Welcome

“Aging in Place on Cape Cod” Informational Meeting For The Community

January 23, 2007 Presented by:

Senior Mobility Initiative on Cape Cod (SMICC)

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Tonight’s Presentation

Will include a science-based prediction of the future senior/elder population of Cape Cod—will include a demographic profile of the future population, with particular emphasis on the physical, mental, and well-being characteristics of our seniors/elders that contribute to a safe and appropriate aging in place environment and, ultimately to their quality of life and longevity.

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Announcements

FUTURE-Oriented Presentation * * * * * Informative Materials – Brochures Information about SMICC

SMICC: Independent, Non-Affiliated, Grassroots Goals: Research, Education, Advocacy

Information about our Sponsor (FCII) * * * * * Simple Ground Rules!

Introducing our “Timekeeper” 3

Introduce Yourself . . . please

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Independence!

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Changes Related To Aging

“ Physical [and Mental] changes:

• Decreased mobility and dexterity • Decreased strength and stamina • Reduced sensory acuity: vision, hearing, thermal sensitivity, touch, smell • [Decreased mental acuity and abilities]

Social changes:

• Isolation from friends and family: • Due to loss of peers • From children living far away • Changing neighborhood.” [1] 1. Source:

“Resource For Aging In Place,”

www.seniorresource.com/ageinpl.htm

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Aging in Place

“Aging in place is growing older without having

to move.” [1] “Some 70% of seniors spend the rest of their life in the place where they celebrated their 65 th birthday.” [1] 1. Source:

“Resource For Aging In Place,”

www.seniorresource.com/ageinpl.htm

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Social Isolation

“With age, sociologic changes occur between aging individuals and family and friends due to loss of peers and contemporaries - - spouse, siblings, other relatives, old friends and neighbors. This can lead to isolation unless a concerted effort is made to stay socially active.” 1 Getting out and about in one’s neighborhood and in the community is the primary way of overcoming social isolation. [underline added for emphasis] 1. Source: “Understanding Aging, ‘Birds who fly faster, live longer’,” senior

resource

.com web site.

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Aging in Place

“While…[the] population of elderly require help with tasks such as cleaning, shopping, and preparing meals, as well as activities of daily living such as bathing, dressing, eating and moving from bed to chair,

their care can often be provided at home from the community”

[1] [underline added for emphasis] 1. Source:

“Aging in Place: Findings from the Grantmakers In Health Resource Center,”

Grantmakers In Health, www.gih.org

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Some Aging in Place Statistics

CURRENTLY: 70%-80% of 65+ currently “aging in place” (At least 38,000 on Cape) FUTURE: 90% of “Baby Boomers” plan to “age in place” (Would mean about 70,000 on Cape by 2015, 100,000 by 2025,. . . . ) 10

Predicted Number of Persons Age 65+ "Aging in Place" on Cape Cod Years 2005 - 2035

120,000 110,000 100,000 90,000 80,000 70,000 60,000

Today

50,000 40,000 41,230 47,400 60,850 75,700

+ 20 Years

94,600 108,625

YEAR

115,915 11

Who is Involved?

Besides the seniors/elders themselves, many others are involved in creating a safe and appropriate “aging in place” environment.

• Home health care providers • Police, Fire-Rescue-Ambulance • Councils on Aging • Home maintenance professionals • Transportation services • Elder law specialists • Government officials–-Town, County • Occupational therapists • Geriatric care managers • Hospice services • Families–-near, and far away • Physical Fitness – Exercise Programs • Hospitals, ERs, and clinics • Medical and Dental professionals • Remodeling contractors • ADA–disability specialists • Emergency management planners • Food and product delivery services • Friends, Neighbors • Caregivers And many, many more . . . . . . .

