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Key issues for longitudinal research A view from overseas, National Longitudinal Survey of Children and Youth (Canada) Stephanie Lalonde, Statistics Canada April 20, 2011 Today’s presentation 2 Survey Overview History of NLSCY Survey Design Survey Content Direct Assessments School Collection Research Lessons Learned Statistics Canada • Statistique Canada What is the NLSCY? A long-term study of Canadian children that follows their development and well-being from birth to early adulthood. Conducted by Statistics Canada and funded by Human Resources and Skills Development Canada (HRSDC). Development began in 1992 and data from the final collection were released in 2010. 3 Statistics Canada • Statistique Canada Objectives of the NLSCY To determine the prevalence of risk and protective factors for children and youth. To understand how these factors, as well as life events, influence children’s development. To make this information available for developing policies and programs that help children and youth. To collect information about a wide variety of topics – biological, social, economic. To collect information about the environment in which a child is growing up – family, peers, school, community. 4 Statistics Canada • Statistique Canada History of NLSCY 5 Planning report May 1993 First data collection 1994-95 Data collection every two years Last data collection 2008-09 Statistics Canada • Statistique Canada Origins of NLSCY May 1992, the Canadian government announced “Brighter Futures” initiative. “What works for children – Information Development Program” is a component of initiative Mandate to develop the first multi-disciplinary national longitudinal and cross-sectional database on children. 6 Statistics Canada • Statistique Canada Implications on survey design Need to provide longitudinal and cross-sectional information The ecological or holistic approach to the measurement of risk and outcomes The need to provide children and family information The need to gather and integrate community information The need to collect information on selected children from teachers 7 Statistics Canada • Statistique Canada SURVEY DESIGN 8 Statistics Canada • Statistique Canada NLSCY overview 1 0 original cohort 0 1 2 2 13 3 0 1 2 3 4 0 1 2 3 4 5 5 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 0 1 7 8 0 1 01 Cohort 1 9 11 2 3 2 3 23 Cohort 2 4 15 6 17 8 10 4 5 4 5 45 Cohort 3 19 6 7 67 12 8 9 89 Cohort 4 21 14 10 11 Cohort 5 23 Cohort 6 Statistics Canada • Statistique Canada Cohort 7 25 Cohort 8 Longitudinal sample size and response rates Survey cycle 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 10 Age 0-11 2-13 4-15 6-17 8-19 10-21 12-23 14-25 Sample size hh child 12,818 19,487 12,863 19,481 12,818 19,435 12,912 19,481 13,134 19,474 13,532 19,474 14,409 19,474 14,690 19,474 Respondents Response hh child % 11,141 16,903 86.7 10,220 15,403 79.1 9,810 14,796 76.0 8,839 13,168 67.8 8,592 12,300 63.1 8,222 11,210 57.6 8,597 11,016 56.6 8,510 10,268 52.7 Statistics Canada • Statistique Canada Cycle 8 sample and response rates Number of sampled children and response rate, by age at Cycle 8 Age as of December 31, 2008 Sampled Years In-scope Cycle 8 response rate Respondents Number % 0-1 5,482 5,463 4,106 75.2 2-3 5,580 5,555 4,372 78.7 4-5 5,404 5,372 4,130 76.9 6-7 4,271 4,256 3,450 81.1 14-15 3,134 3,129 2,501 79.9 16-17 2,238 2,235 1,770 79.2 18-19 2,523 2,515 1,635 65.0 20-21 2,361 2,354 1,366 58.0 22-23 2,418 2,406 1,470 61.1 24-25 2,382 2,368 1,466 61.9 Total 35,793 35,653 26,266 73.7 11 Statistics Canada • Statistique Canada Collection strategy Every 2 years - Mixed mode of collection • Lasts 9 months (Sept – June) • Multi level data: Household, Child, Parent (PMK), Schools • Direct measures • Community surveys 12 Statistics Canada • Statistique Canada SURVEY CONTENT 13 Statistics Canada • Statistique Canada Context Resources Family Community Work School Social Outcomes Transitions: Illness/Injury Accidents Divorce/separation Death of Family Member Spell of Poverty Puberty School Entry Graduation First Job Marriage First Child Physical Health Emotional Social Cognitive/ Learning Space 14 Public Programs Time Statistics Canada • Statistique Canada Language/ Communication Person most knowledgeable (PMK) Person Most Knowledgeable (PMK) • Person who answers question about the child • Usually the biological mother, but not always 15 Age PMK – biological mother PMK – biological father 0-7 88.4% 9.6% 14-17 83.5% 11% Statistics Canada • Statistique Canada Questionnaires PMK Child/Youth Teacher/Principal (cycles 1-5) Household Adult Child Self-completes Youth Kindergarten