Transcript Document
What Works: Effective Interventions with Sex Offenders R. Karl Hanson Public Safety Canada Presentation at the 13th Annual Conference of the NYS Chapter of the Association for the Treatment of Sexual Abusers, May 14th, 2008, Saratoga Springs, NY History of Offender Rehabilitation Research • Many studies; lots of variability • Martinson (1974) “Nothing works” • “What Works” – Lipsey (1989) – Andrews, Zinger et al. (1990) – Andrews, Bonta, Gendreau, Dowden Sanctions or Service? 0.14 Sanctions: 2003: r = -.03 (k = 101) 0.12 0.1 0.08 0.06 Service: 0.04 2003: r = +.12 0.02 (k = 273) 0 -0.02 -0.04 Sanction Service Effective Correctional Interventions • Risk – Treat only offenders who are likely to reoffend (moderate risk or higher) • Need – Target criminogenic needs • Responsivity – Match treatment to offenders’ learning styles and culture Results Stable Across Studies • Same results found in randomized clinical trials and non-random assignment studies (except those with obvious biases) • Meta-analytic findings replicated by independent groups Risk/Need/Responsivity and reductions in recidivism for general offenders r (k) Not at all -.02 (124) One element .03 (106) Two elements .17 (84) All three .25 (60) Risk/Need/Responsivity and reductions in sexual recidivism for sex offenders r (k) Not at all -.03 (4) One element .05 (6) Two elements .14 (12) All three .16 (1) Risk – Self-Evaluation • Does your program select offenders based on risk? – Which measure? Sexual or general risk? – Average risk score is moderate or higher (e.g., Static-99 4+) – Are low risk offenders separated from high risk offenders? Needs Self-Evaluation I • What are the major criminogenic needs targeted in your program? – (i.e., what intermediate changes would you like to see in order to reduce the risk of recidivism?) Criminogenic Needs (general recidivism) • Antisocial Personality – Impulsive, adventurous pleasure seeking, restlessly aggressive, callous disregard for others • • • • • • • Grievance/hostility Antisocial associates Antisocial cognitions Low attachment to Family/Lovers Low engagement in School/Work Aimless use of leisure time Substance Abuse Non-criminogenic needs (general recidivism) • • • • • • • Personal distress Major mental disorder Low self-esteem Low physical activity Poor physical living conditions Low conventional ambition Insufficient fear of official punishment Criminogenic Needs for Sexual Recidivism A-list (3+ Prediction Studies) • Deviant sexual interests – – – • • Children Sexualized Violence Multiple Paraphilias Sexual preoccupations Antisocial orientation – – – – Lifestyle instability Unstable employment Resistance to rules and supervision Antisocial Personality Disorder Criminogenic Needs for Sexual Recidivism A-list (3+ Studies) • Offence-Supportive Attitudes • Intimacy deficits – Emotional congruence with children – Lack of stable love relationships – Conflicts in intimate relationships • Negative Social Influences • Poor Cognitive Problem-Solving • Grievance/Hostility Criminogenic Needs for Sexual Recidivism B-list (at least one prediction study) • Sexualized coping • Callousness/Lack of concern for others • Poor emotional control • Hostile beliefs about women • Adversarial sexual orientation • Machiavellianism Possible Criminogenic Needs for Sexual Recidivism (some evidence) • • • • General and sexual entitlement Fragile narcissism Delinquent pride Loneliness Factors Unrelated to Sexual Recidivism • • • • Victim empathy Denial/minimization of sexual offence Lack of motivation for treatment Internalizing psychological problems – Anxiety, depression, low self-esteem* • • • • Sexually abused as a child Low sex knowledge Poor dating skills/Social skills deficits Hallucinations/delusions Needs Self-Evaluation II • Is there empirical evidence demonstrating that the factor predicts recidivism? – (yes/no for each treatment target) • Does your program predominantly target empirically supported criminogenic needs? Responsivity • • • • • Cognitive-behavioural Therapist style – firm but fair Flexibility to address special needs Culturally specific elements Do offenders actually engage in treatment? – Low drop-out rates – Change on intermediate targets – Working with you, not against you Hanson, Bourgon, Helmus & Hodgson, 2008 • 24 studies – Examined sexual recidivism as outcome criteria – Examined adult or adolescent sexual offenders – Compared offender assigned to a treatment program to offenders who received no treatment (or treatment that was expected to be inferior) – Met minimum criteria for study quality (CODC Guidelines) 24 Studies • 50% published (1983 – 2006) • 23 English; 1 French • Canada (13), US (5), England (3), New Zealand (2), Netherlands (1) • Institution (12); Community (11); Both (1) • Treatments delivered: 1966 - 2004 Example: treatment works 0.6 Treatment