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Forecasting Organic Food Prices: Emerging Methods
for Testing and Evaluating Conditional Predictive
Ability
by
Tatiana Gubanova, Luanne Lohr, and Timothy Park
Suggested citation format:
Gubanova, T., L. Lohr, and T. Park. 2005. “Forecasting Organic Food Prices:
Emerging Methods for Testing and Evaluating Conditional Predictive
Ability.” Proceedings of the NCR-134 Conference on Applied Commodity
Price Analysis, Forecasting, and Market Risk Management. St. Louis, MO.
[http://www.farmdoc.uiuc.edu/nccc134].
The Impact of Marketing Strategy Information on the
Producer’s Selling Decision
by
Joni M. Klumpp, B. Wade Brorsen, and Kim B. Anderson
Suggested citation format:
Klumpp, J. M., B. W. Brorsen and K. B. Anderson. 2005. “The Impact of
Marketing Strategy Information on the Producer’s Selling Decision.”
Proceedings of the NCR-134 Conference on Applied Commodity Price
Analysis, Forecasting, and Market Risk Management. St. Louis, MO.
[http://www.farmdoc.uiuc.edu/nccc134].
Time-Varying Risk Premium or Informational
Inefficiency? Further Evidence in Agricultural Futures
Markets
by
Julieta Frank and Philip Garcia
Suggested citation format:
Frank, J., and P. Garcia. 2005. “Time-Varying Risk Premium or Informational
Inefficiency? Further Evidence in Agricultural Futures Markets.” Proceedings
of the NCR-134 Conference on Applied Commodity Price Analysis,
Forecasting, and Market Risk Management. St. Louis, MO.
[http://www.farmdoc.uiuc.edu/nccc134].
Sorting Cattle with Accumulated Data: What is the
Accuracy and Economics
by
Maro A. Ibarburu and John D. Lawrence
Suggested citation format:
Ibarburu, M. A., and J. D. Lawrence. 2005. “Sorting Cattle with Accumulated
Data: What is the Accuracy and Economics.” Proceedings of the NCR-134
Conference on Applied Commodity Price Analysis, Forecasting, and Market
Risk Management. St. Louis, MO. [http://www.farmdoc.uiuc.edu/nccc134].
Portfolio Diversification with Commodity Futures:
Properties of Levered Futures
by
Thorsten M. Egelkraut, Joshua D. Woodard,
Philip Garcia, and Joost M. E. Pennings
Suggested citation format:
Egelkraut, T. M., J. D. Woodard, P. Garcia, and J. M. E. Pennings. 2005.
“Portfolio Diversification with Commodity Futures: Properties of Levered
Futures.” Proceedings of the NCR-134 Conference on Applied Commodity
Price Analysis, Forecasting, and Market Risk Management. St. Louis, MO.
[http://www.farmdoc.uiuc.edu/nccc134].
Forecasting Livestock Feed Cost Risks Using Futures
and Options
by
Gang Chen, Matthew C. Roberts, and Brian Roe
Suggested citation format:
Chen, G., M. C. Roberts, and B. Roe. 2005. “Forecasting Livestock Feed
Cost Risks Using Futures and Options.” Proceedings of the NCR-134
Conference on Applied Commodity Price Analysis, Forecasting, and Market
Risk Management. St. Louis, MO. [http://www.farmdoc.uiuc.edu/nccc134].
Hedging Cash Flows from Commodity Processing
by
Roger A. Dahlgran
Suggested citation format:
Dahlgran, R. A. 2005. “Hedging Cash Flows from Commodity Processing.”
Proceedings of the NCR-134 Conference on Applied Commodity Price
Analysis, Forecasting, and Market Risk Management. St. Louis, MO.
[http://www.farmdoc.uiuc.edu/nccc134].
Effects of Price Volatility and Surging South American
Soybean Production on Short-Run Soybean Basis
Dynamics
by
Rui Zhang and Jack Houston
Suggested citation format:
Zhang, R., and J. Houston. 2005. “Effects of Price Volatility and Surging
South American Soybean Production on Short-Run Soybean Basis
Dynamics.” Proceedings of the NCR-134 Conference on Applied Commodity
Price Analysis, Forecasting, and Market Risk Management. St. Louis, MO.
[http://www.farmdoc.uiuc.edu/nccc134].
A Reality Check on Technical Trading Rule Profits in
US Futures Markets
by
Cheol-Ho Park and Scott H. Irwin
Suggested citation format:
Park, C.-H., and S. H. Irwin. 2005. “A Reality Check on Technical Trading
Rule Profits in US Futures Markets.” Proceedings of the NCR-134
Conference on Applied Commodity Price Analysis, Forecasting, and Market
Risk Management. St. Louis, MO. [http://www.farmdoc.uiuc.edu/nccc134].
Relaxing Standard Hedging Assumptions in the
Presence of Downside Risk
by
Fabio Mattos, Philip Garcia, and Carl Nelson
Suggested citation format:
Mattos, F., P. Garcia, and C. Nelson. 2005. “Relaxing Standard Hedging
Assumptions in the Presence of Downside Risk.” Proceedings of the NCR134 Conference on Applied Commodity Price Analysis, Forecasting, and
Market Risk Management. St. Louis, MO.
