Transcript Slide 1
Key issues for longitudinal
research
A view from overseas, National
Longitudinal Survey of Children and
Youth (Canada)
Stephanie Lalonde, Statistics Canada
April 20, 2011
Today’s presentation
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Survey Overview
History of NLSCY
Survey Design
Survey Content
Direct Assessments
School Collection
Research
Lessons Learned
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What is the NLSCY?
A long-term study of Canadian children that follows their
development and well-being from birth to early
adulthood.
Conducted by Statistics Canada and funded by Human
Resources and Skills Development Canada (HRSDC).
Development began in 1992 and data from the final
collection were released in 2010.
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Objectives of the NLSCY
To determine the prevalence of risk and protective
factors for children and youth.
To understand how these factors, as well as life events,
influence children’s development.
To make this information available for developing
policies and programs that help children and youth.
To collect information about a wide variety of topics –
biological, social, economic.
To collect information about the environment in which a
child is growing up – family, peers, school, community.
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History of NLSCY
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Planning report May 1993
First data collection 1994-95
Data collection every two years
Last data collection 2008-09
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Origins of NLSCY
May 1992, the Canadian government
announced “Brighter Futures” initiative.
“What works for children – Information
Development Program” is a component of
initiative
Mandate to develop the first multi-disciplinary
national longitudinal and cross-sectional
database on children.
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Implications on survey design
Need to provide longitudinal and cross-sectional
information
The ecological or holistic approach to the measurement
of risk and outcomes
The need to provide children and family information
The need to gather and integrate community information
The need to collect information on selected children from
teachers
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SURVEY DESIGN
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NLSCY overview
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0 original cohort
0 1
2
2
13
3
0 1
2 3
4
0 1
2 3
4 5
5
0 1
2 3
4 5
6
0 1
7
8
0 1
01
Cohort 1
9
11
2 3
2 3
23
Cohort 2
4
15
6
17
8
10
4 5
4 5
45
Cohort 3
19
6 7
67
12
8 9
89
Cohort 4
21
14
10 11
Cohort 5
23
Cohort 6
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Cohort 7
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Cohort 8
Longitudinal sample size and
response rates
Survey
cycle
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
10
Age
0-11
2-13
4-15
6-17
8-19
10-21
12-23
14-25
Sample size
hh
child
12,818
19,487
12,863
19,481
12,818
19,435
12,912
19,481
13,134
19,474
13,532
19,474
14,409
19,474
14,690
19,474
Respondents
Response
hh
child
%
11,141
16,903
86.7
10,220
15,403
79.1
9,810
14,796
76.0
8,839
13,168
67.8
8,592
12,300
63.1
8,222
11,210
57.6
8,597
11,016
56.6
8,510
10,268
52.7
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Cycle 8 sample and response rates
Number of sampled children and
response rate, by age at Cycle 8
Age as of
December 31, 2008
Sampled
Years
In-scope
Cycle 8
response
rate
Respondents
Number
%
0-1
5,482
5,463
4,106
75.2
2-3
5,580
5,555
4,372
78.7
4-5
5,404
5,372
4,130
76.9
6-7
4,271
4,256
3,450
81.1
14-15
3,134
3,129
2,501
79.9
16-17
2,238
2,235
1,770
79.2
18-19
2,523
2,515
1,635
65.0
20-21
2,361
2,354
1,366
58.0
22-23
2,418
2,406
1,470
61.1
24-25
2,382
2,368
1,466
61.9
Total
35,793
35,653
26,266
73.7
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Collection strategy
Every 2 years - Mixed mode of collection
• Lasts 9 months (Sept – June)
• Multi level data: Household, Child, Parent (PMK),
Schools
• Direct measures
• Community surveys
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SURVEY CONTENT
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Context
Resources
Family
Community
Work
School
Social
Outcomes
Transitions:
Illness/Injury
Accidents
Divorce/separation
Death of Family Member
Spell of Poverty
Puberty
School Entry
Graduation
First Job
Marriage
First Child
Physical Health
Emotional
Social
Cognitive/
Learning
Space
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Public
Programs
Time
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Language/
Communication
Person most knowledgeable (PMK)
Person Most Knowledgeable (PMK)
• Person who answers question about the child
• Usually the biological mother, but not always
