Transcript Slide 1

Russian Bus Market
Bus park by ages, unit, 01.01.2012
By 2013
206769
25,24%
Total – 228 613
Domestic brands –
172 539– 75,2%
Foreign foreign brands –
56 074 – 24,8%
97 534
11,91%
16-20
114 829
14,02%
11-15
6-10
32129
3,92%
2-5
1
157 340
19,21%
210 611
25,71%
> 20
Source: GIBDD, Russian Automotive Market Reaserch analysis
Bus park structure, by ages and origin, unit, 01.01.2012
26645
14,04%
30158
15,89%
21436
11,29%
46669
24,58%
13689
7,21%
51247
26,99%
Foreign
70889
11,3%
84671
13,4%
110671
17,6%
189175
30,1%
18440
2,9%
155522
24,7%
Domestic
0%
16-20 years
10%
20%
11-15 years
30%
40%
6-10 years
50%
60%
2-5 years
70%
80%
1 year
90%
100%
> 20 years
Source: GIBDD, Russian Automotive Market Reaserch analysis
Bus park structure, 01.01.2012
83932
10,25%
76261
9,31%
179541
21,92%
47731
5,83%
144491
17,64%
78691
9,61%
59429
7,25%
149136
18,20%
Central Federal District
Far East Federal District
North-Caucasian Federal District
Northwest Federal District
Privolzhskyi Federal District
Siberian Federal District
Southern Federal District
Ural Federal District
Source: GIBDD, Russian Automotive Market Reaserch analysis
Bus park structure, 01.01.2012
Source: GIBDD, Russian Automotive Market Reaserch analysis
Bus park structure in Russia, by ages, 01.01.2012
> 20years
1 year
2-6 years
6-11 years
11-16years
16-20 years
0
50000
Central Federal District
100000
150000
Far East Federal District
200000
250000
North-Caucasian Federal District
Northwest Federal District
Privolzhskyi Federal District
Siberian Federal District
Southern Federal District
Ural Federal District
Source: GIBDD, Russian Automotive Market Reaserch analysis
Bus park structure in Russia, by ages
16-20 years
11-16 years
6-11 years
2-6 years
1 year
> 20 years
Number,
Number,
Number,
Number,
Number,
Number,
Share, %
Share, %
Share, %
Share, %
Share, %
unit
unit
unit
unit
unit
unit
Share, %
Central Federal
District
14361
14,7
19693
17,2
47594
22,6
42590
27,1
9941
30,94%
45362
21,94%
Far East Federal
District
9679
9,9
8771
7,6
6813
3,2
5594
3,5
934
2,91%
15940
7,71%
North-Caucasian
Federal District
8231
8,4
13015
11,3
22199
10,5
8815
5,6
893
2,78%
25538
12,35%
Northwest
Federal District
4834
5
7736
6,8
16896
8
13338
8,5
3514
10,94%
13111
6,34%
Privolzhskyi
Federal District
16441
16,9
19729
17,2
43053
20,4
32830
20,9
6804
21,18%
30279
14,64%
Siberian Federal
District
26271
26,9
23513
20,5
29563
14
21363
13,6
3809
11,86%
39972
19,33%
Southern Federal
District
8165
8,4
12106
10,5
22371
10,8
16038
10,2
2754
8,57%
22498
10,88%
Ural Federal
District
9552
9,8
10266
8,9
22122
10,5
16772
10,6
3480
10,83%
14069
6,80%
97534
100,00%
114829
100,00%
210611
100,00%
157340
100,00%
32129
100,00%
206769
100,00%
Grand Total
Source: GIBDD, Russian Automotive Market Reaserch analysis
Bus park structure in Federal Districts, by ages, 01.01.2012
Ural Federal District
Southern Federal District
Siberian Federal District
Privolzhskyi Federal District
Northwest Federal District
North-Caucasian Federal District
Far East Federal District
Central Federal District
0
20000
16-20
40000
11-15
60000
6-10
80000
2-5
100000
1
120000
140000
160000
180000
200000
> 20
Source: GIBDD, Russian Automotive Market Reaserch analysis
Bus park structure in Federal Districts, by ages
16-20 years
11-15 years
6-10 years
2-5 years
1 year
> 20 years
Number,
Number,
Number,
Number,
Number,
Number,
Share, %
Share, %
Share, %
Share, %
Share, %
Share, %
unit
unit
unit
unit
unit
unit
Central Federal District
14361
8,00%
19693
10,97%
47594
