Transcript DCM - UZH

The General Linear Model (GLM)
Klaas Enno Stephan
Branco Weiss Laboratory (BWL)
Institute for Empirical Research in Economics
University of Zurich
With many thanks for slides & images to:
FIL Methods group
Functional Imaging Laboratory (FIL)
Wellcome Trust Centre for Neuroimaging
University College London
Methods & models for fMRI data analysis
15 October 2008
Overview of SPM
Image time-series
Realignment
Kernel
Design matrix
Smoothing
General linear model
Statistical parametric map (SPM)
Statistical
inference
Normalisation
Gaussian
field theory
p <0.05
Template
Parameter estimates
A very simple fMRI experiment
One session
Passive word
listening
versus rest
7 cycles of
rest and listening
Blocks of 6 scans
with 7 sec TR
Stimulus function
Question: Is there a change in the BOLD response
between listening and rest?
Modelling the measured data
Why?
How?
Make inferences about effects of interest
1. Decompose data into effects and
error
2. Form statistic using estimates of
effects and error
stimulus
function
data
linear
model
effects
estimate
error
estimate
statistic
Voxel-wise time series analysis
model
specification
Time
parameter
estimation
hypothesis
statistic
BOLD signal
single voxel
time series
SPM
Time
=1
BOLD signal
+ 2
x1
+
x2
y  x11  x2 2  e
error
Single voxel regression model
e
Mass-univariate analysis: voxel-wise GLM
p
1
1
1

p
y
N
=
N
X
y  X  e
e ~ N (0, I )
2
+
N
e
Model is specified by
1. Design matrix X
2. Assumptions about e
N: number of scans
p: number of regressors
The design matrix embodies all available knowledge about
experimentally controlled factors and potential confounds.
GLM assumes Gaussian “spherical” (i.i.d.) errors
sphericity = iid:
error covariance is
scalar multiple of
identity matrix:
Cov(e) = 2I
Examples for non-sphericity:
4 0
Cov(e)  

0
1


non-identity
1 0
Cov(e)  

0
1


2 1
Cov(e)  

1
2


non-identity
non-independence
Parameter estimation
 1 
  +
 2
=
y
Objective:
estimate parameters
to minimize
X
y  X  e
e
N
e
t 1
Ordinary least squares
estimation (OLS)
(assuming i.i.d. error):
ˆ  ( X T X ) 1 X T y
2
t
A geometric perspective on the GLM
Residual forming
matrix R
OLS estimates
y
T
1
T
ˆ
  (X X ) X y
e
yˆ  Xˆ
x2
x1
Design space
defined by X
e  Ry
R I P
Projection matrix P
yˆ  Py
1
P  X (X X ) X
T
T
Correlated and orthogonal regressors
y
x2*
x2
x1
y  x11  x2  2  e
y  x11  x2* 2*  e
1   2  1
1  1;  2*  1
Correlated regressors =
explained variance is shared
between regressors
When x2 is orthogonalized with
regard to x1, only the parameter
estimate for x1 changes, not that
for x2!
What are the problems of this model?
1.
BOLD responses have a delayed
and dispersed form.
2.
The BOLD signal includes substantial amounts of lowfrequency noise.
3.
The data are serially correlated (temporally autocorrelated)

this violates the assumptions of the noise model in
the GLM
HRF
Problem 1: Shape of BOLD response
Solution: Convolution model
hemodynamic
response
function
(HRF)
t
f  g (t )   f ( ) g (t   )d
0
The response of a linear time-invariant (LTI) system is the convolution of the input
with the system's response to an impulse (delta function).
expected BOLD response
= input function impulse response function (HRF)
Convolution model of the BOLD response
Convolve stimulus function with
a canonical hemodynamic
response function (HRF):
t
f  g (t )   f ( ) g (t   )d
0
 HRF
Problem 2: Low-frequency noise
Solution: High pass filtering
Sy  SX  Se
S = residual forming matrix of DCT set
discrete cosine
transform (DCT) set
High pass filtering: example
blue =
data
black = mean + low-frequency drift
green = predicted response, taking into account
low-frequency drift
red =
predicted response, NOT taking into
account low-frequency drift
Problem 3: Serial correlations
et  aet 1   t
with
 t ~ N (0,  2 )
1st order autoregressive process: AR(1)
N
Cov(e)
autocovariance
function
N
Dealing with serial correlations
• Pre-colouring: impose some known autocorrelation structure on
the data (filtering with matrix W) and use Satterthwaite correction
for df’s.
• Pre-whitening:
1. Use an enhanced noise model with multiple error covariance
components.
2. Use estimated autocorrelation to specify filter matrix W for
whitening the data.
Wy  WX   We
How do we define V ?
• Enhanced noise model
• Remember linear transform
for Gaussians
• Choose W such that error
covariance becomes spherical
e ~ N (0,  V )
2
x ~ N (  ,  ), y  ax
2
 y ~ N (a , a 2 2 )
We ~ N (0,  W V )
2
W V  I
2
• Conclusion: W is a function of V
 so how do we estimate V ?
W V
Wy  WX   We
1 / 2
2
Multiple covariance components
V  Cov(e)
e ~ N (0,  V )
2
enhanced noise model
V
= 1
V   iQi
error covariance components Q
and hyperparameters 
Q1
+ 2
Q2
Estimation of hyperparameters  with ReML (restricted maximum
likelihood).
Contrasts &
statistical parametric maps
c=10000000000
Q: activation during
listening ?
X
Null hypothesis:
1  0
c ˆ
t
T ˆ
Std (c  )
T
t-statistic based on ML estimates
Wy  WX  We
ˆ  (WX )  Wy
c=10000000000
c ˆ
t
stˆd (cT ˆ )
T
W V
stˆd (cT ˆ ) 
ˆ c (WX ) (WX ) c
1/ 2
ˆ 
2
 V  Cov(e)
2

2 T
T

 Wy  WXˆ
tr( R)
R  I  WX (WX ) 
X
V 
 Q
i
ReMLestimates
i

2
Physiological confounds
• head movements
• arterial pulsations
• breathing
• eye blinks
• adaptation affects, fatigue, fluctuations in concentration, etc.
Outlook: further challenges
• correction for multiple comparisons
• variability in the HRF across voxels
• slice timing
• limitations of frequentist statistics
 Bayesian analyses
• GLM ignores interactions among voxels
 models of effective connectivity
These issues are discussed in future lectures.
Correction for multiple comparisons
• Mass-univariate approach:
We apply the GLM to each of a huge number of voxels (usually >
100,000).
• Threshold of p<0.05  more than 5000 voxels significant by
chance!
• Massive problem with multiple comparisons!
• Solution: Gaussian random field theory
Variability in the HRF
• HRF varies substantially across voxels and subjects
• For example, latency can differ by ± 1 second
• Solution: use multiple basis functions
• See talk on event-related fMRI
Summary
• Mass-univariate approach: same GLM for each voxel
• GLM includes all known experimental effects and confounds
• Convolution with a canonical HRF
• High-pass filtering to account for low-frequency drifts
• Estimation of multiple variance components (e.g. to account for
serial correlations)
• Parametric statistics