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FINANCE 1. Introduction Professor André Farber Solvay Business School Université Libre de Bruxelles Fall 2003 18/07/2015 A.Farber MBA 01 Introduction Solvay Business School – Université Libre de Bruxelles 1 Who am I? • • • • • André Farber Professor of Finance at Solvay Business School since…. Director of the MBA program 1990-2002 Past President of Solvay Business School Dean, Faculty of Social Sciences, Politics and Economics, Solvay Business School (known as Soco) • 18/07/2015 A.Farber MBA 01 Introduction Solvay Business School – Université Libre de Bruxelles 2 Practical matters • Reference: – Ross, Stephen A., Randolph W. Westerfield and Jeffrey F. Jaffe, Corporate Finance, 6th edition, McGraw-Hill Irwin 2002 • Website: www.ulb.ac.be/cours/solvay/farber • Slides • Excel files • Past exams • Grading: • Midterm (40%) • Final (60%) 18/07/2015 A.Farber MBA 01 Introduction Solvay Business School – Université Libre de Bruxelles 3 Course outline • • • • • • • • • • • 1. Introduction 2. Financial statement analysis and forecasting 3. Present value 4. Bond and stock valuation 5. Stock valuation (cont.) 6. Capital budgeting 7. More on capital budgeting 8.Capital Market Theory 9. Portfolio selection 10. Risk and expected returns – CAPM 11. Risk, return and capital budgeting 18/07/2015 A.Farber MBA 01 Introduction Solvay Business School – Université Libre de Bruxelles 4 What is Corporate Finance? • INVESTMENT DECISIONS: Which REAL ASSETS to buy ? • • • • Real assets: will generate future cash flows to the firm Intangible assets : R&D, Marketing, .. Tangible assets : Real estate, Equipments,.. Current assets: Inventories, Account receivables,.. • FINANCING DECISIONS: Which FINANCIAL ASSET to sell ? • Financial assets: claims on future cash flows • Debt: promise to repay a fixed amount • Equity: residual claim • DIVIDEND DECISION: How much to return to stockholders? 18/07/2015 A.Farber MBA 01 Introduction Solvay Business School – Université Libre de Bruxelles 5 Accounting View of the Firm • Balance sheet Net Working Capital Income statement Current liabilites Current assets Long-term debt Fixed assets 18/07/2015 Shareholders’ equity Sales – Operating expenses = Earnings before interest and taxes (EBIT) – Interest expenses – Taxes = Net income (earnings after taxes) • Retained earnings • Dividend payments A.Farber MBA 01 Introduction Solvay Business School – Université Libre de Bruxelles 6 Cash Flows between the Firm and the Financial Markets Firm issue securities Firm invest Firm Cash flow from operations Financial markets Dividend and debt payments Timing of cash flows 18/07/2015 A.Farber MBA 01 Introduction Solvay Business School – Université Libre de Bruxelles 7 Market values Total capital employed 18/07/2015 Equity Market value of equity Debt Market value of debt Cash flow A.Farber MBA 01 Introduction Solvay Business School – Université Libre de Bruxelles 8 Value creation • Market value added (MVA) • = Market value of the firm’s capital – Total capital employed Market value of equity + Market value of debt Stockholders’ equity + Financial debt • VALUE CREATION : 2 strategies • Strategy 1 • Buy assets at a cost lower than the value of the future revenues – real assets – financial assets • Strategy 2 • Sell financial assets for a price higher than the value of future payments 18/07/2015 A.Farber MBA 01 Introduction Solvay Business School – Université Libre de Bruxelles 9 The Capital Investment Trade-off • The firm can always give cash back to the shareholders ? Project Cash Stockholder Investment opportunities in capital markets • Capital employed by the firm has an opportunity cost • The opportunity cost of capital is the expected rate of return offered by equivalent investments in the capital market • The weighted average cost of capital (WACC) is the (weighted) average of the cost of equity and of the cost of debt 18/07/2015 A.Farber MBA 01 Introduction Solvay Business School – Université Libre de Bruxelles 10 Economic Value Added (EVA) • EVA = Earnings after tax – WACC Total capital Example: EVA calculation Equity Debt Total capital $10b $10b $20b EBIT Tax rate WACC $2.5b 40% 11% Earnings after tax = $2.5b (1-0.40) = $1.5b EVA = $1.5b – 11% $20b = $1.5b – $2.2b = – $700m (EVA is explained RWJ Chapter 12 – Appendix) 18/07/2015 A.Farber MBA 01 Introduction Solvay Business School – Université Libre de Bruxelles 11 How to measure value creation ? • 1. Compare market value of equity to book