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Age
PMK – biological
mother
PMK – biological
father
0-7
88.4%
9.6%
14-17
83.5%
11%
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Questionnaires
PMK
Child/Youth
Teacher/Principal
(cycles 1-5)
Household
Adult
Child
Self-completes
Youth
Kindergarten
Elementary
Direct
Assessments
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Survey Overview
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Adult component
List of subjects covered
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Education
Labour force
Income
Health
Family functioning
Neighbourhood safety
Social support
Socio-demographic characteristics
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Subjects Covered by Child Component
Education
Health
Medical/Biological
Mother’s work after child’s birth
Temperament
Literacy
Communication
Activities
Developmental Milestones
Childcare
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Behaviour
Sleep habits
Motor/Social/Cognitive
Development
Relationships
Parenting
Custody
Expectations (Aspirations)
Socio-demographic
characteristics
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Subjects Covered by Youth Component
Moving out of parental home
Health
Education
Labour Force
Career Aspiration
Income
Suicide
Political engagement
Self-assessment of abilities
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Criminal behaviour
Relationships
Sexual Health
Activities
Self-esteem
Emotional Quotient
Social Support
Family formation and
fertility
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Self-completed questionnaires
Family and friends
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•
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
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School
Self-Esteem
Emotional Intelligence
Puberty
Dating
Smoking, Drinking and Drugs
Activities
Health
Work
Feelings and Behaviours (suicide)
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DIRECT ASSESSMENTS
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Direct Assessments
Age
Assessment
Measures
Grades 2 to 10
Math tests
(usually 7 to 15 years)
Achievement of basic
academic skills
16-17
Problem solving
exercise
Reading
comprehension,
problem solving
decision making
18-19
Literacy assessment
Prose literacy
Document literacy
20-21
Numeracy
assessment
Numeracy
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Direct Assessments 4-5 year olds
PPVT-R
• Measure of receptive vocabulary
Who Am I?
• Measure of level of development
Number Knowledge
• Measures understanding of numbers
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Choosing direct assessments
Increase focus on early childhood development
Review of framework
Selection of direct measures based on literature review and
review of other surveys
16 measures selected for more detailed review
11 measures informally tested
5 measures field tested
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Choosing direct assessment - criteria
Available in English and French (or easily adaptable)
Appropriate for administration in the child’s home
Easy to administer by lay interviewers
Easy to score
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Assessments tested
Who Am I?
Number Knowledge
Weschler Preschool and Primary Scales of
Intelligence (WPPSI-R)
Early Screening Inventory
Raven’s Coloured Progressive Matrices
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Field test of assessments – Who Am I?
Measures developmental level and acquired knowledge and skills
Developed by Dr. Molly de Lemos at the Australian Council of Educational Research
(ACER)
Can be used for children aged 3 to 7
General development assessed using a copying shapes task and drawing picture of onself
Acquired knowledge and skills assessed through writing symbols such as numbers, letters,
words and sentences
Field test found that the assessment was relatively easy to administer and enjoyed by
children
The assessment is inexpensive
Dropped the drawing task to save time
Added to the NLSCY in Cycle 4
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Field test of assessments – Number
Knowledge
Assesses children’s understanding of quantity and the system of
whole numbers
Developed by Dr. Robbie Case and colleagues at the Institute of
Child Study - University of Toronto
Four developmental levels (pre-dimensional, uni-dimensional, bidimensional, and integrated bi-dimensional)
Levels are attained at approximately 4, 6, 8 and 10 years of age.
Only first three levels used in test
The assessment included counting to 10, concepts of quantity,
number line, simple additions and subtractions and some problem
solving.
Added to Cycle 4 of the NLSCY with some modifications.
