expenditure
• A Quantum Jump in A-H cooperation
Thank you for your attention !