Introducing HEC-ResSim

Download Report

Transcript Introducing HEC-ResSim

HEC-ResSim
Enhancements
Better Tools to Simulate the Operation
of California Reservoirs
Joan Klipsch
CWEMF Annual Meeting
February 2007
Hydrologic Engineering Center
Outline
• HEC-ResSim Basics
–
–
–
–
Development Objectives
The System Schematic
Rule-Base Operations Definition
New Features in Version 3.0
• The Yuba-Feather F-CO Study
–
–
–
–
Participants
Objective
MOA
Requested Enhancements for Version 3.1
Hydrologic Engineering Center
ResSim Development Goals
• Represent the physical system as realistically
as possible.
• Reproduce the decision making process that
reservoir operators use to set releases.
• Support Multi-Purpose Operation Schemes
– Represent both Flood Control Constraints &
Conservation Goals
– Support low flow & drought operation
– Support environmental restoration investigations
Hydrologic Engineering Center
The Physical System
• Graphical System Schematic
–
–
–
–
–
Reservoirs
Reaches
Junctions
Diversions
Diverted Outlets
• Hierarchical Multiple Outlet Structure
–
–
–
–
Controlled and Uncontrolled Outlets
Power Plants
Pumps
Outlet Groups
Hydrologic Engineering Center
System Schematic
Hydrologic Engineering Center
Rule-Based Reservoir
Operations
• Guide-Curve
– The seasonally-variable Desired Pool Elevation
– Basic Guide Curve Operation:
“Release or store to get back to guide curve.”
• Zones
– Zones partition reservoir storage among different
purposes.
– A prioritized set of rules within each zone limits or
overrides basic guide curve operation.
Hydrologic Engineering Center
Rule-Based Reservoir
Operations
• Rules
A rule is an objective for, or constraint on, the
operation of a reservoir or system of reservoirs.
Rule Types:
– Flexible Local & Downstream Flow Objectives
– Release or Pool Elevation Rates of Change
– Emergency Gate Regulation & Induced Surcharge
– Local and System Hydropower Requirements
– Tandem Operation
– Pump-back Schedule
– User-scripted rules
Hydrologic Engineering Center
Zone-Based Prioritized Rule Set
Hydrologic Engineering Center
1. Determine the…
Allowable Range of Releases
–
–
Physical Capacity defines the
initial range
Rules narrow the range
2. Determine the…
Desired Guide Curve Release
–
How much the reservoir
should store or release to get
back to guide curve in this
timestep
Hydrologic Engineering Center
Allowable range of
releases (cfs)
Basic Decision Logic
15,000
10,000
5,000
0
1 2 3
0: Physical Capacity
1: IROC - 3000 cfs
2: Max Release - 10,000 cfs
3: Min Release – 700 cfs
Allowable Range: 700-8000 cfs
Basic Decision Logic, Cont’d.
3. Decide !
?
Is the Desired GuideCurve release within
the allowable range?
Yes Make the Desired GC
release
No
Make the allowable release that is
closest to the Desired GC release.
Hydrologic Engineering Center
Other Important
Operations Features
• Tandem and Parallel System Operations
– With variable storage balancing definition
•
•
•
•
Conditional (If-then-else) Rule Activation
Release Allocation – Outlet Prioritization
User Scripted Rules & State Variables
Outlet Outages & Capacity Overrides
Hydrologic Engineering Center
Tandem & Parallel
System Operations
• Tandem
–El Vado to Abiquiu
–Abiquiu to Cochiti
• Parallel
–Cochiti & Jemez
Hydrologic Engineering Center
System Balance Definition
Hydrologic Engineering Center
Conditional Rule Use
Atwood & Leesville “watch” Dover –
Not true Tandem
Hydrologic Engineering Center
Conditional Rule Use
If-then-else blocks
Hydrologic Engineering Center
Release Allocation
• To provide control over how the releases
are allocated to the available outlets
• Two methods
– Balanced
• Even Balance (default)
• Un-even Balance – e.g. 60-40 split
– Sequential
Hydrologic Engineering Center
Storage Integration Scheme
• Solution to the problem that occurs
when a reservoir has:
– Small storage
– Large outlet capacity
– More inflow than can be stored during a