Elementary Direct Assessments 16 Statistics Canada • Statistique Canada Survey Overview 17 Statistics Canada • Statistique Canada Adult component List of subjects covered 18 Education Labour force Income Health Family functioning Neighbourhood safety Social support Socio-demographic characteristics Statistics Canada • Statistique Canada Subjects Covered by Child Component Education Health Medical/Biological Mother’s work after child’s birth Temperament Literacy Communication Activities Developmental Milestones Childcare 19 Behaviour Sleep habits Motor/Social/Cognitive Development Relationships Parenting Custody Expectations (Aspirations) Socio-demographic characteristics Statistics Canada • Statistique Canada Subjects Covered by Youth Component Moving out of parental home Health Education Labour Force Career Aspiration Income Suicide Political engagement Self-assessment of abilities 20 Criminal behaviour Relationships Sexual Health Activities Self-esteem Emotional Quotient Social Support Family formation and fertility Statistics Canada • Statistique Canada Self-completed questionnaires Family and friends • • • • • • • • • • 21 School Self-Esteem Emotional Intelligence Puberty Dating Smoking, Drinking and Drugs Activities Health Work Feelings and Behaviours (suicide) Statistics Canada • Statistique Canada DIRECT ASSESSMENTS 22 Statistics Canada • Statistique Canada Direct Assessments Age Assessment Measures Grades 2 to 10 Math tests (usually 7 to 15 years) Achievement of basic academic skills 16-17 Problem solving exercise Reading comprehension, problem solving decision making 18-19 Literacy assessment Prose literacy Document literacy 20-21 Numeracy assessment Numeracy 23 Statistics Canada • Statistique Canada Direct Assessments 4-5 year olds PPVT-R • Measure of receptive vocabulary Who Am I? • Measure of level of development Number Knowledge • Measures understanding of numbers 24 Statistics Canada • Statistique Canada Choosing direct assessments Increase focus on early childhood development Review of framework Selection of direct measures based on literature review and review of other surveys 16 measures selected for more detailed review 11 measures informally tested 5 measures field tested 25 Statistics Canada • Statistique Canada Choosing direct assessment - criteria Available in English and French (or easily adaptable) Appropriate for administration in the child’s home Easy to administer by lay interviewers Easy to score 26 Statistics Canada • Statistique Canada Assessments tested Who Am I? Number Knowledge Weschler Preschool and Primary Scales of Intelligence (WPPSI-R) Early Screening Inventory Raven’s Coloured Progressive Matrices 27 Statistics Canada • Statistique Canada Field test of assessments – Who Am I? Measures developmental level and acquired knowledge and skills Developed by Dr. Molly de Lemos at the Australian Council of Educational Research (ACER) Can be used for children aged 3 to 7 General development assessed using a copying shapes task and drawing picture of onself Acquired knowledge and skills assessed through writing symbols such as numbers, letters, words and sentences Field test found that the assessment was relatively easy to administer and enjoyed by children The assessment is inexpensive Dropped the drawing task to save time Added to the NLSCY in Cycle 4 28 Statistics Canada • Statistique Canada Field test of assessments – Number Knowledge Assesses children’s understanding of quantity and the system of whole numbers Developed by Dr. Robbie Case and colleagues at the Institute of Child Study - University of Toronto Four developmental levels (pre-dimensional, uni-dimensional, bidimensional, and integrated bi-dimensional) Levels are attained at approximately 4, 6, 8 and 10 years of age. Only first three levels used in test The assessment included counting to 10, concepts of quantity, number line, simple additions and subtractions and some problem solving. Added to Cycle 4 of the NLSCY with some modifications. 29 Statistics Canada • Statistique Canada Field test of assessments – Block Design Sub-test of the Wechsler Preschool and Primary Scales of Intelligence-Revised (WPPSI-R) WPPSI-R can be used as an intelligence test. Block design is one of the performance sub-tests and examines logical reasoning. The child must design with blocks a shape copying either one the interviewer constructs or from a booklet. The task proved too difficult for the interviewers to administer consistently so was not added to the NLSCY. 