Transcript B M Mittal - INDIAN BANKS' ASSOCIATION

B.M.Mittal
Chief General Manager
Punjab National Bank
Head Office, New Delhi
Overview of the Presentation
Assessment of Industry’s readiness – Survey by KPMG
Opportunities, Concerns and Challenges
What needs to be done to ensure effective implementation and
within the RBI time frame – Action Points for effective
Implementation
India: Ready for Basel II – A Survey
Coverage of the Survey
Total 32 banks
• 9 public sector banks
• 6 new private sector banks
• 12 old private sector banks
• 5 foreign banks
Total Banking Assets:
61%
Total Profit (after tax):
68%
Key Aspects in the questionnaire
The Drivers
Techonological readiness
The Project plan
Resource Planning
Perceived benefits and challenges
India: Ready for Basel II -- Survey Findings
Key Drivers
Cricital Drivers for Basel II
%age of
Implementation
respondents
Compliance with regulation
46%
Enterprise risk management
32%
Internal commitment
17%
Perceived change in operational risk
5%
Reaction to external events
0%
India: Ready for Basel II -- Survey Findings
Other Findings:
16% of the banks surveyed have commenced the process of
planning for the more advanced approaches of Basel II,
including collection of loss data, risk mitigation techniques and
capital modelling.
Compliance with regulation is driving the Basel II
implementation programme in 46% of the banks surveyed.
New private sector banks ranked enterprise risk management
over compliance as their key driver.
89% of the banks surveyed indicated that they have a
‘dedicated team’ responsible for Basel II implementation.
However, very few banks have established the position of Chief
Risk Officer with a reporting line to the CEO/Board and whose
role has been defined with sufficient clarity.
India: Ready for Basel II -- Survey Findings
Credit Risk Preparedness
71% of the banks responded that they had made reasonable
progress with the initial stages (in the form of establishing the
team, conducting gap analysis, project planning and assessing
detailed requirements) of implementing a credit risk
programme.
The more advanced stages of credit risk preparedness have
shown minimal progress as well as varied understanding of the
implementation approach.
India: Ready for Basel II -- Survey Findings
Operational Risk Preparedness
Most banks have started work on the Basic Indicator Approach
(BIA) for operational risk management. However banks appear
to be unclear on their time frames for adopting more advanced
approaches. Appropriate guidance from the regulator could be
one of the reasons.
Technological adaptability could be one of the drivers that
would enable banks to implement the Standardised and
Advanced Measurement Approach for operational risk
management.
A large number of banks seem to have not yet fully understood
the complexities for Basel II compliance in respect of
operational risk.
India: Ready for Basel II -- Survey Findings
Technological Preparedness
There appears to be less clarity with regard to use of
technology in operational risk.
On a scale of 5, Credit risk technological preparedness range
between 3.0 to 3.5, Market risk technological preparedness
range between 3.2 to 3.5 and Operational risk technological
preparedness range between 2.0 to 2.5 among various public
and private sector banks.
90% of the banks intended to use a combination of in-house
development as well as external consultants to build
appropriate IT solutions.
Opportunities for Banks
Measuring,Managing and Monitoring Risk in a scientific
manner
Align risk appetite and business strategy
Risk Based Pricing
Effective Portfolio Management
Optimum utilization of Capital
Enhance shareholders’ value by generating risk adjusted
return on capital
Concerns and Challenges for Banks – General Issues
Guidance and support from senior management is essential to
help ensure success of Basel II project. Without their support
and motivation, implementation can become difficult and time
consuming.
Good risk management involves a high degree of cultural
changes. Embedding good risk management practices into the
day to day business processes will be a daunting task.
Sophisticated risk management techniques, particularly under
the advanced approaches, require human resources with
appropriate skill sets and proper training. With average age of
45 and above of Public Sector Bank officers, the task becomes
much more challenging.
Concerns and Challenges for Banks – General Issues
Capital requirement under Basel II will increase due to
additional capital charge for operational risk and increased
capital requirement for market risk (already implemented wef
31.03.2006). The scarcity of resources (of raising capital) will
add to the existing competition of business growth. Highly
rated corporates (needing lower amount of capital) may exert
pressure on already declining interest spread.
The models under advanced approaches require lot of
historical data. However, with no data warehouses in the banks
(especially Public Sector Banks), collection of data is a
formidable task.
Methodologies that work in a bank may not work in another
bank. Banks have to customize and tailor make the risk
products to suit their processes.