Group 0.5 0.4 0.3 0.2 0.1 0 0 0.1 0.2 0.3 Control Group 0.4 0.5 0.6 Example: treatment does not work 0.6 Treatment Group 0.5 0.4 0.3 0.2 0.1 0 0 0.1 0.2 0.3 Control Group 0.4 0.5 0.6 Example: treatment really does not work 0.6 Treatment Group 0.5 0.4 0.3 0.2 0.1 0 0 0.1 0.2 0.3 Control Group 0.4 0.5 0.6 Treatment Outcome Studies (k = 24) Sexual Recidivism Treatment Group 0.45 0.4 0.35 0.3 0.25 0.2 0.15 0.1 0.05 0 0 0.05 0.1 0.15 0.2 0.25 0.3 0.35 0.4 Comparison Group Odds Ratio .72 Lower CI .62 Upper CI .84 Q Study N 59.58*** 7, 751 0.45 "Better" Studies (k = 4) Sexual Recidivism Treatment Group 0.45 0.4 0.35 0.3 0.25 0.2 0.15 0.1 0.05 0 0 0.05 0.1 0.15 0.2 0.25 0.3 0.35 0.4 Comparison Group Odds Ratio .99 Lower CI .78 Upper CI 1.27 Q 7.46*** Study N 1,542 0.45 Adherence to R/N/R • Risk • Need • Responsivity Rarely (3/24) Sometimes (12/24) Most programs (18/24) Effect Size By R/N/R Adherence Odds ratio 95% C.I. N (k) None 1.05 (.79-1.41) 1,200 (4) One 0.82 (.55 –1.23) 1,209 (6) Two 0.57 (.46-.70) All three 0.51 (.13-1.97) 5,147 (12) 106 (1) Low Adherence to R/N/R (10) Treatment Group 0.45 0.4 0.35 0.3 0.25 0.2 0.15 0.1 0.05 0 0 0.05 0.1 0.15 0.2 0.25 0.3 0.35 0.4 Comparison Group Odds Ratio .97 Lower CI .76 Upper CI 1.23 Q 15.42 Study N 10 (2409) 0.45 Some Adherence to R/N/R (k = 13) Treatment Group 0.45 0.4 0.35 0.3 0.25 0.2 0.15 0.1 0.05 0 0 0.05 0.1 0.15 0.2 0.25 0.3 0.35 0.4 Comparison Group Odds Ratio .57 Lower CI .46 Upper CI .70 Q 32.67*** Study N 13 (5253) 0.45 Are we getting better? 3 2.5 2 1.5 1 0.5 0 -0.5 -1 -1.5 -2 -2.5 1960 1970 1980 1990 Year treatment delivered 2000 Implementation is Difficult Not at all Demonstration Real r (k) r (k) .01 (1) -.02 (93) One element .07 (7) .04 (71) Two elements .31 (16) .09 (16) All three .34 (23) .15 (10) Adherence to R/N/R Effective Programs Program r (k) Metaanalysis Multisystemic Treatment .27 (7) Curtis et al. (2004) Moral Reconation Therapy .18 (6) Wilson et al. (2005) Reasoning & Rehabilitation .04 (25) Tong & Farrington (2006) Keys to Effective Implementation • • • • Select staff for relationship skills Print/tape manuals Train staff Start small No Yes r (k) r (k) Staff selected for relationship skills .07 (361) .34 (13) Printed/taped manuals .05 (303) .20 (71) Characteristics of Effective Therapists with Offenders • Able to form meaningful relationships with offenders – Warm, accurate empathy, rewarding • Provide prosocial direction – Skills, problem-solving, values How it goes wrong • Risk – Same program for all, regardless of risk/need – Low risk offenders introduced to high risk offenders – High risk cases excluded from treatment (by self and program) • Focus on non-criminogenic needs How it goes wrong • Offender feels judged/rejected • Criminal thinking rewarded – Blind acceptance of “alternative” subcultures – Rewarding candour – Procriminal attitudes of staff – Bonding/collusion with offenders • Punishing Prosocial Acts – Prosocial incompetence Directions for Sexual Offender Treatment • Risk – Treat only sex offenders who are likely to reoffend (moderate risk or higher) • Need – Target criminogenic needs • Responsivity – Match treatment to offenders’ learning styles and culture • Use Skilled Therapists Suggested Readings Andrews, D.A. (2006). Enhancing adherence to RiskNeed-Responsivity: Making quality a matter of policy. Criminology and Public Policy, 5, 595-602. Andrews, D.A., & Bonta, J. (2006). The psychology of criminal conduct (4th ed.). Cincinnati: Anderson. Bonta, J., & Andrews, D.A. (2007). Risk-needresponsivity model for offender assessment and rehabilitation. Corrections User Report 2007-06. Ottawa: Public Safety Canada. Curtis, N.M., Ronan, K.R., & Borduin, C.M. (2004). Multisystemic treatment: A meta-analysis of outcome studies. Journal of Family Psychology, 18(3), 411-419. Suggested Readings Hanson, R.K., & Bourgon, G. (2008). A psychologically informed meta-analysis of sexual offender treatment outcome studies. In G. Bourgon et al. (Eds). Proceedings of the First North American Correctional and Criminal Justice Psychology Conference. Ottawa: Public Safety Canada. Landenberger, N.A., & Lipsey, M.W. (2005). The positive effects of cognitive-behavioral programs for offenders: A meta-analysis of factors associated with effective treatment. Journal of Experimental Criminology, 1, 451-476. Tong, L.S.J., & Farrington, D.P. (2006). How effective is the “Reasoning and Rehabilitation” programme in reducing reoffending? A meta-analysis of evaluations in four countries. Psychology, Crime & Law, 12(1), 3-24. Wilson, D.B., Bouffard, L.A., & Mackenzie, D.L. (2005). A quantitative review of structured, group-oriented, cognitivebehavioral programs for offenders. Criminal Justice and Behavior, 32 (2), 172-204. Copies/Questions [email protected] www.publicsafety.gc.ca Look under “publications” “corrections reports and manuals”