Transcript Slide 1
Today's Merger & Acquisition Environment for PEOs John R. Hammett Managing Director, Head of M&A Cherry Tree Securities Topics Historical Transactions Factors Driving M&A Among PEOs Valuation Trends Private Equity Buyers Key Take-Aways © Cherry Tree Securities 2 History Trend in PEO Deals Number of Deals Number of PEO Deals 18 16 14 12 10 8 6 4 2 0 1998 © Cherry Tree Securities 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 4 Trend in PEO Deals Number of Deals Number of PEO Deals 18 16 14 12 10 8 6 4 2 0 1998 © Cherry Tree Securities 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 5 Trend in PEO Deals Number of Deals Number of PEO Deals 18 16 14 12 10 8 6 4 2 0 1998 © Cherry Tree Securities 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 6 Trend in PEO Deals Number of Deals Number of PEO Deals 18 16 14 12 10 8 6 4 2 0 1998 © Cherry Tree Securities 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 7 Three Significant Activities TeamAmerica – VSource deal falls apart Gevity HR buys • Remnants of TeamAmerica • TeamStaff • EPIX Two new announced acquirers: • PML North America • Encore Professional Employers © Cherry Tree Securities 8 Who's Merging? Date Seller Type of Business Buyer Type Date Seller Type of Business Buyer Type Sep-04 InSource Business Strategies Regional outsourced HR Encore Professional Employers Strategic Feb-03 Advanco Regional PEO Workforce Solutions Strategic Aug-04 Carolina Professional Employers Regional PEO Encore Professional Employers Strategic Feb-03 Accord Human Resources, Inc. Regional PEO Imaging Technologies Strategic Jun-04 Pacel Corporation National PEO Investment by Compass Group Financial Dec-02 National Employment Alternatives Regional PEO Trident Systems Strategic May-04 YourStaff Solutions Regional PEO Pacel Corporation Strategic Dec-02 Undisclosed PEO Regional PEO Pacel Corporation Strategic Mar-04 EPIX National PEO Gevity HR Strategic Nov-02 StaffAmerica National PEO The Cura Group Strategic Nov-04 TeamAmerica (bankruptcy) National PEO Gevity HR Strategic Oct-02 BeneCorp Business Services Regional PEO Pacel Corporation Strategic Nov-03 TeamStaff National PEO Gevity HR Strategic Oct-02 Aampro Group, Inc. Regional PEO Trident Systems Strategic Sep-04 Gevity HR National PEO Investment by Frontenac Financial Sep-02 Advantage Payroll Services Payroll Services Paychex Strategic Sep-03 E3 Group Regional PEO TriNet Strategic Sep-02 Undisclosed PEO Regional PEO Pacel Corporation Strategic Jun-03 Advantage Enterprises Regional PEO Pacel Corporation Strategic Sep-02 Undisclosed PEO Regional PEO Pacel Corporation Strategic Jun-03 American HR (Certified Svcs.) Regional PEO StaffAmerica Strategic Aug-02 PEO-USA Regional PEO The Nelco Companies Strategic Jun-03 ProBusiness Services Outsouced HR ADP Strategic Jul-02 Meridian Regional PEO StaffAmerica Strategic Jun-03 Advantage Enterprises Regional PEO Pacel Corporation Strategic Mar-02 The Frick Company Regional Outsourced HR TALX Corporation Strategic Jun-03 World Wide Personnel Services Regional PEO PML North America Strategic Mar-02 Enstructure, Inc. Regional PEO Imaging Technologies Strategic Jun-03 United Personnel Services of Maine Regional PEO PML North America Strategic Mar-02 Group 4 Regional PEO TEAM Mucho Strategic May-03 Asmara, Inc. Regional PEO Pacel Corporation Strategic Feb-02 Inovis Regional PEO TEAM Mucho Strategic Apr-03 HealthStaff International Regional PEO Aampro Group, Inc. Strategic Feb-02 Strategic Staff Management Regional PEO TEAM Mucho Strategic Apr-03 Advantage Employer Services Regional PEO The Nelco Companies Strategic Jan-02 Corporate Staffing Concepts Regional PEO Team Staff Strategic Mar-03 Minority investment in Gevity HR National PEO Frontenac Private Equity Financial Jan-02 Amfinity Business Solutions Regional PEO Presidion Solutions Strategic Mar-03 Undisclosed PEO Regional PEO Nelco Strategic Mar-03 Interpay, Inc Payroll Services Paychex Strategic Feb-03 MediaBus Net (reverse merger) Public Shell Presidion Solutions Financial © Cherry Tree Securities 9 M&A Drivers PEO History From a Dealmaker's Perspective Start-up & rapid expansion phase: Low-cost of entry Powerful business model Unpenetrated markets Insurance arbitrage promised profits Easy insurance market © Cherry Tree Securities 11 PEO History from a Dealmaker's Perspective Health-insurance wave: Tempting self-insurance margins lead to exposure that kills many PEOs Or drives them to merge with others © Cherry Tree Securities 12 PEO History from a Dealmaker's Perspective Workers' Comp Wave I Tempting self-insurance margins lead to exposure that kills many PEOs Or drives them