Challenges for Banks – Legal and Regulatory Infrastructure
Steps are required for adoption of internationally accepted
accounting standards, consistent, realistic and prudent rules
for asset valuation and loan loss provisions reflecting realistic
repayment expectations.
Legal systems will require changes for speedier and effective
liquidation of collaterals
The laws governing supervisory confidentiality and bank
secrecy would require modifications to permit disclosure
envisaged under pillar III.
In view of predominant Government control over public sector
banks, preconditions such as operational autonomy, corporate
governance etc need to be addressed.
Challenges for Banks – External Credit Rating Agencies
Limited number of rating agencies and insignificant level of
penetration of ratings.
The rating agencies in India have a good background in rating
“issues” such as corporate bonds, commercial papers and other
marketable instruments, but not in rating issuers/bank
borrowers.
At present default rates are disclosed by CRISIL only and
other rating agencies are yet to declare the default rates,which
may create difficulties in mapping process and compliance with
disclosure criterion. Other rating agencies will have to disclose
the default rates if they want to be accredited by RBI.
Challenges for Banks – External Credit Rating Agencies
In India banks/ FI’s are having stake in rating agencies that
may impact the independence of rating agencies.
Banks are also awaiting detailed guidelines from the regulator
on matter involving regulatory discretion under Internal rating
based approach. Such guidelines are required to enable the
banks to start collecting the data properly and to design IRB
compliant risk management systems.
The capital requirements of banks under Standardised
approach will be less sensitive to credit risk compared to banks
on advanced approaches, may result in higher risk loans going
to banks on standardised approach. This may lead to
concentration of high risk assets with banks adopting
standardised approach and low risk assets with banks adopting
IRB approach.
Challenges for Banks – Development of market for Credit
derivatives and other credit mitigation products
Credit derivative products yet to be introduced in India.
Evolution of developed market for credit derivative is required to
mange credit risk effectively and to get full benefit of risk
mitigation.
Rigorous legal and regulatory framework and less developed
secondary market for bonds/ loans etc is a major impediment in
development of credit derivative markets.
Challenges for Banks – MIS and IT
Presently, no single IT supplier can provide all-round risk
management solutions. However, 100% internal development
may be too costly because risk management methodologies tend
to involve complex computation. Integrating various external
systems into one platform is the major challenge. Flexible
customization of external systems is important .
System integration, dedicated software for risk assessment and
management and setting up of enterprise wide integrated data
warehouse shall pose a formidable challenge for Indian banks.
Ensuring correct feeding of data from various sources and the
validation of information stored is a major challenge to be
overcome before the banks start making use of the information
in the data warehouse.
Challenges for Banks – MIS and IT
Lack of data driven culture
•Historical issues in getting reliable data.
•Only data that was necessary to ease operational processes
was captured.
•Structured, data-backed decision-making has not been very
prevalent.
Most of banks are having various banking solutions across
branches. Co-ordinating with multiple vendors each handling
different parts of the overall solution in the present system is a
daunting task.
Inadequacy of relevant and reliable data to estimate risk inputs
for advanced techniques – shall make the implementation
difficult in Indian conditions.
Challenges for Banks – MIS and IT
Short data history, and lesser number of data points in LGD,
EAD and high impact low frequency events in operational risk
may give distorted results. Effort for creation of pooled data are
required to be made requiring collaborative efforts between
banks and supervisor.
Risk methodologies and business processes are evolving. The
technologies adopted must be flexible for future changes.
Action Points for Effective Implementation
Grooming and Retaining Talent
Percolating risk culture across the organisation through frequent
communications, organizing seminars and training.
Setting up of Data Warehouse to provide risk management
solutions.
Integrating risk management with operational decision making
process by conducting periodic use tests.
Periodic backtesting and stress testing of the existing models to
test their robustness in the changing environment and make
suitable amendments, if required.
Action Points for Effective Implementation
Putting in place a comprehensive plan of action to capture risks
not captured under Pillar I, through ICAAP framework.
Handling interrelationship between businesses. Linkage needs to
be established between Funds Transfer Pricing, Asset and
Liability Management, Credit risk, Market risk and Operational
risk so that cost allocation can be done in a scientific manner.
For Pillar III requirements, banks should disclose information,
that are easily understood by the market players and gradually
move to disclosure of informations requiring advanced concepts
and complex analysis.
Adopting RAROC framework and moving from regulatory
capital to economic capital.