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Safe and Appropriate Aging in Place “Environment”

Medical – Healthcare: Practical:

Medical and dental professionals Home health care services Occupational therapists Home maintenance professionals Remodeling contractors ADA-disability specialists Hospitals, Emergency Rooms, clinics Physical Fitness – Exercise Programs Caregivers Geriatric care managers Food and product delivery services Financial planners – insurance companies Legal professionals/para-professionals Assistive technology specialists

Social – Spiritual:

Churches, synagogues, temples Hospice services Councils on Aging Area Agency on Aging Human/Social Service providers and agencies Mobility: “Getting Up, Out and About on Cape Cod” Transportation services Van services - Volunteer drivers Friends, neighbors, and family Senior drivers, senior pedestrians

Public Safety:

Police, Fire-Rescue-Ambulance – Emergency Planners - Utility Companies - Government Officials 13

Planning For “Aging in Place”

“…developing a plan to address aging in place means more than building more senior centers and congregate meal sites. That’s because all the major facets of community life affect the ability of older adults to age in place from public safety, affordable housing, accessible transportation, and health and social services to education, employment, and social and cultural opportunities. In essence, the aging of the population will impact the entire social, physical and fiscal fabric of our community.” [1] [underline added for emphasis] 1. Source:

“Is Your Community Ready for the Aging Boom?,”

Sandy Markwood, CEO National Association of Area Agencies on Aging (n4a), www.n4a.org

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Ten “Best Practices” For Communities to Consider as Their Populations Age

• Preventive Healthcare • Nutrition Education • Age-Appropriate Fitness Programs • Larger, Easier-to-Read Signage • Preparation for First Responders • Home Modification Programs • Tax Assistance and Property Tax Relief • Job Training, Retraining • Engagement of Older Citizens in Community Boards/Commissions • Single Point of Entry for Information and Access To Services Source:

“The Maturing of America – Getting Communities on Track for an Aging Population”

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Aging in Place on Cape Cod

Adult Living Alone

Age 65+ Age 75+

Two Adults

Age 65+ Age 75+

Groups Differ Quite Dramatically!

Based on

The Human Condition

Research – since 1994 16

Cape Codders Who Are Aging in Place

(Two different household settings) • Adult Living Alone – Similarities: • Age 65+, 75+ • Evenly distributed across Cape Cod – Differences: • 18% over $45,000 annual income, but per capita income is highest • Fewer report a disability, and are in fairly good health, • Very low levels of caregiving • Slightly higher level of receipt of in home health aide services • Fairly heavy use of hospital emergency room services • High dependence on PUBLIC transport services (B-Bus, COA van, taxi) • High dependence on PRIVATE transport services (family, friends, neighbors) • Two Adults in Home – Similarities: • Age 65+, 75+ • Evenly distributed across Cape Cod

Differences:

• 45% over $45,000 annual income, but per capita income is lowest • Report considerable disability and more in “fair-to-poor” health • Quite a high level of informal caregiving • Lower level of receipt of in-home health aide services • Very heavy use of hospital emergency room services • Very low dependence on PUBLIC transport services (minor B-Bus usage) • Very low dependence on PRIVATE transport 17

Cape Codders Who Are Aging in Place

(Two different household settings) • Adult Living Alone – Major Problems: • Paying for medical, dental services, and prescription medicines • Anxiety, stress, and depression • Lack of recreational opportunities – Major Barriers to Services: • Some difficulty paying health insurance deductibles/co-payments • Services not accepting new patients/clients is somewhat a barrier • Lack of transportation is a SERIOUS barrier • Two Adults in Home – Major Problems: • Paying for medical, dental services, and prescription medicines • Higher anxiety, stress, and depression • Lack of recreational opportunities – Major Barriers to Services: • Considerable difficulty paying health insurance deductibles/co-payments • Services not accepting new patients/clients is a SERIOUS barrier • Lack of transportation not a significant barrier 18

Frail Elders

Currently:

About 5%-8% of Age 65+ Households on Cape Cod include a “frail” elder – this is about 3,800 households.

.. 60% have “frail” 75-84 Y.O., 30% have “frail” 85+ Y.O.

Future:

At this rate, by 2015, 5,700 Cape households would include a “frail” elder. By 2025, 8,800 households.