26,51%
42590
23,72%
9941
5,54%
45362
25,27%
Far East Federal
District
9679
20,28%
8771
18,38%
6813
14,27%
5594
11,72%
934
1,96%
15940
33,40%
North-Caucasian
Federal District
8231
10,46%
13015
16,54%
22199
28,21%
8815
11,20%
893
1,13%
25538
32,45%
Northwest Federal
District
4834
8,13%
7736
13,02%
16896
28,43%
13338
22,44%
3514
5,91%
13111
22,06%
Privolzhskyi Federal
District
16441
11,02%
19729
13,23%
43053
28,87%
32830
22,01%
6804
4,56%
30279
20,30%
Siberian Federal
District
26271
18,18%
23513
16,27%
29563
20,46%
21363
14,79%
3809
2,64%
39972
27,66%
Southern Federal
District
8165
9,73%
12106
14,42%
22371
26,65%
16038
19,11%
2754
3,28%
22498
26,81%
Ural Federal District
9552
12,53%
10266
13,46%
22122
29,01%
16772
21,99%
3480
4,56%
14069
18,45%
97534
11,91%
114829
14,02%
210611
25,71%
157340
19,21%
32129
3,92%
206769
25,24%
Grand Total
Source: GIBDD, Russian Automotive Market Reaserch analysis
Bus park structure, by ages and brands, 01.01.2012
 20 years
Brand
1 year
2-5 years
6-10 years
11-15 years
16-20 years
Number,
Number,
Number,
Number,
Number,
Number,
Share, %
Share, %
Share, %
Share, %
Share, %
Share, %
unit
unit
unit
unit
unit
unit
GAZ
7933
3,86%
6323
3,08%
46303
22,56%
104324
50,82%
34755
16,93%
5650
2,75%
PAZ
26936
17,56%
7082
4,62%
33907
22,11%
41150
26,83%
24080
15,70%
20208
13,18%
UAZ
1740
4,88%
277
0,78%
4567
12,80%
8592
24,09%
11060
31,01%
9434
26,45%
LIAZ
8813
27,76%
1615
5,09%
6462
20,36%
9428
29,70%
2225
7,01%
3200
10,08%
HYUNDAI
1211
4,45%
2463
9,06%
10950
40,28%
2512
9,24%
4200
15,45%
5850
21,52%
MERCEDES-BENZ
6247
30,25%
829
4,01%
4026
19,49%
4171
20,20%
2896
14,02%
2484
12,03%
LAZ
12803
65,80%
0
0,00%
36
0,19%
495
2,54%
1234
6,34%
4889
25,13%
IKARUS
11786
77,98%
0,00%
3
0,02%
47
0,31%
1516
10,03%
1763
11,66%
FORD
820
5,56%
2607
17,69%
7884
53,51%
1764
11,97%
845
5,73%
815
5,53%
NEFAZ
427
3,03%
932
6,61%
5357
37,99%
4771
33,84%
1374
9,74%
1239
8,79%
FIAT
109
1,58%
1914
27,81%
4728
68,69%
12
0,17%
50
0,73%
70
1,02%
MAZ
217
5,09%
455
10,68%
1697
39,84%
1413
33,17%
460
10,80%
18
0,42%
MAN
2059
65,03%
141
4,45%
454
14,34%
92
2,91%
175
5,53%
245
7,74%
SETRA
2352
80,38%
1
0,03%
23
0,79%
37
1,26%
145
4,96%
368
12,58%
NEOPLAN
1639
60,61%
5
0,18%
85
3,14%
117
4,33%
414
15,31%
444
16,42%
VOLVO
2127
79,48%
3
0,11%
14
0,52%
64
2,39%
147
5,49%
321
12,00%
IVECO
65
2,54%
573
22,37%
1336
52,15%
243
9,48%
183
7,14%
162
6,32%
3
0,12%
68
2,68%
1909
75,22%
558
21,99%
0
0,00%
0
0,00%
SCANIA
1226
51,38%
6
0,25%
283
11,86%
602
25,23%
114
4,78%
155
6,50%
KAROSA
281
18,63%
0,00%
51
3,38%
219
14,52%
317
21,02%
640
42,44%
BOGDAN
0
Source: GIBDD, Russian Automotive Market Reaserch analysis
New and used bus registrations, by ages, 1 Q 2012
1195
4,45%
1196
4,46%
3593
13,39%
2671
9,95%
10293
38,36%
7891
29,4%
Grand Total
26839
1 year
2-5 years
6-10 years
11-15 years
16-20 years
> 20 years
Source: GIBDD, Russian Automotive Market Reaserch analysis
New and used bus registrations, unit
1 Q 2011
6891 22%
1 Q 2012
24324 78%
9554 35,6%
0
5000
Total 31215
Total 26839
17285 64,4%
10000
15000
New
20000
25000
30000
35000
Used
Source: GIBDD, Russian Automotive Market Reaserch analysis
New and used bus registrations, 1 Q 2012
Used bus registrations in Russia
New bus registrations in Russia
Quantity, unit
Share,%
GAZ
6031
34,89%
17,23%
PAZ
2724
15,76%
956
10,01%
HYUNDAI
1602
9,27%
FORD
858
8,98%
MERCEDES-BENZ
780
4,51%
HYUNDAI
787
8,24%
LIAZ
664
3,84%
PEUGEOT
769
8,05%
FORD
576
3,33%
MAZ
250
2,62%
UAZ
534
3,09%
MERCEDES-BENZ
230
2,41%
SSANG YONG
456
2,64%
CITROEN
217
