Transcript Slide 1
Commercial RE Market Outlook
Presented by: Bob Bach SVP, Chief Economist
Gross Domestic Product, Historic & Forecast
Annualized Percent Change
Source: BEA, Goldman Sachs, PNC, Wells Fargo, Grubb & Ellis
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10 Year Treasury Yield, Historic & Forecast
End of Quarter
Source: Federal Reserve, Goldman Sachs, PNC, Wells Fargo, Grubb & Ellis
3
Job Losses Related to Post-War Recessions
1990-91 2001 1981-82 2008-09 Source: BLS, Grubb & Ellis
4
Quarterly Vacancy by Property Type
Source: CoStar, Reis, Grubb & Ellis
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Office Vacancy & Absorption
Quarterly up to 2010-Q2
Source: Grubb & Ellis
6
Office Vacancy Rates
2010-Q2
Source: Grubb & Ellis
7
Industrial Vacancy Rates
2010-Q1
Source: Grubb & Ellis
8
Average Office Lease Size & Term
SF in thousands Months
Source: Grubb & Ellis
Commercial Real Estate Investment
Source: Real Capital Analytics, Grubb & Ellis
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Prices Have Hit Bottom
Property Pricing
Source: MIT Center for Real Estate, RCA, Grubb & Ellis
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Commercial RE Market Outlook
Presented by: Bob Bach SVP, Chief Economist