[http://www.farmdoc.uiuc.edu/nccc134].
Factors Influencing the Extent
of Grid Pricing of Fed Cattle
by
Clement E. Ward
Suggested citation format:
Ward, C. E. 2005. “Factors Influencing the Extent of Grid Pricing of Fed
Cattle.” Proceedings of the NCR-134 Conference on Applied Commodity
Price Analysis, Forecasting, and Market Risk Management. St. Louis, MO.
[http://www.farmdoc.uiuc.edu/nccc134].
The Value of Carcass Characteristic EPDs
in Bred Heifer Price
by
Joe L. Parcell, Kevin C. Dhuyvetter, David J. Patterson,
and Richard Randle
Suggested citation format:
Parcell, J. L., K. C. Dhuyvetter, D. J. Patterson, and R. Randle. 2005. “The
Value of Carcass Characteristic EPDs in Bred Heifer Price.” Proceedings of
the NCR-134 Conference on Applied Commodity Price Analysis,
Forecasting, and Market Risk Management. St. Louis, MO.
[http://www.farmdoc.uiuc.edu/nccc134].
Supply Effects on Price Discovery and Pricing Choice
for Fed Cattle
by
Clement E. Ward
Suggested citation format:
Ward, C.E. 2005. “Supply Effects on Price Discovery and Pricing Choice for
Fed Cattle.” Proceedings of the NCR-134 Conference on Applied Commodity
Price Analysis, Forecasting, and Market Risk Management.
St. Louis, MO. [http://www.farmdoc.uiuc.edu/nccc134].
Price Discovery in Private Cash Forward Markets - The
Case of Lumber
by
Mark R. Manfredo and Dwight R. Sanders
Suggested citation format:
Manfredo, M. R., and D. R. Sanders. 2005. “Price Discovery in Private Cash
Forward Markets - The Case of Lumber.” Proceedings of the NCR-134
Conference on Applied Commodity Price Analysis, Forecasting, and Market
Risk Management. St. Louis, MO. [http://www.farmdoc.uiuc.edu/nccc134].
Intermediate Volatility Forecasts Using Implied
Forward Volatility: The Performance of Selected
Agricultural Commodity Options
by
Thorsten M. Egelkraut and Philip Garcia
Suggested citation format:
Egelkraut, T. M., and P. Garcia. 2005. “Intermediate Volatility Forecasts
Using Implied Forward Volatility: The Performance of Selected Agricultural
Commodity Options.” Proceedings of the NCR-134 Conference on Applied
Commodity Price Analysis, Forecasting, and Market Risk Management.
St. Louis, MO. [http://www.farmdoc.uiuc.edu/nccc134].
A Test of Forecast Consistency Using USDA Livestock
Price Forecasts
by
Dwight R. Sanders and Mark R. Manfredo
Suggested citation format:
Sanders, D. R., and M. R. Manfredo. 2005. “A Test of Forecast Consistency
Using USDA Livestock Price Forecasts.” Proceedings of the NCR-134
Conference on Applied Commodity Price Analysis, Forecasting, and Market
Risk Management. St. Louis, MO. [http://www.farmdoc.uiuc.edu/nccc134].
The Value of USDA Situation and Outlook Information
in Hog and Cattle Markets
by
Olga Isengildina, Scott H. Irwin, and Darrel L. Good
Suggested citation format:
Isengildina, O., S. H. Irwin, and D. L. Good. 2005. “The Value of USDA
Situation and Outlook Information in Hog and Cattle Markets.” Proceedings
of the NCR-134 Conference on Applied Commodity Price Analysis,
Forecasting, and Market Risk Management. St. Louis, MO.
[http://www.farmdoc.uiuc.edu/nccc134].
Style and Performance
of Agricultural Market Advisory Services
by
Silvina M. Cabrini, Scott H. Irwin, and Darrel L. Good
Suggested citation format:
Cabrini S. M., S. H. Irwin, and D. L. Good. 2005. “Style and Performance of
Agricultural Market Advisory Services.” Proceedings of the NCR-134
Conference on Applied Commodity Price Analysis, Forecasting, and Market
Risk Management. St. Louis, MO. [http://www.farmdoc.uiuc.edu/nccc134].
Wheat Forward Contract Pricing: Evidence on Forecast
Power and Risk Premia
by
Wei Shi, Scott H. Irwin, Darrel L. Good,
and Sarah N. Dietz
Suggested citation format:
Shi, W., S. H. Irwin, D. L. Good and S. N. Dietz. 2005. “Wheat Forward
Contract Pricing: Evidence on Forecast Power and Risk Premia.” Proceedings
of the NCR-134 Conference on Applied Commodity Price Analysis,
Forecasting, and Market Risk Management. St. Louis, MO.
[http://www.farmdoc.uiuc.edu/nccc134].