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TERENA Networking Conference, 6 June 2005
Bert van Pinxteren <[email protected]>
1
First results from the Compendium
survey 2005 + an attempt to show
some trends…
Bert van Pinxteren
TERENA
http://www.terena.nl/compendium
TERENA Networking Conference, 6 June 2005
Bert van Pinxteren <[email protected]>
2
Structure of talk
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
What is the TERENA Compendium?
Some warnings
‘Cross-cutting issue’: digital divide
Some odds and ends (budgets,
schools, IPv6)
Traffic
Bandwidth & related
Grids
Dark fibre
A look at what lies ahead
TERENA Networking Conference, 6 June 2005
Bert van Pinxteren <[email protected]>
3
What is the TERENA
Compendium?
• Effort to collect basic data about all NRENs in
Europe and surrounding countries
• Trial started in 2000, first ‘real’ edition out in
2001
• Constant improvements in design, under
guidance of a review panel of NREN experts
• 2005 will be the 5th edition
• Part of the GN2 project
• http://www.terena.nl/compendium
TERENA Networking Conference, 6 June 2005
Bert van Pinxteren <[email protected]>
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One view of the data…
• The Compendium Review Panel (Lajos Bálint,
Marko Bonač, Urs Eppenberger, Sabine
Jaume-Rajaonia, Peter Kaufmann, Mike Norris)
will go through the data and identify major
trends – so this attempt here is indeed only
tentative
• There is a mass of data – so this is of necessity
a selection
• Even though the data has been checked, some
problems only appear when you really start to
work with the data, so some more doublechecking may be needed
TERENA Networking Conference, 6 June 2005
Bert van Pinxteren <[email protected]>
5
Budgets fluctuate. Doing
more with the same or less
money
NREN budgets, EU/EFTA countries, 2003 - 2005
350
300
DFN
UKERNA
SURFnet
GARR
RENATER
SUNET
RedIRIS
HEAnet
GRNET
BELNET
SWITCH
HUNGARNET
UNINETT
FCCN
CESNET
ARNES
UNI-C
SANET
RESTENA
LATNET
CYNET
RHnet
MEUR
250
200
150
100
50
0
Budget
2003
Budget
2004
Budget
2005
TERENA Networking Conference, 6 June 2005
Other
countri
Other countries
Bert van Pinxteren <[email protected]>
6
Budgets – other countries
NREN budgets, other countries, 2003 - 2005
60
KRENA-AKNET
RENAM
50
OSI-AF/Azerbaijan
GRENA
MEUR
40
IST Foundation
BASNET
30
AMREJ
IUCC
20
RoEduNet
RBNet/RUNNet
10
CERIST
CARNet
0
Budget 2003
Budget 2004
TERENA Networking Conference, 6 June 2005
Budget 2005
ULAKBIM
Bert van Pinxteren <[email protected]>
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Schools
Number of connected institutions, 2003 and 2005
8000
RBNet/RUNNet Russia: now connects 5000
secondary schools
4000
FCCN Portugal: now connects 7500 primary schools,
1700 secondary schools
10000
GRNET Greece: connects 7969 primary schools,
3536 secondary schools
14000
12000
6000
2000
0
GRNET Total
FCCN Total
RBNet/RUNNet
LITNET Total
RENATER Total
ARNES Total
RoEduNet Total
UKERNA Total
PIONIER Total
NIIF/HUNGARNET
ULAKBIM Total
EENet Total
CARNet Total
GARR Total
CESNET Total
DFN Total
RedIRIS Total
UzSciNet Total
RESTENA Total
BASNET Total
UNINETT Total
SANET Total
CERIST Total
SURFnet Total
BELNET Total
UNI-C Total
AMREJ Total
LATNET Total
IST Foundation
GRENA Total
FUNET Total
SUNET Total
LANET Total
RENAM Total
HEAnet Total
AzRENA Total
KazRENA Total
SWITCH Total
URAN Total
KRENA-AKNET
MARWAN Total
AzNET Total
MARNet Total
IUCC Total
RHnet Total
SHERN Total
CYNET Total
CSC Total
8
Bert van Pinxteren <[email protected]>
TERENA Networking Conference, 6 June 2005
Schools
Number of connected institutions, 2003 and 2005
1400
1200
1000
800
600
400
200
0
TERENA Networking Conference, 6 June 2005
LITNET Total
Look at the UNI-C model?
RENATER
Total
ARNES Total
RoEduNet
Total
… and GARR is starting as well
Bert van Pinxteren <[email protected]>
9
IPv6 – is it happening?