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Field test of assessments – Block Design
Sub-test of the Wechsler Preschool and Primary Scales of
Intelligence-Revised (WPPSI-R)
WPPSI-R can be used as an intelligence test. Block design is one
of the performance sub-tests and examines logical reasoning.
The child must design with blocks a shape copying either one the
interviewer constructs or from a booklet.
The task proved too difficult for the interviewers to administer
consistently so was not added to the NLSCY.
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Field test of assessments – Early
Screening Inventory
A brief developmental screening instrument that is individually
administered to children from 3 to 6 years of age.
Developed by Dr. Samuel Meisels and colleagues at the University of
Michigan.
Designed to identify children who may need special educational services
to participate successfully in school.
Provides an overview of the child’s development in three major areas:
Visual-Motor/Adaptive (fine motor skills, eye-hand co-ordination and
short-term memory skills), Language (not used in test) and Cognition and
Gross Motor.
Some difficulties in administration but recommended for inclusion in
NLSCY
Final decision was not to use the ESI
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Field test of assessments - Raven’s
Coloured Progressive Matrices
Assesses child’s capacity for analogical reasoning as one aspect
of intelligence.
Child must select the missing element to complete a pattern
Test is non-verbal
Well liked by parents, children and interviewers
Not added to the NLSCY
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SCHOOL COLLECTION
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School collection
Changes cycle to cycle
• Dropped from Cycle 6 (2004) on
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Requires signed parental permission
Requires co-operation from all ten provinces
Relatively low response rates
Logistically complex
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Survey content teachers
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Child/student’s education
Child/student’s behaviour and attendance
Involvement of parent and guardian
Teaching practices
Teacher’s perceptions of the school
Personal information
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Survey content - Principals
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Students in the school
Involvement of parent(s) and guardian(s)
Characteristics of school
Principal’s perceptions of the school
Personal information
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COMMUNITY SURVEYS
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Community surveys
Part of Understanding the Early Years initiative
Designed to give communities information to enhance community
resources and services
Worked with community groups
Includes a mapping project to map community resources and services
Goal is to allow each community to use information to improve early
childhood development
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Collection for Communities
Vocabulary Test
PPVT
Community
Resource
Use
Who Am I
Household Contact
Parent Questionnaire
Child Questionnaire
Number Knowledge
Phone interview
Questionnaire
CAI
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Tests
Paper Questionnaire
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EDI
Teacher completed
Collected in the school
SELECTED FINDINGS FROM
NLSCY
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Growing Up in Canada
Hyperactivity biggest risk factor in slowing math skills
Aggressive behaviour tended to decrease as children
grew up
Positive parenting can make a difference in
disadvantaged families
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Vulnerable children
Edited by J. Douglas Willms
Development of Vulnerability Index
Childhood vulnerability only weakly linked to income
Effects of good parenting outweigh effects of income
Vulnerability varies amongst communities
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Parenting style and children's aggressive
behaviour
Change in parenting environment predicts
change in child's behaviour
Aggressive behaviour linked to parenting style,
regardless of sex or income
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Other examples
Relationship between youth depression and changes
in relations with parents and peers.
Description of Child care in Canada
Description of Readiness to Learn of Five Year Olds
Canadian Nine Year Olds at School
Successful Transitions conference
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LESSONS LEARNED
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Challenges
Breadth of content
Large number of age groups
Mixed requirements
• Longitudinal
• Cross-sectional
Changes from cycle to cycle
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Example of changes
Age – age at time of collection vs.
reference age
Most questions asked based on reference
age but norms based on actual age
Change of PMK over time
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Lessons Learned
Keep it simple wherever possible
Have adequate resources from the start to design the best survey vehicle
Think longitudinally
Re-evaluate decisions made at previous cycles to determine if they are still
appropriate
Do research and analysis to develop new methods
Ensure that there is good documentation
•
Have clear long-term objectives
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That explain the ‘why’ and allow others to replicate the work
NLSCY is trying to please everyone: focus on a few things and do them well
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Contact Information
Stephanie Lalonde
[email protected]
General NLSCY inquiries [email protected]
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