value Stock price Market- to - book(M/B) Book valueper share • Value creation if M/B > 1 • 2. Compare return on equity to the opportunity cost of equity Net Income Return on equity ( ROE) Stockholders' equity • Value creation if ROE > Opportunity Cost of Equity 18/07/2015 A.Farber MBA 01 Introduction Solvay Business School – Université Libre de Bruxelles 12 M/B vs ROE • • • • • • • • • • Simplifying assumptions: · Expected net income income = constant · Net income = dividend Market value determination: Net income = Expected return Market value of equity NI = r MVeq ROE (definition): Return on equity = Net income / Book value of equity ROE = NI / BVeq = r MVeq / Bveq • Conclusion: in this simplified setting, – M/B = MVeq/BVeq > 1 18/07/2015 ROE> r A.Farber MBA 01 Introduction Solvay Business School – Université Libre de Bruxelles 13 M/B vs ROE: example • Suppose: • Book equity ( = total asset) = € 500,000 • Expected annual net income = € 100,000 • Payout ratio (Dividend / Net income) = 100% • Expected return = 10% • Market value of equity determination: • Dividend ( = Net income) = 10% × Mkt Value of Equity • Mkt Value of Equity = €100,000 / 10% = € 1,000,000 • M/B = 1,000,000 / 500,000 = 2 > 1 • Return on Equity (ROE): • ROE = Net Income / Book Equity • A = 100,000 / 500,000 = 20% > 10% 18/07/2015 A.Farber MBA 01 Introduction Solvay Business School – Université Libre de Bruxelles 14 The Top Companies 2003 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 GE Microsoft Exxon Pfizer Wal-Mart Citigroup Johnson & J. Royal D./Shell BP American Intl IBM Vodafone Intel US US US US US US US UK UK US US UK US Mkt Value $ bil. Price/ Book ROE % 286 264 245 245 232 211 161 158 153 151 149 148 136 4.3 4.7 3.3 9.9 5.7 2.5 6.7 2.7 2.2 2.4 6.2 0.7 3.8 22.5 17.1 21.2 48.0 20.2 18.2 28.4 15.6 6.8 8.8 22.8 3.2 8.7 Source:Business Week, July 14 2003 18/07/2015 A.Farber MBA 01 Introduction Solvay Business School – Université Libre de Bruxelles 15 The Top Companies 2002 Mkt Cap $ billions Price/Book ROE % 1 General Electric US 309 5.6 26.6 2 Microsoft US 276 5.8 13.4 3 Exxon Mobil US 271 3.7 16.7 4 Wal-Mart Stores US 241 6.7 19.3 5 Citigroup US 223 2.7 19.2 6 Pfizer US 217 11.9 45.3 7 Royal Dutch / Shell EU 194 3.5 19.4 8 BP EU 192 2.6 13.3 9 Johnson & Johnson US 187 7.7 24.3 10 Intel US 185 5.2 4.9 18/07/2015 A.Farber MBA 01 Introduction Solvay Business School – Université Libre de Bruxelles 16 The Top Companies 2001 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 18/07/2015 GE Microsoft Exxon Pfizer Citigroup Wal-Mart AOL Time W. BP IBM NTT Docomo American Intl Intel Vodafone US US US US US US US UK US Japan US US UK Mkt Value $ bil. Price/ Book ROE % 487 369 307 271 261 231 230 200 197 192 189 181 175 9.6 8.8 4.4 16.8 4.1 7.4 1.4 2.7 9.5 7.9 4.5 4.9 0.9 29.5 24.1 25.3 23.5 21.3 20.2 Neg 15.9 39.0 10.6 14.0 22.3 2.0 A.Farber MBA 01 Introduction Solvay Business School – Université Libre de Bruxelles 17 Q&D financial analysis • PROFITABILITY (du Pont system) Net Income ROE Book Equity • Three determinants : ROE 17.1% Profit Margin •Microsoft - 2003 US$ bil. •Net Income 7,829 •Sales 28,365 •Assets 67,646 •Book equity 45,784 18/07/2015 Net Incom e Sales Sales Assets Asset Turnover Financial Leverage 0.42 1.48 27.6% A.Farber MBA 01 Introduction Solvay Business School – Université Libre de Bruxelles Assets Equity 18 Q&D financial analysis • PROFITABILITY (du Pont system) Net Income ROE Book Equity • Three determinants : ROE 13.4% Profit Margin •Microsoft - 2002 US$ bil. •Net Income 7,721 •Sales 25,296 •Assets 59,257 •Book equity 57,619 18/07/2015 Net Incom e Sales Sales Assets Asset Turnover Financial Leverage 0.43 1.03 30.5% A.Farber MBA 01 Introduction Solvay Business School – Université Libre de Bruxelles Assets Equity 19 References • • • Suggested text for this course – Ross, Stephen A., Randolph W. Westerfield and Jeffrey F. Jaffe, Corporate Finance, 6th edition, McGraw-Hill Irwin 2002 Corporate finance textbooks (MBA level) – Brealey, Richard and Steward Myers, Principles of Corporate Finance, xth edition, McGrawHill 2000 – Damorada, Aswath, Corporate Finance: Theory and Practice, Wiley 1997 Corporate finance texts for executives – Bertoneche, Marc and Rory Knight, Financial Performance, Butterworth Heinemann 2001 – Hawawini, Gabriel and Claude Viallet, Finance for Executives: Managing for Value Creation, South-Western College Publishing, 1999 18/07/2015 A.Farber MBA 01 Introduction Solvay Business School – Université Libre de Bruxelles 20