Universities connected through IPv6
1400
1200
1000
Total number of connected
Universities
Number of Universities
connected through IPv6
800
600
400
200
0
EU + EFTA countries
TERENA Networking Conference, 6 June 2005
Other countries
Bert van Pinxteren <[email protected]>
10
IPv6 – is it happening?
Estimated % of total traffic that is currently IPv6
8.0
7.0
6.0
%
5.0
4.0
3.0
2.0
1.0
Be
lg
N
iu
et
he m
rla
nd
R
om s
an
ia
Ire
la
n
Fi d
nl
an
Po d
Sw rtug
itz al
er
la
Sl nd
o
Se Lu vak
rb xem ia
ia
/M bo
on urg
te
ne
gr
o
H
un
ga
ry
N
or
w
a
Sw y
ed
e
G n
re
ec
e
Sp
ai
n
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Es ly
to
ni
a
0.0
TERENA Networking Conference, 6 June 2005
Bert van Pinxteren <[email protected]>
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IPv6 – is it happening?
Predicted % of traffic that is IPv6, 2007
15.0
12.0
9.0
%
2007
2005
6.0
3.0
0.0
TERENA Networking Conference, 6 June 2005
Bert van Pinxteren <[email protected]>
12
Traffic
‘T3’ ≈ outbound external traffic
‘T4’ ≈ inbound external traffic
TERENA Networking Conference, 6 June 2005
Bert van Pinxteren <[email protected]>
13
Is traffic growth slowing?
'T3' traffic, 2002 - 2004, EU/EFTA COUNTRIES
100000
Median = 2.7 times as much
10000
TB
1.2. times as much
'T3' traffic, 2002
6.8 times as much
1000
'T3' traffic, 2003
'T3' traffic, 2004
100
FU
N
E
BE DF T
R L N
EN N
E
U AT T
N E
I
U NE R
KE T
SW RN T
IT A
G CH
A
C RR
SU YN
R ET
SAFne
t
LI NE
C TN T
ES E
N T
E ET
R EN
ed e
t
G IRI
R R S
ES N
E
PI TE T
O NA
N
H
U A IE
N R R
G N
AR E
S
H NE
EA T
ne
t
10
TERENA Networking Conference, 6 June 2005
Bert van Pinxteren <[email protected]>
14
Traffic growth: natural?
E-mail from Paavo Ahonen, FUNET:
“Last year was really exceptional for Funet. Our traffic
decreased for the first time in our 20-year history. The
reason is that some universities started to filter traffic, that
they suspect to include illegal copyrighted material.
Another motivation was our charging policy, which
punishes heavy users.
So there is no error in our figures.”
TERENA Networking Conference, 6 June 2005
Bert van Pinxteren <[email protected]>
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Is traffic growth slowing?
'T3' traffic, 2002 - 2004, OTHER COUNTRIES
10000
Median = 5.4 times as much
1000
100
TB
'T3' traffic, 2002
'T3' traffic, 2003
'T3' traffic, 2004
10
2.3 times as much
30 times as much
1
M
NA
RE
RE
J
AM
AN
UR
M
BI
AK
UL
G
RE
NA
Ne
t
UN
et
Ne
t/R
RN
CA
RB
M
AR
W
AN
0.1
TERENA Networking Conference, 6 June 2005
Bert van Pinxteren <[email protected]>
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Universities and bandwidth,
2005
Number of connected universities and bandwidth,
EU/EFTA countries, 2005
120
Is there a digital divide in France?