to merge with others © Cherry Tree Securities 13 PEO History from a Dealmaker's Perspective Workers' Comp Wave II: Major comp insurers pull out of PEO underwriting Kills more PEOs Or drives them to merge with others Or drives them to seek stronger financial partners © Cherry Tree Securities 14 PEO History from a Dealmaker's Perspective Scale and Specialty-Driven Phase Economies of scale favor larger PEOs Workforce specialization drives higher margin • Medical – technical – professional specialists • Traditional labor specialists with industry concentration Winners will be big regional, national, and specialist firms © Cherry Tree Securities 15 Valuation Valuation Trends Definitions: Enterprise Value (EV) (value without regard to debt, equity, or cash) = Market Capitalization (equity), plus debt, minus cash EBITDA (approximate cash flow before financing or taxes) = Earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, amortization EV/EBITDA = price or value / earnings EV/WSE = price or value per Worksite Employee © Cherry Tree Securities 17 EV/EBITDA Trends Company Value Trends 16.00 Value to Earnings (EBITDA) 14.00 12.00 10.00 2003 8.00 2004 6.00 4.00 2.00 0.00 Administaff © Cherry Tree Securities Presidion Gevity HR 18 EV/WSE Trends 4,000 3,500 3,000 2,500 2,000 1,500 1,000 500 - 2003 yH R Ge vi t St Te am Am e rei ca ion es id Te am Pr ist in Ad m © Cherry Tree Securities af f 2004 af f Value Enterprise Value per Worksite Employee 19 Valuation Trends 4,000 3,500 3,000 2,500 2,000 1,500 1,000 500 - 2003 2004 Team Staff Deal r Te eica am St af f Ge vi t yH R EPIX Deal Am e es id Te am Pr ist in Ad m © Cherry Tree Securities ion Deal Range af f Value Enterprise Value per Worksite Employee 20 Valuation Trends Gevity Deal Price per Worksite Employee $1,250 $1,000 $750 $500 $250 $0 TeamAmerica © Cherry Tree Securities TeamStaff EPIX 21 Today – 3 Markets Strategic – high value Publics valuation range ~ $3,000 / WSE Buying strong PEOs at ~ $1,000 / WSE at or below 4 to 6 times EBITDA Strategic – bottom feeder Large, medium, & small buying weak PEOs cheaply Private Equity Firms (financial buyers) Buying at 4 to 6+ times EBITDA © Cherry Tree Securities 22 Private Equity Demystified Private Equity Firms Invest from a fund of capital From $50 million to $ billions Raised from insurance companies, pension funds, endowments, wealthy individuals © Cherry Tree Securities 24 Private Equity Firms Today: over $100 billion in uninvested capital We estimate about 1,500 to 1,800 funds in USA Cherry Tree tracks about 900 of them • Industry specialists • Generalists • Deal size ranges © Cherry Tree Securities 25 Value from Fund's Perspective Value = expected total cash return Over an expected holding period of 3 to 7 years © Cherry Tree Securities 26 Value from Fund's Perspective © Cherry Tree Securities 27 Value from Fund's Perspective © Cherry Tree Securities 28 Value from Fund's Perspective © Cherry Tree Securities 29 Value from Fund's Perspective © Cherry Tree Securities 30 Private Equity Value Drivers Predictability of future cash flows Strong management that will stay (for awhile) Demonstrated operating history of earnings Growth potential Demonstrated historical growth Strong industry and macro growth trends Ability to grow without working capital or physical assets Exit opportunity Strategic or bigger financial buyer willing and able to buy Or an IPO © Cherry Tree Securities 31 Private Equity Deal Structure Objective: match price and payments to minimize risk Portion in cash Portion in subordinated notes • (seller or institution) Portion in share of future earnings (earn-out) Re-invested equity from sellers (10% to 40%) © Cherry Tree Securities 32 Private Equity Triage To private equity firms, you are either: 1. A platform 2. A tuck-in 3. Or an Exit © Cherry Tree Securities 33 Key Take-Aways Key Take-Aways 1. PEO is an active M&A marketplace 2. Macro trends are continuing to drive consolidation 3. 4. 5. Deals are fewer, but quality is better Small firms can't get the insurance at a good price; service demands are increasing Economies and service capabilities of larger firms drive their value higher than smaller ones Owners need to be either a buyer or a seller in the next 3 years Strategics will buy at the bottom – or in the middle of the range Certain Financial buyers will buy profitable PEOs if they believe in management, growth, and an exit © Cherry Tree Securities 35 Prepared by: John R. Hammett Managing Director, Head of M&A Cherry Tree Securities 301 Carlson Parkway Minnetonka, Minnesota 55305 952-893-9012 © Cherry tree Securities, LLC all rights reserved © Cherry Tree Securities 36