30 Statistics Canada • Statistique Canada Field test of assessments – Early Screening Inventory A brief developmental screening instrument that is individually administered to children from 3 to 6 years of age. Developed by Dr. Samuel Meisels and colleagues at the University of Michigan. Designed to identify children who may need special educational services to participate successfully in school. Provides an overview of the child’s development in three major areas: Visual-Motor/Adaptive (fine motor skills, eye-hand co-ordination and short-term memory skills), Language (not used in test) and Cognition and Gross Motor. Some difficulties in administration but recommended for inclusion in NLSCY Final decision was not to use the ESI 31 Statistics Canada • Statistique Canada Field test of assessments - Raven’s Coloured Progressive Matrices Assesses child’s capacity for analogical reasoning as one aspect of intelligence. Child must select the missing element to complete a pattern Test is non-verbal Well liked by parents, children and interviewers Not added to the NLSCY 32 Statistics Canada • Statistique Canada SCHOOL COLLECTION 33 Statistics Canada • Statistique Canada School collection Changes cycle to cycle • Dropped from Cycle 6 (2004) on 34 Requires signed parental permission Requires co-operation from all ten provinces Relatively low response rates Logistically complex Statistics Canada • Statistique Canada Survey content teachers 35 Child/student’s education Child/student’s behaviour and attendance Involvement of parent and guardian Teaching practices Teacher’s perceptions of the school Personal information Statistics Canada • Statistique Canada Survey content - Principals 36 Students in the school Involvement of parent(s) and guardian(s) Characteristics of school Principal’s perceptions of the school Personal information Statistics Canada • Statistique Canada COMMUNITY SURVEYS 37 Statistics Canada • Statistique Canada Community surveys Part of Understanding the Early Years initiative Designed to give communities information to enhance community resources and services Worked with community groups Includes a mapping project to map community resources and services Goal is to allow each community to use information to improve early childhood development 38 Statistics Canada • Statistique Canada Collection for Communities Vocabulary Test PPVT Community Resource Use Who Am I Household Contact Parent Questionnaire Child Questionnaire Number Knowledge Phone interview Questionnaire CAI 39 Tests Paper Questionnaire Statistics Canada • Statistique Canada EDI Teacher completed Collected in the school SELECTED FINDINGS FROM NLSCY 40 Statistics Canada • Statistique Canada Growing Up in Canada Hyperactivity biggest risk factor in slowing math skills Aggressive behaviour tended to decrease as children grew up Positive parenting can make a difference in disadvantaged families 41 Statistics Canada • Statistique Canada Vulnerable children Edited by J. Douglas Willms Development of Vulnerability Index Childhood vulnerability only weakly linked to income Effects of good parenting outweigh effects of income Vulnerability varies amongst communities 42 Statistics Canada • Statistique Canada Parenting style and children's aggressive behaviour Change in parenting environment predicts change in child's behaviour Aggressive behaviour linked to parenting style, regardless of sex or income 43 Statistics Canada • Statistique Canada Other examples Relationship between youth depression and changes in relations with parents and peers. Description of Child care in Canada Description of Readiness to Learn of Five Year Olds Canadian Nine Year Olds at School Successful Transitions conference 44 Statistics Canada • Statistique Canada LESSONS LEARNED 45 Statistics Canada • Statistique Canada Challenges Breadth of content Large number of age groups Mixed requirements • Longitudinal • Cross-sectional Changes from cycle to cycle 46 Statistics Canada • Statistique Canada Example of changes Age – age at time of collection vs. reference age Most questions asked based on reference age but norms based on actual age Change of PMK over time 47 Statistics Canada • Statistique Canada Lessons Learned Keep it simple wherever possible Have adequate resources from the start to design the best survey vehicle Think longitudinally Re-evaluate decisions made at previous cycles to determine if they are still appropriate Do research and analysis to develop new methods Ensure that there is good documentation • Have clear long-term objectives • 48 That explain the ‘why’ and allow others to replicate the work NLSCY is trying to please everyone: focus on a few things and do them well Statistics Canada • Statistique Canada Contact Information Stephanie Lalonde [email protected] General NLSCY inquiries [email protected] 49 Statistics Canada • Statistique Canada