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Future Community Challenges are Driven Primarily by the Aging of Our Baby Boomers

“Baby Boomers”

Born between 1946 and 1964 (19-year generation) Started “Turning 60” in 2006 Already impacting our Councils on Aging

Question: Anyone here a “Boomer”?

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Cape Cod’s “Baby Boomers” Estimated 63,000 “Boomers” Today: 51% Females 49% Males

Per U.S. Census Bureau Estimates.

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Age 60 The “magic” birthday!

Now eligible for Council on Aging Services

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Cape Cod’s “Baby Boomers”

• “Turning 60” (become COA-eligible) – Average of 2,920 per year • 8 per day (everyday!) – 1 every 3 hours By 2010: Approx. 1 every 2.75 hours By 2015: Approx. 1 every 2.5 hours (150 minutes) By 2020: “Dipped” back to 1 every 3 hours 23

Barnstable County (a.k.a. Cape Cod) Population: 220,000 Seniors/Elders: 80,000 24

+ 20 Years Today Predicted Population Growth

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• Building Contractor • Framingham/Natick area • Born in 1932 • Married • Retired at age 59 • Moved to Cape in 1991 • Lived in New Seabury • Lived on Cape 7 years • Died in 1998 at age 67

“Joe”

• His diabetes led to retirement: – Leg problems – Poor Eyesight – Heart condition • Services “Joe” Used: – Falmouth Hospital – VNA – Wheelchair Vans – Hospice & Palliative Care – Doctors, Nurses, and Specialists

“Joe” Used Many On-Cape Services - Census Bureau “Missed” Him!

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80,000 70,000 60,000 50,000 40,000

(31,759)

30,000

(26,451)

20,000

(21,610) (10,750)

10,000

(2,705)

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Predicted MID-CAPE Region Population Counts Three Towns Combined

(Barnstable, Dennis, Yarmouth)

+ 20 Years Age 55+ (73,600) Age 60+ (64,000) Today Age 65+ (54,650) Age 75+ (29,500) Age 85+ (7,500) Year

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Available: Predictions of Future Populations Other Regions

(by gender and age range)

Upon Request -Upper-Cape - Lower-Cape - Outer-Cape - Individual Towns - Individual ZIP code areas

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One of Tonight’s Objectives

Expand the dialogue around senior mobility— abilities and the future demand for senior mobility “assists” 29

Age 65+

“Getting Up, Out, and About on Cape Cod”

- Inside-the-Home (or Nursing Home, Assisted Living Unit) - Outside-the-Home: .. Going To/From Home .. Pedestrian Activities .. Riding in Vehicles (car, van, bus, plane, etc.) .. Driving Vehicles .. Travel (local and long-distance) 30

Inside-The-Home

• Getting In and Out of Bed • Walking about bedroom and bath • Using Stairs • Activities of Daily Living • Preparing meals • Housekeeping 31

“Mobility”

“Mobility is the ability to move around one’s environment. It is essential to effective functioning--in carrying out activities of daily living such as bathing, dressing, and walking.

Difficulty in performing these tasks is common to additional impairment, institutionalization, and mortality in older adults.” [

1] 1. Source: Mobility Research Center, the University of Michigan Geriatrics Center, www.med.umich.edu/geriatrics/moblab/index.htm

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Independence

“Those who work with the elderly agree: A key to independence in later years is the ability to visit friends or run errands without having to rely on the help of others.” [1] 1. Source:

“Study Finds Limited Mobility For Elderly

,” The Washington Post,” 3/19/06 33

Outside-The-Home

.. Going To/From Home .. Pedestrian Activities: On sidewalks In banks, stores/malls In social/religious settings .. Riding in Vehicles (car, van, bus, plane, etc.) .. Driving Vehicles .. Travel (local and long-distance) 34

Planning For Future Senior Mobility “Assist” Needs

Planning for future senior/elder mobility “assist” needs is central to efforts to improve the quality of life of seniors/ elders through (as appropriate to each individual’s own physical and mental abilities and desires): • decreasing social isolation, • helping seniors/elder get out of their house or institution, and • by providing them with an opportunity for physical exercise and mental stimulation, as well as, • the obvious benefits derived from being able to shop, do banking, visit the post office, and the other day-to day activities desired by senior/elder citizens.

