Transcript Document
With our research partners... June 2014 Foreword What do the following (and, if they have their way, many specialist annuity providers) have in common ? 1. 2. 3. 4. 5. Lego Apple Marvel Harold Bishop from Neighbours Jesus …the happy knack of coming back from the dead. Now it might be (is) a tad early for such a grave prognosis of "commercial death" for annuity providers but that hasn’t stopped many commentators. There’s no denying the short term impact of the pensions budget bombshell was immediate, significant and that initial sentiment has translated directly into concerning new business figures as well as share price decimation. that nothing is permanent. Companies must evolve in order to remain relevant and profitable. Some, more than others, need a stronger reminder of this, flirting with death before getting their wake-up call. …. But then again, with such a major change on the horizon, it's hardly surprising that many will have chosen to defer the decision to commit to an annuity - even one of the new-fangled one year fixed term annuities. Being intellectually justified in "waiting and seeing" will be a very appealing state of affairs for many. Our extensive interviews with advisers show that things are not as cut and dried as some make out. This report sets out clearly how advisers see the retirement market shaping up and points clearly to what providers and platforms could and should do in order to survive and thrive against a backdrop of unprecedented change. There is no greater truth in business than the tenet We look forward to exploring the opportunities. The retirement market has needed a radical overhaul for some time, it’s just no-one expected it to be so utterly inorganic and profoundly non-negotiable. With all best wishes for your success. Tony Wickenden Jt .Managing Director Technical Connection limited Phil Wickenden Managing Director So Here’s The Plan limited e: [email protected] m: 07802584743 e: [email protected] m: 07966092075 Objectives We have spoken to 175 of the type of advisers that you want to do business with in order to explore what it takes to succeed “At Retirement” – who’s winning, who's losing and why. The specific aims were: To understand the size and scope of the market and identify current retirement planning processes adopted by advisers and business being placed (now vs. future). To gauge perceived and expected impact of the latest environmental, legislative and competitive changes on the market, including the budget announcements. To identify key triggers to product and provider selection (including brand perceptions, experiences and expectations) and what has changed post-budget. To develop an intimate understanding of what is required to build better propositions, support and communication in the Retirement market. Methodology 175 advisers were interviewed from a robust panel of 800 Technical Connection adviser clients and over 17,000 advisers from So Here’s The Plan’s growing database. The sample comprised advisers who were: All interviews were conducted by telephone, lasting 25-30 minutes on average. Interviews were conducted during Q1 and Q2 2014. Participating advisers were offered access to online client facing material from Technical Connection in return for their participation. Individual anonymity agreed. Nationally representative sample of firms in terms of number of RI’s, geography and AUM Respondent Profile (1) Q. Approximately, what are your Assets under Management? Q. How many Registered Individuals are there within the business? 21+, 5.2% 11 to 20, 3.1% 5 to 10, 4.1% £50m+, 27.7% Under £20m, 45.8% £20m£49.9m, 26.5% 1 to 5, 87.6% Closely mirroring the profile of advisory businesses in the UK, the majority of the businesses sampled (45.8%) had £0£20m in AUM while 87.6% had between one and five RI’s. Over a quarter of the sample (26.5%) have AUM of between £20m and £50m. A further quarter of the sample (27.7%) have AUM over £50m. 8.3% of firms interviewed had more than 10 RI’s in the business. Respondent Profile (2) Q. Which of the following best describe your service proposition(s)? Three tiers defined by AUM In order to understand more about the businesses consulted we asked them to describe their service proposition. Incredibly, more than a year into the RDR, 38.8% of firms stated that they had no formally defined service proposition – with this across all size and shape of firm. Where service propositions were defined, the majority segmented based on AUM (31.6%) or by client preference / behaviour (23.5%). Interestingly, only 11.2% of firms stated that they only served clients with £100k+ in assets, suggesting that firms are still keen to serve lower net worth clients where possible. This could, to some degree, explain why such a high proportion of firms are still yet to determine service propositions. 31.6 Defined by client behaviour / preference 23.5 Only serve clients with £100k+ AUM 11.2 Specialist focus (e.g. retirement) 4.1 WHO ARE THEY? Not formally defined Interestingly, the profile of those without a formally defined service proposition differed little from the overall population, suggesting that firms of all shapes and sizes are still grappling with the issue more than a year on from RDR. 38.8 0 10 20 30 % respondents 40 50 1-5 RI’s (92.1%) +20 RI’s (7.9%) Under £20m (44.8%) £20m-£50m (35.5%) £50m+ (20.7%) Contents The At Retirement market – story so far Page 8 The budget bombshell Page 22 Other macro drivers Page 45 The planning process & provider selection Page 53 Other retirement planning opportunities Page 77 Support provision & technology solutions Page 88 Client profile and retirement planning penetration Time spent planning across solutions Solutions used in the last six months Expected changes Unprompted impact of announcements Impact on solution selection pre-April 2015 Impact on solution selection post April 2015 Detailed impact by clients with varying pot sizes Implications for product providers across retirement solutions Response to Steve Webb’s annuity switching proposals Impact (to date) of ABI code of conduct Improving the regulatory framework Primary sources of saving post Budget Expected movement between NISAs and pensions The consideration of all client assets in retirement planning Outsourcing investment advice The role of platforms in an ‘across all assets’ income provision strategy? The importance of all investments in retirement planning Influencing provider selection Best providers across all retirement solutions Auto-enrolment Long term care Estate planning Equity release The importance of support (rating of seven key retirement planning supports) Advisers select the best providers of support in each on the seven areas. Service delivery benchmark Technology in retirement planning – what’s valued and who delivers The importance of risk – and adequacy of tools available Gut response to budget announcements There’s no denying the short term impact of the pensions budget