2,27%
KAVZ
445
2,57%
VOLKSWAGEN
217
2,27%
NEFAZ
290
1,68%
NEFAZ
214
2,24%
TOYOTA
254
1,47%
IVECO
162
1,70%
URAL
230
1,33%
UAZ
162
1,70%
KIA
205
1,19%
TOYOTA
161
1,69%
VOLKSWAGEN
139
0,80%
URAL
151
1,58%
SETRA
135
0,78%
BOGDAN
145
1,52%
IKARUS
133
0,77%
FIAT
141
1,48%
FIAT
129
0,75%
JAC
113
1,18%
MAN
124
0,72%
KAMAZ
96
1,00%
NEOPLAN
112
0,65%
KAVZ
82
0,86%
DAEWOO
105
0,61%
Other Russian and
Foreign brands
488
5,11%
Other Russian and
Foreign brands
1278
7,39%
Grand Total
9554
100,00%
Grand Total
17285
100,00%
Quantity, unit
Share,%
PAZ
1709
17,89%
GAZ
1646
LIAZ
Source: GIBDD, Russian Automotive Market Reaserch analysis
Bus registrations in Russia by age and class,1 Q 2012
No data
Special Bus
Small
Medium
Large
Extra Small
Extra Large
0%
1 year
10%
2-5 years
20%
30%
6-10 years
40%
50%
60%
11-15 years
70%
16-20 years
80%
90%
100%
> 20 years
Source: GIBDD, Russian Automotive Market Reaserch analysis
Bus registrations in Russia by age and class,1 Q 2012
Extra Large
Extra Small
Large
Medium
Small
Special Bus
no data
Year
Quantity, unit
Share,
%
Quantity, unit
Share,
%
Quantity, unit
Share,
%
Quantity, unit
Share,
%
Quantity, unit
Share,
%
Quantity, unit
Share,
%
Quantity, unit
Share,
%
1
356
24,62
1947
13,48%
67
2,42
172
16,20
860
15,40
104
10,20
87
17,06
2-5
800
55,33
5402
37,39
1035
37,36
398
37,48
2008
35,97
431
42,25
219
42,94
6-10
83
5,74
4891
33,85
683
24,66
354
33,33
1608
28,80
170
16,67
102
20,00
11-15
33
2,28
1528
10,58
313
11,30
46
4,33
679
12,16
60
5,88
12
2,35
16-20
24
1,66
519
3,59
170
6,14
41
3,86
306
5,48
112
10,98
24
4,71
> 20
150
10,37
161
1,11
502
18,12
51
4,80
122
2,19
143
14,02
66
12,94
Source: GIBDD, Russian Automotive Market Reaserch analysis
Bus registrations in Russia by age and Federal District,1 Q 2012
Ural Federal District
Siberian Federal District
Southern Federal District
Northwest Federal District
Privolzhskyi Federal District
North-Caucasian Federal District
Far East Federal District
Central Federal District
0%
1 year
20%
2-5 years
40%
6-10 years
60%
11-15 years
80%
16-20 years
100%
> 20 years
Source: GIBDD, Russian Automotive Market Reaserch analysis
Bus registrations in Russia by age and Federal District,1 Q 2012
Central Federal Far East Federal North-Caucasian
Northwest
District
District
Federal District Federal District
Privolzhskyi
Siberian Federal Southern Federal
Federal District
District
District
Ural Federal
District
Quantity,
unit
Share, %
Quantity,
unit
Share, %
Quantity,
unit
Share, %
Quantity,
unit
Share, %
Quantity,
unit
Share, %
Quantity,
unit
Share, %
Quantity,
unit
Share, %
Quantity,
unit
Share, %
1
1189
16,79
53
4,53
61
3,64
348
15,01
942
17,82
389
9,32
261
9,25
350
15,13
2-5
4595
64,89
612
52,35
431
25,75
1334
57,52
2677
50,64
1845
44,19
1155
40,94
1237
53,46
6-10
1488
21,01
235
20,10
811
48,45
515
22,21
1822
34,47
1217
29,15
1094
38,78
709
30,64
11-15
511
7,22
162
13,86
240
14,34
170
7,33
405
7,66
680
16,29
327
11,59
176
7,61
16-20
171
2,41
100
8,55
80
4,78
106
4,57
205
3,88
313
7,50
91
3,23
130
5,62
> 20
316
4,46
60
5,13
112
6,69
194
8,37
177
3,35
120
2,87
154
5,46
62
2,68
Source: GIBDD, Russian Automotive Market Reaserch analysis
Bus import, unit
New
1Q 2012
755
26,4%
Used
2908
79,4%
2008
3009
31,8
%
2009
4915
68,2
%
1046
39,2%
2010
2011
3723
24%
2385
29,6%
1624
60,8%
5671
70,4%
11766
76%
Source: FCS, Russian Automotive Market Reaserch analysis
Production of Russian and Foreign brands,K
Source: OEMs data, Russian Automotive Market Reaserch analysis
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