time-step
Hydrologic Engineering Center
Trials
• Simulation ‘copies’ of
an alternative
• Provides extended
“what-if” analysis
Hydrologic Engineering Center
New Development – FY07
• R&D Funded
– Routing Enhancement for Downstream Ops
– Tailwater-Dependent Outlet Capacity
– Technical Reference Manual
• Project Funded
– LCRA
• Projected Pool Operation
– Yuba-Feather F-CO Study…
Hydrologic Engineering Center
Forecast-Coordinated Operations
• Yuba-Feather Watershed
– Oroville
- Operated by CA DWR
– New Bullards Bar - Operated by Yuba County
Water Agency
• Study Objectives
– Develop a way to coordinate flood control
releases from the two reservoirs, at the same
time maintaining channel flow at or below the
channel capacity at Marysville
Hydrologic Engineering Center
Forecast-Coordinated Operations
• Study Team
– Yuba County Water Agency
– California Dept. of Water Resources
– NWS CA-NV River Forecasting Center
– Advisory: Sacramento District, USACE
• Funding
– (new) Prop 13 Grant
Hydrologic Engineering Center
Yuba-Feather F-CO
• SPK Water Management was consulted
on existing models for the basin.
• Study team chose ResSim for the
operations modeling tool.
• SPK & Study Team identified some
modifications that would be needed to
effectively represent the watershed.
Hydrologic Engineering Center
Identified Enhancements
• Phase 1
– Downstream operation must respect rate-ofchange constraints
– Improve Induced Surcharge operation algorithm
to remove oscillations
– Induced Surcharge function inadequate to
represent ESRD operations.
• Provide option to enter ESRD curves directly
• Add a “Hold the Gate” option for falling pool operation
Hydrologic Engineering Center
Identified Enhancements
• Phase 1, cont’d.
– Add a variable contingency factor to the
downstream control rule to represent uncertainty
in the inflow forecast
– Add a inflow factor editor to facilitate
development of “what-if” inflow scenarios
• Phase 2
– Add ensemble management to alternative
development
– Add ability to impact operations based on
probability…
Hydrologic Engineering Center
MOA with HEC
• Yuba County Water Agency
– 1+ year in development
– Effort failed over liability issues
• NWS
– 3-6 months in development
– Success!
Hydrologic Engineering Center
Additional Requirements
• NWS-RFS integration
– Hot-start Feature
– Headless Operation
– Port to Linux
Hydrologic Engineering Center
Downstream Ops &
Rate-of-Change - Current
Hydrologic Engineering Center
Downstream Ops &
Rate-of-Change - New
Hydrologic Engineering Center
New - Contingency Factor
• Effective space at the
downstream control location
is computed as the difference
between the downstream limit
modified by the contingency
percentage and the
cumulative local flow.
• For a downstream maximum
flow rule, the downstream
limit is multiplied by (1 –
contingency percentage/100),
resulting in a reduced
maximum limit.
Hydrologic Engineering Center
Flow Contingency for Downstream Operation
Constant Contingency Percentage (%)
Contingency Percentage as a function of Cumulative Local
Flow
Cum. Local Flow (cfs)
Contingency %
OK
Cancel
Contingency Factor
Hydrologic Engineering Center
New - Inflow Multipliers
Inflow Multipliers
The Inflow Mulitplier(s) will be applied to each inflow time series to
increase or decrease the entering flows.
Global Multiplier
1
Multipliers by Location
Junction
Bethesda
Crazy Mt. Inflow JCT
Greenfield
River Pointe
Rockville
Villanova
Restore Defaults
Show Product
Hydrologic Engineering Center
Local Flow Name
Bethesda Local Inflow
Crazy Mt. Local Inflow
Greenfield Local Inflow
River Pointe Local Inflow
Rockville Local Inflow
Villanova Local Inflow
Ok
Apply
Multiplier
1
2
1
1
1
1
Cancel
More Info…
• Version 3.0, Release
March 2007 !!!
• HEC’s Web Site:
www.hec.usace.army.mil
• HEC’s ResSim Point of Contact:
Joan D. Klipsch
Hydrologic Engineering Center
Hydrologic Engineering Center