bombshell was immediate, significant and that initial sentiment has translated directly into concerning new business figures as well as share price decimation. SAMPLE SLIDES But then again, with such a major change on the horizon, it's hardly surprising that many will have chosen to defer the decision to commit to an annuity - even one of the new-fangled one year fixed term annuities. Being intellectually justified in "waiting and seeing" will be a very appealing state of affairs for many. While a not insignificant number expect to see a move away from annuities (especially of the conventional kind) towards greater cash withdrawals and drawdown, it is interesting to note the number who paint a less certain (and certainly less apocalyptic!) picture. Just under half of advisers (without prompting) responded that either: There will simply be a greater need for advice or guidance Or they will be advising clients to defer decisions until April 2015. They are uncertain how things will pan out beyond there being a great deal more choice(which is universally seen as a good thing) Gut response to budget announcements Our extensive interviews with advisers show that it’s not as cut and dried as some make out. Asked how the budget announcements will affect how they will be advising their clients who are close to retirement or already retired 19% of advisers (the most common unprompted response) claimed that changes announced in the budget will not have any impact. Though these are gut responses, it is clear that opinion is divided: SAMPLE SLIDES Q. How do the changes announced in the budget affect how you will be advising your clients who are close to retirement or already retired? (unprompted responses) 19% claim that there will be very little impact 17% also believe there will be a move away from annuities 17% simply state that there will be far greater need for advice 17% believe that people will just be deferring decisions 11% are unsure exactly how things will pan out beyond there being more options 10% believe more will take out bigger lump sums 6% expect there to specifically be an upturn in drawdown use 3% believe ISA contributions will increase Gut response to budget announcements The only exception is the expected increase in need for tax planning emerging from the anticipated withdrawal of bigger lump sums. Increased options create more uncertainty and drives many advisers to believe that the impending changes will have a dramatic (and positive) impact on demand for planning. There is a high level of consumer awareness of the headlines but little knowledge. It won’t really have an affect “because the option to retire and take 19% Little impact advisers Greater need for advice a drawdown type policy was already there. It will make a difference on the tax free cash they can take though. “ In terms of the advice process, many advisers don’t really think much will change, with the consensus being that people should still take advice and if they do they will get the same kind of advice as before. “ I think it’s quite a profound change already, in terms of taking into account other options. Clients know about the headlines but not about the implications on that. Such as short-term tax or long term running out of money. SAMPLE SLIDES made us have a rethink whether “theyt’sshould annuitise or look at other routes. For a small number that didn’t already have a license to advise on drawdown, that will now become imperative. As above, there are more that expect to advise clients to wait until greater clarity is there. “ 11% advisers Unsure The choices will be greater. It will help the advice process, people will need to seek more help because there are more options; more dangerous options! “ It’s very difficult to say. I’ve just been on the phone to a client now who wants early retirement. I advised to wait until next year. “ There remains a good proportion who remain unsure exactly how the changes will impact their business. “ advisers Deferring Decisions We are in limbo at the moment. The attraction of taking the whole thing in cash has prompted people to hold off the decision. “ For these clients, some advisers are recommending drawdown as a stop-gap. 17% “ “ If there’s any chance that a client may take a significant lump sum most advisers are advocating a ‘hold’ strategy with decisions being deferred. advisers “ Longevity is also expected to be a big issue and the need to bridge expected and actual retirement incomes can only be filled with full advice. 17% Short term impact (pre April 2015) Q. In light of the changes, for those considering drawing benefits for the first time before April 2015 what % of them are likely to take? Had there been no budget changes Post budget announcements 28.3 25.8 24.5 21.1 14.1 21.0 14.0 21.0 13.9 10.7 SAMPLE SLIDES 4.9 0.8 Capped Drawdown Flexible Drawdown Fixed Term Annuity (to buy time) Enhanced Annuity We asked advisers what proportion of clients who will be considering drawing benefits for the first time before April 2015 will take various following options vs. the options they would have selected had the budget announcements not been made, highlighting that the market will be radically altered. Advisers think annuities (of all types – though less so for enhanced) will be the biggest casualties, with (pre April 2015) a 40% reduction in the proportion of clients considering any type of annuity – numbers that chime with some of the reported on figures we are seeing (see Standard Life). Put starkly, annuities accounted for 60.8% of retirement solutions in a prebudget world and only a projected 36.6% post budget - though it’s also important to note that 20% advisers are undecided. Annuities from "small pots" look set to be the real casualties. Other Annuity (specify) “ No Decision Put starkly, annuities accounted for 60.8% of retirement solutions in a pre-budget world and only a projected 36.6% post budget . Product Capped Drawdown Flexible Drawdown Fixed Term Annuity (to buy time) Enhanced Annuity Other Annuity (specify) No Decision ” Change %pts. 3.1 -0.1 -10.4 -4.8 -9 20.2 Looking ahead (post 2015) Q. For those considering drawdown for the first time after 5th April 2015 when drawdown becomes completely unconstrained, what % do you think will… Annuitise 17% Other. 3% Drawdown in instalments. 56% SAMPLE SLIDES Drawdown the entire fund in cash in one sum. 24% For those considering drawdown for the first time after 5th April 2015 when drawdown becomes completely unconstrained, advisers expect a heavy skew to drawing down in instalments (56% of clients). Though just under a quarter of clients are expected to draw down the entire fund in one lump sum with only 17% expected to annuitise… based on the solutions that are available now. Tony Wickenden, Joint MD, Technical Connection e:[email protected] m: 07802584743 Phil Wickenden, MD, So Here’s The Plan e:[email protected] m: 07966092075 Thank you We look forward to exploring the opportunities with you