Transcript Slide 1

Creating the
2040
Regional
Transportation
Plan
Today’s Presentation
Now Developing the Next RTP
 Very Early Stages of Development
 Website:
2040Plan.org
 Partner with us to spread the word
1.Transportation Planning
2.Demographic Forecast
3.System Overview
4.2035 RTP Update
5.2040 Revenue Forecast
6.Vision and Goals
1.
Transportation
Planning
Who is H-GAC?
Houston-Galveston Area Council
serves:
 13 counties
 105 cities
 Metropolitan
Planning
Organization (MPO)
for 8-county metro area
What is the RTP?
“Blueprint” for transportation system
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Goals and Performance Measures
Cost/Benefits Analysis
Financial Plan
Priorities and Development Steps
Why Update the RTP?

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
Vision and Goals
New Demographic and Financial Data
Extend the Planning Horizon to 2040
Analyze Investment Options
Get Public Input on Direction, Priorities
Where are we?
RTP DEVELOPMENT PROCESS
• Update Demographics
Phase 1:
Initial
Assessment
Phase 2:
Corridor Analysis
Phase 3:
Regional Analysis
• Review Goals and Vision
• Define Challenges/Gaps
 Public Outreach (Jan-Mar 2013)
• Evaluate Alternative Transportation Scenarios
•
Develop Financial Plan
• Develop Priorities and Strategies
 Public Outreach (Early 2014)
• Finalize Investment Priorities
•
Establish Performance Measures and Standards
•
Determine Regional Impacts (Air Quality,
Environment, Social Justice)
 Final Public Comment (Summer 2014)
2.
Demographic
Forecast
Region will grow by 3.3 Million
9.2
8.1
In Millions
7.0
5.9
4.7
3.1
2.2
3.7
1.6
1.8
1980
1990
2.3
2.6
3.2
3.7
People
Jobs
0.9
1970
Source: HGAC Demographic Model
4.1
2000
2010
2020
2030
2040
The population will be older…
Age Groups
1.4
1.2
13%
12%
13%
13%
13%
12%
10%
Millions
1.0
0.8
16%
0.6
15%
14%
15%
7%
14%
5%
13%
0.4
8%
0.2
4%
0.0
2010
Source: HGAC Demographic Model
2%
2040
…and more diverse
Ethnicities
3%
19%
Millions
9%
72%
1970
3%
18%
18%
14%
20%
65%
1980
Source: HGAC Demographic Model
58%
7%
7%
8%
9%
10%
17%
17%
17%
17%
17%
36%
39%
42%
44%
39%
36%
32%
30%
2010
2020
2030
2040
29%
48%
1990
2000
White
Hispanic
Black
Other
Economic Changes
Statewide
Growth Rate
Light Vehicle Fleet
Real State GDP
Number of Households
State VMT
Motor Fuel Taxes
208
178
155
129
2010
Source: HGAC Financial Model
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
3.
System
Overview
What is our System Today?
Roads
 10,363 highway lane miles
 19,900 arterial street lane miles
Transit
 4,397 fixed route miles
 204 HOV lane miles
Bikeways
 500 designated on-street miles
 434 miles off-street
2002-12 Expenditures
TOTAL = $13.0B
1,600
1,400
$Millions
1,200
1,000
800
600
400
200
2002
2003
2004
2005
Roadway = $9.3B
2006
2007
2008
Transit = $3.5B
2009
2010
2011
4.
2035 RTP
Update
2035 RTP Capital Priorities
Roadways
Transit
Ped/Bike
SH 99 Grand Pkwy
$6.7B
Bus Replacement
$2.8B
City of Houston
$29.9M
US 290 Corridor
$3.7B
North Corridor
$1.6B
Greenspoint
$29.8M
IH 45 S
$1.5B
Southeast Corridor
$1.1B
$22.0M
SH 288
$1.4B
Northwest Corridor
$1.1B
Galveston &
Harris Counties
US 59 S
$1.2B
University Corridor
$1.0B
City of La Porte
$14.9M
BW 8
$1.1B
Southwest Commuter
$0.7B
Westchase Dist
$14.8M
IH 610
$1.0B
East End Corridor
$0.7B
City of Conroe
$12.4M
SH 146
$0.7B
Uptown Corridor
$0.6B
Sims Bayou Trail
$11.6M
All Roadways
$25.6B
All Transit
$11.9B
All Ped/Bike
$0.3B
2035 RTP Expenditures
= $85.6 B
By Mode
Transit
$38.5 (45%)
Roads:
State & Federal
$6.5 (8%)
Roads:
City & County
$23.2 (27%)
Roads:
Tolls
$17.4 (20%)
2035 RTP Expenditures
= $85.6 B
By Function
$40
$35
$Billions
$30
$0.3
$24.7
$20
$10
Bike/Ped/Freight
Transit
Roads
$9.5
$25
$15
$0.2
$26.0
$10.5
$5
$0
Added Capacity
42%
Operations/
Maintenance
41%
$2.0
$2.3
$5.1
$5.0
Administration
Debt Service
7%
7%
5.
2040 Revenue
Forecast
2014 - 2040 Revenue Forecast
= $93.7 B
Source
Mode
Federal
20%
Transit
26%
Roads
74%
Local
66%
State
14%
2014 - 2040 Local Sources
= $61.1 B
METRO
Sales Tax $5.7
Parking $1.4
Property Tax
$14.9
Farebox $3.0
Toll Revenues
$20.0
METRO
SalesTax
$16.6
Roads
Transit
6.
Vision and
Goals
Vision Statement
In the year 2040, our region will have
a safe, multimodal transportation
system through coordinated
investments that allow for a desirable
quality of life, enhanced economic
vitality and a high level of safety,
access and mobility.
Goal: Mobility
 Ensure travel is safe and reliable for people
and goods
 Maximize mobility and access to jobs, goods,
services and global markets
 Provide meaningful and equitable
transportation options
Goal: Stewardship
 Keep the transportation system in a state of
good repair
 Manage transportation system assets
efficiently and effectively
Goal: Prosperity
 Support the region’s economic development
and competitiveness
 Enhance community health and quality of life
by improving air quality and environmental
conditions, and conserving natural resources
Goal: Implementation
 Deliver investments quickly and costeffectively that incorporate life cycle costs
 Encourage regional coordination, cooperation
and decision making
We Want Your Input
Take Action!
What’s next?
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 Analyze results of feedback
 Start Phase II Development
 Early 2014: Ask for your
input again
Go to 2040Plan.org
Provide feedback
Tell others
Open House Meeting
H-GAC March 19 6p-8p
Contacts:
For Information
on the RTP
To Schedule a
Presentation
Roland Strobel
Rosalind Hebert
Chief Transportation Planner
Public Information Planner
 (713) 993-4538
 [email protected]
 (713) 993-2471
 [email protected]
Go To
2040plan.org