100
80
60
40
10 Gb/s and above
Between 1 and 10 Gb/s
Less than 1 Gb/s
Up to 100 Mb/s
Up to 10 Mb/s
Up to 2 Mb/s
ISDN or lower
20
0
TERENA Networking Conference, 6 June 2005
Bert van Pinxteren <[email protected]>
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Universities and bandwidth,
2005
Number of connected universities and bandwidth,
EU/EFTA countries, 2005
140
120
Starting
the transition to 1Gb for Universities
100
80
Transition
to 1 Gb well underway or completed
60 Starting the transition to 10 Gb!
40
10 Gb/s and above
Between 1 and 10 Gb/s
Less than 1 Gb/s
Up to 100 Mb/s
Up to 10 Mb/s
Up to 2 Mb/s
ISDN or lower
20
0
TERENA Networking Conference, 6 June 2005
Bert van Pinxteren <[email protected]>
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Universities and bandwidth,
2005 – (the digital divide continued)
Number of connected universities and bandwidth, other
countries, 2005
200
180
160
140
120
100
80
60
40
10 Gb/s and above
Between 1 and 10 Gb/s
Less than 1 Gb/s
Up to 100 Mb/s
Up to 10 Mb/s
Up to 2 Mb/s
ISDN or lower
20
0
TERENA Networking Conference, 6 June 2005
Bert van Pinxteren <[email protected]>
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A closer look…
Number of connected universities and bandwidth,
selected other countries, 2005
10
9
8
10 Gb/s and above
Between 1 and 10 Gb/s
Less than 1 Gb/s
Up to 100 Mb/s
Up to 10 Mb/s
Up to 2 Mb/s
ISDN or lower
7
6
5
4
3
2
1
0
AMREJ
RENAM
TERENA Networking Conference, 6 June 2005
MARNet
Bert van Pinxteren <[email protected]>
20
For the EU/EFTA countries,
congestion is now rather at
the Campus level
Congestion
Campus
LAN,
EU/EFTA
Congestion
on on
thethe
Campus
LAN,
other
countries
countries (2004)
(2004)
0%
0%
ACOnet
BELNET
CYNET
CESNET
AzRENA
UNI-C
OSIEENet
FUNET
BASNET
RENATER
CARNet
DFN
GRNET
GRENA
HUNGARNET
IUCC
RHnet
HEAnet
NITC
GARR
KRENALANET
LATNET
RENAM
LITNET
MARW
RESTENAA
CSC
RNC
SURFnet
RoEduN
UNINETT
PIONIER
AMREJ
FCCN
ULAKBI
SANET
ARNES
URAN
RedIRIS
UzSciNe
SW
ITCH
UKERNA
20%
20%
40%
40%
TERENA Networking Conference, 6 June 2005
60%
80%
100%
60%
80% 100%
little or no
som e
little
or no
serious
some
serious
Bert van Pinxteren <[email protected]>
21
One way of looking at the
digital divide: congestion
Congestion on external connections, EU/EFTA
Congestion on
external(2004)
connections, other
countries
0%
ACOnet
BELNET
CYNET
CESNET
UNI-C
AzRENA
EENet
OSIFUNET
RENATER
BASNET
DFN
CARNet
GRNET
HUNGARNET
GRENA
RHnet
IUCC
HEAnet
GARR
NITC
LANET
KRENALATNET
LITNET
RENAM
RESTENA
MARW
A
CSC
SURFnet
RNC
UNINETT
RoEduN
PIONIER
FCCN
AMREJ
SANET
ULAKBI
ARNES
RedIRIS
URAN
SW ITCH
UzSciNe
UKERNA
0%
countries (2004)
20%
20%
TERENA Networking Conference, 6 June 2005
100%
40%
60%
80%
40%
60%
80% 100%
little or no
som e
serious
little or no
some
serious
Bert van Pinxteren <[email protected]>
22
Grid services are here!
Green = currently
running over the
NREN’s network
Orange = planning to
Introduce or facilitate
Grid services over
the next year or two
Red = no services,
no plans
Grey = no response
TERENA Networking Conference, 6 June 2005
Bert van Pinxteren <[email protected]>
23
Who is providing Grid
services?
Number of NRENs
The NREN
Institutions with NREN support
6
15
Institutions alone
2
Discipline based distributed
1
groups or Virtual Organisations
Other
1
Total
25
TERENA Networking Conference, 6 June 2005
Bert van Pinxteren <[email protected]>
24
Dark Fibre – owned, IRUs or
leased
EU/EFTA EU/EFTA Other
Other
countries countries countries – countries
- now
– 2007
now
- 2007
None
7
4
5
≤5%
3
1
5
≤ 25 %
4
4
2
3
≤ 90 %
100 %
2
10
3
14
8
3
10
Total
26
TERENA Networking Conference, 6 June 2005
4
20
Bert van Pinxteren <[email protected]>
25
What does this add up to?
+ Dark fibre available and being used
+ Grid services are here or are on their
way
+ (Certain) users experience congestion,
although we have bandwidth now
= Surfnet suggestion for the
Compendium 2006: “Please add
questions on light path and light path
usage.”
TERENA Networking Conference, 6 June 2005
Bert van Pinxteren <[email protected]>
26
To be continued…
• The Compendium Review Panel (Lajos Bálint,
Urs Eppenberger, Sabine Jaume-Rajaonia,
Peter Kaufmann, Mike Norris) will go through
the data and identify major trends
• We hope the Compendium 2005 will contain a
number of paragraphs that highlight major
trends and developments
• … those could be different from what I have just
presented, of course
• Printed version planned for September 2005
• Comments / feedback welcome
• http://www.terena.nl/compendium
TERENA Networking Conference, 6 June 2005
Bert van Pinxteren <[email protected]>
27