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Senior Mo

A

bility Model Computer Model Developed by SMICC

Uses a “Knowledge Base” To Predict Future Senior Mobility Characteristics and Future DEMAND For Senior Mobility “Assists” 36

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Senior Mo

A

bility Model

Data-based predictions of future mobility of Cape’s senior/elders: - what seniors/elder will be able to do - how many will be doing it - where will they be doing it - when will they be doing it - who will be doing it - who will need assistance with their mobility:

What? When? Where? Who? How?

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Mo

A

bility Examples

1. Number of Senior/Elders Using a Wheelchair:

2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030 2035 Town of Barnstable: Age 65+……………… 355 400 485 580 750 860 980 Age 75+……………… 230 240 250 290 380 480 620 Age 85+ ………………. 90 100 105 105 115 140 195 39

Mo

A

bility Examples

2. Number of Licensed Drivers, Age 85+

2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030 2035 Barnstable County Mid-Cape Region Town of Barnstable ZIP Code 02648

(Marstons Mills)

3,150 4,300 4,700 4,730 5,050 6,400 9,250 1,575 1,750 1,830 1,775 1,860 2,238 3,145 660 750 805 800 850 1,035 1,480 70 80 85 85 90 110 155 40

10,000 9,000 8,000 7,000 6,000 5,000 4,000 3,000 2,000 1,000 0

3,150 4,300 Predicted Number of Licensed Drivers Age 85+ In Barnstable County, MA Years 2005 - 2035 5,050 4,700 4,630 YEAR 6,400 9,250

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Mo

A

bility Examples

3. Number of Age 75+ Persons Needing Some Assistive Device

When Walking

(cane, walker, etc.): 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030 2035 Mid-Cape Region 2,770 2,840 2,925 3,245 4,160 5,120 6,400 Town of Dennis 545 565 595 690 910 1,100 1,285 ZIP Code 02639

(Dennisport)

90 95 100 115 150 180 215 42

7,000 6,500 6,000 5,500 5,000 4,500 4,000 3,500 3,000 2,500 2,000

2,770

2005 1

Today Predicted Number of Age 75+ Persons in Mid-Cape Region Needing an Assistive Device When Walking 2,840

2010 2 (cane, walker, etc.)

2,925 3,245

2015 3

YEAR

2020 4

+ 20 Years 4,160

2025 5 2030 6

5,120 6,400

2035 7 43

SMICC

Initiative on Cape Cod

• Goals: – Research: • Future DEMAND for senior mobility “assists” • Senior Mobility “Best Practices” – Education: • Of the Cape Cod professional community, • Of seniors/elders, their families, friends, neighbors – Advocacy:

– Senior Mobility

• For Senior Mobility “Best Practices” on Cape Cod 44

SMICC Activities

• Community Informational Meetings: – Dec. 2007, Jan. and Feb. 2007 • Presentation at National Conference: – ASA/NCOA Conference, Chicago, Mar. 2007 – Topics: Mobility Indicators, DEMAND Assessment, “Knowledge Base” • Membership Drive: Seeking - – Steering Committee members – Topic-Specific Sub-Committee members • E.g. Sub-Committees on Senior driving, emergency preparedness, volunteer driver activities, senior fitness, etc.

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Q & A

Some Key Questions For Group Discussion:

• What surprised you?

• What seemed MOST important to you?

• What else would you like to hear about?

• What needs to be discussed in more depth? • Who else needs to “be in the room”?

• What could we have left out?

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Opportunity For Networking

Talk with others.

Tell others about YOUR activities.

Exchange contact information.

Make plans to get together again.

Tell friends and colleagues about tonight’s presentation.

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In Closing

Thank You for Participating Tell a Friend!

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